jciI
RISET SAHAM HARIAN
Wei mI ‘S wWeiSEKURITAS INDONESIA uWei
SAMUEL
Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
Market Activity
Indeks Global dan APAC menguat, EIDO positif, Rupiah
Friday, 26 Feb 2016 Market Index Index Movement Market Volume Market Value
Leading TLKM HMSP UNVR BTPN
: : : :
4,658.3 +0.6 (+0.0%) 3,189 Mn shrs 3,654 Bn rupiah Changes +/%
Last Close Movers 3,300 108,300 42,725 2,565
Lagging Movers GGRM 61,800 BBRI 10,450 EMTK 9,150 AALI 15,025 Foreign Net Buy / Sell Net Buy (Rpbn) TLKM BBCA LPPF MNCN BBTN
101 21 18 16 13
70 1,300 725 310
2.2 1.2 1.7 13.7
-3,700 -225 -575 -1,550
-5.6 -2.1 -5.9 -9.4
apresiasi
Pada penutupan transaksi perdagangan semalam, indeks AS ditutup menguat, bursa Eropa juga mengalami hal yang sama ditengah kenaikan harga minyak dunia. Dari pasar hari ini beberapa bursa mencatat kenaikan, sedangkan dari pasar komoditas dunia, harga emas mengalami kenaikan dan harga minyak tercatat naik didorong oleh sentimen pertemuan anggota OPEC dan Rusia yang telah setuju untuk membahas tingkat produksi.
Dari pasar dalam negeri, IHSG kami lihat hari ini berpotensi Net Sell (Rpbn)
BBRI GGRM ASII AALI INTP
121 48 43 24 14
mengalami penguatan merefleksikan penguatan yang terjadi pada bursa global dan APAC, serta penguatan EIDO termasuk nilai tukar rupiah yang kembali tercatat naik ke level Rp13.410 dari Rp13.413. Namun demikian, laporan kinerja keuangan beberapa emiten besar
Money Market Last Close USD/IDR 13,410 JIBOR O/N 5.2 Infl (MoM) 0.5
Changes +/% -3.0 0.0 0.0 -
Dual Listing Securities Last Close TLKM 49.5 ISAT 34.5 EIDO 22.1
Changes +/% 1.7 3.6 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.8
yang sebagian diantaranya tercatat berada dibawah ekspektasi pasar berpotensi menghambat kenaikan indeks. Sentimen positif dari indeks global dan regional, serta pasar EIDO dan nilai tukar rupiah juga kami lihat berpotensi digunakan oleh sebagian investor
World Indices Last Close DJIA 16,697 S&P 500 1,952 Euro Stoxx 2,877 MSCI Worl d 1,554 Nikkei 16,140 Hang Seng 18,889
Changes +/% 212 1.3 22 1.1 57 2.0 19 1.3 225 1.4 -304 -1.6
Commodities Last Close WTI Oil 33 CPO Mal ay 2,535 Coal Newc 50 Nickel 8,322 Tin 16,063
Changes +/% -0.1 -0.4 16.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 -179.0 -2.1 -102.0 -0.6
untuk melakukan aksi ambil untung.
Highlights ASII
: FY15 dibawah ekspektasi
SIMP
: Laba bersih FY15 di bawah ekspektasi
LPKR
: Mengerek target marketing sales
INCO
: Laba bersih turun 71.5%YoY
LSIP
: Kinerja FY15 in-line dengan ekspektasi
MAIN
: Akan menggarap pasar domestik
WIKA, WTON: Proyek Kereta Api Cepat
www.samuel.co.id
1
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
ASII: FY15 dibawah ekspektasi Kami telah menerima laporan resmi dari Astra International, Tbk tentang kinerja sepanjang tahun 2015. Net income tercatat melemah 25%YoY menjadi Rp14.64tn, atau hanya sekitar 79% dari proyeksi FY15E kami sebesar Rp18.3tn dan sekitar 87% dari proyeksi konsensus sebesar Rp16.6tn. Kinerja 4Q15 bahkan tercatat lebih rendah yakni -37.5%QoQ. Penurunan kinerja tersebut dicatat oleh seluruh segmen usaha ASII, dengan kinerja terendah dialami oleh AALI (-75%YoY), sedangkan segmen automotive sebagai penyumbang terbesar membukukan penurunan pertumbuhan laba sebesar 12%YoY menjadi Rp7.46tn. Pada periode yang sama, ASII juga mencatat kerugian penurunan nilai properti pertambangan sebesar Rp5.25tn atau naik dari Rp2.74tn pada tahun lalu. Tanpa kerugian tersebut net income grup turun -20% menjadi Rp16triliun. Tahun ini kami melihat Astra masih akan mengalami tantangan yang sama. Perbaikan kinerja segmen automotif masih harus melihat konfirmasi penjualan bulanan setidaknya satu kuartal kedepan. Sementara itu, sudut pandang terhadap kinerja UNTR, AALI dan segmen usaha ASII lainnya tahun ini yang belum banyak mengalami perubahan, telah menyebabkan kami masih memiliki proyeksi yang tidak jauh berbeda terhadap total pendapatan dan laba bersih ASII di tahun 2016. Update secara detail kinerja dan angka proyeksi akan kami berikan dalam bentuk Company Update ASII FY15. Kami masih mempertahankan rekomendasi HOLD untuk ASII dengan target sebesar Rp6.000/saham, merepresentasikan sekitar 13.3x P/E16E dan 2.33x PBV16E.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
2
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
SIMP: Laba bersih FY15 di bawah ekspektasi PT Salim Ivomas Pratama (SIMP) membukukan pendapatan Rp13.83 triliun, turun 7.5% YoY sementara laba bersih turun signifikan 69.5% YoY menjadi hanya Rp264 miliar. Penurunan profitabilitas sudah dimulai dari level gross margin hingga bottom line seiring penurunan pendapatan tidak diikuti oleh penurunan COGS maupun operating expenses yang relative flat di FY15. Gross dan EBIT margin turun cukup signifikan sekitar 460bps dan 560bps menjadi masing-masing 22.4% dan 11.8%. Penurunan laba bersih didorong oleh kenaikan interest expense yang naik 25.9% YoY serta kenaikan tax rate yang mencapai 46.2% di FY15 Vs. 33.4% di FY14. (Bisnis Indonesia). Comment: Pencapaian pendapatan di FY15 relatif inline dengan ekspektasi mencapai 104.1% dari ekspektasi kami dan 99.5% dari consensus. Namun demikian, laba bersih di FY15 berada di bawah ekspektasi seiring hanya mencapai 65.8% dari estimasi kami dan 64% dari estimasi konsensus. Kami akan me-review forecast dan rekomendasi kami atas SIMP akibat kinerja keuangan yang lebih rendah dari espektasi ini. SIMP: Under Review, ‘16E PE 13.6x & EV/EBITDA 4.8x. (Rp Bn)
FY14
FY15
YoY
14,963
13,835
-7.5%
Gross Profit
4,035
3,100
-23.2%
Operating Profit (EBIT)
2,601
1,636
-37.1%
866
264
-69.5%
Gross Margin
27.0%
22.4%
-4.6%
EBIT Margin
17.4%
11.8%
-5.6%
Net Margin
5.8%
1.9%
-3.9%
Revenue
Net income
LPKR: Mengerek target marketing sales PT Lippo Karawaci tbk (LPKR) membidik pra penjualan atau marketing sales sebesar Rp 5 triliun pada tahun ini. Proyeksi tersebut tumbuh 38% daripada realisasi marketing sales tahun lalu senilai Rp 3,6 triliun. Sepanjang tahun lalu, realisasi marketing sales LPKR setara 90% dari target Rp 4 triliun. Sebelumnya, LPKR menetapkan target marketing sales senilai Rp 6 triliun. Melihat perekonomian melambat, manajemen akhirnya memangkas target tahun 2015 menjadi Rp 4 triliun. (Kontan) LPKR: Non-coverage, 16E’PE: 14.6x, PBV: 1.3.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
3
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
INCO: Laba bersih turun 71.5%YoY PT Vale Indonesia Tbk. (INCO) mencatat penurunan tajam laba bersih menjadi US$790 juta (FY15) atau -71.5%YoY. Top line juga mengalami pelemahan sebesar -23.9% menjadi US$49 juta (FY15). (Bisnis Indonesia). Comment: Kinerja sepanjang tahun 2015 tersebut mencapai 104.0% dari proyeksi top line kami dan 96% dari konsensus, dan laba bersih sebesar 114.1% (SSI) dan 90% (konsensus). Penurunan tajam laba bersih tersebut lebih disebabkan oleh turunnya kinerja top line, meskipun dalam menghadapi tekanan harga nikel INCO telah melakukan berbagai efisiensi biaya, antara lain konversi penggunaan HSFO menjadi serbuk batu bara pada tanur pengering. INCO: Under Review, 16E’ PE: 12.4x, PBV: 0.6x. INCO's FY15 result highlight (US$ Mn)
3Q15
4Q15
QoQ
FY14
FY15
YoY
FY15 / '15E
Revenue
203
177
-12.8%
1,038
790
-23.9%
104.0%
Gross Profit
36
2
-94.4%
307
118
-61.6%
123.6%
Operating Profit (EBIT)
33
(19)
-156.2%
249
88
-64.7%
106.8%
Net Income
10
(3)
-134.0%
171
49
-71.6%
114.1%
Gross Margin
17.7%
1.1%
-16.6%
29.6%
14.9%
-14.6%
EBIT Margin
16.2%
-10.5%
-26.7%
24.0%
11.1%
-12.8%
Net Margin
4.9%
-1.9%
-6.8%
16.5%
6.2%
-10.3%
WIKA, WTON: Proyek Kereta Api Cepat Kementerian perhubungan Ignasius Jonan mengatakan bahwa pembangunan proyek kereta api cepat masih panjang karena izin-izin yang masih belum terlaksana. Saat ini masih terdapat tiga izin yang masih belum diperoleh yaitu kesepakatan atas konsesi, izin operasional perkeretaapian dan izin mendirikan bangunan. PT Kereta Api Cepat Indonesia China mengatakan bahwa ada kemungkinan perubahan asumsi penumpang dari semula 51,000 penumpang per-hari menjadi 29,000 penumpang per-hari pada saat kereta mulai beroperasi pada tahun 2019. Beberapa permintaan lainnya dari kementerian perhubungan yang masih didiskusikan yaitu (i) studi seismologi, (ii) pembangunan sistem peringatan dini atas gempa, dan (iii) revisi atas nilai investasi yang semula US$5.5bn untuk diturunkan karena jalur rel kereta api telah diturunkan dari semula 152km menjadi 142km . (Jakarta Post) WIKA: Hold.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
4
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
LSIP: Kinerja FY15 in-line dengan ekspektasi PT PP London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk. (LSIP) mencatat penurunan tajam laba bersih menjadi Rp623 miliar di FY15 atau -33%YoY. Top line juga mengalami penurunan sebesar -11.4% menjadi Rp4,2 triliun. Profitabilitas perseroan turun signifikan dengan gross dan EBIT margin turun masing-masing 590bps dan 730bps menjadi 26.6% dan 18.2%. (Bisnis Indonesia). Comment: Kinerja LSIP di FY15 relatif in line dengan ekspektasi kami seiring pendapatan dan laba bersih perseroan mencapai 99.5% dan 95.2% dari estimasi kami. LSIP: Buy, 16E’ PE: 20.7x, PBV: 2.2x. (Rp Bn)
FY14
FY15
YoY
Revenue
4,727
4,190
-11.4%
Gross Profit
1,536
1,116
-27.4%
Operating Profit (EBIT)
1,209
764
-36.8%
929
623
-32.9%
Gross Margin
32.5%
26.6%
-5.9%
EBIT Margin
25.6%
18.2%
-7.3%
Net Margin
19.7%
14.9%
-4.8%
Net income
MAIN: Akan menggarap pasar domestik PT Malindo Feedmill Tbk (MAIN) melakukan beberapa strategi pada tahun ini untuk memangkas kerugian tahun lalu. Kendati secara full year laporan keuangan tengah diaudit, MAIN diprediksi tetap akan membukukan kerugian dikarenakan rugi kurs yang membelit emiten pakan ternak. Seperti diketahui, MAIN saat ini memiliki utang bank dalam bentuk dollar AS sebanyak US$ 6,53 juta dan utang bank jangka pendek sebesar US$ 915.293. Selain melakukan hedging terhadap pinjaman bank bervaluta asing ke rupiah, MAIN juga akan fokus menggarap pasar domestik. Potensi pasar Indonesia masih sangat luas. Hal ini yang mendorong MAIN lebih fokus untuk menggarap pasar dalam negeri dibandingkan mengembangkan ekspansi untuk melakukan ekspor. Hal tersebut dilakukan mengingat potensi pasar Indonesia yang masih besar, konsumsi daging ayam masyarakat Indonesia masih sangat rendah, baru berkisar 9,8 kilogram (kg) per tahun. Hal ini dinilai cukup memberikan peluang industri pakan ternak untuk tumbuh. (Kontan) MAIN: BUY, 16E’PE: 12.5x, PBV:1.7.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
5
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016 Ticker
Rec.
JCI Wgt Last price (%)
(Rp)
1D Chg 1M Chg YTD Chg TP Cons (%)
(%)
(%)
(Rp)
TP SSI
Upside
(Rp)
(%)
PE 16E
PBV 17E
16E
ROE 17E
EV/EBITDA (x)
16E
17E
16E
17E
Banks BMRI BBCA
BUY BUY
4.4 6.5
9,325 13,075
(0.8) 0.4
(2.1) 0.6
0.8 (1.7)
9,959 13,662
10,200 15,300
9.4 17.0
9.7 16.6
8.1 14.3
1.6 3.0
1.4 2.6
16.8% 18.1%
17.4% 17.9%
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
BBRI BBNI
BUY BUY
5.2 1.9
10,450 5,000
(2.1) (2.4)
(7.5) 1.4
(8.5) 0.2
12,359 5,773
13,000 5,900
24.4 18.0
9.8 7.6
8.4 6.6
1.9 1.2
1.6 1.1
19.7% 16.3%
19.7% 16.4%
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
Consumer (Staples) ICBP INDF
BUY BUY
1.8 1.2
14,800 6,500
(0.7) (2.3)
0.7 17.6
9.8 25.6
16,224 7,482
15,600 7,400
5.4 13.8
25.2 15.4
22.0 12.8
5.0 2.0
4.4 1.8
19.7% 12.9%
20.1% 14.2%
17.2 8.3
14.6 7.4
KLBF
BUY
1.2
1,270
(3.1)
(7.3)
(3.8)
1,503
1,610
26.8
27.6
23.1
5.1
4.5
18.5%
19.4%
18.1
15.2
ROTI ULTJ
BUY BUY
0.1 0.2
1,230 3,600
(7.2) (1.9)
(1.6) (2.7)
(2.8) (8.7)
1,484 n/a
1,500 4,800
22.0 33.3
24.6 16.7
17.6 13.9
4.4 3.8
3.6 3.1
17.9% 22.5%
20.8% 22.4%
11.1 10.2
9.8 8.6
HOLD
6.6
42,725
1.7
18.8
15.5
38,549
39,000
(8.7)
50.3
46.0
61.1
54.8
121.5% 119.1%
35.6
32.6
HMSP
BUY
10.2
108,300
1.2
10.5
15.2
105,496
109,750
1.3
41.7
37.3
17.2
16.9
41.4%
45.2%
28.9
26.4
GGRM
BUY
2.4
61,800
(5.6)
10.6
12.4
66,263
59,500
(3.7)
19.8
17.4
3.0
2.7
14.9%
15.5%
13.3
12.5
BUY BUY
0.6 0.2
2,200 7,700
2.3 (1.3)
(15.8)
(8.3) (21.4)
2,705 11,279
2,950 8,600
34.1 11.7
51.2 91.7
45.8 72.0
8.8 3.9
8.1 3.2
17.2% 4.2%
17.6% 4.4%
25.6 13.3
23.0 10.7
UNVR Cigarette
Healthcare MIKA SILO Retail MAPI RALS ACES Telco EXCL
BUY
0.1
4,140
HOLD HOLD
0.1 0.3
725 830
3.5
11.9
9.1
4,510
4,200
(0.7) (4.6)
30.6 3.1
12.4 0.6
731 865
625 815
1.4
33.1
17.0
2.1
1.9
6.3%
11.0%
7.5
6.0
(13.8) (1.8)
15.4 23.1
12.3 18.0
1.4 4.6
1.3 3.8
9.2% 19.8%
10.8% 20.8%
10.3 15.9
9.1 14.0
BUY
0.7
3,850
0.4
13.6
5.5
4,552
4,500
16.9
43.8
25.0
2.2
2.1
5.1%
8.5%
6.1
5.3
HOLD
0.5
4,950
3.1
(6.6)
(10.0)
6,133
5,550
12.1
23.0
16.0
1.8
1.7
7.6%
10.4%
3.5
3.1
TLKM HOLD Auto and HE
6.7
3,300
2.2
2.3
6.3
3,471
3,500
6.1
19.9
17.6
4.1
3.6
20.5%
20.5%
6.5
5.9
HOLD BUY
5.3 1.1
6,425 15,100
0.4 2.4
4.9 (8.5)
7.1 (10.9)
6,996 16,513
6,000 17,900
(6.6) 18.5
14.1 8.7
13.6 8.0
2.5 1.3
2.4 1.2
17.7% 14.8%
17.5% 14.7%
12.3 3.4
11.9 3.0
BUY
0.2
411
(4.2)
12.6
33.0
481
490
19.2
8.6
8.4
0.6
0.6
6.8%
6.8%
3.8
3.7
BSDE PWON
BUY HOLD
0.7 0.5
1,680 462
(0.9) (0.6)
(0.3) 6.2
(6.7) (6.9)
2,157 546
1,950 465
16.1 0.6
10.2 10.7
9.1 9.6
1.6 2.5
1.4 2.1
15.6% 23.0%
15.2% 21.3%
9.8 6.6
8.5 5.6
KPIG ASRI SMRA
BUY HOLD BUY
0.2 0.1 0.5
1,260 346 1,560
3.3 (1.7) (0.3)
(6.3) 7.8 6.8
(10.6) 0.9 (5.5)
n/a 410 1,753
1,810 350 1,750
43.7 1.2 12.2
29.3 10.5 14.6
24.7 8.7 12.8
1.0 1.0 2.8
1.0 0.9 2.4
3.5% 9.1% 19.1%
4.1% 10.1% 19.0%
n/a 5.6 10.4
n/a 4.8 9.4
Construction PTPP HOLD
ISAT
ASII UNTR Aviation GIAA Property
0.4
3,650
(2.1)
(7.6)
(5.8)
4,558
4,000
9.6
21.7
17.9
5.0
4.2
23.1%
23.2%
9.4
8.3
ADHI WSKT
BUY BUY
0.2 0.5
2,550 1,920
(1.4) (1.5)
4.3 10.7
19.2 15.0
2,947 2,298
2,700 2,200
5.9 14.6
23.8 31.5
19.8 24.6
1.8 2.7
1.7 2.5
7.6% 8.6%
8.6% 10.0%
7.4 16.5
6.5 14.2
WIKA Cement INTP
BUY
0.3
2,595
(1.0)
(7.0)
(1.7)
3,209
3,300
27.2
21.3
17.8
3.3
2.9
15.4%
16.4%
9.5
8.2
HOLD
1.4
19,300
1.0
0.4
(13.5)
20,738
22,500
16.6
14.3
12.2
2.7
2.4
18.6%
19.5%
9.3
7.9
SMGR SMCB
BUY HOLD
1.2 0.1
10,200 955
1.0 (1.0)
1.5 4.9
(10.5) (4.0)
11,855 1,037
13,700 1,070
34.3 12.0
9.8 68.2
8.4 32.9
2.0 1.0
1.8 1.0
20.2% 1.4%
21.2% 2.9%
6.2 10.2
5.1 8.3
PGAS
BUY
1.3
2,590
-
7.9
(5.6)
3,406
3,400
31.3
11.2
10.5
1.6
1.5
14.7%
14.5%
7.3
6.4
JSMR
BUY
0.7
5,400
1.9
(6.5)
3.3
6,448
6,500
20.4
22.5
21.2
3.1
2.9
13.9%
13.7%
11.7
11.2
Utility
Coal and Metal ANTM
BUY
0.2
372
1.9
18.5
18.5
292
375
0.8
(20.7)
33.8
0.7
0.7
-3.2%
1.9%
20.4
15.9
INCO TINS
BUY BUY
0.3 0.1
1,490 565
0.3 (0.9)
8.4 11.9
(8.9) 11.9
1,595 461
2,400 650
61.1 15.0
54.6 13.8
13.6 11.3
0.6 0.7
0.6 0.7
1.1% 5.1%
4.2% 6.0%
85.0 4.1
57.1 3.6
ITMG ADRO
BUY BUY
0.1 0.4
5,400 570
(1.8) (4.2)
6.9 19.7
(5.7) 10.7
5,811 628
9,000 700
66.7 22.8
4.9 10.2
4.0 7.9
0.5 0.4
0.5 0.4
10.3% 3.8%
12.8% 4.8%
1.0 9.0
0.7 6.9
PTBA
BUY
0.2
4,765
(3.1)
11.5
5.3
6,382
7,800
63.7
6.7
5.3
1.0
0.9
15.6%
17.7%
5.0
3.8
Plantation AALI
BUY
0.5
15,025
(9.4)
(10.0)
(5.2)
20,363
20,000
33.1
18.1
15.5
1.9
1.7
10.4%
11.1%
11.2
10.1
LSIP
BUY
0.2
1,375
0.4
5.4
4.2
1,633
1,800
30.9
10.9
9.1
1.2
1.1
10.6%
11.7%
5.5
4.4
SIMP
BUY
0.1
375
1.1
25.4
13.0
540
550
46.7
11.0
9.4
0.4
0.4
3.6%
4.1%
5.3
5.0
HOLD BUY
1.1
3,170
-
(3.9)
21.9
3,517
4,000
26.2
19.9
16.3
3.7
3.2
18.4%
19.4%
n/a
n/a
0.2
760
0.7
6.3
19.7
744
850
11.8
24.2
15.9
1.4
1.3
5.9%
8.1%
n/a
n/a
0.1
1,300
1.6
2.4
(14.8)
1,456
1,420
9.2
11.5
6.6
1.5
1.2
12.8%
18.7%
n/a
n/a
0.6 0.0
7,725 74
1.0 (2.6)
8.8 48.0
7.7 37.0
7,425 #N/A N/A
7,000 95
(9.4) 28.4
24.9 1.8
19.9 1.8
4.2 0.4
3.7 0.3
16.9% 21.4%
18.4% 17.6%
17.6 2.9
14.2 2.6
224
200
94.2
(8.4)
10.8
0.1
0.1
-1.5%
1.1%
6.3
4.6
Poultry CPIN JPFA
MAIN BUY Other Sectors AKRA DOID
HOLD BUY
WINS BUY 0.0 103 (1.9) (18.3) (38.3) Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg Note: GIAA, PGAS, ITMG, ADRO, DOID, INCO, WINS report in USD.
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
6
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
Regional Indices
1D Change Points
Last
Price
Change (%)
1 Year
1D
3D
1W
1M
3M
YTD
1YR
High
Low
World U.S. (S&P)
19.21 21.90
1553.90 1951.70
1.25 1.13
0.86 0.32
1.02 1.77
1.18 2.53
(8.80) (6.57)
(6.55) (4.51)
(12.41) (7.53)
1,813.90 2,134.72
1,459.79 1,810.10
U.S. (DOW) Europe
212.30 57.18
16697.29 2877.42
1.29 2.03
0.46 (1.93)
1.73 (0.61)
3.28 (5.12)
(6.27) (17.76)
(4.18) (11.94)
(8.33) (19.51)
18,351.36 3,836.28
15,370.33 2,672.73
Emerging Market
(1.18)
735.35
(0.16)
(1.88)
(1.46)
3.81
(12.26)
(7.40)
(26.01)
1,069.13
686.74
FTSE 100 CAC 40
145.63 93.11
6012.81 4248.45
2.48 2.24
(0.41) (1.17)
0.68 0.20
1.71 (2.49)
(5.95) (14.10)
(3.68) (8.38)
n/a (13.48)
7,122.74 5,283.71
5,499.51 3,892.46
Dax Indonesia
163.68 0.60
9331.48 4658.32
1.79 0.01
(2.53) (1.07)
(1.40) (2.52)
(5.00) 3.28
(17.57) 1.33
(13.14) 1.42
(17.62) (14.55)
12,390.75 5,524.04
8,699.29 4,033.59
Japan Australia
320.53 0.32
16460.87 4881.50
1.99 0.01
2.55 (1.97)
3.09 (1.44)
(1.48) (2.50)
(17.47) (6.32)
(13.52) (7.82)
(12.38) (17.38)
20,952.71 5,996.90
14,865.77 4,706.70
Korea
6.27
1924.84
0.33
0.55
0.45
2.84
(5.21)
(1.86)
(3.42)
2,189.54
1,800.75
Singapore Malaysia
(16.56) (6.01)
2603.40 1658.16
(0.63) (0.36)
(2.15) (0.98)
(2.04) (1.30)
2.27 1.94
(9.75) (1.48)
(9.69) (2.03)
(24.01) (8.94)
3,549.85 1,867.53
2,528.44 1,503.68
Hong Kong China
(303.70) (187.65)
18888.75 2741.25
(1.58) (6.41)
(2.96) (6.35)
(2.45) (4.25)
0.15 (0.31)
(16.01) (24.60)
(13.81) (22.55)
(24.15) (16.89)
28,588.52 5,178.19
18,278.80 2,638.30
Taiwan Thailand
83.00 1.49
8365.86 1333.42
1.00 0.11
0.47 1.00
0.62 3.49
6.86 5.15
(1.40) (2.37)
0.33 3.52
(13.06) (16.32)
10,014.28 1,594.44
7,203.07 1,220.96
Philipines
(50.08)
6769.26
(0.73)
(0.34)
0.18
5.21
(4.11)
(2.63)
(13.70)
8,136.97
6,084.28
3M (11.14)
YTD (32.16)
1YR (8.87)
High 8.26
Low 5.15
Monetary Indicators
1D Change
JIBOR Overnight (%)
Points 0.00
Foreign Reserve (US$bn)
Last
Change (%)
Price
5.15
1W (4.31)
1M (14.16)
1 Year
n/a
102.13
n/a
(3.58)
1.41
(3.58)
(10.60)
115.53
100.24
Inflation Rate (%) US Fed Rate (%)
n/a 0.00
0.51 0.50
n/a 0.00
(46.87) 0.00
737.50 100.00
(46.87) 0.00
312.50 100.00
0.96 0.50
(0.36) 0.25
Indo Govt Bond Yld (10yr) - %
0.00
8.29
2.18
(2.30)
(3.55)
(5.25)
16.64
9.90
7.04
Exchange Rate (per US$) Currency
1D Change Points
Last
Price
Change (%)
1 Year
1D
3D
1W
1M
3M
YTD
1YR
High
Low
Indonesia
(3.00)
13410.00
0.02
0.25
0.69
3.45
2.82
2.82
(4.00)
14736.00
12805.00
Japan UK
0.12 0.00
113.12 1.40
(0.11) 0.10
(0.90) (0.33)
(0.43) (2.98)
4.69 (2.61)
6.28 (5.16)
6.28 (5.16)
5.56 (9.29)
125.86 1.59
110.99 1.39
Euro China
0.00 0.00
1.10 6.53
0.19 (0.03)
0.17 (0.18)
(0.82) (0.23)
1.55 0.70
1.63 (0.61)
1.63 (0.61)
(1.42) (4.19)
1.17 6.60
1.05 6.18
1D
3D
1W
1M
3M
YTD
1YR
High
Low
15.70
(23.57)
(5.34)
(42.74)
69.63
27.10
Commodities Indicators
1D Change
Spot
Points
Last
Price
Change (%)
1 Year
Oil
0.88
35.29
2.56
1.73
2.95
CPO
16.00
2535.00
0.64
(1.21)
(2.50)
3.05
10.31
2.01
12.77
2648.00
1863.00
Rubber
4.00
534.50
0.75
0.75
(0.09)
(2.82)
(11.87)
(0.93)
(14.00)
719.00
506.50
Coal
0.00
50.35
0.00
0.10
(1.08)
2.86
(4.64)
(0.49)
(27.97)
71.10
48.80
Iron Ore
(1.10)
47.20
(2.28)
4.66
6.07
14.01
5.59
8.76
(26.93)
132.60
37.50
Manganese Tin
n/a (102.00)
n/a 16063.00
n/a (0.63)
n/a 1.45
n/a 2.34
n/a 16.89
n/a 8.87
n/a 10.09
n/a (11.22)
n/a 18153.00
n/a 13223.80
Nickel
(180.00)
8340.00
(2.11)
(4.90)
(0.12)
(2.46)
(6.40)
(5.44)
(42.02)
14675.00
7550.00
Copper
(41.00)
4601.00
(0.88)
(1.98)
0.56
4.17
1.14
(2.21)
(20.33)
6481.00
4318.00
Gold
(1.70)
1237.10
(0.14)
1.21
0.54
10.44
15.62
16.69
2.23
1260.80
1046.20
Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
7
RISET SAHAM HARIAN Jumat, 26 Februari 2016
Research Team Andy Ferdinand, CFA Head Of Equity Research
M. Makky Dandytra, CSA, CFTe Technical Analyst
Strategy, Banking, Consumer
Indices, Equities, Commodities, Currencies, Fixed Income
+6221 2854 8148
[email protected]
Rangga Cipta Economist +6221 2854 8396
[email protected]
+6221 2854 8382
[email protected]
Akhmad Nurcahyadi, CSA Analyst
Adrianus Bias Prasuryo Analyst
Marlene Tanumihardja Analyst
Auto, Heavy Equipment, Property, Cigarette, Media, Aviation, Healthcare
Cement, Infrastructure,Telecommunication
Retail, Poultry, Consumer, Small Cap
+6221 2854 8392
[email protected]
+6221 2854 8387
[email protected]
+6221 2854 8144
[email protected] Yudi Ilhamsyah Analyst Property, Construction
+6221 2854 8881
[email protected]
Adde Chandra Kurniawan Research Associate +6221 2854 8338
[email protected]
Equity Sales Team Kelvin Long Director of Equities +6221 2854 8150
[email protected]
Evelyn Satyono Head of Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8148
[email protected]
Lucia Irawati Head of Retail Equity Sales +6221 2854 8173
[email protected]
Yulianah Senior Institutional Sales +6221 2854 8146
[email protected]
Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8399
[email protected]
Ferry Khusaeri Equity Sales +6221 2854 8304
[email protected]
Indra S. Affandi Senior Institutional Sales +6221 2854 8334
[email protected]
Muhammad Isfandi Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8329
[email protected]
Peter Hamsja Equity Sales +6221 2854 8325
[email protected]
Jovita Widjaja Equity Sales +6221 2854 8314
[email protected]
Clarice Wijana Institutional Equity Sales +6221 2854 8395
[email protected]
Iwan Setiadi Equity Sales +6221 2854 8313
[email protected]
James Wihardja Equity Sales +6221 2854 8397
[email protected]
Online Trading Sales Team Nugroho Nuswantoro Head Of Marketing OLT +6221 2854 8372
[email protected]
Rina Lestari SPV Customer Service +6221 2854 8180
[email protected]
This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
8