DAILY REPORT Jumat 6 Maret 2015
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Kamis, 5 Maret 2015
♦
IHSG : 5,450.847 (2,888)/0,053 % Market Volume
: 5,358 Billion Share
Market Value
: 5,749.327 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers SILO
12,500
300
BBCA
14,500
75
0.5%
LPPF
17,950
450
2.6%
UNTR
21,775
125
0.6%
UNVR
36,250
150
0.4%
-3.9%
♦
2.5%
Lagging Movers SMRA
1,725
-70
MPPA
4,065
-160
-3.8%
MNCN
3,015
-70
-2.3%
INTP
23,900
-100
-0.4%
ICBP
14,375
-175
-1.2%
Most Active TLKM
2,910
0
0.00%
SSMS
1,990
-5
-0.25%
LPKR
1,145
0
0.00%
ASRI
610
-10
-1.61%
BBTN
1,155
15
1.32%
SILO
12,500
300
2.46%
BBRI
12,850
25
0.19%
TLKM
2,910
0
0.00%
Top Value
ASII
7,850
-25
-0.32%
BMRI
11,825
-25
-0.21%
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD SBI 1 mo
Perubahan +/% 12,975
0.00
7,5%
7,50%
(0.25)
Deflasi MoM
0,36%
0,24%
0.12
Inflasi YoY
6,29%
6,96%
(0.67)
TLKM
-0.40
Valuasi USD IDR 12,975
2,901
Indeks Dunia Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
18,136
38.82
4,983
15.67
0.32
Nikkei 225
18,752
48.24
0.26
Hangseng
24,193
DJIA Nasdaq
Today’s Pick Aksi
Kode
Harga
Target
SOS SELL BOW BUY BUY BOW
LPPF APLN ASII SOCI BBNI CTRA
17,950 450 7,850 605 6,675 1,420
18,000 444 8,050 620 6,825 6,825
Keterangan Penguatan terbatas. EMA-5 uptrend dan Stochastic diatas 80%. Oversold. EMA-5 Downtrend. Konsolidasi sehat, RSI dan Boollinger Band netral. Uptgrend. MACD golden cross. EMA-5 uptrend. Oversold. EMA-5 uptrend, Stochastic 20% Oversold. Stochastic menyentuh level 20%,
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
12,975
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan %
♦
Pada perdagangan kemarin, Kamis 5/3/2015 IHSG berhasil naik ke level 5,450.95 atau 2,89/(+0,05). Ditengah pelemahan bursa regional, IHSG berhasil bertahan di zona hijau selama perdagangan berlangsung. Penguatan IHSG ditopang oleh sektor Mining dan Infrastructure. Bursa saham Wall Street menguat didorong berita stimulus eropa. Bank Central Eropa (ECB) mengumumkan akan meluncurkan program pembelian obligasi 1,1 Triliun Euro (1,2 Triliun dolar AS) pada Senin 9 Maret. ECB juga menaikan perkiraan pertumbuhan untuk 19 negara zona Euro. Indek MSCI Asia Pacific naik 0,2% pagi ini. Nikkei naik 0,96%, dan Kospi naik 0,35%. Dari dalam negri sentimen negatif pelemahan rupiah sepertinya masih membayangi pasar dan menahan laju IHSG. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan melemah dengan kisaran support 5.240 dan resistance 5.465.
(272.34)
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: China hanya pasang target pertumbuhan 7%.
√
AKRA
:
√
ADHI
: Menerbitkan MTN tahap II 2015 Rp. 100 Miliar.
√
TINS
: Pengolahan (smelter) mundur Agustus 2015.
√
LPPF
: Cetak Laba Bersih Rp. 1,4 Triliun di 2014.
√
WSKT
: Raih kontrak Rp. 691 miliar sampai Februari 2015.
Suntik modal anak usaha Rp. 780 Miliar.
0.21
(1.11)
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 1
DAILY REPORT Jumat 6 Maret 2015
Economic News
♦ Pemerintah China memasang target pertumbuhan ekonomi mereka sebesar 7%. Pengumuman tersebut diutarakan
oleh Perdana Menteri China Li Keqiang. Target tersebut lebih rendah dibandingkan target pertumbuhan ekonominya tahun lalu sebesar 7,5%. Meski demikian, target baru ini sejalan dengan rencana China membawa perekonomian mereka mengalami pertumbuhan bertahap namun berkesinambungan. Pada tahun lalu, ekonomi China tumbuh 7,4%, turun dari pencapaian 2013 di mana ekonominya tumbuh 7,7%. Penurunan pertumbuhan ekonomi China tahun lalu dipicu oleh mendinginnya pasar properti, melambatnya aktivitas pabrik, dan menurunnya investasi bisnis dan pemerintah. Sementara itu, pemerintah China menargetkan untuk menciptakan 10 juta lapangan kerja dan menahan tingkat pengangguran di level 4,5% atau di bawahnya.
♦ PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) suntik modal anak usaha Rp 780 miliar.
PT AKR Corporindo, Tbk (AKRA) ingin menggenjot bisnis jasa logistik dan kawasan industri melalui anak usahanya, PT Usaha Era Pratama Nusantara (UEPN). Anak usaha yang 99,99% sahamnya milik AKRA ini mendapat peningkatan modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh dari sang induk sebesar Rp 780 miliar. Dana yang diperoleh UEPN akan digunakan untuk menunjang kegiatan usaha UEPN dan penambahan modal anak-anak perusahaannya. Peningkatan modal ini juga bertujuan mendorong pembangunan fasilitas pelabuhan terpadu dan kawasan industri, Java Integrated Industrial Port Estate (JIIPE). Tahun 2015 EPS AKRA sebesar Rp.253.6 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER AKRA sebesar 26.62 kali. Maka harga wajar AKRA tahun 2015 Rp. 6.750 per saham.
♦ PT Adhi Karya Tbk (ADHI) Menerbitkan MTN tahap II 2015 Rp. 100 Miliar.
PT Adhi Karya Tbk (ADHI) kembali menerbitkan surat utang untuk membiayai sejumlah anak usahanya. ADHI menerbitkan medium term notes (MTN) Adhi Persada Properti tahap II Tahun 2015 sebesar Rp 100 miliar. ADHI menawarkan kupon MTN sebesar 12% per tahun. Adapun masa jatuh tempo MTN selama 35 bulan. Tujuan penerbitan MTN ini juga untuk membiayai proyek Grand Dhika Surabaya dan Taman Melati Sadjito.
♦ PT Timah Tbk (TINS) pengoperasian pabrik pengolahan (smelter) mundur hingga Agustus 2015. PT Timah Tbk mengatakan pengoperasian pabrik pengolahan (smelter) mineral tanah jarang atau rare earth diproyeksikan mundur hingga Agustus 2015 mendatang. Rencana ini molor dari rencana semula yang ditargetkan bisa uji coba pada Januari 2015 dan beroperasi komersial pada Maret 2015 ini. mundurnya rencana kegiatan uji coba dan tahapan operasi komersial karena terkendala pengadaan mesin dan peralatan yang sebagian besar didatangkan dari luar negeri. Dan juga melakukan perubahan desain gambar smelter rare earth. Namun, over all smelter ini lebih baik dari rencana sebelumnya. Tahun 2015 EPS TINS sebesar Rp.164.21 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER TINS sebesar 7.92 kali. Maka harga wajar TINS tahun 2015 Rp. 1.300 per saham.
♦ PT Matahari Department Store Tbk (LPPF) Cetak Laba Bersih Rp. 1,4 Triliun.
PT Matahari Department Store Tbk (LPPF), mencatatkan laba bersih sebesar Rp 1,4 triliun pada 2014 atau naik 31% dibandingkan tahun sebelumnya Rp 1,1 triliun. Penjualan bersih tercatat sebesar Rp 7,9 triliun atau tumbuh 17,3% dibandingkan 2013 sebesar Rp 6,7 triliun. Matahari Department Store merupakan salah satu jaringan ritel terbesar Indonesia yang menyediakan produk fashion, kecantikan, dan perlengkapan rumah tangga. Perseroan memiliki lebih dari 1.200 pemasok lokal dan internasional.
♦ PT Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk (WSKT) raih kontrak Rp. 691 miliar sampai Februari.
PT Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk (WSKT) sampai akhir bulan lalu memperoleh kontrak baru senilai Rp 691 miliar. Perusahaan WSKT merinci, kontrak baru tersebut didapat dari pekerjaan penambahan akses Jalan Kali Baru senilai Rp 69,4 miliar, penambahan FO Pegangsaan Rp 31,9 miliar, dan penambahan jembatan Tulur Aji Jelangkat Kalimantan Timur Rp 30,9 miliar. WSKT juga mengerjakan pembangunan gedung RS Stella Maris Makassar senilai Rp 40 miliar, proyek jalan di Makassar senilai Rp 10,7 miliar, serta jalan tol Kanci Pejanggan lanjutan Rp 89,2 miliar. Kemudian, WSKT menggarap proyek joint operation lansekap Bandara Soekarno-Hatta senilai Rp 157 miliar, akses ducting utilitas Bandara Soekarno-Hatta Rp 253 miliar, dan beberapa proyek lainnya.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 2
DAILY REPORT Jumat 6 Maret 2015
Today’s Pick Chart LPPF
APLN
Candlelistick chart membentuk white candle didukung EMA-5 uptrend namun RSI menembus 70% mengindikasikan kerawanan aksi profit taking. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 17.450 dan Resistance 18.000
EMA-5 Downtrend didukung volume penjualan meningkat. Candle membentuk black candle, secara teoritis masih akan ada penurunan lebih lanjut. Rec : Sell. Support 444 dan resistance 461.
ASII
SOCI
ASII dalam konsolidasi sehat, RSI dan Boollinger Band netral. Kemungkinan saham akan bergerak uptrend jika mampu breakout di level 8.000. Rec. Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 7.875 dan resistance 8.050.
MACD golden cross. EMA-5 uptrend didukung volume meningkat. Mengindikasikan potensi untuk menembus resistance berikutnya di 620. Rec : Buy. Support 565 dan resistance 620.
BBNI
CTRA
Stochastic 20%, penutupan breakout resistance 1 di level 6.700 didukung EMA-5 uptrend. Mengindikasikan saham memasuki area oversold. Rec: Buy. Support 6.600 dan resistance 6.825.
Stochastic menyentuh level 20%, diikuti trend penjualan menurun. Kemungkinan saham berada diarea oversold. Mempunyai potensi uptrend jika mampu breakout di level 1.450. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 1.415 resistance 1.450.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 3
DAILY REPORT Jumat 6 Maret 2015
NO 1
Stock
Closing
ASII
Price 7,850
Rec BOW
Target
Stop Loss
8,100
Support I
II
Pivot
Resistance I
II
7,800
7,800
7,700
7,900
8,000
8,500
14,300
14,500
14,600
15,000
Technical Alert RSI Netral EMA-5 Uptrend
2
BBC A
14,500
Buy
14,800
13,900
14,400
3
BBNI
6,675
Buy
6,825
6,450
6,600
6,200
6,700
6,800
7,000
Black C andle
4
BBRI
12,850
Sell
11,900
12,450
12,700
12,500
12,800
12,900
13,000
Black C andle
5
BMRI
11,825
Sell
11,700
11,800
11,700
11,600
11,800
11,900
12,000
MAC D Dead cross
6
GGRM
54,275
Sell
52,000
53,000
54,200
54,000
54,500
55,000
56,000
Evening Star
7
INDF
7,450
Buy
7,500
7,300
7,400
7,300
7,500
7,600
8,000
8
SMGR
14,900
Sell
14,500
14,775
14,800
14,700
14,900
15,000
15,500
9
TLKM
2,910
Sell
2,880
2,900
2,800
2,500
2,900
3,000
3,500
EMA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Dead C ross MAC D Dead cross
Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10
AALI
11
BWPT
12 13 14
26,300
Buy
26,600
24,450
26,000
25,000
26,200
26,500
27,000
364
Sell
345
350
360
330
400
450
500
LSIP
1,910
Buy
1,980
1,775
1,800
1,700
1,900
2,000
2,500
SIMP
735
Buy
780
680
750
700
800
850
900
SSMS
1,990
Stochastic Golden C ross C andlelistick black candle Open Gap White C andle
Buy
2,020
1,930
1,900
1,500
2,000
2,200
2,500
RSI dan Stochastic Netral
Sell
3,255
3,120
3,200
3,000
3,500
3,600
4,000
EMA-5 Downtrend
Contractor & Property 15
ADHI
3,290
16
PTPP
3,980
Sell
3,860
3,780
3,900
3,800
4,000
4,500
5,000
EMA-5 Downtrend
17
WIKA
3,515
Sell
3,345
3,315
3,400
3,200
3,500
3,600
3,700
Stochastic Dead C ross
18
WSKT
1,795
Sell
1,740
1,725
1,700
1,600
1,800
1,900
2,000
EMA-5 Downtrend Stochastic Dead cross
24
ASRI
610
Sell
605
585
600
500
700
800
900
25
BSDE
2,140
Sell
2,045
1,985
2,100
2,000
2,200
2,300
2,500
MAC D dead cross
26
C TRA
1,420
BOW
1,450
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,500
1,600
1,800
Stochastic 20%
27
KIJA
325
341
350
300
400
500
600
28
LPKR
352
Sell
Stochastic Dead cross
1,145
Buy
1,200
1,065
1,100
1,000
1,200
1,300
1,500
Stochastic Golden cross Stochastic golden cross
Mining 29
ADRO
1,005
Buy
1,050
930
900
800
1,000
1,200
1,300
30
ANTM
1,005
Buy
1,030
990
900
750
1,000
1,200
1,250
Stochastic Golden cross
31
INC O
3,415
Buy
3,600
3,510
3,300
3,200
3,500
3,600
3,800
Stochastic dibawah 20%
32
ITMG
16,900
Buy
17,500
16,300
16,700
16,600
16,900
17,000
17,500
Stochastic Golden cross
33
TINS
1,045
Buy
1,045
1,005
1,000
900
1,200
1,300
1,500
MAC D Golden C ross
Others 34
BBTN
1,155
Buy
1,165
975
1,100
1,000
1,150
1,200
1,300
EMA-5 Uptrend
35
INTP
23,900
Sell
23,600
24,375
23,700
23,600
24,000
24,200
24,500
Black Marubozu
36
KLBF
1,805
Buy
2,966
2,880
1,700
1,000
1,800
1,900
2,000
EMA-5 Uptrend
37
MPPA
4,065
Buy
4,600
3,745
3,900
3,800
4,000
4,200
4,300
EMA-5 Uptrend
38
PGAS
5,275
Buy
5,325
5,100
5,200
5,100
5,300
5,500
6,000
C andlelistck white marubozu
39
UNTR
21,775
Buy
22,500
20,100
21,600
21,400
21,700
21,900
22,000
EMA-5 Uptrend
Evening Star 40 UNVR 36,250 Sell 34,000 35,000 35,900 35,500 36,000 36,500 37,000 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 4
DAILY REPORT Jumat 6 Maret 2015
Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Senior Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 5