Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : Indonesia harus kembangkan basis ekspor baru. UNTR : Siap tender offer Acset Rp. 516,7 Miliar

DAILY REPORT Rabu 25 Maret 2015

Market View

AKTIVITAS BURSA Selasa, 24 Maret 2015 IHSG : 5,447.648 (10.550)/0.194%

♦

Market Volume

: 5,612 Billion Share

Market Value

: 8,121.744 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan

Indeks pada hari Selasa 24 Maret 2015, ditutup pada posisi 5.444,38 menguat 7,28 poin / (0,13%). Selama perdagangan berlangsung indeks cenderung sideways dan didominasi oleh saham-saham berkapitalisasi besar seperti SMGR, TLKM, dan PGAS. Dari 419 saham yang diperdagangkan tercatat 129 saham naik, 188 saham turun, dan 102 saham stagnan. Wall Street ditutup melemah pada perdagangan malam tadi. Pelemahan diakibatkan tekanan atas penguatan dollar AS ditengah spekulasi kenaiakan suku bunga AS. Indeks S&P 500 turun 0,6%, DJIA turun 0,58%, dan Nasdaq turun 0,32%. Indeks harga konsumen AS naik 0,2% pada bulan Februari, diikuti biaya bahan bakar yang stabil. The Fed sedang menghitung laju inflasi dengan target 2% guna menentukan kenaikan suku bunga. Dari Asia Pasific, MSCI Asia Pacific Index naik 0,2%, Nikkei naik 0,2%. Sentimen dari bursa global dan regional tersebut kemungkinan akan mempengaruhi laju IHSG hari ini. Kami perkirakan indeks akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat dalam kisaran support 5.414 dan resistance 5.500.

Perubahan +/%

Leading Movers MIKA

21,200

4,200

BBRI

13,000

100

24.7% 0.8%

UNVR

38,900

275

0.7%

INTP

21,650

200

0.9%

LINK

6,400

100

1.6%

♦

Lagging Movers BMRI

12,075

-100

-0.8%

PGAS

4,900

-175

-3.4%

SMGR

13,425

-100

-0.7%

ICBP

14,700

-100

-0.7%

GGRM

50,650

-1,575

-3.0%

ASII

8,150

-25

-0.31%

TLKM

2,920

0

0.00%

SRIL

246

17

7.42%

KLBF

1,840

15

0.82%

LPKR

1,270

30

2.42%

Most Active

Top Value MIKA

21,200

4,200

24.71%

ASII

8,150

-25

-0.31%

BBRI

13,000

100

0.78%

TLKM

2,920

0

0.00%

BBCA

14,550

100

0.69%

Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD SBI 1 mo

Perubahan +/%

12,935

13,022

(0.67)

7,5%

7,50%

(0.25)

Deflasi MoM

0,36%

0,24%

0.12

Inflasi YoY

6,29%

6,96%

(0.67)

Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM

-0.49

Valuasi USD IDR 12,935

2,885

Indeks Dunia Penutupan

Perubahan +/%

18,011.14

(104.90)

(0.58)

4,994.73

(16.24)

(0.32)

Nikkei 225

19,713.45

(40.91)

(0.21)

Hangseng

24,399.60

(94.91)

(0.39)

DJIA Nasdaq

STI

3,413.26

3.13

0.09

Today’s Pick Aksi

Kode

Harga Target

BUY

BSDE

2,055

Keterangan

2,110 Oversold. RSI dibawah 30% dan stochastic dibawa 20%.

SB

JSMR

7,200

7,000 Konsolidasi sehat. RSI dan Stochastic netral.

BUY

AKRA

5,075

5,125 Uptrend. William %R golden cross.

BUY

BMTR

1,845

1,945 Uptrend. Stochastic golden cros di area support.

BUY

MNCN

2,830

2,905 Oversold. Stochastic dibawah 20% dan RSI dibawah 30%.

SOS

TLKM

2,920

2,905 Downtrend. EMA-5 dan Boolinger Band downtrend.

SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy

Highlight √

Ekonomi

: Indonesia harus kembangkan basis ekspor baru.

√

UNTR

: Siap tender offer Acset Rp. 516,7 Miliar.

√

IMJS

: Berencana menggalang dana Rp. 3,61 Triliun.

√

LINK

: Ekspansi jaringan supercepat.

√

RAJA

: Itochu Corporation membeli saham PT Triguna.

√

PTPP

: Incar lahan dekat tol.

Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment

Page 1


Economic News

♦ Bank Pembangunan Asia (ADB) mengingatkan Indonesia agar menciptakan basis pertumbuhan ekspor yang baru sebagai upaya antisipasi mengatasi perlemahan harga komoditas di tingkat global dan mendorong perekonomian tumbuh tinggi. Indonesia memerlukan sumber pertumbuhan ekspor baru untuk mencapai kembali ekspansi pertumbuhan ekonomi diatas enam persen. Untuk itu pemerintah harus melakukan reformasi dan mencari sumber ekspor baru, salah satunya dari sektor manufaktur berorientasi ekspor yang berpotensi memberikan kontribusi bagi pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional. Membangun basis ekspor yang baru, salah satunya dari manufaktur berbasis ekspor bisa lebih stabil menyumbang kontribusi dalam pertumbuhan daripada komoditas yang harganya mudah berubah. Selain itu sektor ini bisa menciptakan lapangan pekerjaan yang lebih banyak.

♦ PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) siap tender offer Acset Rp 516,7 Miliar. PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR), melalui anak usahanya PT Karya Supra Perkasa (KSP), menyiapkan dana sebesar Rp 516,7 miliar dalam penawaran wajib (mandatory tender offer/MTO) saham PT Acset Indonusa Tbk (ACST). Dalam aksi ini, United Tractors siap membeli hingga 159 juta (31,8 persen) saham Acset. Sesuai rencana, masa penawaran tender offer akan dilangsungkan pada 24 Maret-22 April 2014. Jika berjalan lancar, proses tender offer dapat diselesaikan pada 24 April 2015. Adapun PT Mandiri Sekuritas bertindak sebagai underwriter. Tahun 2015 EPS UNTR sebesar Rp. 1.675 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER sebesar 13.81 kali. Maka harga wajar UNTR tahun 2015 Rp. 23.100 per saham.

♦ PT Indomobil Multi Jasa Tbk (IMJS) berencana menggalang dana eksternal senilai Rp 3,61 Triliun.

PT Indomobil Finance Indonesia, anak usaha PT Indomobil Multi Jasa Tbk (IMJS), berencana menggalang dana eksternal senilai Rp 3,61 triliun tahun ini. Seluruh dana rencananya digunakan untuk ekspansi bisnis pembiayaan sepanjang 2015. Indomobil membidik total pembiayaan pembelian kendaraan bermotor, khususnya roda empat, senilai Rp 5,12 triliun tahun ini atau meningkat hingga 20% dibandingkan realisasi tahun lalu sebesar Rp 3,2 triliun.

♦ PT Link Net Tbk (LINK) ekspansi jaringan supercepat.

Penyedia layanan internet dan televisi (TV) berlangganan PT Link Net Tbk (LINK) segera meluncurkan layanan internet berkecepatan 200 Mbps untuk rumah hunian pada kuartal II-2015. Strategi ini merupakan salah satu upaya perseroan dalam mengejar satu juta pelanggan tahun ini. Layanan internet supercepat tersebut akan menyasar kalangan menengah ke atas. Sebagai gambaran, pada layanan internet rumah hunian 100 Mbps, Link Net menawarkan tarif sekitar Rp 2,97 juta per bulan. Perseroan membidik pelanggan di kota-kota besar seperti Jakarta, Bandung, dan Surabaya.

♦ Itochu Corporation membeli 33 persen saham PT Triguna Internusa Pratama, anak usaha PT Rukun

Raharja Tbk (RAJA). Konglomerasi asal Jepang, Itochu Corporation menjadi mitra strategis PT Rukun Raharja Tbk (RAJA). Itochu membeli 33 persen saham PT Triguna Internusa Pratama, anak usaha Rukun Raharja. Itochu memborong saham Triguna sebesar Rp 165,1 miliar. Dengan pembelian saham tersebut, kepemilikan Rukun Raharja pada Triguna berkurang menjadi 67 persen dari sebelumnya 99,9 persen. Saat ini, Triguna masih fokus mengerjakan proyek pembangunan pipa gas di Gresik, Jawa Timur.

♦ PT Pembangunan Properti Tbk (PTPP) incar lahan dekat tol. PT Pembangunan Properti Tbk (PP) melalui anak usaha PT PP Properti mengincar lahan pembangunan apartemen yang dekat dengan jalan tol. Untuk mendongkrak penjualan properti. PP Properti terus membangun hunian yang bernuansa alam. Seperti Apartemen Grand Kamala di Kalimalang, lokasi tersebut di bangun lintasan jalan-lari dan membiarkan danau alami tanpa dibongkar dan bersebelahan dengan jalan Tol Barat. PT PP Properti akan meneruskan pembangunan apartemen di Ayoma di Serpong, Apartemen Payon Amartha di Semarang, dan The North East Square di Surabaya.


Page 2


Today’s Pick Chart BSDE

JSMR

MACD akan golden cross. Stochastic dibawah 20%, mengindikasikan saham berada di area oversold, didukung trend jual mereda. Rec : Buy. Support 2.000 dan resistance 2.110.

RSI dan MACD netral. Penutupan di area positif menyentuh resistance 1 di level 7.200. Saham mempunyai potensi uptrend jika mampu breakout di level 7.250. Rec : Speculative Buy (SB). Stoploss dibawah 7.000.

AKRA

TLKM

Stochastic golden cross, EMA-5 uptrend didukung volume dan trend beli meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 4.875 dan resistance 5.150.

Candle membentuk gravestone doji. EMA-5 dan Boolinger Band downtrend, didukung tren jual meningkat. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 2.905 dan Resistance 2.975.

MNCN

BMTR

William %R dibawah –80% dan RSI dibawah 30%. Kedua indikator mengindikasikan saham diarea oversold. Rec : Buy. Support 2.805 dan resistance 2.905.

EMA-5 uptrend. Stochastic dan William %R golden cross didukung trend beli dan volume meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 1.800 dan resistance 1.945.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 3


NO

Stock

Closing

Rec

Target

Price

Stop Loss

Pivot

Support I

II

Technical

Resistance

Alert

I

II

1

ASII

8,150

Buy

8,250

7,800

8,100

8,000

8,200

8,300

8,400

2

BBC A

14,550

SB

14,800

13,900

14,400

14,200

14,500

14,600

14,700

Stochastic Netral.

6,900

7,100

7,200

7,300

Stochastic Over Bought.

Ascending Triangle

3

BBNI

7,100

SoS

7,200

6,450

7,000

4

BBRI

13,000

Buy

13,300

12,450

12,900

12,800

13,000

13,100

13,200

Stochastic Golden C ross

5

BMRI

12,075

SoS

12,300

11,800

12,000

11,900

12,100

12,200

12,300

All Indikator Over Bought

6

GGRM

50,650

BOW

52,800

53,000

50,000

49,500

51,000

51,700

52,700

Stochastic Golden C ross.

7

INDF

7,475

SOS

7,500

7,300

7,400

7,300

7,500

7,600

7,700

Break 7500, Ascending C nfm

8

SMGR

13,425

Buy

14,500

14,775

13,300

13,100

13,400

13,500

13,600


9

TLKM

2,920

Buy

3,020

2,900

2,900

2,800

3,000

3,100

3,200


25,400

24,450

24,400

24,200

24,700

24,800

25,000

390

350

300

250

400

450

500

1,800

1,775

1,700

1,600

1,800

1,900

2,000

Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI

24,550

11 BWPT

349

12 LSIP

1,780

13 SIMP 14 SSMS

Sell BOW Sell

Evening Star Stochastic, RSI reversal naik Black C andle EMA-5 Dontrend.

695

Sell

680

680

600

500

600

650

700

2,010

Sell

1,940

1,930

1,900

1,800

2,000

2,100

2,200

RSI, MAC D, Reversal Turun

Buy

3,360

3,120

3,100

3,000

3,200

3,300

3,400

EMA-5 Uptrend. RSI 30%

Contractor & Property 15 ADHI

3,165

16 PTPP

3,830

Buy

3,980

3,800

3,800

3,700

3,900

4,000

4,100


17 WIKA

3,515

Buy

3,675

3,420

3,400

3,300

3,500

3,600

3,700


18 WSKT

1,770

Buy

1,815

1,720

1,700

1,600

1,800

1,900

2,000


640

600

500

450

600

650

700

24 ASRI

570

BoW

25 BSDE

2,055

Sell

2,025

1,985

2,000

1,800

2,100

2,200

2,300

26 C TRA

1,380

BOW

Morning Star, RSI naik MAC D dead cross Stochastic 20%

1,450

1,400

1,300

1,200

1,400

1,500

1,600

27 KIJA

327

Sell

325

341

300

200

350

400

450

28 LPKR

1,270

Buy

1,300

1,065

1,200

1,100

1,300

1,400

1,500

975

Buy

1,050

930

900

850

1,000

1,100

1,200

Double Bottom.

Stochastic Dead cross Stochastic Golden cross

Mining 29 ADRO 30 ANTM

890

Buy

1,030

990

800

750

900

1,000

1,100

Stochastic dibawah 20%

31 INC O

3,340

Buy

3,600

3,510

3,300

3,200

3,400

3,500

3,600

Stochastic dibawah 20%

32 ITMG

17,650

Buy

18,200

16,300

17,400

17,200

17,600

17,700

17,900

Stochastic Golden cross

33 TINS

970

Buy

1,045

1,005

900

800

1,000

1,100

1,200

MAC D Golden C ross

SB

1,205

975

1,100

1,000

1,200

1,300

1,500

EMA-5 Uptrend

22,800

22,500

21,700

21,200

21,500

21,700

21,800

RSI dan Stochastic Over Sold

Others 34 BBTN

1,165

35 INTP

21,650

BOW

36 KLBF

1,840

Buy

1,865

2,880

1,800

1,700

1,900

2,000

2,200

MAC D Golden C ross

37 MPPA

4,050

SoS

3,800

3,745

4,000

3,900

4,100

4,200

4,400

Stochastic diatas 80%

38 PGAS

4,900

BOW

5,325

5,100

5,000

4,700

4,900

5,100

5,200

William %R Over Sold.

39 UNTR

21,575

Buy

22,500

20,100

21,700

20,900

21,500

21,700

21,900

White Marubozu

40 UNVR

38,900

Buy

39,600

35,000

39,000

38,400

38,800

39,000

39,200

Stochastic Golden C ross.

BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy


Page 4


Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected]

Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected]

Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 5

Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : Indonesia harus kembangkan basis ekspor baru. UNTR : Siap tender offer Acset Rp. 516,7 Miliar

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