Daily Price Action Thursday, March 14th 2013 Most Active
IHSG 4835.44 -18.87 -0.39% Vol (Mn):
7,605
Val (Bn):
7,271
LQ-45 827.75 -3.96 -0.48%
PYFA KLBF BISI DPNS ASII
Last
Agriculture Mining Basic Industry Misc Industry Consumer Property Infrastructure Finance Trade Manufacture
1994.14 1902.33 595.49 1390.00 1711.22 431.21 994.69 649.90 829.77 1248.58
Change
Change %
2.83 (3.03) (0.19) (14.73) (10.44) (8.45) (3.14) (0.28) (1.00) (7.11)
0.14 (0.16) (0.03) (1.05) (0.61) (1.92) (0.31) (0.04) (0.12) (0.57)
Change %
ELTY SIPD BKSL ENRG META
Last
Most Value
Last
9,618 3,999 3,767 3,328 3,169
000 Lot
Change %
53 69 310 102 275
ASII TLKM BMRI PGAS TRAM
Freq
(7.3) (1.6) 22.2 6.0 (1.2)
190 1,270 990 445 7,950
Most Volume
Sector Indices
Last
(1.9) (5.5) (1.6) 0.0 1.9
Change %
7,950 10,850 9,900 5,150 1,360
915 425 383 369 342
Rp Bil
(1.2) 0.0 (0.5) (1.0) 0.0
355 269 206 184 183
Source: IQ Plus
IHSG Technical Review R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
5044 4972 4873 4835.44 4792 4729 4687
Comment: Bearish continuation, huge trading volume. Stochastic momentum, potential.
on broad
quiet
bearish downside
ADX, downtrend indication. both DI lines are closing the gap. Long term bullish movement. Elliot, moving toward the 4th wave (4729), if the price pierced through the stop-loss level of 4820.
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Daily Price Action Chart Pick
AKRA R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
5400 5200 5050 4925 4850 4675 4475 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Northern star, a reversal sign, low trading volume Stochastic on bearish momentum, overbought, broad downside potential DI (+) is pointing down, a reversal movement appears, uptrend movement is weakening Long term bullish movement. Stop loss at level 4850, downside potential 4550 (4th wave target).
BMTR R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3
2875 2700 2550 2450 2375 2200 1990 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Bearish harami, a reversal sign, significant trading volume Stochastic, overbought, potential
dead cross, broad downside
Candle has reached upper Bollinger band, there is a broad downside pressure Long term bullish movement. Stop-loss level 2400, downside potential 2300
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Daily Price Action Chart Pick MAPI R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3 SPECULATIVE
8650 8250 7900 7850 7500 7100 6650 BUY
Comment: Bullish engulfing, low trading volume. Stochastic, overbought, potential
dead cross, broad downside
Long term bullish movement. Candle has reached upper Bollinger Band, there is a downside pressure Stop-loss level 7600, upside potential 8150
MYOR R3 29850 R2 28500 R1 28500 Last 27100 S1 26650 S2 25000 S3 24450 PARTIAL SELL
Comment: Bearish harami, trading volume.
significant
Stochastic overbought, dead cross, broad downside potential Long term bullish movement. DI lines start crossing the gap, with DI (+) is pointing down Stop-loss level 26650, downside potential 25000
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Daily Price Action Technical Stocks Matrix Closing
Stocks Plantation AALI LSIP Mining ADRO ANTM ITMG PTBA Consumer ICBP KLBF
S2
S1
17,800
18,450
1,840
2,000
1,430
1,500
1,210
1,300
Price 18,600 2,000
Stop
Rec
Target
Loss
Buy Prc
Price
Curr.
Curr.
R1
R2
Technical Notes
Rec
19,300
20,100
Distribution
13.1
3.4
2,325
Oversold
S W
18550
2,175
1990
10.8
2.2
S S
1490
11.5
1.7
1300
15.0
1.2
1,510 1,320
1,610
1,710
Stoch dead cross
1,420
1,510
Bearish momentum
P/E (x) P/B (x)
2012F P/E (x) 14.14 (BLM) 13.5 (LS) 9.63 (BLM) 11.5 (BLM)
38,250
39,500
42,700
Sideways
9.6
5.0
16,000
16,900
Overbought
W PS
39500
15,300
39,950 15,400
41,050
14,500
15000
12.1
4.2
8.98 (BLM) 10.17 (BLM)
8,500 1,180
8,950 1,250
8,950 1,270
9,500 1,300
9,950 1,370
Stoch dead cross Gap down
S S
8850 1250
23.6 37.0
4.6 10.0
16.25 (BLM) 22.07 (BLM)
830
880
Bearish momentum
38.0
0.9
5,200
Northern star
PS PS
760
5,050
4850
29.5
4.5
29.14 (BLM) 17.43 (BLM)
SB W
36.2
7.3
2850
25.8
6.0
Trading
ACES AKRA MAPI
720
780
4,675
4,850
7,100
7,500
780 4,925 7,850
7,900
8,250
Bullish engulfing
MNCN
2,625
2,850
2,875
3,050
3,275
Sideways
ASRI
920
970
1,000
1,030
1,090
Bearish continuation
S
990
19.6
4.7
9.06 (BLM)
BKSL BSDE KIJA
285 1,490 285
305 1,560 300
310 1,600 305
320 1,640 310
340 1,720 320
Bearish continuation Bearish momentum Sideways
S S PS
295 1590 300
40.4 31.1 16.1
2.0 2.8 1.6
37.21 (BLM) 16.97 (BLM) 9.92 (BLM)
21,300 3,450
22,150 3,650
22,850 3,600
23,050 3,850
23,850 3,975
Moderate state Sideways
W W
22450 3550
21.0 22.7
5.0 3.5
16.72 (BLM) 16.43 (BLM)
7,700 2,000
7,950 2,100
7,950 2,125
8,200 2,200
8,450 2,200
Bearish continuation Moderate state
S W
7800 2100
16.5 7.1
0.4 1.5
14.75 (BLM) 9.37 (BLM)
10,200 8,400 1,540 9,100
10,550 8,800 1,610 9,500
10,700 8,900 1,690 9,900
11,000 9,200 1,680 9,950
11,400 9,400 1,720 10,350
Sideways Stoch bullish momentum Oversod Sideways
TB TB W H
10600 8600 1660 9800
10950 9150
23.7 12.5 8.0 17.0
5.4 3.7 1.8 3.2
16.92 (BLM) 10.39 (BLM) 9.57 (BLM) 13.45 (BLM)
JSMR 5,500 5,700 5,800 1,270 1,380 1,430 INDY PGAS 4,650 4,925 5,150 March 14th, 2013 Recommendation Table
5,850 1,470 5,250
6,000 1,580 5,500
Overbought Accumulation Bearish momentum
H TB S
5700 1400 5100
5850 1470
22.7 5.1 21.0
4.2 1.5 7.3
23 (BLM) 6.8 (BLM) 12.93 (BLM)
7650
7700
8100
26.07 (BLM) 20.11 (BLM)
Property & Construction
Basic Industry & Chemical
INTP SMCB Miscelaneous
ASII GJTL Finance
BBCA BBRI BBTN BMRI
10050
Infrastructure
Analyst Conclusion: Entered the technical correction movement, tight on stop-loss level.. Source : Reliance Securities Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary) H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute) PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
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Daily Price Action HEAD OFFICE
RESEARCH DIVISION Jasa Adhi Mulya
Reliance Building Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A, Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 661 7768 F +62 21 661 9884
[email protected]
Wilson Sofan
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Monchita W.P
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Christine Natasya
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Yogyakarta Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121
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Balikpapan Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 51A Balikpapan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084
Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420
President University Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
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UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
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Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
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Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. (0354) 683128 F. (0354) 683128
Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru Makassar 90222 T. 0411-889464 / 881244 F. 0411-887604
Disclaimer: Disclaimer: Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari sumbersumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.
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