OSO SECURITIES MEMBER OF INDONESIA
STOCK
OSO Weekly
EXCHANGE
15-19 Agustus 2016
JCI
(43.05)
5,377.20 Previous Highest Vol (bn) Nett Foreign 1W Return YTD ` Indices Americas Dow Jones S&P 500 Nasdaq EIDO EMEA Euro Stoxx FTSE 100 CAC 40 DAX Asia Pacific Nikkei Shanghai TWSE SET KOSPI PCOMP KLSE ST - Times Sensex Hangseng Sektoral AGRICULTURE MINING MISC INDUSTRY BASIC INDUSTRY CONSUMER GOODS PROPERTY INFRASTRUKTUR FINANCE MANUFAKTURE TRADE LQ 45 SRI-KEHATI Currency IDR / USD IDR / AUD IDR / EUR IDR / SGD IDR / JPY IDR / GBP
5,420.25 5,458.97 44.84 5,019.0 17.07
-0.79%
Lowest Val IDR bn Mkt Cap IDR tr NetForgYTDRbn Month to date (%)
5,377.19 42,390.67 5,788.26 37,461.99 3.09
Last
WoW%
YTD%
United States United States United States United States
18,576.47 2,184.05 5,232.90 26.30
0.18 0.05 0.23 (0.83)
6.61 6.85 4.50 26.02
Euro Area United Kingdom France Germany
3,044.94 6,916.02 4,500.19 10,713.43
2.40 1.80 2.03 3.34
(6.81) 10.79 (2.95) (0.28)
Japanese China Taiwan Thailand Korea Philippine Malaysia Singapore India Hong Kong
16,919.92 3,050.67 9,150.39 1,552.64 2,050.47 7,955.86 1,684.15 2,867.40 28,152.40 22,766.91
4.09 2.48 0.64 2.96 1.61 (0.18) 1.21 1.25 0.26 2.80
(11.11) (13.80) 9.74 20.54 4.55 14.44 (0.49) (0.53) 7.79 3.89
Last 1,830.60 1,200.43 1,340.15 492.90 2,420.52 587.92 1,169.14 791.32 1,376.00 886.28 921.52 320.95
WoW% 0.46 (1.23) 0.80 2.04 (2.04) 2.90 (2.57) (0.83) (0.86) (0.97) (1.14) (0.88)
YTD% 6.48 48.01 26.76 20.86 17.22 19.76 19.14 15.18 19.48 4.33 16.35 21.04
Last 13,118 10,085 14,632 9,743 129 17,001
WoW% (0.01) (0.34) (0.01) 0.43 1.10 1.39
YTD% 5.11 0.07 2.93 0.23 (10.87) 20.36
Global Macro Eco United States Euro Area United Kingdom Japan China Singapore
CB Rate (%) 0.50 0.25 0.10 4.35 0.08
CPI YoY (%) 1.00 0.20 0.50 (0.40) 1.80 (0.70)
GDP YoY (%) 1.20 1.60 2.20 0.60 6.70 2.10
Domestic Macro Eco Jibor InflasiYoY InflasiMoM BI Rate GDP Growth YoY Foreign Reserve (Bn)
Last 4.65 3.21 0.69 6.50 5.18 111.41
WoW% 0.36
YTD% (38.76)
Sources : Bloomberg
Government Bonds 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 15 Year 20 Year 30 Year
Yield% 6.31 6.49 6.56 6.62 6.65 6.74 6.80 6.80 6.95 6.80 7.22 7.32 7.59
WoW% (2.91) (0.51) (0.67) (1.00) (0.52) (0.85) (1.31) (0.88) (0.66) (0.88) (0.33) (0.08) (0.89)
YTD% (21.96) (24.65) (26.00) (25.21) (24.58) (24.64) (23.96) (24.38) (21.44) (22.28) (19.56) (18.25) (18.09)
Commodities Oil (USD/bbl) Gold (USD tr.oz) Silver (USD tr.oz) Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) Tin (USD/mtrc ton) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) CPO (MYR/ton) Coal (USD/ton) * Natural Gas Corn Soybean Coffe Cotton Sugar Wheat Cocoa
Last 44.82 1,338.36 19.77 10,305.00 18,195.00 4,761.00 2,620.00 61.80 2.57 324.25 337.00 136.85 69.88 19.71 424.00 2,993.00
WoW% 4.18 0.23 (0.20) (3.83) (0.84) (0.58) 4.59 (0.96) (6.59) (0.31) (0.27) (3.96) (8.82) (3.14) 1.68 (0.93)
Ytd% 21.00 26.09 43.19 16.84 25.01 1.19 9.26 (1.98) 9.84 (9.62) 27.51 8.01 10.43 29.33 (9.79) (6.79)
Top Gainer CTRA IJ Equity BSDE IJ Equity MPPA IJ Equity SMRA IJ Equity SMGR IJ Equity
Last 1,700 2,310 1,965 1,925 11,000
WoW% 15.25 10.00 9.17 8.45 6.28
Ytd% 17.16 28.33 7.67 16.67 (3.51)
Top Loser PGAS IJ Equity BMTR IJ Equity ITMG IJ Equity ANTM IJ Equity WIKA IJ Equity
Last 3,130.00 1,010.00 11,850.00 780.00 3,140.00
WoW% (6.57) (6.05) (4.63) (4.29) (4.27)
Ytd% 14.03 (8.18) 106.99 148.41 18.94
Top Volume TLKM IJ Equity ASRI IJ Equity PWON IJ Equity ADRO IJ Equity BMRI IJ Equity
Last 525 7,725 4,230 650 795
Volume(Mn) 194.60 129.41 123.23 94.25 67.61
YTD% 53.06 28.75 36.85 31.05 153.18
Top Value ASII IJ Equity BBRI IJ Equity TLKM IJ Equity BMRI IJ Equity BBCA IJ Equity
Last 7,725 11,525 4,230 10,100 14,450
Value(Bn) 999.69 536.84 521.28 466.93 334.30
YTD% 28.75 0.88 36.85 9.19 8.65
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15-19 Agustus 2016
Technical Analysis PGAS Akhir perdagangan kemarin PGAS berhasil mencatatkan kenaikan sebesar 1.3%. Meskipun indikator stochastic oscillator masih bearish. Namun, momentum penguatan atas PGAS masih terbuka seiring dengan RSI yang sudah mulai menguat. Recommendation : Buy Target Price Support Stop loss
: 3250 : 3060 : 3030
PWON PWON bergerak diatas support level 635 dan diperdagangkan pada area midlle bollingerbands. Meskipun Indikator stochastic bearish, RSI lemah dan histogram MACD negatif, PWON masih berpeluang untuk menguat pada sepekan ini. Recommendation : Buy On Weakness Target Price Support Stop loss
: 670 : 630 : 625
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15-19 Agustus 2016
SMCB Terbentuknya candle spinning tops atas saham SMCB mengindikasikan potensial uptrend. Indikator stochastic oscillator membentuk crossover dan bergerak bullish, RSI kuat.
Recommendation : Buy Target Price Support Stop loss
: 1290 : 1215 : 1200
ANTM ANTM bergerak pada area overbought, Momentum penguatan masih terbuka seiring dengan sudah munculnya buying volume. Selain itu, indikator stochastic oscillator berusaha untuk membentuk goldencross. Indikator RSI kuat dan MFI flat. Recommendation : Buy Target Price Support Stop loss
: 810 : 765 : 755
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15-19 Agustus 2016 ADRO Saham ADRO bergerak dalam minor up trend sejak bulan Juni dan bergerak di atas MA 20 Harian. Indikator MFI, RSI dan Stochastic Oscillator juga memiliki peluang untuk kembali menguat. Recommendation : Buy Target Price Support Stop loss
: 1165 : 1130 : 1110
DMAS Sepekan kemarin saham DMAS bergerak sideways di bawah batas upper Bollinger band. Namun, sejak awal Juli saham ini bergerak membentuk trend menguat. Indikator MACD Histogram dan MFI flat. Namun, RSI berpotensi naik dan Stochastic Oscillator berpeluang goldencross. Recommendation : Buy Target Price Support Stop loss
: 285 : 275 : 270
OSO SECURITIES MEMBER OF INDONESIA
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15-19 Agustus 2016
ERAA Dalam empat hari berturut-turut pada pekan kemarin saham ERAA mengalami koreksi. Namun meski begitu saham ini masih bergerak di atas MA 20 Harian. Indikator MACD histogram dan Stochastic Oscillator masih negative. Sementara, MFI dan RSI justru menunjukkan penguatan. Recommendation : BOW Target Price Support Stop loss
: 875 : 845 : 835
SMGR Saham SMGR mengalami koreksi selama tiga hari terakhir. Minggu lalu saham ini sempat menembus batas upper Bollinger band namun kembali turun akibat aksi profit taking. Indikator MFI dan RSI masih melemah. Sementara itu, Stochastic Oscillator memiliki peluang untuk berbalik arah. Recommendation : BOW Target Price Support Stop loss
: 11225 : 10900 : 10775
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OSO Weekly 15-19 Agustus 2016
Economic Calendar Date
Agenda
15-Aug-16 Japan GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2
15-Aug-16 15-Aug-16 15-Aug-16 15-Aug-16 15-Aug-16 16-Aug-16
16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 16-Aug-16 17-Aug-16
17-Aug-16 17-Aug-16 17-Aug-16 17-Aug-16 18-Aug-16
18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 19-Aug-16
19-Aug-16 19-Aug-16
Japan GDP Growth Annualized Prel Q2 China FDI (YTD) YoY JUL Indonesia Balance of Trade JUL US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index AUG US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index AUG US Overall Net Capital Flows JUN US Foreign Bond Investment JUN US Net Long-term Tic Flows JUN UK Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL UK Inflation Rate YoY JUL UK Inflation Rate MoM JUL Euro Area Balance of Trade JUN Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index AUG Germany ZEW Current Conditions AUG Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index AUG US Building Permits JUL US Building Permits MoM JUL US Core Inflation Rate MoM JUL US Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL US Housing Starts JUL US Housing Starts MoM JUL US Inflation Rate YoY JUL US Inflation Rate MoM JUL US Industrial Production YoY JUL US Industrial Production MoM JUL UK Claimant Count Change JUL UK Unemployment Rate JUN UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus JUN US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 12/AUG US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 12/AUG US FOMC Minutes Japan Balance of Trade JUL Japan Exports YoY JUL Franch Unemployment Rate Q2 UK Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM JUL UK Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY JUL UK Retail Sales YoY JUL Euro Area Construction Output YoY JUN Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL Euro Area Inflation Rate MoM JUL US Initial Jobless Claims AUG/13 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index AUG US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 12/AUG Germany PPI MoM JUL Indonesia Interest Rate Decision UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders AUG
Sumber :Trading economic & Bloomberg
Country JPY JPY CNY IDR USD USD USD USD USD GBP GBP GBP EUR EUR EUR EUR USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD GBP GBP GBP USD USD USD JPY JPY EUR GBP GBP GBP EUR EUR EUR EUR USD USD USD EUR IDR GBP
Prior 0.50% 1.90% 5.10% $0.9B 0.55 59 $-11.0B $-18.3B $41.1B 1.40% 0.50% 0.20% €24.6B -14.7 49.8 -6.8 1153K 1.50% 0.20% 2.30% 1189K 4.80% 1% 0.20% -0.70% 0.60% 0.4K 4.90% 2.30% 1.055M -2807K ¥693B -7.40% 7.30% -0.90% 3.90% 4.30% -0.80% 0.90% 0.10% 0.20% 266K -2.9 29Bcf 0.40% 6.50% -4
Consensus 0.20% 0.70%
OSO SECURITIES MEMBER OF INDONESIA
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15-19 Agustus 2016 RESEARCH TEAM Supriyadi (
[email protected])
Head of Research
+62 21 2991 5300
Research Analyst
+62 21 2991 5300
Research Analyst
+62 21 2991 5300
Research Associate
+62 21 2991 5300
Rifqiyati (
[email protected])
Riska Afriani (
[email protected]) Ardy Setiady (
[email protected])
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