DAILY REPORT Kamis 12 Februari 2015
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Kamis, 12 Februari 2015 IHSG : 5,336.519 (15.045)/ 0.283%
♦
Market Volume
: 5,524 Miliar Saham
Market Value
: 5,317.356 Miliar Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada transaksi Rabu 11 Februari
2015,
(+15,1)/0,28%.
terangkat Seperti
naik
yang
di
posisi
diprediksikan
5.336,519 sebelumnya,
dampak dari penguatan regional membawa sentimen positif ke
Perubahan +/%
IHSG. Namun, nampakanya mayoritas investor masih wait and see menunggu hasil dari pertemuan para pemimpin Uni Eropa
Leading Movers BMRI
11,750
125
1.1%
ASII
7,875
250
3.3%
BBCA
13,925
175
1.3%
rabu dini hari.
♦
Dampak
dari
gagalnya
kesepakatan
dari
pertemuan
para
AKRA
4,760
60
1.3%
pemimpin Uni Eropa, dan memilih melanjutkan pembicaraan
EXCL
5,150
125
2.5%
pekan depan membuat indeks di kawasan regional bergerak
BBNI
6,725
-75
-1.1%
INTP
23,800
-100
-0.4%
Lagging Movers
mixed.
Tercatat
+0,25%.
penutupan
Kemungkinan
DJIA
–0,037%
pergerakan
IHSG
dan hari
NASDAQ ini
akan
LPPF
15,400
-300
-1.9%
terpengaruh sentiment eksternal tersebut. Kami perkirakan
GGRM
55,300
-575
-1.0%
IHSG akan melemah pada pergerakan hari ini, dengan range
PTBA
11,025
-150
-1.3%
support 5.297 dan resistance 5.354
Most Active TRAM
101
TLKM
2,860
-14 -12.17% 15
0.53%
SCMA
3,490
35
1.01%
SSMS
1,710
10
0.59%
ASII
7,875
250
3.28%
Top Value BMRI
11,750
125
ASII
7,875
250
3.28%
TLKM
2,860
15
0.53%
BBRI
11,700
50
0.43%
MPPA
3,930
0
0.00%
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD
12,699
SBI 1 mo
7.75%
Deflasi MoM
0.24%
Inflasi YoY
6.96%
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % 0.22
TLKM
1.08%
perubahan +/% 12,636
1.00
-
-
Valuasi USD IDR 12,699
2,826
Indeks Dunia Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
DJIA
17,862
-7
0.00
Nasdaq
4,800
12
0.00
Nikkei 225
17,653
0
0.00
Hangseng
24,315
-213
-0.01
Today’s Pick Aksi Sell Buy Buy SOS Buy TB
Kode
Harga
Target
WIKA BMRI WTON SSMS KLBF KAEF
3,555 11,750 1,420 1,710 1,855 1,340
3,600 12,100 1,500 1,720 1,870 1,400
Keterangan Candlelistic membentuk evening star Trend bullish EMA-5, RSI reversal pattern Stochastic golden cross MA 5 Uptrend
Candlelistik chart double evening star Candlelistic membentuk doji
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
√
BMRI
BMRI dan JSMR kerjasama untuk e-Toll Card.
√
WIKA
Garap proyek luar negeri senilai Rp. 4 triliun.
√
LINK
Mengalokasikan belanja modal senilai 1,5 triliun.
√
ABMM
Akan Masuk Sektor Konstruksi Nikel dan Semen.
√
MBTO
Menambah anggaran belanja sekitar Rp 40 miliar.
Murahnya Harga Minyak Ekonomi Global.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 1
DAILY REPORT Kamis 12 Februari 2015
Economic News
♦
Periode harga minyak murah diperkirakan terus berlangsung sepanjang 2015. Meski harga minyak murah kondisi itu diprediksi tak akan mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi di kebanyakan negara di dunia. Amerika Serikat dan India merupakan dua di antara negara-negara yang menerima untung dari harga minyak murah. Ekonomi AS akan tumbuh 3,2 persen pada 2015 dan 2,8 persen pada 2015. Untuk India, tingginya inflasi merupakan salah satu penghambat pertumbuhan ekonomi dalam beberapa tahun terakhir di mana harga minyak akan menurun. Sementara bagi negara-negara eksportir minyak seperti Arab Saudi dan Rusia, rendahnya harga minyak akan terus menekan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Kondisi itu diperparah dengan resesi yang terjadi di Rusia yang diprediksi berlanjut hingga 2017. Untuk importir seperti China, pajak energi yang lebih tinggi dan harga minyak yang dikendalikan pemerintah akan menekan dampak positif dari harga minyak murah. ( Sumber : Liputan 6 )
♦
PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (BMRI) dan PT Jasa Marga Tbk ( JSMR ) kerjasama untuk e-Toll Card. PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (BMRI) dan PT Jasa Marga Tbk (JSMR) memperkenalkan fasilitas isi ulang e-Toll Card dan mandiri e-money lainnya di gerbang tol sebagai bentuk peningkatan kualitas layanan. Tahap awal, layanan dapat diakses di 11 gardu pada 9 gerbang tol, yaitu Semanggi, Cengkareng, Karang Tengah, Cililitan, Cibubur, Pondok Gede Timur, Bekasi Barat, Meruya Utama dan Pondok Ranji. Melalui layanan isi ulang e-Toll Card ini diharapkan dapat meningkatkan penetrasi penggunaan e-Toll Card oleh masyarakat sehingga waktu transaksi di Gerbang Tol akan semakin cepat. Untuk tahun 2015 EPS BMRI sebesar Rp. 982 per saham. Berdasarkan rata-rata PER BMRI sebesar 12,35 kali. Sehingga harga wajar BMRI tahun 2015 sebesar Rp. 12.160 per saham.
♦
PT Wijaya Karya ( WIKA ) targetkan garap proyek luar negeri senilai Rp. 4 triliun. PT Wijaya Karya Tbk ( WIKA ) menjajaki kerja sama proyek dengan Islamic Development Bank (IDB) untuk menggarap proyek di Maroko. IDB menawarkan untuk bekerja sama dalam proyek pembangunan mal. Perseroan berencana dapat memperoleh kontrak pengerjaan konstruksi, walaupun terdapat peluang lain untuk terlibat berinvestasi di dalamnya pada proyek dengan nilai mencapai Rp2 triliun. WIKA tengah mengincar 4 proyek di luar negeri dengan total nilai Rp 4 triliun pada tahun ini. Untuk tahun 2015 EPS WIKA sebesar Rp. 143 per saham. Berdasarkan rata-rata PER WIKA sebesar 23 kali. Sehingga harga wajar WIKA tahun 2015 sebesar Rp. 3.290 per saham.
♦
PT Link Net Tbk ( LINK ) mengalokasikan belanja modal senilai Rp 1,5 triliun. PT Link Net Tbk (LINK) mengalokasikan belanja modal (capital expenditure/capex) tahun ini senilai lebih dari Rp 1,5 triliun. Capex tersebut akan digunakan untuk inovasi dan pengembangan produk, maintenance, belanja konten, dan pembangunan kabel internet berkecepatan tinggi ke rumah (homepass). Tahun ini jumlah pelanggan sebanyak 1 juta untuk TV berbayar melalui produk First Media. Jumlah tersebut bertambah sebanyak 300.000 pelanggan dari total pelanggan sampai akhir 2014 yang sebanyak 700.000 pelanggan. (Sumber : Beritasatu )
♦
PT ABM Investama Tbk ( ABMM ) berencana akan masuk Sektor Konstruksi Nikel dan Semen. PT ABM Investama Tbk ( ABMM ) melalui anak usahanya, PT Cipta Kridatama (CK), berencana melakukan diversifikasi usaha ke sektor konstruksi pertambangan nikel dan bahan baku semen. Perluasan usaha itu untuk menggenjot pendapatan di luar pertambangan batu bara. Dalam lima tahun mendatang perseroan menargetkan kontribusi pendapatan di luar pertambangan batubara mencapai 40 persen Tahun ini, ABM Investama akan mencari dana eksternal sebesar US$ 105 juta atau sekitar Rp 1,2 triliun untuk membiayai belanja modal (capital expenditure/capex) yang mencapai US$ 150 juta atau Rp 1,8 triliun. (Sumber : Beritasatu )
♦
Pabrik baru di Cikarang menambah anggaran belanja modalnya MBTO Rp 40 miliar. PT Martina Berto Tbk ( MBTO ) bakal menaikkan anggaran belanja modal atau capital expenditure (capex) pada tahun ini. Kenaikkan belanja modal dilakukan seiring dengan mulai beroperasinya pabrik jamu di Cikarang. Pabrik baru di Cikarang baru menambah pos anggaran belanja modalnya yang juga sekitar Rp 40 miliar, dan mulai dimasukan pada pembukuan tahun ini. ( Sumber : Kontan )
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 2
DAILY REPORT Kamis 12 Februari 2015
Today’s Pick Chart WIKA
BMRI
WIKA Berada di trend turun. volume penjualan meningkat.
Saham BMRI berada di trend naik. Candle Stick pada tgl
Candlelistic chart membentuk evening star. WIKA diperkirakan
11/2/15, indikasikan akan reversal dari naik menjadi turun.
masih akan melanjutkan penurunan. Support kuat di level 3.490,
Indikator teknikal sudah berada pada area overbought.
jika break akan membentuk pola double top. Target penurunan
Rekomendasi kami pada saham BMRI Sell On Strength.
ke level 3.175. Rekomendasi : SELL.
Target Resistance 12000. Dan support kuat di 11,500.
WTON
SSMS
1.450. Rekomendasi : BUY.
Penguatan terbatas trend neutral pada RSI, fase uptrend pada MA -5. Stochastic diatas 80% seharusnya membatasi kenaikan. Support di 1.665 dan Resistance 1.720 Rekomendasi : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 1.690 dan Resistance 1700. Stop loss 1.650.
KLBF
KAEF
Penguatan terbatas, candlelistik chart double evening star, di
Saham KAEF berhasil menembus resistance di 1.330. Reversal
dukung trend neutral pada RSI. Boleh beli jika breakout di
pattern pada RSI menandakan pembalikan arah menjadi uptrend.
1.860. Support 1.805 dan Resistance 1.875. Rekomendasi :
Pola doji menandakan KAEF telah oversold. Support 1.300 dan
Buy 1860-1865. Stop loss dibawah 1.835.
Resistance 1.390. Rekomendasi : Strong BUY.
Trend bullish, didukung pola hammer pada candlelistik chart. Stochastic golden cross seharusnya mampu membawa WTON menembus resistance di 1.450. Support 1.350 dan Resistance
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 3
DAILY REPORT Kamis 12 Februari 2015
NO
Stock
1
ASII
2
BBC A
3 4
Closing Price
Rec
Target
Stop Loss
Support I
II
Pivot
Resistance I
Technical
II
Alert Stochastic Golden cross
7,875
BUY
8,000
7,475
7,700
7,650
7,600
7,900
8,000
13,925
Sell
13,000
13,325
13,700
13,600
13,725
14,000
14,100
BBNI
6,725
Sell
6,450
6,250
6,600
6,000
6,900
6,700
6,800
BBRI
11,700
Sell
11,360
11,600
11,600
11,000
11,700
11,700
11,800
EMA 5 Downtrend
11,500
11,650
11,800
12,000
Stochastic Dead cross
MAC D dead cross C andlelistic Evening Star
5
BMRI
11,750
Sell
11,100
11,125
11,600
6
GGRM
55,300
Sell
53,000
54,900
54,300
54,000
57,400
56,000
56,900
Stochastic Dead cross
7,500
7,000
7,000
6,500
7,450
7,300
7,400
RSI Reversal Pattern
15,000
14,400
14,600
14,500
14,585
14,800
14,900
2,950
2,725
2,800
2,000
2,850
2,800
2,900
25,900
23,125
24,700
24,300
25,650
25,300
25,500
C andlelistic Hammer RSI Reversal Pattern
7
INDF
8
SMGR
9
TLKM
7,350 14,725 2,860
BOW Buy BOW
EMA 5 Uptrend RSI Uptrend
Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10
AALI
11
BWPT
12
LSIP
13
SIMP
14
SSMS
25,100
Buy
367
Sell
360
346
300
250
367
370
380
1,895
Buy
1,935
1,775
1,800
1,000
1,920
1,900
2,000
RSI Reversal Pattern
700
Sell
680
695
690
600
715
700
600
Stochastic Dead cross
1,710
Sell
1,665
1,625
1,600
1,500
1,715
1,700
1,800
RSI Reversal Pattern
Contractor & Property 15
ADHI
3,500
Sell
3,400
3,450
3,400
3,000
3,500
3,500
3,600
Stochastic Dead cross
16
PTPP
3,960
Sell
3,725
3,785
3,900
4,000
3,965
4,000
4,500
EMA 5 Downtrend
17
WIKA
3,555
Sell
3,480
3,575
3,500
3,000
3,577
3,500
3,600
MAC D dead cross
18
WSKT
1,800
Sell
1,515
1,725
1,700
1,600
1,805
1,800
1,900
Stochastic Dead cross
24
ASRI
640
660
585
600
500
635
600
700
25
BSDE
2,085
Buy
2,135
1,945
2,000
1,500
2,100
2,000
2,500
Stochastic Dead cross
26
C TRA
1,470
Buy
1,545
1,400
1,500
1,000
1,490
1,500
1,600
RSI Reversal Pattern
27
KIJA
321
Buy
330
297
318
315
323
326
331
Stochastic Golden cross
28
LPKR
1,110
Buy
1,145
1,065
1,100
1,090
1,115
1,120
1,140
Stochastic Golden cross
BOW
MAC D Golden cross
Mining 29
ADRO
980
Sell
950
985
980
975
990
1,000
1,015
RSI Downtrend
30
ANTM
1,070
Sell
980
1,010
1,055
1,025
1,050
1,000
1,015
Stochastic Downtrend
31
INC O
3,595
Buy
3,725
3,325
3,500
3,450
3,600
3,650
3,700
Stochastic Golden cross
32
ITMG
17,100
Buy
17,600
15,840
16,750
16,450
16,500
17,350
17,500
Stochastic Golden cross
33
TINS
1,105
BOW
1,155
1,050
1,055
1,082
1,100
1,120
1,150
Stochastic Golden cross
1,025
Buy
1,115
978
1,000
1,150
1,015
1,050
1,100
MAC D Golden cross
Others 34
BBTN
35
INTP
23,800
Buy
24,000
22,580
23,592
23,383
23,783
23,992
24,183
Stochastic Golden cross
36
KLBF
1,855
Buy
1,875
1,770
1,850
1,900
1,850
1,900
1,950
Stochastic Golden cross
37
MPPA
3,930
Buy
4,100
3,745
3,850
3,900
3,875
3,900
3,950
RSI Reversal Pattern
38
PGAS
5,300
Buy
5,425
5,110
5,300
5,350
5,300
5,350
5,400
MAC D Golden cross
39
UNTR
18,575
Sell
17,575
17,540
18,350
18,400
18,250
18,700
18,800
Stochastic Dead cross
40
UNVR
35,675
Buy
37,000
34,200
35,500
35,400
36,350
35,900
35,950
RSI Reversal Pattern
BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 4
DAILY REPORT Kamis 12 Februari 2015
Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Senior Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 5
