Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : BI berupaya memperdalam pasar valuta asing. PALM : Mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar

DAILY REPORT Rabu 4 Maret 2015

Selasa, 3 Maret 2015

Market View

IHSG : 5,474.619 (-3,212)/-0,059 %

♦

AKTIVITAS BURSA

Market Volume

: 6,731 Billion Share

Market Value

: 7,311.027 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan

Perubahan +/%

Leading Movers ASII

8,000

125

1.6%

MPPA

4,440

135

3.1%

BBCA

14,400

175

1.2%

UNTR

22,225

600

2.8%

ICBP

14,725

400

2.8%

BBNI

6,675

-175

-2.6%

BBRI

12,875

-75

-0.6%

BMRI

11,900

-100

-0.8%

SMGR

14,825

-75

-0.5%

LPPF

17,750

-750

-4.1%

MPPA

4,440

135

3.14%

TLKM

2,945

-5

-0.17%

BBTN

1,115

50

4.69%

ASRI

635

-25

-3.79%

ADRO

1,015

-5

-0.49%

ASII

8,000

125

1.59%

BBCA

14,400

175

1.23%

MPPA

4,440

135

3.14%

BBNI

6,675

-175

-2.55%

UNTR

22,225

600

2.77%

♦

Lagging Movers

Most Active

Top Value

Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD SBI 1 mo

Perubahan +/% 12,958

0.03

7,5%

7,50%

(0.25)

Deflasi MoM

0,36%

0,24%

0.12

Inflasi YoY

6,29%

6,96%

(0.67)

TLKM

0.65

Valuasi USD IDR 12,962

2,948

Indeks Dunia Penutupan

Perubahan +/%

18,203

(85.26)

4,980

(28.20)

(0.56)

Nikkei 225

18,815

(11.72)

(0.06)

Hangseng

24,703

(184.66)

(0.74)

DJIA Nasdaq

Today’s Pick Aksi

Kode

Harga

Target

Keterangan

BUY SOS SOS BUY SOS SELL

ICBP INTP AISA MPPA LINK PTPP

14,725 24,100 2,245 4,440 6,075 3,980

14,800 24,325 2,200 4,515 5,225 3,870

Uptrend. Candlelistick white candle. Overbought. Stochastic diatas 80%. Overbought. Stochastic diatas 80%, RSI diatas 70%. Uptrend. Stochastic golden cross. Overbought. Stochastic diatas 80%. Downtrend. Stochastic dead cross.

SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy

12,962

Saham Dual Listing Perubahan %

♦

Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) ditutup melemah pada perdagangan kemarin, Selasa (3/3/2015). IHSG berada pada level 5.474,62 -3,21/-0,06%. Sentimen positif dari regional mengenai meningkatnya belanja konsumen di AS tidak sanggup menahan aksi profit taking. Tercatat sektor Property dan Mining menjadi kontributor utama penurunan indeks. Bursa saham Amerika Serikat (AS) turun pasca NASDAQ naik diatas 5.000. Turunnya bursa AS dipengaruhi oleh melemahnya saham-saham perusahaan teknologi dan kesehatan. Beberapa data ekonomi domestik AS yang akan dirilis minggu ini dapat memberikan petunjuk Federal Reserve untuk meningkatkan suku bunga acuan. Mayoritas investor juga menunggu rincian program pembelian surat hutang oleh Presiden ECB Mario Draghi pada hari kamis mendatang. Dari dalam negeri pelaku pasar masih mewaspadai pelamahan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan melemah, dalam kisaran support 5.452 dan resistance 5.501.

Highlight √

Ekonomi

: BI berupaya memperdalam pasar valuta asing.

√

PALM

:

√

ROTI

: Rilis obligasi Rp 500 miliar.

√

SMGR

: Laba tumbuh 3,7% sepanjang 2014.

√

PTPP

: Kantongi kontrak baru Rp 27 triliun di 2015.

√

WTON

: Pelopori penggunaan teknologi inner boring.

Mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar.

(0.47)

Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment

Page 1


Economic News

♦ Bank Indonesia (BI) berupaya memperdalam pasar valuta asing (valas) domestik yang likuiditasnya masih rendah.

Diantaranya dengan menerapkan kebijakan letter of credit (L/C) bagi perusahaan yang mengimpor/mengekspor komoditas sawit mentah (CPO), crude palm kernel oil (CPKO), kandungan asam lemak di atas 46%, mineral, batu bara serta minyak dan gas bumi. Dengan kebijakan tersebut setiap ekspor dan impor yang dilakukan perusahaan bisa tercatat dan dibukukan di Bank Indonesia. Hal itu akan mempu meningkatkan devisa hasil ekspor dalam rangka menambah supply valas domestik. Sebelumnya BI telah menerapkan kebijakan intervensi berupa swap valas dan term deposit valas. Swap valas memungkinkan perusahaan yang memiliki kelebihan dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) menukarkan dolar mereka ke rupiah untuk keperluan operasional domestik, kemudian tiga bulan berikutnya bisa kembali ditukar untuk keperluan pembayaran utang berdenominasi dolar AS. Sementara term deposit valas memandatkan perusahaan agar menyimpan dolarnya di BI selama periode tertentu.

♦ PT Provident Agro Tbk (PALM) mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar ke anak usahanya. PT Provident Agro Tbk (PALM) mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar ke anak usahanya PT Sumatera Candi Kencana. PALM memberinya bersama dengan PT Nakau dan PT Transpacific Agro Industry. Pinjaman dana ke Sumatera Candi Kencana tanpa bunga dan akan jatuh tempo 20 Oktober 2015. Sumatera Candi Kencana merupakan perusahaan perkebunan yang beroperasi di Sumatera Selatan.

♦ PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) rilis obligasi Rp 500 miliar.

PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) segera mengeluarkan surat utang. Produsen merek Sari Roti ini akan menerbitkan obligasi berkelanjutan I tahap II sebesar Rp 500 miliar. Ini merupakan rangkaian obligasi sebesar Rp 1 triliun yang telah dikeluarkan 2013 lalu. ROTI menjanjikan bunga 10% per tahun untuk obligasinya. Adapun, obligasi tersebut memiliki tenor 5 tahun. Penjamin obligasi emisi obligasi berkelanjutan I tahap II ROTI ini adalah PT BCA Sekuritas dengan porsi 82,4% dan PT Mandiri Sekuritas 17,6%. Kemudian, ROTI menunjuk PT Bank Mega Tbk (MEGA) sebagai wali amanat. Tahun 2015 EPS ROTI sebesar Rp. 2.4 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER ROTI sebesar 173.5 kali. Maka harga wajar ROTI tahun 2015 Rp. 4.164 per saham.

♦ Laba PT Semen Indonesia Tbk (SMGR) sepanjang 2014 tumbuh 3,7%.

Laba PT Semen Indonesia Tbk (SMGR) tumbuh tipis. SMGR ini membukukan laba bersih Rp 5,65 triliun sepanjang 2014, tumbuh 3,72% dibanding laba tahun 2013 yang sebesar Rp 5,37 triliun. Kenaikan laba SMGR didukung oleh pendapatan tahun 2014 yang naik 10,16% menjadi Rp 26,99 triliun dari sebelumnya Rp 24,5 triliun. Hingga lima tahun ke depan SMGR akan terus melakukan ekspansi, baik di dalam maupun di luar negeri. Saat ini, SMGR tengah membangun pabrik di Indrarung, Sumatera Barat dan Rembang, Jawa Tengah. Tahun 2015 EPS SMGR sebesar Rp. 1.081 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER SMGR sebesar 18.30 kali. Maka harga wajar SMGR tahun 2015 Rp. 19.782 per saham.

♦ PT PP Tbk (PTPP) Targetkan Kantongi Kontrak Baru Rp 27 triliun di 2015.

PT PP Tbk (PTPP) menargetkan kontrak baru sebesar Rp 27 triliun pada 2015. Target itu 30 persen dari realisasi perolehan tahun 2014 sebesar Rp 20,24 triliun. Angka itu belum termasuk carry over tahun 2014 sebesar Rp 29 triliun. Ada sejumlah langkah yang dilakukan perseroan untuk meningkatkan laba perusahaan pada 2015. salah satunya perseroan melalui anak usahanya yaitu PT PP Properti akan meneruskan pembangunan proyek Grand Kamala di Kalimalang dan proyek Grand Sungkono Lagoon di Surabaya.

♦ PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) pelopori penggunaan teknologi inner boring. PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) menjadi pelopor penggunaan teknologi inner boring tiang pancang pembangunan gedung di Indonesia. Teknologi inner boring memiliki sejumlah keuntungan dibandingkan dengan teknologi-teknologi pemasangan fondasi gedung vertikal yang sudah ada sebelumnya. Keunggulannya antara lain tidak menghasilkan getaran karena melubangi tanah dengan cara dibor sambil dimasukkan tiang pancang dengan cara ditekan.


Page 2


Today’s Pick Chart AISA

ICBP

Stochastic diatas 80% dan RSI diatas 70%, didukung EMA-5 downtrend. Mengindikasikan saham di area jenuh beli dan rawan aksi profit taking. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 2.200 dan Resistance 2.265.

Candelistick chart membentuk whote candle. MACD golden cross didukung trend volume meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 14.125 dan resistance 14.700.

INTP

MPPA

Penutupan gagal breakout di level 24.125 didukung stochastic diatas 80%. Saham INTP bergerak di area overbought dan rawan profit taking. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 23.600 Resistance 24.125.

Stochastic golden cross, didukung tren penjualan menurun. Penutupan breakout resistance 1 di level 4.420, mempunyai potensi untuk menembus resistance berikutnya di level 4.475. Rec : Buy. Support 4.200 dan resistance 4.475.

PTPP

SCMA

Stochastic dead cross, EMA 5 downtrend. Candlelistck chart membentuk pola black candle, secara teoritis mengindikasikan penurunan lebih lanjut. Rec : Sell. Support 3.870 dan resistance 4.130.

Penutupan di area positif, trend penjualan mereda. Akan bergerak di area bullish jika mampu breakout di level 3.645. Rec : Speculatife Buy (SB). Stoploss dibawah 3.515.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 3


NO 1

Stock

Closing

ASII

Price 8,000 14,400

Rec Buy SB

Target

Stop Loss

8,100

Support I

II

Pivot

Resistance I

Technical

II

Alert C andlelistck white C andle

7,800

7,900

7,800

7,900

8,000

8,500

14,425

13,900

14,200

14,100

14,500

14,600

14,700

RSI Netral

2

BBC A

3

BBNI

6,675

Sell

6,675

6,775

6,500

6,000

7,000

7,000

7,500

Black C andle

4

BBRI

12,875

Sell

11,900

12,450

12,700

12,600

12,800

12,900

13,000

Black C andle

5

BMRI

11,900

Sell

11,700

11,800

11,800

11,700

11,900

12,000

13,000

MAC D Dead cross

6

GGRM

55,000

Sell

52,000

53,000

54,500

54,000

54,900

55,000

56,000

EMA-5 Downtrend

7

INDF

7,425

Buy

7,500

7,300

7,300

7,000

7,500

7,600

8,000

8

SMGR

14,825

Sell

14,500

14,775

14,700

14,000

14,800

14,500

15,000

9

TLKM

2,945

Sell

2,880

2,900

2,900

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

EMA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Dead C ross EMA-5 Downtrend

Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10

AALI

11

BWPT

12 13 14

25,625

Buy

26,000

24,450

25,500

25,000

25,600

25,800

26,000

362

Sell

345

350

400

350

450

550

650

LSIP

1,920

Buy

1,980

1,775

1,900

1,800

1,900

2,000

2,500

SIMP

740

Buy

780

680

700

600

800

850

900

SSMS

1,985

Stochastic Golden C ross C andlelistick black candle Open Gap White C andle

Buy

2,020

1,930

1,900

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

RSI dan Stochastic Netral

Sell

3,255

3,120

3,300

3,200

3,400

3,500

3,600

Stochastic Dead C ross

Contractor & Property 15

ADHI

3,360

16

PTPP

3,980

Sell

3,860

3,780

3,900

3,000

4,000

4,500

5,000


17

WIKA

3,595

Sell

3,345

3,315

3,500

3,600

3,700

3,700

3,800


18

WSKT

1,810

Buy

1,935

1,725

1,800

1,700

1,900

2,000

2,500

Stochastic Golden cross

24

ASRI

635

Sell

630

585

600

500

700

800

900

25

BSDE

2,190

Sell

2,045

1,985

2,100

2,000

2,200

2,500

3,000

Stochastic dead cross Stochastic Dead cross

26

C TRA

27

KIJA

28

LPKR

1,455 349

SOS Sell

1,450

1,400

1,500

1,000

1,600

1,700

1,800

325

341

350

300

450

500

600

Stochastic Dead cross

Stochastic Dead cross

1,170

Buy

1,200

1,065

1,100

1,000

1,200

1,300

1,400

Stochastic Golden cross Stochastic golden cross

Mining 29

ADRO

1,015

Buy

980

930

1,000

900

1,200

1,200

1,300

30

ANTM

1,000

Buy

1,030

990

900

800

1,000

1,100

1,200

Stochastic Golden cross Stochastic dibawah 20%

31

INC O

3,425

Buy

3,600

3,510

3,300

3,200

3,500

3,600

3,700

32

ITMG

17,500

Buy

17,500

16,300

17,200

17,000

17,600

17,800

18,000

Stochastic Golden cross

1,200

Stochastic dibawah 20%

33

TINS

990

Buy

1,045

1,005

900

800

1,000

1,150

Others Stochastic Reversal

34

BBTN

1,115

Buy

1,105

975

1,000

900

1,150

1,200

1,300

35

INTP

24,100

SOS

24,600

24,375

23,700

23,400

24,000

25,000

25,500

36

KLBF

1,825

Buy

2,966

2,880

1,800

1,000

1,850

1,900

2,000

EMA-5 Uptrend

37

MPPA

4,440

Buy

4,600

3,745

4,300

4,000

4,500

4,600

4,700

EMA-5 Uptrend

38

PGAS

5,350

Buy

5,325

5,100

5,300

5,000

5,300

5,400

5,600

C andlelistck white marubozu

39

UNTR

22,225

Buy

22,500

20,100

21,800

21,400

22,000

22,500

22,700

Stochastic diatas 80%

EMA-5 Uptrend

Evening Star 40 UNVR 36,075 Sell 34,000 35,000 35,800 35,600 36,000 36,500 37,000 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy


Page 4


Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Puspa Rini Senior Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected]

Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected]

Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 5

Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : BI berupaya memperdalam pasar valuta asing. PALM : Mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar

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