DAILY REPORT Jumat 27 Februari 2015
Jumat, 27 Februari 2015
Market View
IHSG : 5,451.422 (6.314)/ 0.116%
♦
AKTIVITAS BURSA
Market Volume
: 6,828 Billion Share
Market Value
: 7,766.76 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers LINK
6,000
525
BSDE
2,200
80
3.8%
UNVR
36,500
150
0.4%
LPPF
17,200
200
1.2%
AALI
24,950
450
1.8%
MPPA
4,180
-125
-2.9%
ASII
8,050
-100
-1.2%
PGAS
5,300
-75
-1.4%
UNTR
20,000
-100
-0.5%
BBNI
6,925
-50
-0.7%
LINK
6,000
525
9.59%
TLKM
2,975
5
0.17%
BSDE
2,200
80
3.77%
PWON
555
15
2.78%
ASRI
665
-10
-1.48%
LINK
6,000
525
9.59%
BBRI
12,950
25
0.19%
TLKM
2,975
5
0.17%
BMRI
11,875
-25
-0.21%
MPPA
4,180
-125
-2.90%
♦
9.6%
♦
Lagging Movers
Most Active
Top Value
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
12,872
12,827
0.35
SBI 1 mo
7.50%
7,75%
(0.25)
Deflasi MoM
0.24%
2,48%
(2.24)
Inflasi YoY
6.96%
8,36%
(1.40)
TLKM
0.23
Valuasi USD IDR 12,872
2,947
Indeks Dunia
DJIA Nasdaq
Today’s Pick Aksi
Kode
Harga
Target
Keterangan
BOW BUY BUY BUY SELL SB
TAXI JPFA BSDE AALI UNTR ADRO
885 880 2,200 24,950 20,000 945
920 900 2,250 25,300 19,100 980
Stochastic dibawah 20%, didukung RSI dibawah 30%. MACD golden cross, dan EMA_5 Uptrend. MACD golden cross. EMA-5 uptrend. Stochastic golden cross. RSI diatas 70% dan Stochastic Oscillator diatas 80%. RSI dibawah 30% dan Stochastic dibawah 20%.
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
USD
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan %
Pada perdagangan kemarin Kamis 26/2/2015, IHSG ditutup menguat tipis ke level 5.451,42 (6,31)/0,11%. Dalam transaksi tersebut tercatat 151 saham menguat, 234 saham melemah 121 saham stagnan. Minimnya sentimen positif baik dari dalam negeri dan regional membatasi kenaikan indeks. Indeks DJIA ditutup melemah tipis ke level 18.214,42 atau – 0.06%. Pelemahan yang terjadi disebabkan oleh penurunan saham-saham energi karena turunnya harga minyak dunia. Chevron dan Exxon Mobil adalah kontributor utama penurunan indeks Down Jones. Minimnya sentimen dari dalam negeri akan membuat IHSG dipengaruhi oleh sentimen dari regional. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak dalam kisaran sempit dengan kecenderungan melemah dalam kisaran support 5.387 dan resistance 5.465.
Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
18,214
(10.15)
4,988
20.75
0.42
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: Negara berkembang di Asia dan Afrika.
√
PTPP
: Menggarap proyek baru superblok di Surabaya.
√
EXCL
: Investasi Rp.50 Miliar Transformasi Jaringan.
√
INAF
: Targetkan laba melonjak 30 kali.
√
SSIA
: Memperkuat bisnis perhotelan.
√
IPO
: RS Mitra Keluarga Lepas 18% Saham Saat IPO.
(0.06)
Nikkei 225
18,786
200.59
1.08
Hangseng
24,902
123.78
0.50
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 1
DAILY REPORT Jumat 27 Februari 2015
Economic News
♦
Negara berkembang di Asia dan Afrika diprediksi masih akan menjadi yang terdepan dalam laju pertumbuhan ekonomi. pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia diperkirakan akan naik 3,2 persen di 2015 dan 3,7 persen di 2016. Pada periode 2012-2013, dan 2013-2014, pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia naik 3,3 persen per tahun. Tiongkok, Filipina, Kenya, India dan Indonesia diperkirakan akan menyumbang 16 persen dari produk domestik bruto dunia. Kelima negara tersebut juga diperkirakan tumbuh di atas 5 persen. Amerika Serikat dan Inggris, dua negara yang menyumbang 25 persen dari pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia, diperkirakan akan tumbuh 3,1 persen dan 2,6 persen tahun ini. Uni Eropa diperkirakan hanya tumbuh 1,2 persen akibat krisis di Yunani. Nigeria, perekonomian terbesar Afrika, diperkirakan tumbuh 4,9 persen tahun ini, sementara Kenya diprediksi tumbuh 6 persen. Meski demikian, 40 persen warga Kenya hidup di bawah garis kemiskinan. Sementara itu Indonesia diperkirakan tumbuh sekitar 5,2 persen meski pemerintah menetapkan target lebih tinggi di 5,7 persen.
♦ PT PP Properti menggarap proyek baru superblok di Surabaya, Jawa Timur. PT PP Properti, anak usaha PT PP Tbk (PTPP), akan menggarap proyek baru superblok di Surabaya, Jawa Timur. Nilai investasi diperkirakan mencapai Rp 6 triliun. Proyek baru itu terletak di Jalan Dharma Husada, Surabaya bagian timur. Proyek itu berada di lahan seluas 4,2 hektare (ha). Proyek baru di Surabaya terdiri atas apartemen, mal, dan superblok. Proyek itu mulai diluncurkan tahun ini.
♦ PT XL Axiata (EXCL) Investasi Rp50 Miliar Transformasi Jaringan 2015. PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL), perusahaan telekomunikasi terbesar kedua di Indonesia mengalokasikan dana sekitar Rp50 miliar pada tahun 2015 untuk membiayai program transformasi jaringan di 10 kota guna meningkatkan kualitas layanan komunikasi yang dibutuhkan pelanggan. Sepuluh kota yang akan dibidik di antaranya Medan, Palembang, Makassar, Banjarmasin, Mataram, Serang, Pandeglang, Semarang Yogyakarta, Sidoarjo, dan Balikpapan. Program ini dijalankan dengan meningkatan kualitas jaringan melalui modernisasi, desain menyeluruh implementasi yang tepat waktu, akselarasi alih teknologi 2G menuju 3G dan optimasi, serta memadukannya dengan aspek bisnis, strategi pemasaran, penjualan, distribusi yang tepat untuk meraih pengalaman terbaik bagi pelanggan. Untuk tahun 2015 EPS EXCL sebesar Rp.164 per saham. Berdasarkan rata-rata PER EXCL sebesar 41.71 kali. Sehingga harga wajar EXCL tahun 2015 sebesar Rp. 6.840 per saham.
♦ PT Indofarma Tbk (INAF) targetkan laba melonjak 30 kali.
PT Indofarma Tbk (INAF) optimistis, kinerja keuangan pada tahun ini. menargetkan pendapatan mencapai Rp 1,7 triliun. Jumlah tersebut tumbuh 20% dari pendapatan di tahun lalu senilai Rp 1,39 triliun. Penjualan obat dari rumahsakit, apotek, tender, e-katalog, dan non e-katalog merupakan penyumbang terbesar pendapatan INAF.
♦ PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk (SSIA) memperkuat bisnis perhotelan.
PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk (SSIA) memperkuat ekspansi bisnis hotel. Tahun ini, SSIA berniat membangun empat hotel setara bintang tiga dalam jaringan Batiqa Hotels dengan nilai total investasi Rp 350 miliar. Batiqa Hotels Cirebon meliputi 100 kamar. Dengan harga rata-rata sewa Rp 500.000-Rp 550.000 per kamar per malam, manajemen SSIA menargetkan tingkat okupansi hotel berbintang tiga ini sekitar 60%-70% pada tahun pertama beroperasi.
♦ PT RS Mitra Keluarga Lepas 18% Saham Saat IPO.
PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk. memulai masa penawaran umum perdana dengan melepas 261.913.000 lembar saham atau sekitar 18% dari modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh. PT Kresna Graha Sekurindo Tbk. bertindak sebagai lead underwriter dalam proses initial public offering ini. Sekitar 56% akan dipakai untuk membangun gedung rumah sakit baru di Jakarta dan Surabaya. Kemudian sebanyak 20% dipakai untuk peralatan medis dan infrastruktur telekomunikasi. Sekitar 16% untuk tambahan pembelian tanah guna mendukung ekspansi, sedangkan 8% sisanya memperluas rumah sakit yang sudah ada.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 2
DAILY REPORT Jumat 27 Februari 2015
Today’s Pick Chart TAXI
JPFA
Stochastic oscillator dibawah 20%, didukung RSI dibawah 30%. Secara teoritis TAXI berada di area oversold. Rec : Buy On Weekness (BOW). Support 880 dan resistance 945.
MACD golden cross dan EMA-5 uptrend. Candlelistck chart membentuk white marubozu, secara teoritis mengindikasikan minat beli meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 780 dan resistance 910.
BSDE
AALI
MACD golden cross, didukung penutupan breakout resistance 1 dilevel 2.185. kemungkinan saham akan bergerak uptrend. Rec : Buy. Support 2.100 dan Resistance 2.245.
EMA-5 uptrend. Stochastic oscillator golden cross, didukung volume meningkat, kedua indikator menampilkan kemungkinan kenaikan lebih lanjut. Rec : Buy. Support 24.000 dan resistance 25.600.
UNTR
ADRO
RSI diatas 70% dan Stochastic oscillator diatas 80%, kedua indikator mengindikasikan UNTR overbought dan rawan aksi profit taking. Rec : Sell. Support 19.100 dan resistance 20.450.
RSI dibawah 30% dan Stochastic oscillator dibawah 20%, kemungkinan ADRO memasuki area oversold, seharusnya akan ada pembalikan arah menjadi uptrend. Rec : Speculative Buy (SB). Stop loss dibawah 930.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 3
DAILY REPORT Jumat 27 Februari 2015
NO 1
Stock
Closing
ASII
Price 8,050
Rec Buy
Target
Stop Loss
8,250
Support I
II
Pivot
Resistance I
Technical
II
Alert Stochastic Golden cross
7,475
8,000
7,000
8,100
8,200
8,300
13,800
14,000
14,500
15,000
RSI Netral
14,075
SoS
14,500
13,325
13,900
BBNI
6,925
Sell
6,775
6,250
6,800
6,700
6,900
7,000
7,500
4
BBRI
12,950
SoS
11,360
11,600
12,800
12,700
12,900
13,000
13,500
5
BMRI
11,875
Sell
11,100
11,125
11,800
11,700
11,900
12,000
12,500
Stochastic Dead cross
2
BBC A
3
6
GGRM
7
INDF
8
SMGR
9
TLKM
MAC D Dead C ross Open Gap High
53,800
Buy
55,900
54,900
53,500
53,300
54,000
54,200
54,700
Stochastic Golden C ross
7,425
Buy
7,500
7,000
7,300
7,200
7,400
7,500
7,600
Stochastic Golden C ross
15,100
Buy
15,300
14,400
15,000
14,000
15,500
15,200
15,300
Stochastic Golden C ross
2,975
Buy
3,010
2,725
2,900
2,800
3,000
3,500
4,000
EMA-5 Uptrend
EMA-5 Uptrend
Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10
AALI
11
BWPT
12 13 14
24,950
Buy
25,300
23,125
24,600
24,000
24,900
25,000
25,500
359
Sell
350
346
350
300
370
380
400
LSIP
1,835
Sell
1,780
1,775
1,800
1,700
1,900
2,000
2,500
SIMP
700
Sell
680
695
690
600
750
800
900
SSMS
1,940
Stochastic Dead cross MAC D Dead C ross Stochastic Dead cross
Buy
1,965
1,625
1,900
1,800
2,000
2,500
2,700
RSI dan Stochastic Netral
Buy
3,575
3,450
3,300
3,200
3,400
3,500
3,600
Stochastic dibawah 20%
Contractor & Property 15
ADHI
3,440
16
PTPP
4,040
Buy
4,225
3,785
4,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Stochastic Golden C ross
17
WIKA
3,675
Buy
3,750
3,575
3,600
3,500
3,700
3,800
4,000
MAC D Golden cross
18
WSKT
1,820
Buy
1,935
1,725
1,800
1,700
1,900
2,000
2,500
Stochastic Golden cross
24
ASRI
665
Sell
640
585
650
600
700
750
850
25
BSDE
2,200
Buy
2,250
1,945
2,100
2,000
2,200
2,300
2,500
Stochastic golden cross
26
C TRA
1,505
SOS
1,525
1,400
1,400
1,300
1,500
1,600
1,700
Stochastic Dead cross
27
KIJA
359
Buy
341
297
350
300
400
450
500
Stochastic golden cross
28
LPKR
Stochastic Dead cross
1,170
Buy
1,200
1,065
1,100
1,000
1,200
1,300
1,500
Stochastic Golden cross MA-20 Downtrend
Mining 29
ADRO
945
Sell
920
985
900
800
1,000
1,100
1,200
30
ANTM
1,000
Buy
1,020
1,010
900
800
1,000
1,100
1,150
Stochastic Golden cross Stochastic dibawah 20%
31
INC O
3,385
Buy
3,510
3,325
3,300
3,200
3,400
3,500
3,600
32
ITMG
16,625
Sell
16,600
15,840
16,400
16,000
16,600
16,800
17,000
33
TINS
1,005
Buy
1,025
1,050
900
800
1,000
1,100
Stochastic Dead cross
1,200
Stochastic dibawah 20% Stochastic Reversal
Others 34
BBTN
1,060
Buy
1,105
978
1,000
900
1,100
1,150
1,250
35
INTP
24,050
Buy
24,375
22,580
23,800
23,600
23,900
24,000
24,500
36
KLBF
1,815
Buy
1,855
1,770
1,800
1,700
1,850
1,900
2,000
EMA-5 Uptrend
MA-20 Uptrend
37
MPPA
4,180
Sell
3,950
3,745
4,000
3,900
4,200
4,300
4,500
Stochastic Dead cross
38
PGAS
5,300
Sell
5,200
5,110
5,200
5,000
5,300
5,400
5,500
Stochastic Dead cross
39
UNTR
20,000
Sell
19,100
17,540
19,800
19,700
20,000
20,100
20,500
RSI diatas 70%
Stcochastic Golden C ross 40 UNVR 36,500 Buy 36,900 34,200 35,500 35,200 36,000 36,800 37,000 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 4
DAILY REPORT Jumat 27 Februari 2015
Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Senior Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 5