Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi Ukraina menghasilkan pinjaman dari Dana IMF. ADHI Kontrak baru mencapai Rp 192,0 miliar

DAILY REPORT Senin 16 Februari 2015

Market View

AKTIVITAS BURSA Senin, 16 Februari 2015 IHSG : 5,374.165 (30.754)/ 0.576%

♦

Market Volume

: 4,964 Miliar Saham

Market Value

: 6,278.508 Miliar Rupiah Harga Penutupan

Perubahan +/%

Leading Movers BBRI

12,000

125

1.1%

MPPA

4,045

200

5.2%

BBCA

14,025

125

0.9%

BMRI

11,900

125

1.1%

SILO

12,400

150

1.2%

JSMR

6,950

-50

-0.7%

BBNI

6,675

-50

-0.7%

MAPI

5,375

-250

-4.4%

GJTL

1,465

-45

-3.0%

BDMN

4,550

-50

-1.1%

BBRI

12,000

125

1.05%

TLKM

2,980

85

2.94%

ASII

7,950

25

0.32%

♦

Lagging Movers

Most Active

BBCA

14,025

125

0.90%

BMRI

11,900

125

1.06%

BBRI

12,000

125

1.05%

TLKM

2,980

85

2.94%

Top Value

ASII

7,950

25

0.32%

MPPA

4,045

200

5.20%

BBCA

14,025

125

0.90%

Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD

12,755

SBI 1 mo

7.75%

Deflasi MoM

0.24%

Inflasi YoY

6.96%

Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % 0.23

TLKM

Today’s Pick Aksi SOS Buy SB Buy BOW SOS

Kode

Harga

BBCA SMRA LINK BIRD GGRM MPPA

14,025 1,760 4,500 10,500 55,400 4,045

Target 14,200 1,815 4,550 11,000 55,900 4,060

Keterangan Stochastic uptrend diatas 80% Boolinger Band Uptrend RSI Konsolidasi, Candlelistic pola Doji Candlelistic pola White Marubozu

Stochastic menyentuh level 20% RSI riversal pattern.

SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy perubahan +/% 12,857 -

-

Highlight √

Valuasi USD IDR 12,755

2,941

Indeks Dunia Penutupan

Pada perdagangan Jumat 13 Februari 2015, IHSG berhasil ditutup menguat ke level 5.374,16 (+30,75)/0,58%. Hasil kesepakatan damai Ukraina dan Rusia, serta penguatan minyak dunia memberikan sentimen positif terhadap pergerakan indeks. Tercatat investor asing membukukan transaksi net buy 1,28 triliun. Indeks di kawasan regional ditutup menguat pada perdagangan Jumat pekan lalu. Hasil dari kesepakatan damai antara Ukraina dan Rusia, serta penguatan harga minyak dunia nampaknya masih menjadi sentimen positif bagi pergerakan indeks Eropa. Sedangkan sentimen positif dari dalam negeri adalah nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika yang terus menguat. Kedua sentimen positif tersebut, kemungkinan akan mempengaruhi laju IHSG pada hari ini. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak dalam kisaran sempit dengan kecenderungan menguat, dengan range support 5.345 dan resistance 5.413.

Perubahan +/%

DJIA

18,019

47

Nasdaq

4,898

40

0.83

Nikkei 225

17,913

-66

-0.37

Hangseng

24,683

260

1.07

Ekonomi

Ukraina menghasilkan pinjaman dari Dana IMF.

√

ADHI

Kontrak baru mencapai Rp 192,0 miliar.

√

ASII

Mengincar proyek pembangkit listrik.

√

SUPR

Melangsungkan penawaran awal obligasi global.

√

DSSA

Kucurkan pinjaman ke anak usaha Rp 614 miliar.

√

GIAA

Menargetkan 50.000 Turis Selama Imlek 2015.

0.26

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment

Page 1


Economic News

♦

Pembicaraan perdamaian Ukraina menghasilkan pinjaman dari Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) senilai US$ 17,5 miliar. Lewat extended fund facility, Ukraina akan mendapatkan dana untuk menghindari gagal bayar utang. Selain pendanaan IMF, Ukraina juga akan mendapat fasilitas pendanaan bilateral dan multilateral dengan total nilai US$ 40 miliar. Ukraina menghadapi utang jatuh tempo senilai US$ 11 miliar tahun ini. Pemerintah akan mendekati para pemegang obligasi untuk melonggarkan syarat utang. Sama seperti pendanaan IMF di negara-negara lain, Ukraina juga akan menghadapi persyaratan berat untuk mengucurkan utang ini. Perdana Menteri Ukraina Arseniy Yatseniuk mengatakan, IMF meminta reformasi untuk mengatasi korupsi, mengelola sektor energi, memangkas belanja negara dan memangkas birokrasi. ( Sumber : Kontan )

♦

Kontrak baru PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk (ADHI) hingga akhir Januari 2015 mencapai Rp 192,0 miliar. Pencapaian kontrak baru PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk. (ADHI) hingga akhir Januari 2015 mencapai Rp 192,0 miliar. Realisasi kontrak baru tersebut diraih melalui perolehan beberapa proyek yang mayoritas terbagi atas jalan dan jembatan sebesar 49 persen serta sisanya merupakan proyek gedung dan infrastruktur lainnya. Untuk kinerja Adhi Karya di tahun 2015, target perolehan kontrak baru sebesar Rp 15,2 triliun, di mana lini bisnis jasa konstruksi ditargetkan meraih perolehan kontrak baru sebesar Rp 12,5 triliun, lini bisnis EPC sebesar Rp 460,1 miliar, pada lini bisnis properti realti sebesar Rp 1,7 triliun, dan lini bisnis precast concrete Rp 479,6 miliar. ( Sumber : Beritasatu )

♦

Group ASTRA mengincar proyek pembangkit listrik (power plant) dengan Nilai US$ 150-200 juta. PT Astratel Nusantara, anak usaha PT Astra International Tbk (ASII), mengincar proyek pembangkit listrik (power plant) berkapasitas minimal 100 megawatt (MW) tahun ini. Nilai investasi diperkirakan sekitar US$ 150-200 juta. Selain Astratel, anak usaha Astra International lainnya, yaitu PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR), juga membidik proyek power plant. Namun, United Tractors lebih dahulu masuk ke bisnis power plant daripada Astratel. Untuk tahun 2015 EPS ASII sebesar Rp.582 per saham. Berdasarkan rata-rata PER ASII sebesar 15.82 kali. Sehingga harga wajar ASII tahun 2015 sebesar Rp. 9.207 per saham.

♦

PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk (SUPR) melangsungkan penawaran awal obligasi global senilai US$ 300 juta. PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk (SUPR) melangsungkan penawaran awal obligasi global (global bond) senilai US$ 300 juta. Sebelumnya, perusahaan menara telekomunikasi tersebut menargetkan hingga sebesar US$ 650 juta. PT Solusi Tunas akan menggunakan dana hasil penerbitan surat utang itu untuk melunasi pinjaman jangka panjang, modal kerja, dan membiayai kebutuhan investasi. ( Sumber : Beritasatu )

♦

PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) kucurkan pinjaman ke anak usaha Rp 614 miliar. PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) kucurkan pinjaman kepada salah satu anak usahanya. Perseroan telah sepakat memberikan pinjaman kepada PT Innovate Mas Indonesia. Innovate merupakan anak perusahaan tidak langsung DSSA. Adapun plafon pinjaman yang diberikan sebesar Rp 614 miliar. Jangka waktu pinjaman adalah lima tahun. Bunga yang dibebankan atas pinjaman terserbut sebesar 12,76%. Tujuan pemberian fasilitas pinjaman untuk modal kerja dan belanja modal Innovate Mas Indonesia. ( Sumber : Kontan )

♦

Garuda Indonesia menargetkan dapat mengangkut sekitar 50 ribu turis Selama Imlek. Maskapai Garuda Indonesia menargetkan dapat mengangkut sekitar 50 ribu turis selama liburan Tahun Baru Tiongkok 2015, melalui penerbangan reguler dan carter Tiongkok-Indonesia. Tingkat penerbangan reguler Garuda Indonesia Tiongkok-Indonesia mencapai 87 persen. Hingga saat ini, untuk penerbangan reguler Garuda Indonesia menargetkan 16.799 turis Tiongkok ke Indonesia selama Imlek 2015. ( Sumber : Investor Daily )


Page 2


Today’s Pick Chart BBCA

SMRA

Saham BBCA ditutup berhasil breakout menembus resistance 1 di level 13.975. Stochastic uptrend diatas 80%. Breakout Resistance dgn volume signifikan. Mengindikasikan harga naik lebih lanjut. Tetapi karena indikator sudah pada level overbought. Rec: Sell On Strength (SOS). STP Loss 13.500.

RSI reversal pattern didukung volume yg signifikan. Bollinger Band fase uptrend dan penutupan menyentuh resistance 1, saham SMRA berpotensi melanjutkan penguatannya. Rec : Buy. Range trading support dilevel 1.680 dan resistance 1.815.

LINK

BIRD

Trend neutral pada RSI mengindikasikan masa konsolidasi. Candlestick chart membentuk pola Doji, secara teoritis mempunyai potensi menguat. Stochastic 20% seharusnya bisa menjadi bullish jika breakout di level 4.550. Rec : Speculatif Buy (SB). Rec : buy dilevel 4.540-4.655. Stop loss dibawah 4.450. Support dilevel 4.475 dan resistance dilevel 4.600.

RSI reversal pattern didukung Stochastic golden cross. Candlestick chart membentuk pola white marubozu, secara teoritis masih memungkinkan untuk melanjutkan penguatan. Rec: Buy. Support : 10.025 dan Resistance 11.000.

GGRM

MPPA

Golden cross stochastic menyentuh 20% mengindikasikan GGRM telah oversold. Candlestick chart membentuk pola hammer, seharusnya GGRM mampu menembus resistance terdekat di level 55.900. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support dilevel 54.950 resistance dilevel 55.900.

Stochastic berada diatas 80%, didukung RSI reversal pattern diatas 70%. Mengindikasikan kenaikan terbatas. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Stop loss dibawah 3.845. Support 3.930 dan Resistance 4.140.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 3


NO

Stock

1

ASII

2

BBC A

3

BBNI

Closing Price

Rec

Target

Stop Loss

Support I

II

Pivot

Resistance I

Technical

II

Alert Stochastic Golden cross

7,950

BUY

8,000

7,475

7,800

7,750

7,900

7,900

8,000

14,025

SOS

14,200

13,325

13,900

13,800

14,000

14,100

14,300

6,450

6,250

6,600

6,500

6,700

6,700

6,800

11,800

11,900

12,000

12,100

EMA 5 Downtrend Stochastic Dead cross

6,675

Sell

Stochastic diatas 80% C andlelistic Evening Star

4

BBRI

12,000

Sell

11,360

11,600

11,900

5

BMRI

11,900

Sell

11,100

11,125

11,800

11,700

11,900

11,900

12,000

55,900

54,900

55,000

52,000

55,000

55,600

55,800 Stochastic Golden cross 20%

7,500

7,000

7,300

7,200

7,300

7,400

7,500

14,000

14,400

14,500

14,600

6

GGRM

7

INDF

8

SMGR

9

TLKM

55,400 7,400

Buy BOW

14,450

Buy

15,000

14,400

14,300

2,980

BUY

3,010

2,725

2,900

2,800

2,900

3,000

2,900

RSI Reversal Pattern EMA 5 Uptrend RSI Uptrend

Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10

AALI

11

BWPT

12

LSIP

13

SIMP

14

SSMS

25,600

Buy

25,900

23,125

25,300

25,000

25,500

25,800

26,000

C andlelistic Hammer

366

Buy

405

346

360

350

360

370

380

C andlelistic Hammer

1,910

Buy

1,935

1,775

1,800

1,700

1,900

1,950

2,000

RSI Reversal Pattern

705

Sell

680

695

700

600

700

720

740

Stochastic Dead cross

1,740

Sell

1,665

1,625

1,700

1,600

1,700

1,700

1,750


Contractor & Property 15

ADHI

3,435

Sell

3,400

3,450

3,400

3,300

3,400

3,400

3,500


16

PTPP

3,930

Sell

3,725

3,785

3,900

3,800

3,900

3,900

4,000

EMA 5 Downtrend

17

WIKA

3,525

Sell

3,480

3,575

3,500

3,400

3,500

3,500

3,600

MAC D dead cross

18

WSKT

1,805

Sell

1,515

1,725

1,700

1,600

1,800

1,900

2,000


24

ASRI

660

585

620

610

600

640

650

25

BSDE

2,110

Buy

2,135

1,945

2,000

1,900

2,100

2,150

2,200


26

C TRA

1,460

Sell

1,415

1,400

1,400

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,500

RSI Downtrend

27

KIJA

317

Sell

307

297

315

310

320

330

350

28

LPKR

635

BOW

MAC D Golden cross

Stochastic dead cross

1,115

Buy

1,145

1,065

1,100

1,000

1,150

1,200

1,250

Stochastic Golden cross RSI Downtrend

Mining 29

ADRO

1,000

Sell

950

985

900

850

1,000

1,150

1,200

30

ANTM

1,050

Buy

1,085

1,010

1,000

900

1,000

1,150

1,200

EMA-20 Uptrend

31

INC O

3,620

Buy

3,725

3,325

3,600

3,500

3,600

3,600

3,700

Stochastic Golden cross

32

ITMG

17,575

Buy

17,600

15,840

17,500

17,300

18,000

17,750

18,000


33

TINS

1,070

BOW

1,155

1,050

1,000

900

1,000

1,200

1,300


1,025

SOS

1,015

978

1,015

1,000

1,000

1,020

1,030

C andlelistic Evening Star

Others 34

BBTN

35

INTP

23,400

Buy

24,000

22,580

23,200

23,100

23,400

23,500

23,700


36

KLBF

1,870

Buy

1,875

1,770

1,850

1,840

1,860

1,870

1,880


37

MPPA

4,045

Buy

4,100

3,745

3,900

3,700

3,900

4,000

4,100


38

PGAS

5,300

Buy

5,425

5,110

5,200

5,300

5,250

5,300

5,400

MAC D Golden cross

39

UNTR

18,950

Buy

19,200

17,540

18,600

18,400

18,800

19,000

20,000


40

UNVR

36,325

Buy

37,000

34,200

35,600

35,400

36,000

36,600

37,000


BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy


Page 4


Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Puspa Rini Senior Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected]

Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected]

Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 5

Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi Ukraina menghasilkan pinjaman dari Dana IMF. ADHI Kontrak baru mencapai Rp 192,0 miliar

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