DAILY REPORT Senin 2 November 2015
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Jumat, 30 Oktober 2015
♦ Pada perdagangan akhir pekan, Jumat 30/10/2015 Indeks
IHSG : 4,455.180
-16.841/(0.377%)
Market Volume
: 4,658 Billion Shares
Market Value
: 5,618.958 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers ASII GGRM
5,900
100
1.7%
42,950
50
0.1%
AKRA
5,900
275
4.9%
LPPF
16,575
225
1.4%
PGAS
3,000
100
3.4%
BMRI
8,700
-300
-3.3%
BBRI
10,525
-225
-2.1%
BBCA
12,900
-250
-1.9%
UNVR
37,000
-200
-0.5%
INTP
18,000
-350
-1.9%
Lagging Movers
Most Active ASII
5,900
100
1.72%
TLKM
2,680
-50
-1.83%
MYRX
675
10
1.50%
SSMS
1,900
0
0.00%
WSKT
1,630
5
0.31%
Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) melemah 16,84 poin (0,38%) dan ditutup pada level 4.455,18. Secara keseluruhan, sebagian sektor melemah antara lain Sektor Pertambangan melemah 0,60%, Sektor Barang Konsumsi melemah 0,71%, Sektor Infrastruktur melemah 0,33% dan Sektor Keuangan melemah 1,69%. Investor asing melakukan net sell sebesar Rp 800 miliar. ♦ Bursa saham AS ditutup melemah. Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Averange melemah 92,28 poin atau 0,52% ke level 17.663,54, Indeks S&P 500 melemah 10,05 poin atau 0,48% ke level 2.079 dan Indeks Nasdaq Composite melemah 20,53 poin atau 0,40% ke level 5.053,75. Kenaikan bulanan terbesar dicetak oleh Indeks S&P 500 menguat 8,3%, Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Averange menguat 8,5% dan kemudian Indeks Nasdaq Composite menguat 9,4%. Namun jika dilihat performa secara bulanan, tiga indeks utama mencatatkan kinerja terbaik dalam empat tahun terakhir atau sejak sejak Oktober 2011. ♦ IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak melemah dengan rentang support 4.400 dan resistance 4.480.
Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga
Top Value
BOW
AALI
19,900
Keterangan
20,250
MA-5 dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan Stochastic diatas 20%. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Williams%R downtrend.
BMRI
8,700
-300
-3.33%
BBRI
10,525
-225
-2.09%
SOS
BBRI
10,525
10,375
ASII
5,900
100
1.72%
BOW
GGRM
42,950
43,350
Stochastic goldencross. Didukung volume beli meningkat.
TLKM
2,680
-50
-1.83%
SOS
INTP
18,000
17,850
MFI downtrend. Stochastic downtrend. Williams%R downtrend.
HMSP
91,975
225
0.25%
SOS
LPKR
1,190
1,155
SOS
TINS
625
595
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
USD
13,668
13,609
SBI 1 mo
7,50%
7,50%
Deflasi MoM
0,05%
0,39%
0.34
Inflasi YoY
6,83%
7,18%
0.35
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM
0.06
0.43 -
Valuasi USD IDR 13,668
2,717
Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA
17,663.54
(92.26)
(0.52)
(20.49)
(0.40)
Nikkei 225
19,083.10
147.39
0.78
Hangseng
22,640.04
(179.90)
(0.79)
2,998.35
(3.16)
(0.11)
Nasdaq
STI
5,053.75
Perubahan +/%
RSI dan stochastic downtrend. LPKR potensi turun. Williams%R downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat.
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: AS turun tajam di kuartal III-2015.
√
DAJK
: Meraih pinjaman US$ 24 juta.
√
ELSA
: Meraup kontrak baru US$ 185 juta.
√
MPPA
: Membuka gerai Hypermart ke 122 di Balikpapan.
√
ASII
: Mencatat pendapatan bersih Rp 138,2 triliun.
√
PGAS
: Memperluas gas rumah tangga di kota Pasuruan.
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, Bloomberg, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Senin 2 November 2015
Economic News
♦ Pada kuartal III-2015, pertumbuhan ekonomi Amerika turun tajam. Data Departemen Perdagangan AS menunjukkan, tingkat Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) AS hanya sebesar 1,5% pada periode Juli hingga September 2015. Angka ini turun dari angka 3,9% pada kuartal II. Perlambatan ekonomi sebagian besar dipicu oleh aksi korporasi yang menyetok barang cadangan di gudang mereka. Selain itu, rendahnya harga minyak memukul perusahaan-perusahaan energi AS. Namun, rendahnya harga minyak menjadi kabar baik bagi anggaran belanja konsumen, yang menyumbang dua per tiga ativitas ekonomi Amerika. Pada kuartal III, anggaran belanja konsumen tumbuh 3,2%. Pencapaian ini lebih rendah dari pertumbuhan kuartal II sebesar 3,6%.
♦ PT Dwi Aneka Jaya Kemasindo Tbk (DAJK) meraih pinjaman US$ 24 juta.
PT Dwi Aneka Jaya Kemasindo Tbk (DAJK) meraih pinjaman senilai US$ 24 juta dari Standard Chartered Bank cabang Singapura. Pinjaman itu untuk menunjang kegiatan usaha utama perseroan. Tahun ini, PT Dwi Aneka Jaya Kemasindo juga berencana memperoleh dana segar melaui pinjaman sindikasi (syndication loan) senilai total Rp 1,45 triliun. Perseroan menargetkan mampu mengantongi dana tersebut pada kuartal III-2014. Rencananya sindikasi dengan tiga bank asing, tenor rata-rata yang ditawarkan adalah lima tahun. Sedangkan, perseroan masih terus bernegosiasi untuk mendapatkan tingkat bunga yang rendah. Saat ini rata-rata bunga 11-12%. Tapi, perseroan masih membidik bunga dibawah itu kalau bisa kisaran 10 %.
♦ PT Elnusa Tbk (ELSA) meraup kontrak baru US$ 185 juta.
PT Elnusa Tbk (ELSA) meraup kontrak baru sebesar US$ 185 juta hingga September 2015, susut 22,6% dibandingkan periode sama tahun lalu US$ 239 juta. Kontrak-kontrak tersebut berasal dari DOS (driliing and oill services) dan seismik (land seismic services). DOS menyumbangkan kontrak baru sekitar US$ 99,9 juta atau setara 54 persen dari total kontrak baru. Sisanya, berasal dari kontribusi kontrak jasa seismik. Penurunan perolehan kontrak baru tersebut disebabkan oleh kontrak DOS yang menurun cukup signifikan. Bandingkan, pada periode sama tahun lalu, kontrak baru DOS tercatat sebesar US$ 219,88 juta atau 92 persen dari total kontrak baru. “Kontrak DOS memang turun, tapi terbantu dengan kontrak seismik kami yang naik. Meskipun, secara total tetap turun dibandingkan kuartal III – 2014.
♦ PT Matahari Putra Prima Tbk (MPPA) membuka gerai Hypermart ke 122 di Balikpapan. PT. Matahari Putra Prima Tbk membuka gerai Hypermart ke 122 di Pentacity Mall Balikpapan dengan luas area penjualan 3.200 Meter Persegi berada di kawasan Balikpapan Super Block. Hypermart Pentacity Mall merupakan gerai Hypermart ke 12 di Kalimanatan dan menjadi gerai keempat di Provinsi Kalimantan Timur. Hypermart tersebut menjual 35 ribu Store Keeping Unit (SKU) dan masyarakat dapat memperoleh barang yang memiliki kualitas. Kehadiran Hypermart yang kedua di Balikpapan ini tentunya dapat memberikan dampak positif bagi ekonomi masyarakat. Saat ini, Hypermart yang baru dibuka tersebut mempekerjakan sekitar 1.500 warga lokal Balikpapan ditambah 50 karyawan supplier.
♦ PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) mencatat pendapatan bersih Rp 138,2 triliun. PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) mencatatkan pendapatan bersih konsolidasian pada kuartal III 2015 sebesar Rp138,2 triliun atau menurun delapan persen jika dibandingkan periode sama tahun sebelumnya yang senilai Rp150,6 triliun. Pendapatan bersih konsolidasian Astra International Tbk itu terutama disebabkan oleh penurunan di segmen otomotif, alat berat dan pertambangan, serta agribisnis. Grup Astra menghadapi penurunan konsumsi domestik, persaingan di pasar mobil, pelemahan harga komoditas dan penurunan kualitas kredit korporasi dalam sembilan bulan pertama tahun ini, sehingga kontribusi dari seluruh segmen bisnis menurun kecuali alat berat dan pertambangan.
♦ PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk (PGN) memperluas gas rumah tangga di kota Pasuruan.
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk (PGAS) memperluas penyaluran gas bumi melalui pipa bagi pelanggan rumah tangga di Kota Pasuruan, Jatim. volume gas bumi yang akan disalurkan sebanyak 1.370 m3 kepada 137 kepala keluarga di Pasuruan. Penyaluran gas ini merupakan bagian program PGAS Sayang Ibu untuk menambah pelanggan rumah tangga PGAS sebanyak satu juta di Indonesia. Penyaluran gas ini mendukung program pemerintah dalam rangka konversi BBM ke gas bumi. Selain rumah tangga, PGAS juga telah menyalurkan gas ke 96 industri berbagai sektor seperti makanan, kayu dan kimia di Pasuruan, sehingga meningkatkan daya saing produknya.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Senin 2 November 2015
Today’s Pick Chart AALI
BBRI
MA-5 dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan Stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan AALI potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 19.975 dan resistance 20.250.
MACD dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Williams%R downtrend. Mengindikasikan BBRI potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 10.375 dan resistance 10.700.
GGRM
INTP
MACD dan MFI uptrend. Stochastic goldencross. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Indikasikan GGRM potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 42.775 dan resistance 43.350.
MA-5 dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Williams%R downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Mengindikasikan INTP potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 17.850 dan resistance 18.325.
LPKR
TINS
MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Candle chart membentuk inverter hammer. Mengindikasikan LPKR potensi melanjutkan penurunannya. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 1.155 dan resistance 1.220
MA-5 dan MACD downtrend. Williams%R downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Mengindikasikan TINS potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 595 dan resistance 660.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 3
DAILY REPORT Senin 2 November 2015
Support Resistance Closing Rec Target Stop Pivot Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 5,900 BOW 6,200 6,100 5,700 5,500 6,000 6,100 6,200 2 BBCA 12,900 BOW 13,700 13,600 12,700 12,500 13,000 13,500 13,800 3 BBNI 4,755 BOW 5,300 5,200 4,600 4,400 4,800 5,000 5,200 4 BBRI 10,525 SOS 10,000 9,500 10,300 10,000 10,600 11,000 11,200 5 BMRI 8,700 BOW 9,700 9,600 8,600 8,200 9,000 9,200 9,400 6 GGRM 42,950 BOW 44,000 43,000 42,200 41,500 43,000 43,500 44,000 7 INDF 5,525 SOS 5,000 4,500 5,400 5,100 5,700 6,000 6,100 8 SMGR 9,800 SOS 9,500 9,000 9,600 9,200 10,000 10,200 10,400 9 TLKM 2,680 SOS 2,500 2,400 2,600 2,400 2,800 2,900 3,000 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 19,900 BOW 21,000 20,000 19,300 18,500 20,000 20,500 21,000 11 BWPT 235 BOW 350 300 200 100 300 400 500 12 LSIP 1,550 BOW 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,200 1,700 1,900 2,000 13 SIMP 463 SOS 300 250 400 300 500 600 700 14 SSMS 1,900 BOW 2,200 2,100 1,800 1,500 2,000 2,100 2,200 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2,230 BOW 2,600 2,500 2,100 1,900 2,500 2,700 2,900 16 PTPP 3,810 BOW 3,900 3,800 3,600 3,200 3,800 4,000 4,100 17 WIKA 2,940 SOS 2,700 2,600 2,800 2,500 3,000 3,100 3,200 18 WSKT 1,630 BOW 1,850 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,800 2,000 2,100 24 ASRI 389 BOW 450 400 300 200 400 500 600 25 BSDE 1,620 BOW 1,800 1,700 1,500 1,200 1,800 1,900 2,100 26 CTRA 1,085 BOW 1,200 1,100 1,000 800 1,500 1,700 1,900 27 KIJA 203 BOW 250 200 190 150 200 230 260 28 LPKR 1,190 SOS 900 800 1,100 900 1,300 1,600 1,800 Mining 29 ADRO 595 SOS 550 500 500 400 600 700 800 30 ANTM 378 SOS 300 280 300 200 400 500 600 31 INCO 2,235 SOS 2,100 2,000 2,200 2,000 2,500 2,700 2,900 32 ITMG 8,475 SOS 7,000 6,500 8,300 8,000 8,600 9,000 9,100 33 TINS 625 SOS 500 400 600 500 700 800 900 Others 34 BBTN 1,185 BOW 1,300 1,200 1,100 900 1,300 1,500 1,600 35 INTP 18,000 SOS 17,000 16,000 17,600 17,000 18,000 18,500 19,000 36 KLBF 1,430 SOS 1,300 1,200 1,400 1,200 1,600 1,800 1,900 37 MPPA 2,245 SOS 2,100 2,000 2,200 2,000 2,500 2,700 2,900 38 PGAS 3,000 SOS 2,900 2,800 2,900 2,500 3,000 3,100 3,200 39 UNTR 18,100 SOS 17,800 17,500 17,700 17,200 18,000 18,500 19,000 40 UNVR 37,000 SOS 36,000 36,500 36,800 36,500 37,000 37,500 38,000 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy NO Stock
Technical Alert MACD Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Downtrend MACD Uptrend MFI Uptrend MACD Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend
MA‐5 uptrend Stochastic, RSI naik Candle Long White Line EMA‐5 Downtrend MA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic uptrend EMA‐5 Uptrend RSI Downtrend Candle bearish stop loss RSI diatas 30% RSI Uptrend Stochastic Goldencross Stochastic deathcross MFI Downtrend MACD Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend MACD Downtrend EMA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend MACD Downtrend RSI Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Senin 2 November 2015
Research Team
Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57944266 Ext. 463 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
Wayan Sudiantara Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 5
