DAILY REPORT Jumat 20 November 2015
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Kamis, 19 November 2015
♦ Pada perdagangan Kamis 19/11/2015, Indeks Harga Saham
IHSG : 4,518.940 +21.030/(0.468%) Market Volume
: 5,436 Billion Shares
Market Value
: 4,854.723 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers PGAS
3,075
165
BBNI
5,200
175
5.7% 3.5%
BMRI
8,775
150
1.7%
SILO
9,425
475
5.3%
UNTR
17,200
150
0.9%
ASII
6,250
-100
-1.6%
BBCA
12,950
-125
-1.0%
HMSP
92,375
-625
-0.7%
SMGR
11,400
-100
-0.9%
ICBP
12,625
-125
-1.0%
TLKM
2,815
-35
-1.23%
PGAS
3,075
165
5.67%
ANTM
372
64
20.78%
LPKR
1,235
70
6.01%
MYRX
665
5
0.76%
Lagging Movers
Most Active
Gabungan (IHSG) menguat 21,03 poin (0,47%) dan ditutup pada level 4.518,94. Kenaikan IHSG ditopang oleh beberapa sektor antara lain Sektor Konstruksi menguat 1,16%, Sektor Pertambangan menguat 1,6% dan Sektor Perdagangan menguat 0,86%. Saham-saham yang menguat dan sebagai penggerak indeks antara lain ANTM, LPKR, PGAS. ♦ Bursa saham AS ditutup melemah. Pergerakan sejumlah saham turut mempengaruhi bursa AS. Beberapa di antaranya UnitedHealth Group yang turun 5,7%, Anthem Inc turun 6,5%, dan Aetna Inc turun lebih dari 6,5%. Sementara, sektor teknologi berhasil bergerak positif atas dukungan saham Keurig Green Mountain Inc yang melompat 18%. Demikian pula halnya dengan Salesforce.com Inc dan Intel Corp. Di sisi lain, sektor energi masih terpuruk dengan penurunan mencapai 1.3%. Pemicunya, harga minyak dunia tergerus hingga ke level terendah tiga bulan. Saham-saham energi yang tertekan di antaranya Chevron Corp yang turun 1,5%, Chesapeake Energy Corp turun 10%, dan Consol Energy Inc turun lebih dari 5,6%. ♦ IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak menguat dengan rentang support 4.480 dan resistance 4.555.
Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga
Top Value
Keterangan
BOW
ADHI
2,245
2,280
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend.
BBRI
10,975
25
0.23%
TLKM
2,815
-35
-1.23%
BOW
AKRA
6,050
6,175
Didukung volume beli meningkat. Indikasikan AKRA potensi naik.
ASII
6,250
-100
-1.57%
BOW
BBTN
1,240
1,275
Stochastic uptrend. BBTN potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya.
BBCA
12,950
-125
-0.96%
SOS
ICBP
12,625
12,400
MACD dan MFI downtrend. Stochastic deathcross.
PGAS
3,075
165
5.67%
SOS
ITMG
7,400
7,250
MA-5 dan MFI downtrend. ITMG potensi turun.
BOW
SMCB
1,040
1,070
Trend pembelian meningkat. Indikasikan SMCB potensi naik.
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
USD
13,751
13,828
SBI 1 mo
7,50%
7,50%
Deflasi MoM
0,08%
0,05%
0,03
Inflasi YoY
6,25%
6,83%
0,58
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM
-0.80
(0.56) -
Valuasi USD IDR 13,751
2,826
Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA Nasdaq
17,732.75 5,073.64
Perubahan +/% (4.41)
(0.02)
(1.56)
(0.03)
Nikkei 225
19,859.81
210.63
1.07
Hangseng
22,500.22
311.96
1.41
2,919.83
33.75
1.17
STI
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: Posisi utang luar negeri turun US$ 2,1 Miliar.
√
IMAS
: Pertahankan distribusi eksklusif Volvo.
√
PTBA
: Mencairkan pinjaman senilai US$ 1,2 miliar.
√
UNSP
: Membidik pendapatan dari produk oleokimia.
√
SMRA
: Membangun proyek kota terpadu di Makassar.
√
WSKT
: Akan memperpanjang jalan tol Bali.
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, Bloomberg, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Jumat 20 November 2015
Economic News
♦ Posisi Utang Luar Negeri (ULN) pada akhir triwulan III-2015 tercatat sebesar 302,4 miliar dolar AS, turun 2,1
miliar dolar AS dibandingkan dengan posisi akhir triwulan II-2015 sebesar 304,5 miliar dolar AS. Penurunan tersebut disebabkan oleh penurunan posisi ULN baik sektor swasta maupun sektor publik. Posisi ULN sektor swasta turun 1,7 miliar dolar AS, terutama disebabkan oleh turunnya ULN Bank. Sementara itu, posisi ULN sektor publik turun 0,4 miliar dolar AS, terutama disebabkan oleh turunnya ULN Pemerintah. Dengan penurunan tersebut, pangsa ULN sektor swasta tercatat 55,6% (168,2 miliar dolar AS), lebih besar dari pangsa ULN sektor publik sebesar 44,4% (134,2 miliar dolar AS). Selain itu, pertumbuhan ULN Indonesia pada triwulan III-2015 juga melambat dibandingkan triwulan II-2015 dari 6,2% (yoy) menjadi 2,7% (yoy). Bank Indonesia memandang perkembangan ULN pada triwulan III-2015 masih cukup sehat, namun perlu terus diwaspadai risikonya terhadap perekonomian. Ke depan, Bank Indonesia akan terus memantau perkembangan ULN, khususnya ULN sektor swasta.
♦ PT Indomobil Sukses International Tbk (IMAS) pertahankan distribusi eksklusif Volvo.
PT Indomobil Sukses International Tbk (IMAS) tetap mempertahankan distribusi eksklusif mobil mewah asal Swedia, Volvo. Namun, penjualan merek mobil tersebut diperkirakan tidak aktif sepanjang tahun berjalan ini. Penjualan volvo jenis passangers car sudah lama tidak aktif, sementara penjualan volvo truck masih berjalan. Sementara itu, pihaknya belum mengetahui apakah terdapat distributor lain yang mengincar lisensi distribusi Volvo di Indonesia. Selain Volvo dan Audi, Indomobil juga mengelola merek-merek terkenal seperti Foton, Great Wall, Hino, Kalmar, Liugong, Manitou, Nissan, Renault, Renault Trucks, Suzuki, Volkswagen, dan Mack Trucks.
♦ PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) mencairkan pinjaman senilai US$ 1,2 miliar.
PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) akan mulai mencairkan pinjaman senilai US$ 1,2 miliar dari The Export Import Bank of China (Cexim) pada kuartal I-2016. Pinjaman tersebut dialokasikan untuk mendanai pembangkit listrik tenaga uap (PLTU) Banko Tengah yang senilai total US$ 1,59 miliar. Konstruksi PLTU Bangko Tengah berkapasitas 2x620 megawatt (MW) di mulut tambang Tanjung Enim Sumatera Selatan masih menunggu letter of intent (Lol) transmisi listrik dari PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN). PLN janjinya akhir tahun ini, LoI sudah lengkap, mereka butuh 3 LoI. Sekarang baru ada LoI untuk transmission line. Sisa dua LoI diharapkan bisa awal tahun depan.
♦ PT Bakrie Sumatera Plantations Tbk (UNSP) membidik pendapatan dari produk oleokimia. PT Bakrie Sumatera Plantations Tbk (UNSP) membidik lonjakan pendapatan dari produk oleokimia. Perseroan tengah menyiapkan pabrik berkapasitas 942 ribu metrik ton (MT) tersebut untuk segera beroperasi. Kalau sudah beroperasi, pendapatan perseroan bisa naik 200-250% dari pendapatan saat ini. Meski demikian, perseroan belum dapat menentukan kapan pabrik oleokimia tersebut dapat beroperasi secara komersial. Hal ini terkendala karena perseroan yang tak kunjung menemukan mitra strategis untuk membantu pendanaan operasional pabrik oleokimia. Total investasi yang dibutuhkan sebesar US$ 50 juta. Sejak diakuisisi pada 2011, pabrik oleokimia belum beroperasi secara maksimal.
♦ PT Summarecon Agung Tbk (SMRA) membangun proyek kota terpadu di Makassar.
PT Summarecon Agung Tbk (SMRA) berencana membangun proyek kota terpadu (township) di Makassar, Sulawesi Selatan, dengan potensi penjualan sekitar Rp 800 miliar tahun depan. Proyek Summarecon Makassar akan dibangun di lahan seluas 170 hektare (ha). Proyek ini merupakan joint venture dengan Grup Mutiara Property, dimana Summarecon menguasai 51% saham. Rencananya Summarecon Makassar akan dimulai tahun depan.
♦ PT Waskita Karya Tbk (WSKT) akan memperpanjang jalan tol Bali.
PT Waskita Karya Tbk (WSKT) berencana menambah portofolio bisnis jalan tol pulau dewata Bali. Lewat anak usaha PT Waskita Toll Road, Waksita akan menggarap proyek empat ruas jalan tol di Pulau Bali. Proyek jalan tol kedua di Bali kali ini, Waskita Toll Road melaju bersama Perusahaan Daerah (Perusda) Bali. Keduanya lantas membikin perusahaan patungan bernama PT Waskita Bali Mandara. Kemungkinan bisa dimulai tahun depan. Keempat ruas jalan tol yang akan Waskita Toll Road bangun nanti, menghubungkan Kuta hingga Lovina. Adapun pembagian ruas jalan tol ini meliputi; Kuta-Canggu-Tanah Lot-Soka sepanjang 28 kilometer (km). Lantas ruas Soka-Pekutatan sepanjang 25,1 km dan ruas Pekutatan-Gilimanuk sepanjang 54,4 km. Satu lagi, ruas PekutatanLovina sepanjang 46,76 km.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Jumat 20 November 2015
Today’s Pick Chart ADHI
AKRA
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Williams%R uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Mengindikasikan ADHI potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 2.220 dan resistance 2.280.
MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Mengindikasikan AKRA potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 5.925 dan resistance 6.175.
BBTN
ICBP
MA-5 dan MACD uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Williams%R uptrend. Indikasikan BBTN potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 1.210 dan resistance 1.275.
MACD dan MFI downtrend. Stochastic deathcross. Williams%R downtrend. Mengindikasikan ICBP potensi melanjutkan penurunannya. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 12.400 dan resistance 12.800.
ITMG
SMCB
MA-5 dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Mengindikasikan ITMG potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 7.250 dan resistance 7.650.
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung trend pembelian meningkat. Mengindikasikan SMCB potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 995 dan resistance 1.070.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
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DAILY REPORT Jumat 20 November 2015
Support Resistance Closing Rec Target Stop Pivot Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 6,250 BOW 6,400 6,300 6,100 5,800 6,500 6,700 6,900 2 BBCA 12,950 TB 14,200 13,800 12,800 12,500 13,000 13,500 14,000 3 BBNI 5,200 SOS 4,600 4,500 5,100 4,800 5,500 5,700 5,900 4 BBRI 10,975 SOS 10,200 10,000 10,800 10,500 11,000 11,500 12,000 5 BMRI 8,775 SOS 8,000 7,500 8,700 8,500 9,000 9,100 9,300 6 GGRM 49,325 BOW 52,000 51,000 48,900 48,500 49,500 50,000 50,500 7 INDF 5,650 SB 5,400 5,300 5,500 5,200 5,700 5,900 6,000 8 SMGR 11,400 SOS 9,500 9,000 11,200 11,000 11,500 11,700 12,000 9 TLKM 2,815 BOW 2,900 2,800 2,700 2,500 2,900 3,100 3,200 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 18,350 BOW 20,000 19,000 18,100 17,600 18,500 19,000 19,200 11 BWPT 169 BOW 250 200 160 140 180 220 260 12 LSIP 1,250 BOW 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,000 1,500 1,700 1,900 13 SIMP 393 SOS 300 250 300 200 400 500 600 14 SSMS 1,655 BOW 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,200 1,800 1,900 2,100 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2,245 BOW 2,350 2,250 2,200 2,000 2,500 2,700 2,900 16 PTPP 3,845 BOW 4,000 3,900 3,800 3,500 4,000 4,100 4,300 17 WIKA 2,835 SOS 2,600 2,500 2,800 2,500 3,000 3,100 3,300 18 WSKT 1,690 BOW 1,850 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,800 1,900 2,100 24 ASRI 331 BOW 450 400 300 200 400 500 600 25 BSDE 1,650 BOW 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,400 1,800 2,000 2,200 26 CTRA 1,250 SB 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,000 1,500 1,700 1,900 27 KIJA 222 BOW 300 250 200 100 300 400 500 28 LPKR 1,235 BOW 1,400 1,350 1,100 1,000 1,300 1,500 1,700 Mining 29 ADRO 600 SOS 450 350 500 400 600 700 800 30 ANTM 372 SOS 280 250 300 200 400 500 600 1,835 SOS 1,700 1,600 1,800 1,500 2,000 2,200 2,500 31 INCO 32 ITMG 7,400 BOW 7,500 7,450 7,200 7,000 7,600 7,900 8,100 33 TINS 550 SOS 450 400 500 400 600 700 800 Others 34 BBTN 1,240 BOW 1,000 800 1,200 1,000 1,500 1,700 1,900 35 INTP 21,025 BOW 22,500 21,500 20,800 20,500 21,000 21,500 22,000 36 KLBF 1,345 SB 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,000 1,600 1,800 2,000 37 MPPA 2,020 SOS 1,850 1,750 1,900 1,500 2,200 2,500 2,700 38 PGAS 3,075 BOW 3,200 3,100 2,900 2,500 3,000 3,500 3,700 39 UNTR 17,200 SOS 16,500 16,000 17,000 16,500 17,500 18,000 18,500 40 UNVR 36,700 BOW 38,000 37,000 36,500 36,000 37,000 37,500 38,000 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy NO Stock
Technical Alert MACD Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend RSI Downtrend MFI Uptrend Williams%R Uptrend Stochastic Death Cross Stochastic Golden Cross
MA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Uptrend MA‐5 Downtrend MA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MA‐5 Uptrend RSI Downtrend MACD Uptrend RSI Uptrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Goldencross Stochastic Goldencross MFI Downtrend MACD Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Downtrend MA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend MACD Downtrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Jumat 20 November 2015
Research Team
Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57944266 Ext. 463 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
Wayan Sudiantara Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
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