Daily Price Action Tuesday, April 16th 2013 Most Active
IHSG
4894.59 -42.62 -0.86%
Vol (Mn):
3,843
Val (Bn):
4,197
Sector Indices Agricult ure Mining Basic Indust ry Misc Indust ry Consumer Propert y Infrast ruct ure Finance Trade Manufact ure
LQ-45 825.60 -8.53 -1.02%
BBRI LPKR KLBF SUGI PWON
Change
1948.92 1781.01 596.45 1345.19 1781.54 457.54 1033.31 649.81 867.75 1258.87
Change %
(10.38) (15.71) (6.35) (10.84) (8.75) (2.26) (6.75) (7.60) (9.56) (9.40)
(0.53) (0.87) (1.05) (0.80) (0.49) (0.49) (0.65) (1.16) (1.09) (0.74)
Change %
8,300 1,390 1,260 405 355
Most Volume
Last
Last
META ENRG TRAM PNLF LCGP
Last
0.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 (2.7)
Change %
230 120 1,420 235 265
Most Value
Last
BBRI TRAM BBCA TLKM ASII
8,300 1,420 10,600 11,150 7,600
Freq 2,551 2,487 2,144 1,990 1,905
000 Lot
(2.1) (1.6) (0.7) 0.0 3.9
Change %
308 268 252 178 174
Rp Bil
0.0 (0.7) (2.8) 0.0 (0.7)
290 179 146 138 123
Source: IQ Plus
IHSG Technical Review R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
5126 5046 4983 4894.59 4873 4792 4729
Comment: Bearish kicker trading volume. Stochastic, moderate state.
signal,
low
consolidation,
DI(-) starts pointing downtrend movement.
up,
Elliot wave, the index reversed after achieving the wave (B) moving toward the wave (C) of 4812. Long term bullish movement. Stop-loss 4873.
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Daily Price Action Chart Pick GGRM R3 60350 R2 57050 R1 54250 Last 53500 S1 51050 S2 48250 S3 46050 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Hanging man, a reversal sign with low trading volume. Stochastic overbought state, broad downside potential. DI (-) is pointing down, a weak downside movement Long term bullish, medium term bearish movement. 52800, Stop-loss level downside target 51050.
BMRI R3 11550 R2 11050 R1 10450 Last 10150 S1 10050 S2 9500 9100 S3 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Bearish kicker trading volume.
signal,
low
Stochastic is at overbought state, dead cross, broad downside potential. Bill William first deceleration. Fractal 9800-10350
day range
Long term & medium term bullish movement. Stop-loss level downside target 9600
2
10050,
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Daily Price Action Chart Pick LPKR R3 1570 R2 1470 R1 1410 Last 1390 1340 S1 S2 1280 S3 1210 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Northern volume.
star,
low
trading
Stochastic is at overbought state, dead cross, broad downside potential. Long term bullish, shorter term bearish movement. Bill William phase, fractal 1400
acceleration range 1270-
Stop-loss level downside target 1250.
1360,
CTRS R3 3275 R2 3100 R1 2950 Last 2850 2775 S1 S2 2600 S3 2450 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Bearish kicker trading volume.
signal,
low
Stochastic dead cross at overbought state, broad downside potential. Long term bullish, short term bearish movement. DI lines are crossing each other with DI (-) is pointing up, a strong bearish. Stop-loss level downside target 2600
3
2825,
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Daily Price Action Technical Stocks Matrix Stock s P la nta tion AALI BWP T Mining ADR O INCO P T BA Consume r ICBP MYOR KLBF Tr ading
ACE S AKR A MAP I MNCN
Pr o per ty &
Closing
Stop
Rec
Target
Loss
Buy Prc
Price
Curr.
Curr.
S2
S1
Price
R1
R2
Technical Notes
Rec
17,800 1,060
18,450 1,130
1 8 ,5 5 0 1 ,2 0 0
19,300 1,210
20,100 1,290
Bullish momentum Breaks support
SB W
18450 1180
18500
19300
13.1 16.7
3.4 3.2
1,180 2,075 13,850
1,260 2,300 14,550
1 ,2 7 0 2 ,4 5 0 1 5 ,1 5 0
1,340 2,500 15,300
1,430 2,700 16,000
Sideways Bullish momentum Breaks support
TB SB S
1260 2375 15050
1270 2400
1340 2500
9.6 9.7 11.9
1.4 1.5 4.1
9,250 28,550 1,140
9,900 29,800 1,230
1 0 ,1 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 6 0
10,600 31,050 1,330
11,200 32,800 1,400
Sideways Bearish momentum Bullish kicker signal
W S SB
9900 29800 1230
26.7 26.8 36.7
5.1 5.1 9.9
830 4,675 7,500 2,700
880 4,850 7,900 2,850
880 5 ,0 5 0 8 ,2 5 0 2 ,9 0 0
930 5,150 8,250 3,050
980 5,350 8,650 3,275
Oversold Sideways Bullish engulfing Oversold
W TB SB W
880 4850 8100 2850
42.9 30.3 38.0 26.0
1.0 4.6 7.6 6.0
1330
8200
5150 8650
P/E (x) P/B (x)
C o ns tr uc tio n
ASR I
920
970
1 ,0 2 0
1,030
1,100
Evening star
TB
970
20.0
4.8
SMR A BSDE WIKA KIJA
2,100 1,560 1,970 270
2,300 1,630 2,125 290
2 ,3 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 2 ,1 5 0 295
2,500 1,720 2,275 310
2,600 1,780 2,400 325
Bearish continuation Northern star Bearish harami Stoch dead cross
S PS PS S
2200 1650 2000 285
25.1 33.0 26.8 15.6
5.2 3.0 4.7 1.5
4,350 16,150 3,450
4,675 17,750 3,650
4 ,6 7 5 1 7 ,7 5 0 3 ,6 5 0
5,100 18,150 3,850
5,500 19,050 3,975
Oversold Evening star Oversold
W PS W
4650 17600 3600
7.3 16.3 23.0
2.3 3.9 3.5
7,400
7,600
7 ,6 0 0
7,950
8,200
Sideways
TB
7400
15.7
0.4
4,700 7,500 1,540
4,975 8,300 1,610
4 ,9 7 5 8 ,3 0 0 1 ,6 8 0
5,150 8,400 1,680
5,300 8,800 1,750
Moderate state Sideways Northern star
W W H
4950 8200 1650
9.0 11.0 7.9
2.2 3.2 1.8
6,400 5,550 6,000
6,650 6,000 6,150
Overbought Moderate state Bearish continuation
H W S
6100 5300 5500
24.8 17.6 23.1
4.6 3.1 8.0
Bas ic Indus tr y & C hem ic al
CP IN SMG R SMCB
Mis c elaneo us
ASII
Financ e
BBNI BBR I BBT N
Infr as tr uc tur e
JSMR E X CL P G AS April 16th,
5,850 6,350 6 ,3 5 0 4,850 5,400 5 ,4 0 0 5,300 5,650 5 ,6 5 0 2013 Recommendation Table
1050
1700 6400
Source : Reliance Securities
Analyst Conclusion:
The Wave ( C ) confirm, distribute portfolio. .
Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)
W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary) H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)
PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
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Daily Price Action HEAD OFFICE
RESEARCH DIVISION
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Wilson Sofan
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Monchita W.P
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Christine Natasya
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Surabaya - Gubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196
Makassar Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634
Jakarta - Sudirman Menara Batavia 27th floor Jl.KH.Mas Mansyur Kav 126 Jakarta 10220 T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010
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Jakarta – Kebon Jeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2 Jakarta 11530 T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157
Yogyakarta Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121
Denpasar Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099
Medan Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597
BSD Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494
Surakarta Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478
Pontianak Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284
Jakarta – Green Ville Ruko Taman Ratu D 11 No. 19 C Duri Kepa, Green Ville Jakarta 11510 T + 62 21 56945227 F + 62 21 56945226
Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615
Balikpapan Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 51A Balikpapan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084
Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420
President University Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585
Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419
Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Jl. Wahidin Sudiro Husodo Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 563 929 F + 62 274 513 235
Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888
STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218
UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782
Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840
Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. (0354) 683128 F. (0354) 683128 Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru Makassar 90222 T. 0411-889464 / 881244 F. 0411-887604
Disclaimer:
Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari sumbersumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.
5 Analyst: Wilson Sofan, Christine Natasya Telp: 021-57930008 Ext.148
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