DAILY REPORT Rabu 23 Maret 2016
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Selasa, 22 Maret 2016
Pada perdagangan Selasa 22/3/2016, Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
IHSG : 4.856,107
-29,056/(0,595%)
Market Volume
: 6,657 Million Shares
Market Value
: 5,697.553 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers BMRI
10.300
150
1,5%
AKRA
7.225
100
1,4%
SMGR
10.650
200
1,9%
LPPF
18.200
200
1,1%
2.200
100
4,8%
HMSP
44.000
-450
-1,0%
BBCA
18.000
-250
-1,4%
GGRM
60.800
-200
-0,3%
UNVR
7.125
-275
-3,7%
UNTR
101.750
-50
0,0%
TLKM
3.420
-50
-1,44%
SSMS
1.920
5
0,26%
BWPT
296
18
6,47%
MYRX
815
5
0,62%
TAXI
235
2
0,86%
TLKM
3.420
-50
-1,44%
BBRI
11.175
25
0,22%
ASII
7.450
0
0,00%
HMSP
97.500
-4.250
-4,18%
BMRI
10.300
150
1,48%
MNCN
Lagging Movers
Most Active
Top Value
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
USD
13.185
13.188
(0,02)
SBI 1 mo
6,75%
25
0,25
Deflasi MoM
0,09%
1
0,01
Inflasi YoY
6,25%
58
0,58
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM
-1,24
Valuasi USD IDR 13.185
3.425
Indeks Dunia Penutupan
(41,30)
(0,23)
4.821,66
12,79
0,27
Nikkei 225
17.048,55
323,74
Hangseng
20.666,75
(17,40)
(0,08)
2.880,65
(0,04)
(0,00)
DJIA Nasdaq
STI
17.582,57
Perubahan +/%
1,94
(IHSG) melemah 29,05 poin (0,59%) dan ditutup pada level 4.856,10. Pelemahan terbesar oleh Sektor Barang Konsumsi melemah 2,24%, Sektor Manufaktur melemah 1,42% dan Sektor Perdagangan melemah 0,59%. Investor asing melakukan net sell sebesar Rp 269 miliar. Bursa saham AS ditutup bervariasi di zona positif dan zona negatif pada perdagangan selasa kemarin waktu AS, penurunan disebabkan dari aksi jual para investor yang berawal dari serangan mematikan di Brussels, Belgia. Transaksi perdagangan di bursa AS bertahan sepi seiring mendekati libur panjang paskah. Sekitar 6,2 miliar saham yang diperdagangkan di Wall Street adalah volume terendah 2016, 29% lebih sedikit dari rata-rata volume perdagangan harian. Sementara itu, data Markit Flash PMI Manufaktur Amerika Serikat berada di level 51,4 pada Maret atau naik tipis dari level 51,3 pada Februari. Data Markit menunjukkan pertumbuhan produksi kembali berakselerasi setelah turun ke level terendah 28 bulan pada Februari. Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Average melemah 41,30 poin atau 0,23% ke level 17.582,57, Indeks S&P 500 melemah 1,80 poin atau 0,09% ke level 2.049,80 dan Indeks Nasdaq Composite menguat 12,79 poin atau 0,27% ke level 4.821,66. IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak cenderung melemah dengan rentang Support 4.813-4.833 dan resistance 4.858-4.883.
Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga SOS
ADHI
2.765
2.730-2.745
Keterangan RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Mengindikasikan ADHI potensi turun.
10.375-10.475 MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 70% dan stochastic diatas 80%.
TB
BMRI
10.300
SOS
CTRA
1.300
1.250-1.270
Didukung volume jual meningkat. Indikasikan CTRA potensi turun.
SB
MEDC
1.030
1.050-1.070
Williams%R uptrend. Indikasikan MEDC potensi naik terbatas.
SOS
PTBA
6.800
6.660-6.700
MACD downtrend .PTBA potensi melanjutkan penurunannya.
TB
SMGR
10.650
10.725-10.825 RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend.
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: Neraca transaksi berjalan proyeksi US$ 27 miliar.
√
MDLN
: Meraih laba Rp 873,42 miliar di 2015.
√
BTEK
: Akan akuisisi PT Golden Harvest Cocoa Indonesia.
√
NIRO
: Berencana akuisisi 10 MAL.
√
GJTL
: Membidik pertumbuhan 10%-15%.
√
APLN
: Akan mengandalkan sejumlah proyek yang ada.
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, IQPlus, Bloomberg, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Rabu 23 Maret 2016
Economic News
Bank Indonesia (BI) memprediksi neraca transaksi berjalan atau current account deficit (CAD) sepanjang 2016 masih lebih baik, di bawah angka 3% dari produk domestik bruto (PDB). Gubernur BI Agus Martowardojo mengatakan, CAD tahun ini diproyeksi mencapai US$ 27 miliar. Angka tersebut lebih besar dibanding CAD tahun lalu yang tercatat senilai US$ 17,8 miliar atau 2,06% terhadap produk domestik bruto (PDB). Pelebaran defisit tahun ini akan dipengaruhi oleh dorongan ekonomi domestik yang mulai bergerak. Pada tahun ini investasi pemerintah mulai meningkat sejalan dengan keinginan pemerintah membangun infrastruktur. Dari investasi pemerintah diharapkan dapat menarik investasi swasta. Sementara itu, peningkatan investasi tersebut juga diperkirakan akan meningkatkan impor sehingga CAD melebar.
PT Modernland Realty Tbk (MDLN) meraih laba Rp 873,42 miliar di 2015. PT Modernland Realty Tbk (MDLN) membukukan laba bersih komprehensif yang diatribusikan bagi entitas induk sebanyak Rp 873,42 miliar sepanjang 2015, naik 23,65% secara tahunan. Laba Modernland ditopang pertumbuhan pendapatan dari bisnis properti dan pendapatan operasi lainnya. Pendapatan Modernland dari penjualan properti mencapai Rp 2,96 triliun atau tumbuh 4,3% secara tahunan. Pendapatan ini sebagian besar disumbang dari penjualan tanah sebanyak Rp 2,47 triliun, tumbuh 42,21%.
PT Bumi Teknokultura Unggul Tbk (BTEK) akan akuisisi PT Golden Harvest Cocoa Indonesia. PT Bumi Teknokultura Unggul Tbk (BTEK) berniat mengakuisisi perusahaan industri kakao PT Golden Harvest Cocoa Indonesia Rp 5,3 triliun. BTEK menuturkan persaingan di industri pengelolaan hutan dan hutan tanaman industri (HTI) semakin meningkat. Oleh karena itu, perusahaan memutuskan untuk mendiversifikasi unit usaha dengan menambah unit usaha pengolahan kakao yang memiliki pabrik di Serang, Banten dan berorientasi pasar ekspor ke Eropa dan Amerika Serikat. Adapun, nilai pasar PT Golden Harvest Cocoa Indonesia ditaksir USD224,08 juta atau setara Rp 3,09 triliun. Adapun total dana yang harus dikeluarkan BTEK untuk mengakuisisi 100% aset dan saham PT Golden Harvest Cocoa Indonesia mencapai Rp 5,3 triliun.
Nirvana Development Tbk (NIRO) berencana akuisisi 10 MAL. Nirvana Development Tbk (NIRO) berencana membangun atau mengakuisisi 7-10 mal baru pada tahun ini. Perseroan membutuhkan dana sekitar Rp 1-1,5 triliun untuk ekspansi tersebut. Perseroan membutuhkan dana minimal sebesar Rp 150 miliar per mal. NIRO akan menggunakan dana hasil pelepasan (divestasi) saham anak usahanya untuk ekspansi di sektor mal. Tahun ini, perseroan menargetkan pertumbuhan EBITDA sebesar 40% YoY.
PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL) membidik pertumbuhan 10%-15%. PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL) berharap, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar Amerika Serikat (AS) bisa semakin stabil. Pemulihan pertumbuhan ekonomi juga diharapkan bisa mendorong pendapatan GJTL. Produsen ban ini yakin pada tahun ini masih bisa mencetak pertumbuhan pendapatan sekitar 10%-15%. tahun ini manajemen perusahaan masih akan mengandalkan ekspor dari Amerika Serikat (AS). Dia mengatakan, GJTL belum memiliki tujuan ekspor baru. Meski demikian, ada beberapa produk baru yang bakal diekspor. Misalnya saja, produk ban sepeda motor. Tahun ini, GJTL menganggarkan belanja modal antara US$ 40 juta hingga US$ 50 juta hanya untuk pemeliharaan infrastruktur. Nilai ini masih belum termasuk rencana pengembangan usaha.
PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk (APLN) akan mengandalkan sejumlah proyek yang ada. PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk (APLN) akan mengandalkan sejumlah proyek yang ada (existing) untuk menaikkan pendapatan prapenjualan atau marketing sales yang ditargetkan Rp 3 triliun- Rp 3,5 triliun pada tahun ini. Tahun ini, APLN menargetkan prapenjualan lebih tinggi 20-40% dari realisasi sepanjang 2015 sebesar Rp 2,5 triliun. APLN akan meneruskan proyek existing, antara lain Podomoro Golf View. Proyek tersebut merupakan kawasan hunian vertical yang digarap di atas lahan seluas 40 hektare. APLN akan membangun 37 menara dan saat ini perusahaan telah memasarkan tiga menara berkapasitas 2.700 unit. Sampai saat ini, penjualan tahap pertama mencapai 50%.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Rabu 23 Maret 2016
Today’s Pick Chart ADHI
BMRI
MACD dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Williams%R downtrend. Mengindikasikan ADHI potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS) Support 2.730-2.745 dan resistance 2.780-2.795.
MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 70% dan stochastic diatas 80%. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan BMRI potensi naik Rec : Trading Buy (TB) Support 10.125-10.200 dan resistance 10.375-10.475.
CTRA
MEDC
EMA-5 dan MACD downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Indikasikan CTRA potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS) Support 1.250-1.270 dan resistance 1.315-1.335.
EMA-5 uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Indikasikan MEDC potensi naik terbatas. Rec : Speculative Buy (SB). Support 1.000-1.015 dan resistance 1.050-1.070.
PTBA
SMGR
MACD downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. M e ngi nd i ka si k a n P TB A p ote nsi mel a njut ka n penurunannya. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 6.600-6.700 dan resistance 6.875-6.975.
MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan SMGR potensi naik. Rec : Trading Buy (TB). Support 10.425-10.525 dan resistance 10.725-10.825.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 3
DAILY REPORT Rabu 23 Maret 2016
NO Stock
Closing Rec Target Stop Support Pivot Resistance Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 7.450 SOS 7.700 6.800 7.300 7.200 7.500 7.600 7.700 2 BBCA 13.650 TB 14.300 13.000 13.500 13.300 13.800 14.000 14.200 3 BBNI 5.375 TB 5.600 4.700 5.300 5.000 5.500 5.600 5.700 4 BBRI 11.175 TB 11.600 10.700 11.000 10.800 11.300 11.500 11.800 5 BMRI 10.300 SOS 10.800 9.500 10.200 10.000 10.400 10.800 11.000 6 GGRM 59.300 SOS 62.000 59.000 58.300 57.500 60.000 60.200 60.500 7 INDF 7.075 SB 7.700 6.900 7.000 6.800 7.200 7.300 7.500 8 SMGR 10.650 TB 11.000 10.000 10.500 10.200 10.800 11.000 11.200 9 TLKM 3.420 SOS 3.600 3.000 3.300 3.000 3.500 3.600 3.800 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 17.975 SB 18.500 17.000 17.600 17.000 18.000 18.200 18.500 11 BWPT 296 BOW 400 200 200 100 400 500 600 12 LSIP 1.710 TB 1.900 1.300 1.600 1.400 1.900 2.100 2.300 13 SIMP 416 SOS 600 300 400 300 600 700 800 14 SSMS 1.920 TB 2.200 1.700 1.900 1.700 2.100 2.200 2.300 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2.765 SOS 3.000 2.100 2.700 2.500 2.900 3.000 3.100 16 PTPP 3.875 SB 4.200 3.300 3.800 3.500 4.000 4.100 4.400 17 WIKA 2.650 SB 3.000 2.200 2.600 2.500 2.800 2.900 3.100 18 WSKT 1.990 SB 2.500 1.600 1.900 1.800 2.100 2.300 2.400 24 ASRI 381 TB 500 400 300 200 500 600 700 25 BSDE 1.865 TB 2.200 1.600 1.800 1.600 2.000 2.100 2.300 26 CTRA 1.300 SOS 1.500 1.000 1.200 1.000 1.400 1.500 1.600 27 KIJA 256 BOW 400 100 200 100 300 400 500 28 LPKR 1.150 TB 1.300 900 1.000 900 1.200 1.300 1.400 Mining 29 ADRO 695 SOS 900 500 600 500 700 800 900 30 ANTM 471 TB 600 300 400 300 600 700 800 31 INCO 1.850 SOS 2.100 1.300 1.800 1.700 1.900 2.100 2.200 32 ITMG 6.600 TB 7.200 6.000 6.500 6.300 6.700 6.800 7.000 33 TINS 765 TB 900 500 700 600 800 900 1.100 Others 34 BBTN 1.840 SB 2.000 1.400 1.800 1.500 1.900 2.100 2.200 35 INTP 20.500 SOS 21.000 20.000 20.300 20.000 20.600 20.800 21.000 36 KLBF 1.300 SOS 1.600 1.000 1.200 1.000 1.400 1.500 1.600 37 MPPA 1.635 SOS 2.000 1.300 1.600 1.400 1.800 1.900 2.100 38 PGAS 2.655 BOW 3.000 2.400 2.600 2.400 2.800 2.900 3.000 39 UNTR 15.450 SOS 16.000 15.000 15.300 15.000 15.700 16.000 16.200 40 UNVR 43.525 TB 44.500 43.000 43.000 42.500 43.800 44.000 44.500 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy
Technical Alert MACD Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend RSI Downtrend MFI Downtrend Williams%R Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend
MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Uptrend MA-5 Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend RSI Uptrend MACD Uptrend RSI Uptrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Goldencross MFI Uptrend MACD Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Uptrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Downtrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Rabu 23 Maret 2016
Research Team
Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 5