jciI
RISET SAHAM HARIAN
Wei mI ‘S wWeiSEKURITAS INDONESIA uWei
SAMUEL
Kamis, 31 Maret 2016
Market Activity
Indeks global kembali ditutup positif
Thursday, 31 Mar 2016 Market Index Index Movement Market Volume Market Value
Leading KLBF TLKM BBRI BMRI
: : : :
4,816.7 +35.4 (+0.7%) 3,846 Mn shrs 5,540 Bn rupiah Changes +/%
Last Close Movers 1,410 3,345 11,150 10,350
bunganya. VIX Index tercatat naik tipis ke 13.5 setelah menyentuh
120 45 175 411
9.3 1.4 1.6 4.1
-1,150 -100 -80 -50
-1.2 -5.9 -2.5 -1.4
Foreign Net Buy / Sell Net Buy (Rpbn) Net Sell (Rpbn) 208 167 86 47 46
pernyataan The Fed yang akan berhati hati didalam menaikan suku
level terendahnya pada 28Oct lalu (13). Sentimen sesaat tersebut dimanfaatkan oleh pelaku pasar untuk kembali melakukan aksi beli tanpa didasari oleh alasan fundamental yang kuat. Sementara itu, jelang employment report pada jum’at ini, ADP employment
Lagging Movers HMSP 98,350 SMRA 1,590 SCMA 3,170 CPIN 3,620
KLBF BMRI TLKM GGRM BBNI
Indeks AS semalam ditutup menguat melanjutkan sentimen
BBRI HMSP SMGR SMRA UNVR
77 63 54 25 24
dilaporkan naik menjadi 200K (Mar16) dari 195K pada bulan sebelumnya.
Dari pasar EU, indeks juga mengalami kenaikan merefleksikan sentimen yang sama serta penguatan sementara saham berbasis komoditas. Dari pasar Asia Pasifik, sebagian besar indeks pagi ini masih ditransaksikan menguat, kecuali Kospi dan FSSTI, sedangkan
Money Market Last Close USD/IDR 13,269 JIBOR O/N 4.9 Infl (MoM) -0.1 Dual Listing Securities Last Close TLKM 50.8 ISAT 37.1 EIDO 23.4
Changes +/% -131.0 1.0 0.0 -
update dari pasar komoditas, harga minyak tercatat turun dan emas naik.
Kami memperkirakan IHSG hari ini masih berpotensi ditutup Changes +/% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5
World Indices Last Close DJIA 17,717 S&P 500 2,064 Euro Stoxx 3,044 MSCI Worl d 1,653 Nikkei 16,879 Hang Seng 20,803
Changes +/% 84 0.5 9 0.4 39 1.3 17 1.0 -225 -1.3 437 2.1
Commodities Last Close WTI Oil 38 CPO Mal ay 2,745 Coal Newc 51 Nickel 8,397 Tin 16,898
Changes +/% -0.3 -0.8 -34.0 -1.2 -0.2 -0.4 -21.3 -0.3 53.0 0.3
menguat ditengah penguatan bursa global dan regional, meskipun angka pivot tercatat lebih rendah dari penutupan IHSG kemarin. Nilai tukar tercatat melemah tipis ke level Rp13.275 dari Rp13.269, sedangkan pasar EIDO juga tercatat naik +0.35 ke level 23.35.
Highlights KLBF
: Diuntungkan dari kebijakan pemerintah
ARNA
: Laba bersih 2015 melemah
RALS
: Kinerja menurun pada FY15
MAPI
: Kinerja FY15 sesuai ekspektasi
CPIN
: Kinerja FY15 sesuai ekspektasi
ULTJ
: Laba bersih meningkat di 2015
ACES
: Kinerja FY15 sesuai ekspektasi
www.samuel.co.id
1
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016
KLBF: Diuntungkan dari kebijakan pemerintah Langkah pemerintah yang memberikan insentif bagi produsen obat yang akan masuk bisnis bahan baku obat merupakan hal positif bagi perusahaan, namun dampaknya baru akan terasa dalam 3-4 tahun lagi. Penjualan tahun ini ditargetkan tumbuh 10% sementara tahun lalu hanya sekitar 35%. Capex dianggarkan Rp 1-1,5 triliun di tahun ini untuk pembangunan pabrik baru di Pulo Gadung dan penambahan kapasitas pada pabrik lama. (Kontan, Investor Relations KLBF). Comment: Sejalan dengan pandangan perusahaan, efek dari insentif bagi produsen bahan baku tersebut baru akan terasa dalam jangka panjang. Masih banyak uncertainty terkait pengembangan pada bisnis hulu tersebut, salah satunya adalah economic of scale yang harus tercapai demi menunjang profitabilitas. Apabila berhasil, bisnis hulu tersebut dapat mengurangi ketergantungan impor sehingga menekan eksposur pada valas dan akhirnya dapat menurunkan harga jual obat. Seiring dengan keluarnya kebijakan stimulus pemerintah tersebut, kekhawatiran investor mengenai rencana pemerintah untuk segera menurunkan atau membatasi harga obat generik tampak mulai memudar. Kebijakan itu memberikan kesan bahwa pemerintah akan menurunkan harga obat dalam jangka menengah panjang melalui pengembangan bisnis hulu. Kami melihat bahwa kemungkinan pemerintah menurunkan harga obat generik dalam jangka pendek masih ada, walaupun mengecil, seiring implementasi program Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional (JKN) dan relatif lemahnya daya beli masyarakat saat ini. Di sisi lain, hal positif datang dari kebijakan stimulus yang memberikan keuntungan dalam jangka panjang. Kami mempertahankan rating Buy untuk saham ini dengan target price Rp 1.610 seperti pada report terakhir kami. KLBF: Buy; 16E PE: 29.7x, PBV: 5.6x. ARNA: Laba bersih 2015 melemah Laporan keuangan 2015 perusahaan memperlihatkan penurunan penjualan neto 19,8% menjadi Rp 1,3 triliun. Laba usahanya turun 70,9% menjadi Rp 102 miliar. Laba bersih perusahaan mengalami pelemahan 73,1% menjadi Rp 70 miliar (86% dari konsensus FY15). (Investor Daily) ARNA: Non-Coverage, 16E’ consensus PE: 23.1x, EV/EBITDA: 12.8x.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
2
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016
RALS: Kinerja menurun pada FY15 Laporan keuangan FY15 perusahaan memperlihatkan penurunan penjualan dan laba bersih sebesar masing-masing 5,6% dan 5,5%. Namun, laba tersebut tidak seburuk perkiraan dan mencerminkan 107% dari estimasi kami atau 106% dari konsensus. (Laporan keuangan RALS). Comment: Sepanjang tahun lalu, perlambatan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan penurunan harga komoditas menurunkan daya beli masyarakat, khususnya kelas ekonomi menengah ke bawah yang menjadi target pasar perusahaan. Di tahun ini, sejalan dengan perbaikan kondisi makro dan langkah efisiensi perusahaan, kami menilai kinerja dapat membaik. RALS: Hold; 16E’ PE: 13.8x, PBV: 1.2x. (Rp Bn)
FY14
FY15
YoY
Revenue
5,861
5,533
-5.6%
Gross Profit
2,048
1,996
-2.5%
Operating Profit
299
251
-16.2%
Net Income
356
336
-5.5%
34.9%
36.1%
1.1%
EBIT Margin
5.1%
4.5%
-0.6%
Net Margin
6.1%
6.1%
0.0%
Gross Margin
FY15 / FY15 / '15E SSI '15E Cons
106.7%
105.7%
MAPI: Kinerja FY15 sesuai ekspektasi PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. (MAPI) mencatatkan pendapatan sebesar Rp12.8 triliun (+8.6%YoY) pada FY15, pencapaian tersebut relatif in-line baik dengan ekspektasi kami dan konsensus. Untuk laba bersih, MAPI berhasil mencatatkan pertumbuhan sebesar 66.7%YoY (FY15: Rp 75 miliar vs FY14: Rp45 miliar). Pencapaian tersebut juga masih in-line dengan ekspektasi kami dan konsensus. Kami akan mereview kembali target price dan rekomendasi mendapat keterangan lebih lanjut dari Investor Relation perusahaan. (Investor Daily) MAPI: Under review. MAPI's FY15 result highlight (Rp Bn)
3Q15
4Q15
QoQ
FY14
FY15
YoY
FY15 / '15E
FY15 / '15Cons
Revenue
3,299
3,432
4.0%
11,822
12,833
8.6%
98.0%
102.8%
Gross Profit
1,477
1,598
8.2%
5,470
5,783
5.7%
98.4%
102.4%
Operating Profit
115
218
89.6%
525
523
-0.4%
108.5%
110.6%
Net Income
(13)
55
523.1%
45
75
66.7%
98.7%
96.2%
Gross Margin
44.8%
46.6%
1.8%
46.3%
45.1%
-1.2%
EBIT Margin
3.5%
6.4%
2.9%
4.4%
4.1%
-0.4%
Net Margin
-0.4%
1.6%
2.0%
0.4%
0.6%
0.2%
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
3
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016
CPIN: Kinerja FY15 sesuai ekspektasi PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk. (CPIN) mencatatkan pertumbuhan laba bersih sebesar 3.3%YoY, pencapaian tersebut relatif in-line dengan ekspektasi konsensus. Laba kotor juga mencatatkan kenaikan 24.1% meskipun di tengah situasi sulit untuk bisnis unggas pada tahun lalu, yakni: rendahnya harga DOC dan broiler, serta lemahnya nilai tukar Rupiah terhadap dolar AS. Untuk laba bersih, CPIN berhasil mencatatkan kenaikan sebesar 5.2%, masih relatif in-line dengan proyeksi konsensus. (Investor Daily) CPIN: Non-coverage, 16E’PE:22.8x, PBV: 4.2x. CPIN's FY15 result highlight YoY
FY15 / '15 Cons.
(Rp Bn)
3Q15
4Q15
QoQ
FY14
FY15
Revenue
7,262
7,592
4.5%
29,150
30,108
3.3%
98.0%
Gross Profit
1,266
1,309
3.4%
4,134
5,130
24.1%
101.2%
Operating Profit (EBIT)
865
793
-8.3%
2,626
3,433
30.7%
105.6%
Net Income
291
586
101.4%
1,746
1,836
5.2%
95.2%
Gross Margin
17.4%
17.2%
-0.2%
14.2%
17.0%
2.9%
EBIT Margin
11.9%
10.4%
-1.5%
9.0%
11.4%
2.4%
Net Margin
4.0%
7.7%
3.7%
6.0%
6.1%
0.1%
ULTJ: Laba bersih meningkat di 2015 Laporan keuangan 2015 perusahaan memperlihatkan kinerja yang membaik dibandingkan tahun sebelumnya. Laba bersih 2015 tercatat naik 78% menjadi Rp 519 miliar. (Laporan keuangan ULTJ) ULTJ: Buy, 16E’ PE: 17.2x, EV/EBITDA: 12.1x. FY14
FY15
YoY
FY15 / '15E SSI
3,917
4,394
12.2%
99.3%
Gross Profit
937
1,383
47.6%
Operating Profit
374
693
85.4%
Net Income
291
519
78.3%
23.9%
31.5%
7.5%
EBIT Margin
9.5%
15.8%
6.2%
Net Margin
7.4%
11.8%
4.4%
(Rp Bn) Revenue
Gross Margin
98.3%
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
4
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016
ACES: Kinerja FY15 sesuai ekspektasi PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. (ACES) mencatatkan pendapatan sebesar Rp4.5 triliun (-4.2%YoY) pada FY15, yang disebabkan oleh turunnya daya beli akibat melemahnya ekonomi Indonesia, meskipun demikian pencapaian tersebut relatif inline baik dengan ekspektasi kami dan konsensus. Untuk laba bersih, ACES juga mengalami penurunan tipis sebesar 0.7%YoY (FY15: Rp 558 miliar vs FY14: Rp562 miliar). Pencapaian tersebut juga masih in-line dengan ekspektasi kami dan konsensus. (Bisnis Indonesia). Comment: Kami melihat prospek kinerja ACES yang lebih cerah untuk tahun ini, dtunjang dengan keyakinan naiknya SSSG mengikuti membaiknya daya beli masyarakat, nilai tukar Rupiah yang terus mengalami penguatan, iklim kompetisi yang lebih longgar pasca tutupnya beberapa gerai Best Pongs, dan kuatnya kondisi neraca keuangan perusahaan . Kami masih akan mereview kembali target price seiring dengan rilisnya company update. ACES: Under review. ACES FY15 result highlight (Rp Bn)
3Q15
4Q15
QoQ
FY14
FY15
YoY
FY15 / '15E
FY15 / '15Cons
Revenue
94.5%
1,235
1,085
-12.1%
4,742
4,541
-4.2%
94.8%
Gross Profit
597
605
1.3%
2,194
2,254
2.7%
98.8%
99.8%
Operating Profit (EBIT)
173
281
62.4%
769
728
-5.3%
108.8%
109.3%
Net Income
145
165
13.8%
562
558
-0.7%
96.6%
99.3%
Gross Margin
48.3%
55.8%
7.4%
46.3%
49.6%
3.4%
EBIT Margin
14.0%
25.9%
11.9%
16.2%
16.0%
-0.2%
Net Margin
11.7%
15.2%
3.5%
11.9%
12.3%
0.4%
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
5
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016 Ticker
Rec.
JCI Wgt Last price (%)
(Rp)
1D Chg 1M Chg YTD Chg TP Cons (%)
(%)
(%)
(Rp)
TP SSI
Upside
(Rp)
(%)
PE 16E
PBV 17E
16E
ROE 17E
EV/EBITDA (x)
16E
17E
16E
17E
Banks BMRI BBCA
BUY BUY
BBRI BUY BBNI BUY Consumer (Staples)
4.7 6.3
10,350 13,125
4.1 0.4
8.4 (2.6)
11.9 (1.3)
10,703 14,578
10,200 15,300
(1.4) 16.6
10.8 16.7
9.0 14.3
1.8 3.0
1.6 2.6
16.8% 18.1%
17.4% 17.9%
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
5.3 1.9
11,150 5,175
1.6 2.5
0.7 2.0
(2.4) 3.7
12,473 5,923
13,000 5,900
16.6 14.0
10.4 7.9
8.9 6.8
2.1 1.3
1.8 1.1
19.7% 16.3%
19.7% 16.4%
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
ICBP INDF
HOLD BUY
1.7 1.2
15,125 7,250
0.7 4.7
(4.0) 2.8
12.2 40.1
16,947 7,817
16,500 8,000
9.1 10.3
25.6 17.0
23.1 13.9
5.1 2.1
4.5 1.9
19.7% 12.6%
19.5% 14.0%
17.6 8.9
14.9 8.0
KLBF ROTI
BUY BUY
1.3 0.1
1,410 1,270
9.3 4.1
8.5 3.3
6.8 0.4
1,469 1,449
1,610 1,500
14.2 18.1
30.7 25.4
25.6 18.1
5.7 4.6
5.0 3.8
18.5% 17.9%
19.4% 20.8%
20.1 11.4
16.9 10.1
ULTJ UNVR Cigarette
BUY HOLD
0.2 6.4
3,745 42,975
(0.1) -
1.2 (3.5)
(5.1) 16.1
n/a 39,373
4,800 39,000
28.2 (9.2)
17.3 50.6
14.5 46.3
3.9 61.5
3.2 55.1
22.5% 22.4% 121.5% 119.1%
10.6 35.8
9.0 32.8
HMSP GGRM
HOLD BUY
9.0 2.4
98,350 62,800
(1.2) 3.0
(10.6) (1.4)
4.6 14.2
108,804 69,799
109,750 59,500
11.6 (5.3)
38.6 20.1
34.6 17.7
13.0 3.0
9.6 2.7
33.6% 14.9%
27.9% 15.5%
26.2 13.4
23.9 12.7
Healthcare MIKA
BUY
0.7
2,400
1.3
11.6
-
2,653
2,950
22.9
55.8
50.0
9.6
8.8
17.2%
17.6%
28.1
25.3
HOLD
0.2
7,250
(1.7)
(8.5)
(26.0)
10,427
8,600
18.6
103.6
79.7
4.6
4.4
4.5%
5.6%
12.4
10.1
MAPI
BUY
0.2
4,745
1.9
11.6
25.0
4,806
4,200
(11.5)
38.0
19.4
2.4
2.1
6.3%
11.0%
8.2
6.6
RALS ACES
HOLD HOLD
0.1 0.3
700 880
(0.7) 2.3
(9.1) (3.8)
8.5 6.7
763 848
625 815
(10.7) (7.4)
14.9 24.4
11.9 19.1
1.4 4.8
1.3 4.0
9.2% 19.8%
10.8% 20.8%
9.9 16.9
8.8 15.0
SILO Retail
Telco EXCL
BUY
0.7
4,000
2.8
2.6
9.6
4,602
4,600
15.0
24.7
21.9
2.2
2.1
8.9%
9.6%
6.2
5.4
HOLD HOLD
0.7 6.6
6,300 3,345
0.4 1.4
21.7 2.9
14.5 7.7
6,598 3,624
5,550 3,500
(11.9) 4.6
29.3 20.2
20.4 17.9
2.2 4.1
2.1 3.7
7.6% 20.5%
10.4% 20.5%
4.1 6.6
3.7 6.0
Auto and HE ASII HOLD UNTR HOLD
5.6 1.1
7,100 15,300
0.4 0.3
4.4 (1.4)
18.3 (9.7)
7,150 15,724
6,800 16,700
(4.2) 9.2
15.5 10.9
13.9 10.4
2.7 1.4
2.5 1.3
17.6% 12.7%
17.8% 12.5%
13.4 3.5
12.9 3.0
Aviation GIAA
HOLD
0.2
441
-
8.1
42.7
497
490
11.1
9.2
9.0
0.6
0.6
6.8%
6.8%
3.9
3.8
BUY
0.7
1,840
0.8
9.2
2.2
2,163
1,950
6.0
14.4
11.7
1.6
1.4
11.1%
11.8%
10.6
9.3
HOLD BUY HOLD
0.5 0.2 0.1
495 1,210 375
(2.0) (0.5)
8.1 (3.2) 9.0
(0.2) (14.2) 9.3
551 n/a 424
465 1,810 350
(6.1) 49.6 (6.7)
11.5 28.1 11.4
10.3 23.7 9.4
2.6 1.0 1.0
2.2 1.0 0.9
23.0% 3.5% 9.1%
21.3% 4.1% 10.1%
7.1 n/a 5.9
6.1 n/a 5.1
0.4
1,590
(5.9)
(0.3)
(3.6)
1,733
1,750
10.1
14.9
13.0
2.8
2.5
19.1%
19.0%
10.6
9.6
HOLD HOLD
0.4 0.2
3,840 2,690
(0.9) (0.2)
4.1 3.1
(0.9) 25.7
4,670 3,178
4,000 2,700
4.2 0.4
22.9 25.1
18.8 20.9
5.3 1.9
4.4 1.8
23.1% 7.6%
23.2% 8.6%
9.9 7.9
8.7 6.9
BUY BUY
0.5 0.3
1,995 2,585
(0.3) -
3.4 (0.8)
19.5 (2.1)
2,298 3,130
2,200 3,300
10.3 27.7
32.7 21.2
25.6 17.7
2.8 3.3
2.6 2.9
8.6% 15.4%
10.0% 16.4%
17.1 9.5
14.7 8.2
INTP SMGR
HOLD BUY
1.4 1.2
19,975 10,125
1.4 (1.2)
(0.2) (1.2)
(10.5) (11.2)
19,970 11,713
22,500 13,700
12.6 35.3
14.9 9.7
12.7 8.4
2.8 2.0
2.5 1.8
18.6% 20.2%
19.5% 21.2%
9.7 6.1
8.2 5.1
SMCB Utility
HOLD
0.2
1,050
(1.9)
12.3
5.5
1,026
1,070
1.9
75.0
36.2
1.1
1.1
1.4%
2.9%
10.8
8.8
1.2 0.7
2,590 5,550
(0.6) (0.4)
(1.7) 4.7
(5.6) 6.2
3,193 6,409
3,400 6,500
31.3 17.1
12.6 23.1
11.9 21.8
1.6 3.2
1.5 3.0
12.9% 13.9%
12.9% 13.7%
7.4 12.0
6.5 11.5
ISAT TLKM
Property BSDE PWON KPIG ASRI
SMRA BUY Construction PTPP ADHI WSKT WIKA Cement
PGAS BUY JSMR BUY Coal and Metal ANTM
SELL
0.2
465
2.0
27.7
48.1
351
375
(19.4)
(25.8)
42.3
0.8
0.8
-3.2%
1.9%
23.3
18.3
INCO
BUY
0.3
1,770
1.4
15.3
8.3
1,556
2,400
35.6
64.8
16.2
0.7
0.7
1.1%
4.2%
101.2
68.0
TINS ITMG
HOLD BUY
0.1 0.1
755 6,575
3.4 -
32.5 (2.6)
49.5 14.8
537 5,950
650 9,000
(13.9) 36.9
18.4 6.0
15.1 4.8
0.9 0.6
0.9 0.6
5.1% 10.3%
6.0% 12.8%
5.6 1.6
4.8 1.2
ADRO PTBA Plantation
HOLD BUY
0.4 0.3
665 6,425
2.3 0.8
9.9 26.6
29.1 42.0
659 6,389
700 7,800
5.3 21.4
11.9 9.0
9.2 7.1
0.5 1.4
0.4 1.3
3.8% 15.6%
4.8% 17.7%
9.9 6.7
7.6 5.1
AALI LSIP
HOLD BUY
0.5 0.2
17,475 1,735
0.4 (0.3)
17.7 21.3
10.3 31.4
18,935 1,699
20,000 1,800
14.4 3.7
21.0 13.8
18.0 11.5
2.2 1.5
2.0 1.3
10.4% 10.6%
11.1% 11.7%
12.7 7.2
11.5 5.9
SIMP
BUY
0.1
451
2.5
24.9
35.8
474
550
22.0
13.3
11.3
0.5
0.5
3.6%
4.1%
5.7
5.3
HOLD BUY
1.2 0.2
3,620 810
(1.4) 1.9
7.1 5.9
39.2 27.6
3,575 985
4,000 1,000
10.5 23.5
22.8 11.4
18.6 8.5
4.2 1.3
3.6 1.2
18.4% 11.5%
19.4% 14.2%
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
(15.1)
1,469
1,420
9.7
11.5
6.6
1.5
1.2
12.8%
18.7%
n/a
n/a
(1.0)
7,727
8,400
18.3
24.0
22.7
4.0
3.6
16.8%
15.9%
16.3
13.2
Poultry CPIN JPFA
0.1 1,295 (0.8) (1.9) MAIN BUY Other Sectors AKRA BUY 0.5 7,100 3.3 (13.1) Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg Note: GIAA, PGAS, ITMG, ADRO, INCO report in USD.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
6
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016 Regional Indices
1D Change Points
Last
Price
Change (%)
1 Year
1D
3D
1W
1M
3M
YTD
1YR
High
1.89 0.69
6.83 6.82
(0.60) 0.98
(0.60) 0.98
(5.05) (0.19)
1,814 2,135
Low 1,460 1,810
World U.S. (S&P)
17.02 8.94
1,653 2,064
1.04 0.44
1.55 1.38
U.S. (DOW)
83.55
17,717
0.47
1.15
0.76
7.27
1.67
1.67
(0.33)
18,351
15,370
Europe
39.23
3,044
1.31
0.06
(0.15)
3.34
(6.84)
(6.84)
(17.67)
3,836
2,673
Emerging Market
19.15
834
2.35
2.58
2.50
12.65
5.02
5.02
(14.43)
1,069
687
FTSE 100 CAC 40
97.27 77.75
6,203 4,444
1.59 1.78
0.07 0.46
0.30 0.38
1.74 2.09
(0.63) (4.15)
(0.63) (4.15)
n/a (11.71)
7,123 5,284
5,500 3,892
158.67
10,047
1.60
0.24
0.98
5.81
(6.48)
(6.48)
(16.04)
12,391
8,699
35.36
4,817
0.74
(0.22)
(0.81)
0.96
4.87
4.87
(12.72)
5,524
4,034
113.37
16,992
0.67
(0.83)
0.59
6.02
(10.73)
(10.73)
(11.53)
20,953
14,866
Australia Korea
86.03 2.00
5,096 2,004
1.72 0.10
0.24 1.09
(1.36) 0.91
4.41 4.56
(3.77) 2.18
(3.77) 2.18
(13.50) (1.81)
5,996 2,190
4,707 1,801
Singapore Malaysia
53.70 2.78
2,873 1,718
1.90 0.16
0.89 0.82
(0.27) (0.39)
7.74 3.81
(0.35) 1.50
(0.35) 1.50
(16.66) (6.17)
3,550 1,868
2,528 1,504
Hong Kong
437.09
20,803
2.15
0.91
0.58
8.85
(5.07)
(5.07)
(16.46)
28,589
18,279
China Taiwan
80.81 119.69
3,001 8,737
2.77 1.39
0.71 0.37
(0.31) (0.33)
11.63 3.87
(15.22) 4.79
(15.22) 4.79
(19.94) (8.86)
5,178 10,014
2,638 7,203
17.44 24.83
1,410 7,299
1.25 0.34
1.11 (0.83)
(0.13) (1.05)
5.85 9.42
9.49 4.99
9.49 4.99
(6.35) (8.08)
1,575 8,137
1,221 6,084
Dax Indonesia Japan
Thailand Philipines Monetary Indicators
1D Change Points
JIBOR Overnight (%) Foreign Reserve (US$bn) Inflation Rate (%) US Fed Rate (%) Indo Govt Bond Yld (10yr) - % Exchange Rate (per US$)
Last
Change (%)
Price
1M
3M
YTD
1YR
High
Low
0.25 n/a
(8.99) 2.36
(23.53) 4.29
(35.46) (1.31)
(26.93) (9.51)
8.26 111.55
4.90 100.24
0.00 n/a
4.90 104.54
n/a
(0.09)
n/a
0.00 0.00
0.50 7.73
0.00 (0.71)
1D Change
Currency
Points
Indonesia Japan
(131.00) (0.09)
Last
Price 13,269 112.34
1 Year
1W
(117.65) (142.86) (109.38) 0.00 (6.49)
75.00
0.96
(0.09)
0.00 (11.64)
0.00 (11.64)
100.00 3.87
0.50 9.90
0.25 7.23
High
Change (%)
1 Year
1D
3D
1W
1M
3M
YTD
1YR
0.99 0.08
(0.11) 0.99
(0.66) 0.50
0.81 0.31
3.91 7.01
3.91 7.01
(1.45) 6.93
14,736 125.86
Low 12,805 110.67
UK
(0.00)
1.44
(0.01)
0.86
1.58
3.30
(2.44)
(2.44)
(2.98)
1.59
1.38
Euro
(0.00)
1.13
(0.01)
1.26
1.46
4.27
4.37
4.37
5.65
1.17
1.05
China
(0.04)
6.47
0.61
0.74
0.59
1.29
0.39
0.39
(4.03)
6.60
6.19
39.04
1D (0.56)
3D (3.05)
1W (3.53)
1M 8.53
3M 4.72
YTD 4.72
1YR (29.16)
High 69.63
Low 27.10
2,793.00
1,863.00
719.00 62.50
506.50 48.80
Commodities Indicators
1D Change
Last
Price
Change (%)
1 Year
Spot Oil
Points (0.22)
CPO
(34.00)
2,745.00
(1.22)
0.81
1.67
7.73
10.02
10.46
25.29
Rubber Coal
13.00 (0.20)
656.00 51.05
2.02 (0.39)
6.49 (2.39)
5.72 (1.35)
22.39 1.09
19.60 0.29
21.59 0.89
(0.23) (10.75)
Iron Ore
(2.30)
54.80
(4.03)
(4.03)
(0.18)
16.10
36.66
26.27
(5.03)
132.60
37.50
Tin
53.00
16,898.00
0.31
(3.07)
(0.57)
5.77
15.05
15.81
(0.52)
17,625.00
13,223.80
Nickel
(20.00)
8,430.00
(0.24)
(3.05)
(3.88)
(1.06)
(3.10)
(4.42)
(34.55)
14,585.00
7,550.00
Copper Gold
(18.00) 1.00
4,872.50 1,227.90
(0.37) 0.08
(1.56) 0.64
(3.78) 0.32
3.78 (0.53)
2.90 15.82
3.56 15.82
(19.89) 3.79
6,481.00 1,287.80
4,318.00 1,046.20
Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
7
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Kamis, 31 Maret 2016
Research Team Andy Ferdinand, CFA Head Of Equity Research
M. Makky Dandytra, CSA, CFTe Technical Analyst
Strategy, Banking, Consumer
Indices, Equities, Commodities, Currencies, Fixed Income
+6221 2854 8148
[email protected]
Rangga Cipta Economist +6221 2854 8396
[email protected]
+6221 2854 8382
[email protected]
Akhmad Nurcahyadi, CSA Analyst
Adrianus Bias Prasuryo Analyst
Marlene Tanumihardja Analyst
Auto, Heavy Equipment, Property, Cigarette, Media, Aviation, Healthcare
Cement, Infrastructure,Telecommunication
Retail, Poultry, Consumer, Small Cap
+6221 2854 8392
[email protected]
+6221 2854 8387
[email protected]
+6221 2854 8144
[email protected] Yudi Ilhamsyah Analyst Property, Construction
+6221 2854 8881
[email protected]
Adde Chandra Kurniawan Research Associate +6221 2854 8338
[email protected]
Equity Sales Team Kelvin Long Director of Equities +6221 2854 8150
[email protected]
Evelyn Satyono Head of Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8148
[email protected]
Lucia Irawati Head of Retail Equity Sales +6221 2854 8173
[email protected]
Yulianah Senior Institutional Sales +6221 2854 8146
[email protected]
Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8399
[email protected]
Ferry Khusaeri Equity Sales +6221 2854 8304
[email protected]
Indra S. Affandi Senior Institutional Sales +6221 2854 8334
[email protected]
Muhammad Isfandi Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8329
[email protected]
Peter Hamsja Equity Sales +6221 2854 8325
[email protected]
Jovita Widjaja Equity Sales +6221 2854 8314
[email protected]
Clarice Wijana Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8395
[email protected]
Iwan Setiadi Equity Sales +6221 2854 8313
[email protected]
James Wihardja Equity Sales +6221 2854 8397
[email protected]
Online Trading Sales Team Nugroho Nuswantoro Head Of Marketing OLT +6221 2854 8372
[email protected]
Rina Lestari SPV Customer Service +6221 2854 8180
[email protected]
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
8