Daily Price Action Monday, March 11th 2013
Most Active
IHSG
SPMA LQ-45 BHIT 837.28 PWON 4.97 KLBF 0.60% IATA
4874.50 26.19 0.54%
Vol (Mn):
9,224
Val (Bn):
7,839
Last
Agriculture Mining Basic Industry Misc Industry Consumer Property Infrastructure Finance Trade Manufacture
2008.95 1926.49 590.54 1439.25 1732.83 441.12 1006.16 648.20 832.16 1264.83
Change
BKSL (0.23) SPMA 1.14 PNLF 0.63 IATA 1.14 ELTY
Source: IQ Plus
0.15 0.34 0.18 0.34 1.23 0.58
Last
Most Value
Last
ASII BMRI TRAM BBRI UNTR
8,300 9,850 1,340 8,800 20,250
Freq
(11.3) 3.9 1.4 0.8 12.6
Change %
325 315 230 215 54
Change %
(4.65) 21.72 3.72 16.16 2.61 1.48 1.78 2.17 10.12 7.29
Change %
315 530 365 1,330 215
Most Volume Sector Indices
Last
25,112 7,312 3,596 3,434 3,229
000 Lot
(3.0) (11.3) (2.1) 12.6 (1.8)
Change %
697 519 472 440 402
Rp Bil
1.2 0.0 (2.2) 1.1 0.0
IHSG Technical Review R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
5125 5044 4972 4874.50 4873 4792 4729
Comment: Break up, slightly above the resistance level, huge trading volume. Stochastic, overbought on bullish momentum. Limited upside potential. L Long term t b lli h movement. bullish t Elliot wave, toward the 4924 (5th minor wave). Stop-loss level 4850. Distribute immediately when the break down appeared.
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291 227 217 215 161
Daily Price Action Ch Chart Pi Pick k PGAS R3 5900 R2 5750 R1 5500 Last 5450 5250 S1 S2 4900 S3 4650 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Shooting star, a reversal sign, low trading volume Stochastic, dead cross, overbought, broad downside potential Moves outside the upper Bollinger band, huge bearish pressure. Long term bullish movement. Stop loss at level 5250, downside potential 4900
INDF R3 8600 R2 8300 R1 8050 Last 7700 7700 S1 S2 7450 S3 7150 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Shooting star, a reversal sign, low trading volume Stochastic, dead cross, overbought, broad downside potential Bill William, deceleration, fractal stop-loss 7600. Potential downside, the lower fractal 6450. Long term bullish movement. Stop-loss level 7550, downside potential 7150.
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Daily Price Action Ch Chart Pi Pick k HRUM R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
6300 5900 5550 5500 5250 4925 4550 BUY
Comment: Bullish continuation, gap up, significant trading volume. Stochastic oversold state, broad upside potential, golden cross, bullish momentum Long term bearish, medium term bullish movement. Bill William first day acceleration. Fractal range 5250-6200 Stop-loss level 5350, upside potential 6000
PTBA R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
17750 16900 16000 15450 15300 14500 13850 BUY
Comment: Breaks resistance, significant trading volume. Stochastic bullish momentum, broad upside potential g term bullish, shorter Long term bearish movement. Stop-loss level 15000, upside potential 16000 Maximum bullish level 14500.
tolerance
Recommended buying price 15300
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Daily Price Action Technical Stocks Matrix
Stocks
Closing
1,430 1,210 38,250 14,500
Buy Prc
Price
Curr.
18,850 2,050
19,300 2,175
20,100 2,325
Shooting star Oversold
S W
18550 2000
13.3 11.1
3.5 2.3
14.14 (BLM) 13.5 (LS)
1,500 1,300 39,500 15,300
1,540 1,350 40,400 15,450
1,610 1,420 41,050 16,000
1,710 1,510 42,700 16,900
Sideways Stoch dead cross Bullish consolidation Breaks resistance level
W PS SB B
1500 1340 39500 15000
41050 16000
11.7 15.4 9.7 12.2
1.7 1.2 5.1 4.2
9.63 (BLM) 11.5 (BLM) 8.98 (BLM) 10.17 (BLM)
8,200 1,250
8,500 1,300
9,250 1,330
8,950 1,370
9,500 1,430
Sideways Spinning top
PS PS
9100 1300
9250 1370
24.4 38.8
4.7 10.5
16.25 (BLM) 22.07 (BLM)
670 4,475 7,100 2,625
720 4,675 7,500 2,850
770 4,750 7,750 2,925
780 4,800 7,900 3,050
830 4,925 8,250 3,275
Breaks support level Bullish continuation Bearish continuation Break resistance level
S PS S B
760 4650 7700 2850
3050
37.5 28.5 35.7 26.2
0.9 4.4 7.2 6.1
29.14 (BLM) 17.43 (BLM) 26.07 (BLM) 20.11 (BLM)
ASRI
1,020
1,030
1,050
1,090
1,160
Bullish momentum
H
1000
1090
20.6
4.9
9.06 (BLM)
BKSL BSDE KIJA
305 1,500 285
320 1,640 300
325 1,650 305
340 1,720 310
350 1,780 320
Tweezers top Overbought Northern star
H H PS
315 1610 295
350 1720
42.3 32.0 16.1
2.1 2.9 1.6
37.21 (BLM) 16.97 (BLM) 9.92 (BLM)
21,300 3,450
22,150 3,650
22,750 3,575
23,050 3,850
23,850 3,975
Bearish kicker signal Bearish continuation
PS S
22500 3550
20.9 22.5
5.0 3.4
16.72 (BLM) 16.43 (BLM)
7,950 2,000
8,200 2,100
8,300 2,150
8,450 2,200
8,600 2,200
Bullish continuation Stoch golden cross
H TB
8200 2100
8400 2200
17.2 7.2
0.4 1.5
14.75 (BLM) 9.37 (BLM)
10,200 8 000 8,000 1,610 9,100
10,550 8 400 8,400 1,680 9,500
10,800 8 800 8,800 1,690 9,850
11,000 8 800 8,800 1,720 9,950
11,400 9 200 9,200 1,790 10,350
Bullish momentum Stoch golden cross Gravestone doji Bullish momentum
H W PS H
10600 8500 1670 9450
11000
23.9 12 4 12.4 8.0 16.9
5.4 36 3.6 1.8 3.2
16.92 (BLM) 10.39 10 39 (BLM) 9.57 (BLM) 13.45 (BLM)
JSMR 5,500 5,700 5,800 INDY 1,270 1,380 1,430 PGAS 5,200 5,400 5,450 March 11th, 2013 Recommendation Table
5,850 1,470 5,500
6,000 1,580 5,800
Overbought Sideways Shooting star
H W PS
5700 1380 5250
5900
22.7 5.1 22.2
4.2 1.5 7.7
23 (BLM) 6.8 (BLM) 12.93 (BLM)
15300
720
2875
4800
P/E (x) P/B (x)
2012F
Rec
ACES AKRA MAPI MNCN
18,450 2,000
Loss
Curr.
Technical Notes
Trading
17,800 1,840
Price
Target
R2
Consumer ICBP KLBF
S1
Rec
R1
Plantation AALI LSIP Mining ADRO ANTM ITMG PTBA
S2
Stop
P/E (x)
Property & Construction
Basic Industry & Chemical
INTP SMCB Miscelaneous
ASII GJTL
Finance
BBCA BBRI BBTN BMRI
Infrastructure
10150
Analyst Conclusion: Continuing the overbought uptrend, reduce portfolio, short term trading oriented. Source : Reliance Securities Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary) H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute) part of the p portfolio, 25%-50% downside p probability) y PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% p S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability) TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
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Daily Price Action HEAD OFFICE
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Wilson Sofan
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Monchita W.P
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Christine Natasya
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Yogyakarta Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121
Denpasar Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl Letda Jl. L td Tantular T t l Renon R Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099
Medan Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 6 6633065 663306 T + 62 61 F + 62 61 6617597
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Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615
Balikpapan JJl. JJend. Sudirman No. 51A Balikpapan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084
Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420
President University Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585
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Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Jl. Wahidin Sudiro Husodo Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 563 929 F + 62 274 513 235
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UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782
Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
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Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. (0354) 683128 F. (0354) 683128 Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, G Gunungsari i Baru B Makassar 90222 T. 0411-889464 / 881244 F. 0411-887604
Disclaimer:
Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari sumbersumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.
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