DAILY NEWS 1/23/2015 IDX Statistics Close
Chg
%Chg
%YTD
IDX Last
5,253.18
37.92
0.73
0.20
Vol (mn/sh)
6,036.74
Val (Rp Bn)
6,732.23
Foreign Net Buy/ -Net Sell (Rp bn)
-248.91
Market Indices Close
Chg
%Chg
%YTD
17813.98
259.07
1.48
-0.11
S&P 500
2063.15
31.03
1.53
0.24
NASDAQ
4750.40
82.98
1.78
0.50
FTSE
6796.63
68.59
1.02
3.80
NIKKEI
17329.0
48.54
0.28
-0.70
24522.63
170.05
0.70
2.79
5491.40
71.46
1.32
1.02
26.67
-0.07
-0.26
-2.81
DJIA
HANG SENG ASX 200 EIDO
Commodities Prices %Chg
Close
% YTD
Oil-WTI (USD/bbl)
1.73
Gold (USD/t oz.)
1.20
1,300
9.62
Nickel (USD/MT)
1.70
15,025
(0.83)
Tin (USD/MT)
0.70
19,505
2.39
CPO (RM/Ton)
(1.19)
2,246
(0.88)
0.17
50.53
(1.12)
Coal
47.11
(9.33)
Economic Indicators Latest Fed Rate (%)
0.25
BI Rate (%)
7.75
Inflation (YoY) (%)
8.36
GDP 3Q-14 (%)
5.01
USD//IDR
12,475
JPY/IDR
106
SGD/IDR
9,362
EUR/IDR
14,501
Mutual Fund NAB
1 Mo
SDM
7,299.63
0.48%
SDS*
1,136.81
-0.36%
1 Yr 20.04% -
YTD -0.97% -2.24%
Market Recap:
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada perdagangan di hari Kamis (22/01) mengalami penguatan sebesar 37.92 poin atau naik 0.73% dan berakhir di level 5,253.18. Sementara itu LQ45 mengakhiri perdagangan pada level 910.78 mengalami pertambahan sebesar 7.96 poin atau terapresiasi 0.88%. Global Market United States
Wall Street ditutup positif selama 4 hari berturut-turut setelah adanya kesepakatan ECB dalam meluncurkan program stimulus. adanya harapan bahwa ECB akan memberikan program stimulus secara besar-besaran. Indeks Dow Jones naik 259.07 poin atau menguat 1.48%, S&P 500 bertambah 1.53%, dan Nasdaq terapresiasi 1.78%. Sementara laporan pemerintah AS menunjukkan klaim awal pengangguran berkurang 10.000 menjadi 307,000, namun masih lebih tinggi dibandingkan estimasi 300,000. Asia
Bursa saham Asia berakhir positif setelah adanya indikasi bahwa pemerintah China akan tetap fokus pada penguatan petumbuhan ekonomi-nya. Index Hang Seng bertambah 0.70% dan Nikkei menguat 0.28%. JCI’s Outlooks Menghijaunya seluruh bursa Global dan Regional akan memicu penguatan lanjutan terhadap IHSG hari ini, program stimulus ECB menjadi katalis pasar terkuat dalam mendorong bursa domestik. IHSG kami perkirakan akan bergerak bullish (moderat) dengan level support dan resistance masingmasing di 5,193 – 5,298.
* YTD since Mar-21
Semesta Dana Maxima vs IDX Performances
Semesta Dana Saham vs IDX Performances
45%
14%
40%
12%
35% 30%
10%
25%
8%
20%
6%
15%
10%
4%
5%
2%
0%
0%
-5%
-2%
-10% 1-Jan-14
1-Mar-14
1-May-14
1-Jul-14
1-Sep-14
1-Nov-14
-4% 21-Mar-14
JCI
1 of 6 report
SDM
21-May-14
21-Jul-14 JCI
21-Sep-14
SDS
Please see important disclosure at the end of this
1/23/2015
DAILY NEWS TECHNICAL COUNTER BMRI
MACD Daily Golden Cross S: 10.250 R: 11,150 Rekomendasi : Buy
WSKT MACD Daily Golden Cross
S: 1,445 R1: 1,700 Rekomendasi : Buy
MPPA MACD Daily Golden Cross.
S: 2,950 R: 3,400 Rekomendasi : Hold
Keterangan rekomendasi Buy : Harga berpotensi menguat beberapa hari kedepan Buy on Weakness : Harga berpotensi menguat namun diperkirakan akan terkoreksi untuk sementara Trading Buy : Harga diperkirakan bergerak fluktuatif dengan kecenderungan ditutup menguat Sell : Harga berpotensi melemah beberapa hari kedepan Sell on Strength : Harga masih berpotensi menguat namun akan segera mengalami koreksi dalam waktu dekat.
2 of 6 report
Please see important disclosure at the end of this
DAILY NEWS 1/23/2015 INDONESIA NEWS Ekonomi – Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Presiden RI optimistis target pertumbuhan ekonomi sepanjang 2015 dapat mencapai 5.6%-5.8%. Menurut kepala negara, target tersebut sangat realistis, karena tidak terlalu pesimistis dan juga tidak terlalu optimistis. Target pertumbuhan ekonomi yang sudah ditetapkan bukan tanpa kalkulasi yang jelas dan matang. Target tersebut dapat dipenuhi dengan dua cara, yaitu penyerapan anggaran yang harus diatas 90% dan mendorong investasi. (Sumber: IFT) Gajah Tunggal (GJTL) Close: 1,310 Change: 3.15% GJTL menargetkan pertumbuhan penjualan 2015 naik 8 sampai 9 persen, jika dibandingkan dengan capaian kinerja penjualan yang meningkat 6 persen di 2014. (Sumber: IQ Plus) Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT) Close: 1,565 Change: 3.30% WSKT akan masuk ke proyek transmisi listrik berkapasitas 500 kilovolt (KV) di Sumatera. Nilai proyek jaringan listrik tegangan ekstra tinggi tersebut mencapai Rp 10 triliun. (Sumber: Berita Satu) Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi (HITS) Close: 705 Change: HITS menargetkan meraih kontrak jangka panjang untuk pengangkutan semen tahun ini. Target tersebut merupakan lajutan dari aksi divestasi saham anak usahanya, Humpuss Transportasi Curah (HTC), beberapa waktu lalu. (Sumber: Berita Satu) Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) Close: 5,375 Change: 0.47% PGAS telah menandatangani Perjanjian dengan TL Offshore-Encona Consortium pada 20 Januari 2015. Perjanjian itu perihal pekerjaan pemasangan Pipa Offshore dan Onshore jaringan pipa Transmisi Gas Bumi Kalija Tahap I Ruas Kepodang - Tambak Lorok. (Sumber: IQ Plus) Indosat (ISAT) Close: 4,260 Change: 0.12% ISAT memodernisasi jaringan di Makassar, khususnya untuk layanan data/internet dengan kecepatan hingga 42 Mbps. Division Head Public Relations Indosat, Adrian Prasanto dalam keterangan persnya di Jakarta, Kamis, mengatakan, hadirnya jaringan baru 42 Mbps di Makassar merupakan bagian dari hasil implementasi program modernisasi jaringan yang telah diselesaikan Indosat di 23 kota di seluruh Indonesia. (Sumber: IQ Plus)
3 of 6 report
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DAILY NEWS 1/23/2015 Daily Valuation STOCK
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55
Stock Code
AGRICULTURE Astra Agro Lestari AALI BW Plantation BWPT London Sumatera LSIP Sampoerna Agro SGRO Salim Ivomas SIMP MINING Adaro Energy ADRO Harum Energy HRUM Indo Tambangraya ITMG Bukit Asam PTBA Aneka Tambang ANTM Vale Indonesia INCO Timah TINS BASIC INDUSTRY AND CHEMICALS Indocement INTP Holcim Indonesia SMCB Semen Indonesia SMGR Wika Beton WTON Charoen Pokphand CPIN Japfa Comfeed JPFA Malindo Feedmill MAIN MISC. INDUSTRY Astra International ASII CONSUMER GOODS Tiga Pilar Sejahtera AISA Indofood CBP ICBP Indofood Sukses INDF Gudang Garam GGRM Kimia Farma KAEF Kalbe Farma KLBF Industri Jamu SIDO Unilever Indonesia UNVR PROPERTY AND REAL ESTATE Agung Podomoro APLN Alam Sutera ASRI Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE Ciputra Development CTRA Lippo Karawaci LPKR Pakuwon Group PWON Pem. Perumahan PTPP Wijaya Karya WIKA Waskita Karya WSKT INFRASTRUCTURE Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS Jasa Marga JSMR XL Axiata EXCL Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM Express Trasindo TAXI Tower Infrastructure TBIG FINANCE Bank Central Asia BBCA Bank Bukopin BBKP Bank Negara Indonesia BBNI Bank Rakyat Indonesia BBRI Bank Tabungan Negara BBTN Bank Danamon BDMN Bank Mandiri BMRI TRADE, SERVICE & INVESTMENT United Tractors UNTR Ace Hardware ACES Matahari Putra Prima MPPA Media Nusantara Citra MNCN Surya Citra Media SCMA TOTAL
Rating
Last Px Shr. Out (IDR) (Bn)
M.Cap Px Target (IDR tn) 15F
P/E ¹ (x)
PBV (x)
GPM OPM NPM DER (%) (%) (%) (x)
ROE¹ (%)
Hold Hold Outperform Outperform
24000 337 825 271 50
1.574 4.503 6.822 1.89 15.816
37.78 1.52 5.63 0.51 0.79
26,000 2,145 2,515 910
15.05 5.35 6.02 1.24 1.06
3.37 0.65 0.80 0.17 0.05
31.31 45.57 35.87 28.36 26.62
23.78 30.17 26.58 20.34 14.96
16.01 18.95 19.82 12.51 5.17
0.62 1.79 0.21 0.69 0.85
22.4 12.5 13.3 13.86 4.52
Outperform Underperform Outperform
1015 83 82 835 1055 7625 1500
31.985 2.703 1.129 2.304 9.538 9.936 7.447
32.46 0.22 0.09 1.92 10.06 75.76 11.17
13,850 925 1,425
0.83 0.07 0.03 0.91 -13.35 31.22 25.42
0.83 0.05 0.01 0.24 0.83 3.29 2.26
23.37 18.29 23.13 31.76 8.96 30.32 17.92
18.81 8.79 5.02 5.19 14.99 15.33 19.17 16.38 -2.05 -9.7 24.42 16.87 7.83 6.93
1.23 0.18 0.43 0.72 0.87 0.28 5.48
8.76 6.74 31.15 25.86 -6.19 9.42 58.59
Outperform Hold Outperform Outperform Outperform Outperform Outperform
95 124 4000 500 3925 239 50
3.681 7.662 5.931 8.715 16.40 10.66 1.791
0.35 0.95 23.72 4.36 64.36 2.55 0.09
0.07 1.25 4.35 28.24 5.83 3.57
0.02 0.11 1.01 5.90 0.48 0.08
44.81 28.35 43.68 14.52 15.56 14 9.89
29.18 26.23 12.95 7.59 26.92 21.12 12.2 9.61 10.57 7.86 5.4 1.75 2.49 0.54
0.13 0.91 0.38 0.81 0.76 2.15 1.8
21.3 8.49 23.2 14.4 20.93 8.24 2.09
Hold
7750
40.783
316.07
30,500 2,600 18,100 1,600 4,375 1,300 3,075 7,650
16.25
2.72
19.12
9.73
1.04
16.73
Hold Outperform Outperform Outperform Hold Hold Outperform Outperform
2145 448 800 580 585 170 13275 121
3.218 5.83 8.78 1.924 5.554 46.875 15 7.63
6.90 2.61 7.02 1.12 3.25 7.97 199.13 0.92
2,500 14,000 8,250 67,000 1,550 2,030 800 37,500
20.05 0.95 1.74 0.21 16.71 4.05 0.17
2.73 0.18 0.17 0.03 1.89 0.86 0.17
21.47 26.6 27.03 20.13 30.54 48.05 35.24 48.8
14.52 7.06 11.17 9.08 12.01 6.01 12.85 8.38 6.97 4.67 16.46 11.65 19.56 19.72 21.02 1.77
1.2 0.64 1.11 0.77 0.59 0.3 0.06 1.77
13.66 19.01 9.9 16.89 11.18 21.49 16.54 98.64
Outperform Outperform Outperform Hold Hold Outperform Buy Buy Outperform
417 600 2145 1465 645 140 920 790 1325
20.5 19.6 18.4 15.17 23.07 48.15 4.84 6.149 9.673
8.55 11.79 39.41 22.22 14.88 6.74 4.45 4.86 12.82
520 640 2,270 1,325 1,200 530 4,660 4,200 1,650
12.64 10.17 9.21 18.78 10.57 3.89 11.50 9.08 73.61
1.08 2.04 2.24 2.08 0.91 1.24 2.07 1.03 5.28
50.01 55.4 75.71 51.86 46.84 59.83 11.68 10.92 9.47
24.75 46.1 48.3 34.71 28.27 53.16 8.99 9.58 6.35
14.43 29.83 82.09 20.87 17.21 48.42 3.71 4.65 2.44
1.8 1.73 0.55 1.08 1.17 1.35 4.94 2.18 3.23
8.5 20.09 24.31 11.03 8.56 32.49 18 11.31 7.09
Outperform Outperform Outperform Buy Outperform Hold
101 750 1865 2090 9575 695
24.24 6.8 8.53 100.8 2.15 4.80
2.45 5.10 15.92 210.67 20.54 3.33
7,200 6,300 3,350 1,600 10,800
0.28 0.07 43.84 3.36 0.45 100 -13.23 1.14 100 13.84 2.61 27.33 140.81 23.35 84.56 2.20 0.76 85.22
30.62 34.71 6.12 33.92 18.73 75.93
23.54 17.07 -5.13 17.38 17.03 46.81
0.92 1.74 3.14 0.7 2.31 3.85
28.21 13.28 -8.6 18.87 16.5 34.59
Hold Outperform Outperform Outperform Outperform Underperform Outperform
13200 760 5950 11475 1030 4660 11000
24.41 8.99 18.46 24.42 10.46 9.48 23.1
322.21 6.83 109.84 280.22 10.77 44.18 254.10
13,150 840 6,950 13,280 1,230 3,700 11,915
20.00 7.68 10.94 11.70 10.84 15.90 13.32
-
-
6.41 11.72 6.34 6.57 10.67 4.84 6.62
11.17 13.58 8.91 13.82 4.64 4.83 10.61
Hold Underperform Outperform Hold Outperform
3700 745 335 795 29000
3.73 17.15 5.37 14.18 14.62
13.80 12.78 1.80 11.27 423.98
20,100 520 3,500 2,800 3,775
2.17 0.36 21.16 15.29 11.69 25.69 5.87 48.32 14.54 11.2 3.81 0.68 17.12 4.47 3.51 6.07 1.29 57.8 37.91 27.53 287.13 ##### 100 47.58 35.74
0.63 0.25 0.96 0.58 0.41
16.56 22.96 17.81 21.11 47.07
-
4.35 1.03 1.92 3.10 0.92 1.38 2.59
-
9.62
2694.79
* Fair value forecasts are based on consensus analysis and mostly for 12-month, ¹Annualized
4 of 6 report
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DAILY NEWS 1/23/2015 Dividend KODE AISA ADRO BFIN BIPI
5 of 6 report
DIVIDEN Rp 8,5 Rp 11,73 Rp 138 Rp 1
CUM 24-Dec-14 24-Dec-14 2-Jan-15 13-Jan-15
TANGGAL Ex 29-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 5-Jan-15 14-Jan-15
PAYMENT 14-Jan-15 16-Jan-15 15-Jan-15 30-Jan-15
KETERANGAN Tunai Interim Interim Tunai
Pleasesee seeimportant importantdisclosure disclosureatatthe theend endofofthis thisreport Please
DAILY NEWS 1/23/2015
RESEARCH Aditya Perdana Putra Research Analyst
[email protected] HEAD OFFICE PT. Semesta Indovest Menara Imperium Fl.18 Jl. HR Rasuna Said Kav. 1 Jakarta 12980 - Indonesia Jakarta - Puri Komp. Rukan Puri Niaga III, Blok M 8/ 2A Jl. Puri Kencana Kembangan, Jakarta 11610 Telp. (021) 2569 5600 Fax. (021) 5830 3441
BRANCHES
Surabaya Ruko Darmo Square Blok B 28 Jl. Raya Darmo No. 54 – 56, Surabaya 60264 Telp. (031) 563 2727 Fax. (031) 562 4616
Serpong Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RN No. 60, Serpong 15321 Telp. (021) 537 9545 Fax. (021) 537 9967 Semarang Jl. Karang Saru No.17 Semarang 50136 Tel. (024) 358 4801/03 Fax. (021) 358 4804
Disclaimer This report has been prepared by PT. Semesta Indovest on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions, and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. Semesta Indovest. While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, PT. Semesta Indovest makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of PT. Semesta Indovest who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither PT. Semesta Indovest nor any officer or employee of PT. Semesta Indovest accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. PT. Semesta Indovest and/or persons connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication.
6 of 6 report
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