Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : Pemerintah fokus turunkan defisit. PTPP : Membuat pabrik pracetak kapasitas 200,000 ton

DAILY REPORT Jumat 20 Maret 2015

Market View

AKTIVITAS BURSA Kamis, 19 Maret 2015 IHSG : 5,453.854 (40.703)/0.752%

♦

Market Volume

: 6,629 Billion Share

Market Value

: 6,846.921 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan

Pada perdagangan kemarin Kamis 19 Maret 2014, IHSG ditutup menguat pada level 5.453,85 +40,70/(+0,75%). Penguatan IHSG dikarenakan Federal Reserve memberikan sinyal suku bunga belum akan dinaikkan dalam waktu dekat, suku bunga akan naik minimal setelah dua kali meeting, paling cepat bulan Juni. Penguatan nilai tukar rupiah menambah optimis para pelaku pasar untuk memborong saham-saham berkapitalisasi besar, seperti ASII, TLKM, dan BBRI. Dalam perdagangan tersebut investor asing mencatatkan transaksi net buy 490 miliar. Indek DJIA kembali mengalami koreksi –0,65%, Nasdaq +0,19%. Pagi ini indek saham asia seperti, Kospi, Nikkei, STI dibuka terkoreksi akibat imbas melemahnya bursa DJIA. Efek pelemahan indek saham di AS dan pembukaan di pasar Asia, tampaknya akan memberikan sentimen negatif bagi pergerakan IHSG hari ini. Pergerakan IHSG hari ini mix dengan kecenderungan terkoreksi di saat pembukaan pasar. Rentang trading indek hari ini 5,444 support dan 5,480 resistance.

Perubahan +/%

Leading Movers BMRI

12,200

250

2.1%

SMGR

14,400

150

1.1%

UNVR

38,300

800

2.1%

ITMG

17,025

425

2.6%

LPPF

18,025

475

2.7%

UNTR

21,475

-25

-0.1%

AKRA

4,955

-70

-1.4%

MPPA

4,230

-165

-3.8%

ICBP

14,850

-50

-0.3%

775

-45

-5.5%

ASII

8,050

75

0.94%

TLKM

2,950

0

0.00%

LPKR

1,210

55

4.76%

ASRI

590

20

3.51%

MTFN

270

8

3.05%

♦

Lagging Movers

MPMX

♦

Most Active

Top Value ASII

8,050

75

0.94%

TLKM

2,950

0

0.00%

LPKR

1,210

55

4.76%

BBNI

7,000

50

0.72%

BBRI

13,050

75

0.58%

Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD SBI 1 mo

Perubahan +/%

13,035

13,152

(0.89)

7,5%

7,50%

(0.25)

Deflasi MoM

0,36%

0,24%

0.12

Inflasi YoY

6,29%

6,96%

(0.67)

Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM

-2.81

Valuasi USD IDR 13,035

2,903

Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA Nasdaq Nikkei 225 Hangseng STI

17,959 4,992

Perubahan +/% (117.16) 9.55

Aksi

Kode

Harga Target

SB

BBCA

14,250

Keterangan

14,100 BBCA dalam konsolidasi sehat. RSI dan stochstic netral.

BUY

BBRI

13,050

13,250 Indikator momentum goldencross.

BUY

PTBA

10,450

10,550 Stochastic goldencross didukung tren beli meningkat.

BUY

CPIN

3,685

3,775 Stochastic goldencross di area support. RSI dibawah 30%.

BUY

MEDC

2,835

3,000 MACD akan goldencross. Candle membentuk long white line.

BOW

CTRP

710

725

RSI netral. EMA-5 uptrend didukung volume meningkat.

SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy

Highlight √

Ekonomi

: Pemerintah fokus turunkan defisit.

√

PTPP

: Membuat pabrik pracetak kapasitas 200,000 ton

√

UNTR

: Mengucurkan dana Rp. 300 Miliar ke ACST.

√

TLKM

: Berambisi Menjadi Global Gateway.

√

KRAS

: Meraih kucuran dana dari Jerman.

√

DSNG

: Bangun pabrik siapkan dana US$ 18 Juta.

(0.65) 0.19

19,477

(67.92)

(0.35)

24,469

348.81

1.45

5453.85

Today’s Pick

Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment

Page 1


Economic News

♦ Pemerintah Fokus Menargetkan defisit neraca transaksi berjalan 2,5 persen terhadap produk domestik bruto (PDB), pemerintah akan meluncurkan paket ekonomi lanjutan bagi industri substitusi impor bahan baku/penolong dan barang modal, industri dasar, serta industri hilir pengolah produk ekspor bernilai tambah tinggi. Pada 2014, defisit transaksi berjalan mencapai US$ 26,23 miliar atau 2,95 persen terhadap PDB. Langkah tersebut sejalan dengan fokus pemerintah menurunkan defisit transaksi berjalan untuk memperkuat rupiah yang tengah bergejolak. Paket kebijakan ekonomi yang diberlakukan bulan depan dan yang tengah disiapkan bertujuan mengurangi (current account deficit/CAD) agar bisa di bawah 3 persen terhadap PDB, atau lebih bagus kalau bisa 2,5 persen. Pemerintah perlu memfasilitas produk yang masih memiliki permintaan tinggi di pasar global agar bisa tembus ke pasar ekspor. Apabila hal tersebut dijalankan, defisit transaksi berjalan tahun ini kemungkinan maksimal 2,5 persen dari PDB.

♦ PT Pembangunan Perumahan Tbk (PTPP ) membuat pabrik pracetak baru di Lampung. PT Pembangunan Perumahan Tbk (PTPP ) melalui anak usahanya PT PP Pracetak bakal membuat pabrik pracetak baru di Lampung senilai Rp 100 miliar tahun ini. Pabrik tersebut nantinya bakal dibangun di atas lahan seluas 14 ribu meter (ha) dengan kapasitas sebesar 200,000 ton per tahun. Pembangunan pabrik di Lampung bertujuan untuk memenuhi kebutuhan pasokan beton pracetak di Sumatera. Pembangunan pabrik tersebut diperkirakan bakal membutuhkan waktu selama enam bulan, termasuk pembuatan kolam dermaga.

♦ PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) mengucurkan dana sebesar Rp. 300 Miliar ke ACST. PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR), anggota Grup Astra, akan mengucurkan dana sebesar Rp 300 miliar kepada PT Acset Indonusa Tbk (ACST). Dana itu akan digunakan untuk keperluan modal usaha dan belanja modal (capital expenditure/capex) perseroan. Dana akan diberikan oleh anak usaha perseroan, yakni PT Karya Supra Perkasa (KSP), dalam bentuk pinjaman. Pihaknya berharap, pinjaman ini akan mendukung secara langsung proses produksi atau kegiatan utama Acset di bidang konstruksi. Tahun 2015 EPS UNTR sebesar Rp. 1.709 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER UNTR sebesar 14.27 kali. Maka harga wajar UNTR tahun 2015 Rp. 24.387 saham.

♦ PT Telkom Indonesia Tbk (TLKM) Berambisi Menjadi Global Gateway.

PT Telkom Indonesia Tbk bertekad menjadi global gateway. Tahun ini, pembangunan broadband atau jaringan pita lebar sepanjang 75.000 km di seluruh wilayah Nusantara rampung dan akan dilanjutkan ke berbagai negara. Investasi di dalam negeri bakal mencapai Rp 3,6 triliun, sedang ekspansi ke luar negeri menelan dana investasi US$ 240 juta. Telkom saat ini sedang bertransformasi untuk menjadi perusahaan digital, yakni king of digital on the air lewat selular, king of the land lewat fiber optik ke setiap rumah, dan king in the sea lewat kabel optik bawah laut. Telkom menargetkan pendapatan Rp 100 triliun dan kapitalisasi pasar Rp 300 triliun.

♦ PT Krakatau Steel Tbk (KRAS) meraih kucuran dana dari Jerman.

PT Krakatau Steel Tbk (KRAS) segera meraih kucuran dana dari lembaga pembiayaan ekspor atau Export Credit Agency (ECA) asal Jerman. Produsen baja ini bakal menjaminkan asetnya senilai US$ 378,4 juta demi meraih pinjaman tersebut. Perusahaan KRAS menjelaskan pinjaman itu untuk membangun pabrik baja lembaran canai panas (hot strip mill) di Cilegon. Pabrik baru itu menelan investasi US$ 390 juta. Pabrik baru ini diharapkan bisa memproduksi baja lembaran panas atau hot rolled coil (HRC) sebanyak 1,5 juta ton per tahun. Tahun ini, KRAS menargetkan bisa menjual baja sebanyak 2,8 juta ton.

♦ Bangun pabrik PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk (DSNG) siapkan dana US$ 18 Juta.

PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk (DSNG) terus berupaya menggenjot kapasitas pabrik. Untuk itu, emiten perkebunan kelapa sawit ini berencana membangun pabrik ketujuh di Kalimantan Timur. Nilai investasinya senilai US$ 18 juta. Rencananya, pabrik anyar tersebut berkapasitas 60 ton per jam. Pembangunan pabrik ini akan dimulai semester kedua tahun ini dan ditargetkan selesai di 2017.


Page 2


Today’s Pick Chart BBCA

BBRI

BBCA dalam konsolidasi sehat. RSI dan stochstic netral. Candle membentuk spinning tops. Saham mempunyai potensi uptrend jika mampu breakout di level 14.400. Rec: Speculative Buy (SB). Stoploss dibawah 14.100.

Indikator momentum goldencross. Boolinger mengindikasikan saham akan bergerak uptrend. Rec : Buy. Support 12.750 dan resistance 13.250.

PTBA

CPIN

Stochastic goldencross didukung tren beli meningkat. Candle membentuk spinning tops, mengindikasikan potensi penguatan lebih lanjut. Rec : Buy. Support 10.250 dan resistance 10.550.

Stochastic goldencross di area support. RSI dibawah 30%. Kedua inidkator mengindikasikan saham beada di area oversold. Rec : Buy. Support 3.620 dan resistance 3.775.

MEDC

CTRP

MACD akan goldencross. Candle membentuk long white line, secara teoritis mengindikasikan sinyal bullish. Rec : Buy. Support 2.600 dan resistance 3.000.

RSI netral. EMA-5 uptrend didukung volume meningkat. Saham mempunyai potensi bergerak di area bullish jika mampu breakout resistance 1 di level 725. Rec : Buy On Weekness (BOW). Support 690 dan resistance 725.

Band

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 3


NO

Stock

Closing

Rec

Target

Price

Stop Loss

Pivot

Support I

II

Technical

Resistance

Alert

I

II

1

ASII

8,050

Buy

8,175

7,800

7,900

7,800

8,000

8,100

8,200

2

BBC A

14,250

SB

14,800

13,900

14,100

14,000

14,200

14,300

14,500

Stochastic Netral.

6,800

7,000

7,100

7,200

Stochastic Over Bought.

Stochastic Golden C ross

3

BBNI

7,000

SoS

7,100

6,450

6,900

4

BBRI

13,050

Buy

13,300

12,450

12,900

12,800

13,000

13,100

13,200


5

BMRI

12,200

SoS

12,300

11,800

12,000

11,900

12,100

12,200

12,300

All Indikator Over Bought

6

GGRM

52,475

BOW

52,800

53,000

52,100

51,700

52,500

52,700

53,000

Stochastic Golden C ross.

7

INDF

7,400

SOS

7,500

7,300

7,300

7,200

7,500

7,600

8,000

Break 7500, Ascending C nfm

8

SMGR

14,400

Buy

14,500

14,775

14,200

14,100

14,400

14,500

14,600


9

TLKM

2,950

Buy

3,020

2,900

2,900

2,500

3,000

3,100

3,200


25,400

24,450

25,500

25,400

25,700

25,800

26,000

390

350

350

300

400

450

500

1,800

1,775

1,800

1,700

1,900

2,000

2,200

Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI

25,625

11 BWPT

360

12 LSIP

1,840

13 SIMP 14 SSMS

Sell BOW Sell

Evening Star Stochastic, RSI reversal naik Black C andle EMA-5 Dontrend.

705

Sell

700

680

700

600

800

850

900

2,005

Sell

1,940

1,930

1,900

1,800

2,000

2,100

2,200

RSI, MAC D, Reversal Turun

Buy

3,270

3,120

3,200

3,000

3,300

3,400

3,600

EMA-5 Uptrend. RSI 30%

Contractor & Property 15 ADHI

3,250

16 PTPP

3,875

Buy

3,980

3,800

3,800

3,500

3,900

4,000

4,200


17 WIKA

3,580

Buy

3,500

3,420

3,500

3,400

3,600

3,700

3,800


18 WSKT

1,755

Buy

1,775

1,720

1,700

1,600

1,800

1,900

2,000


640

600

500

400

600

650

700

24 ASRI

590

BoW

25 BSDE

2,035

Sell

2,025

1,985

2,000

1,800

2,100

2,200

2,300

26 C TRA

1,370

BOW

Morning Star, RSI naik MAC D dead cross Stochastic 20%

1,450

1,400

1,300

1,000

1,500

1,600

1,700

27 KIJA

338

Sell

325

341

300

250

400

450

500

28 LPKR

1,210

Buy

1,245

1,065

1,100

1,000

1,200

1,300

1,500

970

Buy

1,050

930

900

800

1,000

1,100

1,200

Stochastic golden cross

Stochastic Dead cross Stochastic Golden cross

Mining 29 ADRO 30 ANTM

955

Buy

1,030

990

950

800

1,000

1,100

1,200

Stochastic Golden cross

31 INC O

3,365

Buy

3,600

3,510

3,300

3,000

3,500

3,600

4,000

Stochastic dibawah 20%

32 ITMG

17,025

Buy

17,500

16,300

16,800

16,600

17,000

17,200

17,400

Stochastic Golden cross

33 TINS

980

Buy

1,045

1,005

900

800

1,000

1,100

1,150

MAC D Golden C ross

34 BBTN

1,140

Buy

1,165

975

1,100

1,000

1,200

1,300

1,500

EMA-5 Uptrend

35 INTP

22,325

BOW

22,800

22,500

22,200

22,100

22,300

22,400

22,500

RSI dan Stochastic Over Sold

Others

36 KLBF

1,825

Sell

1,865

2,880

1,800

1,700

1,900

2,000

2,200

MAC D Golden C ross

37 MPPA

4,230

SoS

3,800

3,745

4,100

4,000

4,200

4,300

4,500

Stochastic diatas 80%

38 PGAS

5,100

BOW

5,325

5,100

5,000

4,500

5,100

5,200

5,500

William %R Over Sold.

39 UNTR

21,475

Buy

22,500

20,100

21,100

20,000

21,500

21,800

22,000

White Marubozu

40 UNVR

38,300

Sell

34,000

35,000

38,000

37,700

38,200

38,500

38,700

Black Marubozu

BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy


Page 4


Research Team Muhammad Reza Head Of Research Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Danang Narasworo Junior Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected]

Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected]

Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 5

Today s Pick. Highlight. Ekonomi : Pemerintah fokus turunkan defisit. PTPP : Membuat pabrik pracetak kapasitas 200,000 ton

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