Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : Indonesia masih dibayangi risiko global. IGAR : Menargetkan pertumbuhan 20%

DAILY REPORT Jumat 27 Maret 2015

Market View

AKTIVITAS BURSA Kamis, 26 Maret 2015 IHSG : 5,368.800 (-36.689)/-0.679%

♦

Market Volume

: 6,411 Billion Share

Market Value

: 6,560.786 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan

Perubahan +/%

Leading Movers BBNI

7,100

50

0.7%

SMGR

13,000

125

1.0%

KLBF

1,835

30

1.7%

SCMA

3,325

125

3.9%

INTP

21,025

25

0.1%

LINK

6,225

-125

-2.0%

MIKA

22,175

-225

-1.0%

LPPF

18,000

-200

-1.1%

ICBP

14,175

-175

-1.2%

GGRM

48,100

-1,600

-3.2%

TLKM

2,810

-70

-2.43%

SRIL

240

-9

-3.61%

BBTN

1,205

0

0.00%

KLBF

1,835

30

1.66%

MTFN

267

-1

-0.37%

Indeks pada hari Kamis 26 Maret 2015 melemah –36.68 poin ke level 5.368,80. Selama perdagangan berlangusng indeks cenderung bergerak sideways, pelemahan pada bursa global serta pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah menjadi penahan laju IHSG. Wall Street ditutup kembali melemah pada perdagangan malam tadi. Ini merupakan penurunan hari keempat dan terpanjang sejak Januari lalu. DJIA turun 0,23%, S&p 500 turun 0,24 %, dan Nasdaq turun 0,27%. Penurunan S&P didominsai sahamsaham energy dan semikonduktor. Sementara itu harga minyak melonjak sekita 5%, karena serangann udara Yaman yang diluncurkan Arab Saudi memicu kekhawatiran pertempuran di Timur tengah dapat mengganggu pasokan minyak mentah dunia. Kekhawatiran tersebut mengangkat Brent Oil mendekati $ 60 per barel dan WTI diatas US $ 50 per barel. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan melemah dalam kisaran support 5.350 dan resistance 5.440.

♦

Lagging Movers

♦

Most Active

Top Value TLKM

2,810

-70

-2.43%

BBRI

13,125

-25

-0.19%

ASII

8,150

-50

-0.61%

BBCA

14,525

-100

-0.68%

PGAS

4,650

-5

-0.11%

Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD SBI 1 mo

Perubahan +/%

12,992

12,970

0.17

7,5%

7,50%

(0.25)

Deflasi MoM

0,36%

0,24%

0.12

Inflasi YoY

6,29%

6,96%

(0.67)

Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM

-1.74

Valuasi USD IDR 12,992

2,776

Indeks Dunia Penutupan

Perubahan +/%

17,678.23

(40.31)

(0.23)

4,863.36

(13.16)

(0.27)

Nikkei 225

19,471.12

(275.08)

(1.39)

Hangseng

24,497.08

(31.15)

(0.13)

12.57

0.37

DJIA Nasdaq

STI

3,431.59

Today’s Pick Aksi

Kode

BOW

ELSA

Harga Target 525

BUY

LSIP

1,650

SB

SSMS

1,980

1,940 SSMS dalam masa konsolidasi. RSI dan Stochastic netral.

BUY

SCMA

3,325

3,500 Uptrend. EMA-5 uptrend. Candle membentuk pola piercing line. 1,165 Oversold. RSI netral trend jual mereda.

565

Keterangan Oversold. RSI dibawah 30%, Stochastic dibawah 20%.

1,735 oversold. RSI oversold. Stochastic golden cross di area support.

BOW

SSIA

1,105

BUY

UNVR

38,500 39,875 Trend bullish dan fase akumulasi.

SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy

Highlight √

Ekonomi

: Indonesia masih dibayangi risiko global.

√

IGAR

: Menargetkan pertumbuhan 20%.

√

MDLN

: Proyek Klaster La Seine Rp.350 Miliar.

√

PTPP

: Mengembangkan bisnis peralatan konstruksi.

√

BRAU

: Berpotensi menerbitkan obligasi US$ 831,25 Juta.

√

TINS

: Pembagian dividen sebesar Rp.191,3 Miliar.

Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment

Page 1


Economic News

♦ Ekonomi Indonesia ke depan masih dibayangi oleh sejumlah risiko mengingat perlambatan ekonomi global belum menunjukkan tanda-tanda segera berakhir. Permintaan ekspor dari mitra dagang—khususnya Tiongkok—yang belum sepenuhnya kembali pulih, menjadi salah satu contoh sumber dari risiko-risiko tersebut. Indonesia juga masih rentan terhadap kenaikan suku bunga internasional seperti suku bunga acuan bank sentral Amerika Serikat (the Fed fund rate). Kenaikan suku bunga internasional tersebut mempunyai risiko cukup besar mengingat pendanaan Indonesia masih bergantung pada eksternal. Pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia tahun ini hanya mencapai 5,3% atau lebih rendah dibandingkan target pemerintah sebesar 5,7%. peningkatan pertumbuhan pada 2016 seiring dengan peningkatan laju ekspor akibat pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat. Selain itu ditunjang oleh adanya investasi pemerintah yang meningkat.

♦ PT Champion Pacific Indonesia Tbk (IGAR) menargetkan Pertumbuhan 20%.

PT Champion Pacific Indonesia Tbk (IGAR) menargetkan penjualan tahun ini sebesar Rp 885,43 miliar, naik hingga 20 persen dari perolehan 2014 sebesar Rp 737,86 miliar. PT Champion Pacific Indonesia optimis mencapai pertumbuhan penjulan dan laba bersih sebesar 15-20 persen tahun ini. Proyeksi tersebut memperhitungkan pertumbuhan industri farmasi tahun ini sebesar 8,5 persen. Hal ini mengingat perusahaan farmasi merupakan pangsa pasar terbesar dari emiten produsen kemasan ini. Supaya proyeksi kinerja tahun ini bisa tercapai, akan menambah dua lini mesin baru sehingga produksinya bisa lebih efisien. Satu di pabrik Ciputat dan satu di Bekasi.

♦ PT Moderland (MDLN) meraup Rp. 350 Miliar dari proyek Klaster La Seine.

PT Moderlnland Realty Tbk. (MDLN) melalui anak usahanya PT Mitra Sindo Sukses meraup Rp350 miliar dari prapenjualan atau marketing sales klaster La Seine Tahap 1. Klaster yang berada di kompleks pengembangan Jakarta Garden City, Jakarta Timur itu berhasil terjual 100% dengan total 428 unit. Klater La Seine merupakan pengembangan tahap kedua River Garden seluas 100 ha di Jakarta Garden City. Kawasan River Garden nantinya aka terdiri dari 6 klaster.

♦ PT PP (Persero) Tbk mengembangkan bisnis peralatan konstruksi. Perusahaan konstruksi dan investasi BUMN, PT PP (Persero) Tbk (PTPP) mengembangkan bisnis peralatan konstruksi dengan mengakuisisi PT Primajasa Aldodua (PJA), anak perusahaan Yayasan Kesejahteraan Karyawan Pembangunan Perumahan (YKKPP) yang kemudian berubah nama menjadi PTPP Peralatan Konstruksi (PP Peralatan). Hingga kini, PP Peralatan memiliki 75 unit tower crane. Pertumbuhan kinerja PP tahun lalu adalah satunya didukung kontribusi PP Peralatan. Pilar bisnis PP Peralatan meliputi penyewaan peralatan konstruksi dan pemborongan bekisting proyek gedung.

♦ PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU) berpotensi menerbitkan obligasi hingga US$ 831,25 Juta. Produsen batu bara, PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU) berpotensi menerbitkan obligasi hingga US$ 831,25 juta. Obligasi tersebut akan ditukar dengan surat utang yang jatuh tempo pada 2015 senilai US$ 450 juta dan surat utang yang jatuh tempo pada 2017 sebesar US$ 500 juta. selain masa jatuh tempo diperpanjang, nilai surat utang baru nanti akan dikurangi pembayaran awal pokok utang senilai total US$ 118,75 juta. Rinciannya, sebanyak US$ 62,47 juta akan digunakan untuk membayar surat utang yang jatuh tempo tahun ini dan sebanyak US$ 56,28 juta akan dipakai untuk melunasi surat utang yang jatuh tempo pada 2017.

♦ PT Timah Tbk (TINS) menyepakati pembagian dividen. PT Timah Tbk (TINS) menyepakati pembagian dividen sebesar Rp 191,3 miliar atau setara Rp 25,7 per saham. Rasio pembagian dividen perseroan tercatat sebesar 30 persen dari total raihan laba bersih tahun 2014 lalu yang tercatat Rp 637,9 miliar. Pembagian dividen akan dilakukan pada 29 April tahun ini. "Tanggal pembagian sesuai dengan peraturan," ucapnya seusai Rapat Pemegang Saham Tahunan (RUPST) Timah di Jakarta.


Page 2


Today’s Pick Chart ELSA

LSIP

RSI dibawah 30%, Stochastic dibawah 20%. Kedua indikator mengindikasikan oversold didukung trend beli meningkat. Rec: Buy On Weekness (BOW). Support 505 dan resistance 550.

RSI oversold. Stochastic golden cross di area support, didukung trend beli meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 1.600 dan resistance 1.735.

SSMS

SCMA

SSMS dalam masa konsolidasi. RSI dan Stochastic netral. Saham berpeluang uptrend jika mampu breakout di level 2.040. Rec : Speculative Buy (SB). Stoploss dibawah 1.940.

EMA-5 uptrend. Candle membentuk pola piercing line. Secara teoritis merupakan pola bullish. Rec : Buy. Support 3.150 dan resistance 3.500.

SSIA

UNVR

RSI netral trend jual mereda. Saham berpotensi uptrend jika mampu breakout di level 1.150. Rec : Buy On Weekness (BOW). Support 1.075 dan resistance 1.165.

Trend bullish dan fase akumulasi. MA-20 uptrend didukung vvolume meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 37.500 dan resistance 39.875.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 3


NO

Stock

Closing

Rec

Target

Price

Stop Loss

Pivot

Support I

II

Technical

Resistance

Alert

I

II

1

ASII

8,150

Buy

8,250

7,800

8,100

8,000

8,200

8,300

8,400

2

BBC A

14,525

SB

14,800

13,900

14,400

14,300

14,500

14,600

14,800

Stochastic Netral.

6,800

7,100

7,200

7,300

Stochastic Over Bought.

Ascending Triangle

3

BBNI

7,100

SOS

7,200

6,450

7,000

4

BBRI

13,125

Buy

13,300

12,450

13,000

12,800

13,100

13,200

13,300

Stochastic Golden C ross

5

BMRI

12,050

SoS

12,300

11,800

11,900

11,800

12,000

12,100

12,200

All Indikator Over Bought

6

GGRM

48,100

BOW

52,800

53,000

47,500

47,000

48,000

49,700

50,000

Stochastic Golden C ross.

7

INDF

7,375

SOS

7,500

7,300

7,300

7,200

7,400

7,500

7,600

Break 7500, Ascending C nfm

8

SMGR

13,000

Buy

14,500

14,775

12,600

12,200

12,800

13,000

13,500


9

TLKM

2,810

Buy

3,020

2,900

2,700

2,500

2,800

2,900

3,000


25,400

24,450

22,900

22,700

23,300

23,600

24,000

390

350

300

250

400

450

500

1,800

1,775

1,600

1,500

1,700

1,800

1,900

Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI

23,200

11 BWPT

334

12 LSIP

1,650

13 SIMP 14 SSMS

Sell BOW Sell

Evening Star Stochastic, RSI reversal naik Black C andle EMA-5 Dontrend.

675

Sell

680

680

600

500

700

800

900

1,980

Sell

1,940

1,930

1,900

1,800

2,000

2,100

2,200

RSI, MAC D, Reversal Turun

Buy

3,360

3,120

2,900

2,800

3,000

3,100

3,200

EMA-5 Uptrend. RSI 30%

Contractor & Property 15 ADHI

3,025

16 PTPP

3,695

Buy

3,980

3,800

3,600

3,500

3,700

3,800

3,900


17 WIKA

3,400

Buy

3,675

3,420

3,300

3,000

3,400

3,500

3,600


18 WSKT

1,690

Buy

1,815

1,720

1,600

1,500

1,700

1,800

1,900


640

600

500

400

600

650

700

24 ASRI

525

BoW

25 BSDE

2,005

Sell

1,995

1,985

1,900

1,800

2,000

2,100

2,200

26 C TRA

1,350

BOW

Morning Star, RSI naik MAC D dead cross Stochastic 20%

1,450

1,400

1,300

1,200

1,400

1,500

1,600

27 KIJA

320

Sell

313

341

300

250

400

450

500

28 LPKR

1,275

Buy

1,300

1,065

1,200

1,100

1,300

1,400

1,500

945

Buy

1,050

930

900

800

1,000

1,100

1,200

Double Bottom.

Stochastic Dead cross Stochastic Golden cross

Mining 29 ADRO 30 ANTM

860

Buy

1,030

990

800

700

850

900

1,000

Stochastic dibawah 20%

31 INC O

3,265

Buy

3,600

3,510

3,200

3,100

3,300

3,400

3,500

Stochastic dibawah 20%

32 ITMG

17,125

Buy

18,200

16,300

16,700

16,300

17,000

17,400

17,800

Stochastic Golden cross

33 TINS

910

Buy

1,045

1,005

800

700

600

900

1,000

MAC D Golden C ross

SB

1,205

975

1,100

1,000

1,200

1,300

1,400

EMA-5 Uptrend

BOW

22,800

22,500

20,500

20,100

20,900

21,300

21,600

RSI dan Stochastic Over Sold

Others 34 BBTN

1,205

35 INTP

21,025

36 KLBF

1,835

SOS

1,790

2,880

1,800

1,700

1,900

2,000

2,100

Stochastic Dead cross

37 MPPA

4,000

SoS

3,800

3,745

3,900

3,800

4,000

4,100

4,200

Stochastic diatas 80%

38 PGAS

4,650

BOW

5,325

5,100

4,600

4,500

4,700

4,800

4,900

William %R Over Sold.

39 UNTR

20,850

Buy

22,500

20,100

20,600

20,400

20,900

21,100

21,200

White Marubozu

40 UNVR

38,500

Buy

39,600

35,000

38,300

38,100

38,600

38,800

39,000

Stochastic Golden C ross.

BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy


Page 4


Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected]

Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected]

Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 5

Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : Indonesia masih dibayangi risiko global. IGAR : Menargetkan pertumbuhan 20%

Recommend Documents