Daily Price Action. IHSG Technical Review IHSG

Daily Price Action Wednesday, May 18 th 2016

IHSG

4729.16 -2.41 -0.05%

Vol (Mn):

4,299

Val (Bn):

4,864

Sector Indices

Last

Agriculture 1758.54 Basic Industry 394.67 Consumer 2342.52 Finance 647.53 Infrastructure 1060.66 Manufacture 1252.76 Mining 948.73 Misc Industry 1086.51 Property 486.98 Trade 828.18 Source: relitrade next G

LQ45 808.478 -0.65 -0.08%

Change

20.77 (0.07) 11.95 (8.82) (3.70) 7.77 4.57 17.82 2.04 0.01

Change %

1.18 (0.02) 0.51 (1.36) (0.35) 0.62 0.48 1.64 0.42 0.00

Most Active

Last

Change %

Freq

Most Volume

Last

Change %

M Lot

Most Value

Last

Change %

Rp Bil

SSMS DOID ELSA BMRI MNCN DOID CNKO ELSA MYRX PBRX

1,785 152 515 8,750 2,300 152 85 515 775 492

BMRI 8,750 TLKM 3,720 BBRI 9,700 BBCA 13,000 ASII 6,325 Source: relitrade next G

8.5 7.8 3.4 (3.0) 0.0

7.8 34.9 3.4 0.0 0.8

(3.0) 0.0 (2.5) (0.2) 2.0

9,030 7,808 6,228 6,201 5,334

4,176.72 2,035.63 1,812.49 1,620.86 1,243.25 522.04 242.68 198.29 168.72 157.28

IHSG Technical Review R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3

5000 4850 4730 4729.16 4650 4580 4515

Comment: Bearish consolidations. Low trading volume. Trying to support level. Stochastic movement oscillator.

consolidations at middle

RSI, Bearish momentum near oversold oscillator.

at

Long term bullish movement. Stop-loss level at 4720 (break out support level). Downside potential at 4650. Rebound potential if whipsaw at 61.8% with upside target to 4850.

your reliable partner | 1 Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext. 214 www.reliance-securities.com, www.relitrade.com | Please see important disclosure information on the final page of this document

Stock Picks AISA R3 1610 R2 1510 R1 1425 Last 1365 S1 1335 S2 1235 S3 1130 PARTIAL SELL

Comment: Bearish meeting line candlestick pattern after reached the MA200 resistance level. Moderate trading volume. Corrections signal. Stochastic dead-cross indications at strong overbought oscillator. RSI indications has reached the overbought oscillator with bearish reversal potential. Long term movement.

bearish

trend

Stop-loss if pulled back confirmation at 1350. Corrections potential until 1190 at MA50 support level.

BMRI R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3 SPECULATIVE

9650 9350 9000 8750 8700 8400 8050 BUY

Comment: Arrived at 161.8% golden ratio of Wave D AB=CD pattern. Rebound indications. Huge trading volume. Stochastic indications mostly still bearish movement at near oversold. RSI bearish momentum at near oversold oscillator. Waiting for reversal confirmed. Medium term movement.

bearish

trend

Stop-loss if broke out support level at 8600. Upside target at 9175 until 9500 (ideal target of AB=CD pattern wave). Recommended buying price if confirmed the rebound at 8850.

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Stock Picks ANTM R3 800 R2 755 R1 705 Last 695 S1 655 S2 600 S3 550 TRADING BUY

Comment: Bullish harami candlestick pattern. Moderate trading volume. Reversal signal. golden-cross Stochastic oversold oscillator.

at

Momentum of RSI still bearish momentum at middle oscillator. Short term bearish and medium term bullish trend movement. Stop-loss level If false confirmations at 660. Upside target at 775 (upper Bollinger bands resistance level).

CPIN R3 R2 R1 Last S1 S2 S3 SPECULATIVE

3580 3350 3160 3030 3000 2790 2600 BUY

Comment: Bullish gartley formations. Bullish harami candlestick pattern. Huge trading volume. Reversal signal. Stochastic indications has golden-cross at oversold oscillator. RSI bullish reversal momentum at oversold oscillator. Long and short term bearish trend movement. Stop-loss level if false confirmations and break out support at 2940. Upside target at 3450 (Gartley ideal target). Recommended buying price at 3030.


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LS-27 Technical Table Stocks Plantation AALI LSIP Mining INCO Consumer UNVR INDF KLBF

S2

S1

Closing Price

R1

R2

Technical Notes

Stop

Rec

Target

Rec

Loss

Buy Prc

Price

14,000 1,415

14,775 1,520

14,825 1,565

15,900 1,625

16,775 1,750

Consolidations Consolidations

TB H

14,600 1,410

1,265

1,400

1,500

1,560

1,720

Oversold

W

1,400

40,000 6,500 1,250

42,750 6,825 1,300

43,075 7,025 1,300

45,400 7,100 1,375

47,875 7,325 1,425

Bearish momentum Sideways Oversold

W TB TB

42,700 6,800 1,290

ACES AKRA UNTR

810 5,600 11,800

860 5,825 12,375

890 5,900

12,800

920 6,100 13,000

975 6,350 13,600

Above the stomach Bullish harami Oversold

TB TB W

850 5,800 12,300

LPCK

6,125 2,150 1,520 2,310 2,270

6,525 2,300 1,610 2,440 2,410

6,450 2,320 1,720 2,580 2,560

7,325 2,440 1,720 2,600 2,630

8,050 2,600 1,825 2,775 2,870

Consolidations Oversold Arrived at MA200 Bullish momentum Bullish momentum

W W TB H SB

6,500 2,280 1,650 2,550 2,500

CPIN MAIN INTP

8,100 2,840 1,310 15,300

8,675 3,000 1,400 16,250

9,050 3,030 1,415 16,550

9,225 3,170 1,515 17,000

9,900 3,350 1,620 17,725

Consolidations Bullish homing pigeon Bearish consolidations Stoch golden-cross

TB TB PS TB

8,900 2,980 1,390 16,200

SRIL ASII

235 6,050

250 6,300

252 6,325

285 6,600

320 6,900

Oversold Bullish engulfing

W SB

245 6,100

BBTN BMRI BTPN BJBR BBRI

1,595 8,400 2,340 845 9,125

1,650 8,700 2,570 900 9,700

1,705 8,750 2,680 935 9,700

1,710 9,000 2,770 950 10,300

1,775 9,350 3,000 1,010 10,900

Bearish momentum Arrived at oversold Bearish momentum Sideways Oversold

S TB TB H TB

1,640 8,650 2,560 895 9,650

9,175 2,770 1,000 10,300

TLKM PGAS

3,510 2,000

3,700 2,150

3,720 2,310

3,920 2,350

4,200 2,560

Bearish momentum Bullish consolidations

S TB

3,680 2,300

2,500

Trading

Property & Construction

WIKA BSDE WSKT ADHI

Basic Industry & Chemical

SMGR

Miscelaneous

Finance

Infrastructure

15,875 1,625

7,250 1,390 920 6,450

2,550

1,820 2,600 2,630

9,500 3,170 17,000

6,300

6,600

Source : Reliance Securities

Analyst Conclusion: The index moved negative pressure. Wait for whipsaw signal at the support level. Legend :  B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)  SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)  W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)  H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)  PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)  S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)  TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).


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Technical Indicator Ticker AALI.JK ACES.JK ADHI.JK ADRO.JK AISA.JK AKRA.JK ANTM.JK APLN.JK ASII.JK ASRI.JK BBCA.JK BBKP.JK BBNI.JK BBRI.JK BBTN.jk BDMN.JK BHIT.JK BJBR.JK BJTM.JK BKSL.JK BMRI.JK BMTR.JK BSDE.JK BTPN.JK BWPT.JK CMNP.JK CPIN.JK CSAP.JK CTRA.JK CTRP.JK CTRS.JK DILD.JK EXCL.JK GGRM.JK GIAA.JK GJTL.JK HEXA.JK HRUM.JK ICBP.JK IMAS.JK INCO.JK INDF.JK INDY.JK INTA.JK INTP.JK ITMG.JK JPFA.JK JSMR.JK KIJA.JK KLBF.JK KRAS.JK LPCK.JK LPKR.JK LPPF.JK LSIP.JK MAIN.JK MAPI.JK MASA.JK MNCN.JK MPPA.JK MTLA.JK MYOR.JK PGAS.JK PTBA.JK RALS.JK ROTI.JK SCMA.JK SGRO.JK SIMP.JK SMCB.JK SMGR.JK SMRA.JK SRIL.JK SSIA.JK SSMS.JK TLKM.JK TOTL.JK UNTR.JK UNVR.JK

Resistance Fractal

15,800 940 2,710 770 1,215 6,500 740 262 6,700 386 13,175 620 4,700 10,550 1,885 3,070 169 970 472 82 9,700 1,260 2,005 2,700 264 1,820 3,775 435 1,300 480 2,090 505 4,010 74,050 515 825 1,795 850 15,300 1,995 1,670 7,300 505 248 20,175 8,450 980 5,525 267 1,460 580 6,850 1,020 19,300 1,700 1,480 4,250 219 2,370 1,580 330 36,500 2,430 6,800 710 1,550 3,360 2,010 535 1,110 9,825 1,450 317 635 1,870 3,810 720 17,100 45,150

Price 5/17/2016 14,825 890 2,560 695 1,365 5,900 695 238 6,325 362 13,000 535 4,310 9,700 1,705 2,920 167 935 454 78 8,750 1,170 1,720 2,680 250 1,785 3,030 446 1,275 464 2,050 500 3,310 73,000 460 710 1,690 820 15,900 1,640 1,500 7,025 610 246 16,550 8,250 910 5,300 250 1,300 540 6,450 935 18,800 1,565 1,415 4,000 195 2,300 1,320 308 38,975 2,310 6,575 680 1,485 3,320 1,930 500 1,005 9,050 1,385 252 615 1,785 3,720 625 12,800 43,075

Support Fractal 14,800 875 2,420 655 1,080 5,750 700 244 6,375 360 12,975 590 4,450 10,175 1,740 2,780 151 910 450 77 9,150 1,085 1,695 2,650 242 1,720 3,640 418 1,205 434 1,990 500 3,310 67,300 420 690 1,700 785 15,125 1,780 1,560 6,950 456 239 16,425 7,650 880 5,300 244 1,300 520 6,350 900 18,300 1,465 1,390 4,050 194 2,040 1,185 302 35,000 2,290 6,225 675 1,365 3,070 1,900 474 1,035 9,200 1,365 264 600 1,700 3,690 660 13,375 43,325

Weekly High 15,800 940 2,600 710 1,405 6,500 730 248 6,700 386 13,300 585 4,700 10,125 1,840 3,070 173 970 472 82 9,700 1,180 1,765 2,700 264 1,820 3,450 454 1,300 480 2,120 510 3,410 74,050 480 755 1,770 850 15,950 1,820 1,670 7,200 625 248 18,975 8,450 980 5,450 254 1,335 580 6,850 965 19,300 1,595 1,480 4,200 200 2,370 1,350 330 39,350 2,430 6,800 700 1,550 3,360 2,010 525 1,090 9,825 1,450 280 635 1,870 3,800 680 14,075 44,975

Weekly Low 14,800 875 2,510 695 1,155 6,000 700 242 6,325 366 13,050 545 4,470 9,950 1,770 2,870 168 945 464 79 8,900 1,125 1,730 2,650 254 1,790 3,110 442 1,260 462 2,040 510 3,390 71,200 432 715 1,660 830 15,525 1,700 1,610 7,050 484 246 16,825 7,950 935 5,375 252 1,310 555 6,575 940 19,150 1,550 1,410 4,010 195 2,200 1,265 316 37,725 2,360 6,450 680 1,475 3,200 1,930 515 1,035 9,100 1,405 260 610 1,675 3,750 635 13,200 43,475

Indicator Stochastic Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bullish Overbought Bullish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bullish Oversold Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Oversold Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Oversold Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Overbought Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Overbought Bearish Oversold Bullish Overbought Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bullish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Overbought Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bearish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bullish Neutral Bearish Oversold Bearish Neutral Bearish Neutral Bearish

RSI Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Overbought Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral Neutral Neutral Oversold Oversold Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Overbought Oversold Oversold Neutral Overbought Neutral Oversold Overbought Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Overbought Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Oversold Neutral

Moving Average B. Band Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Upper Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Lower Bands Lower Bands Lower Bands Lower Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Lower Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Lower Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Upper Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Upper Bands Lower Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Lower Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands Middle Bands

25 Days Under Upper Under Under Upper Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Upper Under Upper Under Upper Under Upper Under Under Under Under Under Upper Under Under Under Under Upper Under Under Under Upper Under Under Upper Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Upper Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Upper Under Under Under

50 Days 200 Days Under Under Upper Upper Under Upper Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Upper Under Under Upper Under Upper Upper Under Upper Under Upper Under Under Upper Upper Under Upper Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Under Upper Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Under Under Upper Upper Upper Upper Upper Upper Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Under Upper Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Upper Upper Upper Upper Under Under Under Upper Under Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Under Under Upper Upper Upper Upper Under Under Under Upper Under Upper Upper Upper Upper Upper Under Upper Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Under Upper Upper Under Under Under Under Under Upper Source : Reliance Research

Legend : • Movement: Bullish and Bearish (Indicator Stochastic) • Momentum: Oversold, Overbought and Neutral (Indicator RSI) • Resistance Fractal: Strong Resistance • Support Fractal: Strong Support • Green: Good Conditions • Red: Poor Conditions


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Daily Price Action. IHSG Technical Review IHSG

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