DAILY REPORT Senin 18 Januari 2016
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Jumat, 15 Januari 2016
Pada perdagangan akhir pekan, Jumat 15/1/2016 Indeks
IHSG : 4.523,976
+10,795/(0,239%)
Market Volume
: 4,166 Billion Shares
Market Value
: 4,992.335 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers LPPF
17.375
725
4,4%
GGRM
56.300
500
0,9%
PGAS
2.650
35
1,3%
HMSP
96.300
4.325
4,7%
UNVR
36.000
275
0,8%
BBRI
11.450
-275
-2,3%
BMRI
9.275
-75
-0,8%
BBNI
4.975
-50
-1,0%
SILO
9.100
-175
-1,9%
AKRA
6.800
-200
-2,9%
TLKM
3.085
-50
-1,59%
ASII
6.000
125
2,13%
SSMS
1.800
5
0,28%
MYRX
620
-5
-0,80%
LPKR
1.060
0
0,00%
Lagging Movers
Most Active
Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) menguat 10,79 poin (0,24%) dan ditutup pada level 4.523,97. Kenaikan IHSG ditopang oleh Sektor Barang Konsumsi menguat 2,04%, Sektor Aneka Industri menguat 1,64% dan Sektor Manufaktur menguat 1,61%. Investor asing melakukan net sell sebesar Rp 833 miliar. Bursa saham AS pada perdagangan akhir pekan ditutup melemah. Harga minyak tertekan di bawah US$ 30 per barel. Kekhawatiran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi AS dan pinjaman China menambah tekanan ke bursa saham AS. Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Average melemah 390,97 poin atau 2,39% ke level 15.988,08, Indeks S&P 500 melemah 41,51 poin atau 2,16% ke level 1.880,33 dan Indeks Nasdaq Composite melemah 126,59 poin atau 2,74% ke level 4.488,42. Sektor saham energi melemah 2,65%. Hal itu didorong harga minyak melemah 6,5% di tengah kekhawatiran pertumbuhan ekonomi melambat di China, ekonomi terbesar kedua di dunia. IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak melemah dengan rentang support 4.501 dan resistance 4.553.
Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga
Top Value
Keterangan Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan ADRO potensi naik terbatas.
BOW
ADRO
449
453
BOW
BMRI
9.275
9.375
EMA-5 dan MFI uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat.
TLKM
3.085
-50
-1,59%
ASII
6.000
125
2,13%
BBRI
11.450
-275
-2,35%
SOS
ITMG
5.425
5.350
RSI dan stochastic downtrend. ITMG potensi turun.
BBCA
13.000
-25
-0,19%
BOW
MPPA
1.680
1.700
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%.
SSMS
1.800
5
0,28%
SOS
PTPP
3.940
3.905
EMA-5 dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrned.
BOW
UNVR
36.000
36.125
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend.
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
USD
13.869
13.900
(0,22)
SBI 1 mo
7,25%
7,50%
0,25
Deflasi MoM
0,08%
0,05%
0,03
Inflasi YoY
6,25%
6,83%
0,58
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM
-1,56
Valuasi USD IDR 13.869
3.058
Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA
Perubahan +/%
15.988,08
(390,97)
(2,39)
4.488,42
(126,58)
(2,74)
Nikkei 225
17.147,11
(93,84)
(0,54)
Hangseng
19.520,77
(296,64)
(1,50)
2.630,76
(13,81)
(0,52)
Nasdaq
STI
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: Bank of Korea menahan suku bunga acuannya.
√
BBTN
: Menurunkan bunga simpanan antara 0,5%-1%.
√
CTRA
: Meluncurkan proyek baru untuk mencapai target.
√
ANTM
: Membangun pabrik smelter grade alumina (SGA).
√
ELSA
: Optimis raih pendapatan Rp 3,7 triliun di 2016.
√
TELE
: Bekerjasama dengan perusahaan Taiwan.
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, IQPlus, Bloomberg, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Senin 18 Januari 2016
Economic News
Bank of Korea memutuskan untuk menahan suku bunga acuannya untuk tujuh bulan berturut-turut . Kebijakan ini diambil menyusul tingginya tingkat volatilitas pasar global dan perlambatan ekonomi China. Saat ini, suku bunga Bank of Korea berada di level 1,5%. Tak hanya itu, Bank of Korea juga hanya memiliki sedikit ruang untuk melakukan pelonggaran moneter. Pasalnya, tingkat utang rumah tangga di level rekor dan besarnya potensi capital outflow seiring rencana kenaikan suku bunga AS. Bank of Korea kemungkinan akan memangkas outlook pertumbuhan dan prediksi inflasi.
PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk (BBTN) menurunkan bunga simpanan antara 0,5%-1%. PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk (BBTN) segera merespon keputusan Bank Indonesia (BI) menggunting suku bunga acuan atau BI rate sebesar 25 basis points (bps) menjadi 7,25%. BBTN akan menurunkan bunga simpanan antara 0,5%-1% pada bulan depan. Langkah penurunan bunga simpanan ini akan serta merta memangkas suku bunga kredit untuk meningkatkan pertumbuhan sektor riil.
PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) meluncurkan proyek baru untuk mencapai target. PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) memproyeksikan pra penjualan atau marketing sales tahun ini mencapai Rp 10 triliun. Jumlah itu tumbuh 8,6% daripada realisasi sepanjang tahun lalu senilai Rp 9,2 triliun. CTRA, memperkirakan, masih banyak tantangan industri properti tahun ini. Selain berharap dari penurunan suku bunga, CTRA akan meluncurkan proyek baru tahun ini untuk mencapai target marketing sales. CTRA berniat meluncurkan proyek yang sempat tertunda tahun lalu. Proyek tersebut antara lain Citra Garden Hill Samarinda dengan luas 58 hektare (ha), Citra Garden City Malang 50 ha, Citraland Cileungsi 82 ha, proyek mixed use di Fatmawati 4,5 ha dan Citraplaza Kemayoran 2 ha, Citraland Jayapura 41 ha, Citraland Lampung seluas 35 ha, Citraland Kendari seluas 60 ha dan Ciputra Internasional Office Tower II.
PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) membangun pabrik smelter grade alumina (SGA). PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) berharap, bisa segera membangun pabrik smelter grade alumina (SGA) di Mempawah, Kalimantan Barat. Proyek yang digarap bersama PT Indonesia Asahan Alumunium (Inalum) ini sedang dalam proses evaluasi ulang nilai belanja modal untuk pabrik. Dalam proyek ini, ANTM dan Inalum resmi menggandeng perusahaan aluminium asal Tiongkok, Aluminium Corporation of China Limited (Chinalco). Chinalco dipilih karena merupakan perusahaan aluminium terintegrasi dan merupakan perusahaan terbesar China dan terbesar kedua dunia. Sebelumnya, nilai investasi proyek ini diestimasi US$ 1,5 miliar-US$ 1,8 miliar. Pembangunan SGA Mempawah akan meningkatkan nilai cadangan bauksit ANTM yang besar melalui hilirisasi. Pabrik ini rencananya berkapasitas 2 juta ton SGA per tahun. Kapasitas ini lebih tinggi dari proyeksi awal 1,6 juta ton per tahun. Proses ground breaking diharapkan dimulai di awal kuartal II, dan bisa beroperasi pada tahun 2019.
PT Elnusa Tbk (ELSA) Optimis raih pendapatan Rp 3,7 Triliun di 2016. Kendati di awal tahun 2016 kondisi industri minyak dan gas (migas) diwarnai gejolak, perusahaan jasa pertambangan dan migas, PT Elnusa Tbk (ELSA) optismis mampu membukukan kinerja positif di tahun 2016. ELSA tetap yakin dalam menghadapi tantangan industri tahun ini, mengingat hingga saat inI telah memiliki kontrak sebesar Rp 5,6 triliun yang akan direalisasikan sebesar Rp 3,0 triliun di tahun 2016. ELSA diyakini mampu menghasilkan tambahan pendapatan dan berimbas pada proyeksi total pendapatan di 2016 yang tidak kurang dari estimasi pendapatan tahun 2015 sebesar Rp3,7 triliun.
PT Tiphone Mobile Indonesia Tbk (TELE) bekerjasama dengan perusahaan Taiwan. PT Tiphone Mobile Indonesia Tbk (TELE) bekerjasama dengan perusahaan elektronik asal Taiwan, Arima Communication Corp. Arima Communication Corp adalah perusahaan yang bergerak dalam bidang original equipment manufacture (OEM) dan original design manufacturer (ODM) smarpthone. Arima Communication Corp telah berpengalaman mengembangkan smartphone untuk berbagai merek global, seperti Sony, Motorola, Acer, dan LG. Pabrik ini akan menempati area seluas 7.000 meter persegi di fase pertama. Nilai investasi pembangunan pabrik diperkirakan mencapai US$ 50 juta.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Senin 18 Januari 2016
Today’s Pick Chart ADRO
BMRI
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan ADRO potensi naik terbatas. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 446 dan resistance 453.
EMA-5 dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Mengindikasikan BMRI potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 9.200 dan resistance 9.375.
ITMG
MPPA
EMA-5 dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Williams%R downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Mengindikasikan ITMG potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 5.350 dan resistance 5.525.
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan MPPA potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 1.665 dan resistance 1.700.
PTPP
UNVR
EMA-5 dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrned. Williams%R downtrend. Mengindikasikan PTPP potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 3.905 dan resistance 3.955.
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Indikasikan UNVR potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 35.925 dan resistance 36.125.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
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DAILY REPORT Senin 18 Januari 2016
NO Stock
Closing Rec Target Stop Support Pivot Resistance Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 6.000 BOW 6.200 6.100 5.900 5.700 6.000 6.100 6.200 2 BBCA 13.000 BOW 13.200 13.100 12.900 12.800 13.000 13.100 13.200 3 BBNI 4.975 BOW 5.200 5.100 4.900 4.700 5.000 5.100 5.200 4 BBRI 11.450 BOW 11.900 11.800 11.300 11.000 11.500 11.600 11.700 5 BMRI 9.275 BOW 9.500 9.400 9.200 9.000 9.300 9.400 9.500 6 GGRM 56.300 SOS 55.600 55.200 55.700 55.100 56.000 56.500 56.700 7 INDF 5.725 SOS 5.600 5.500 5.600 5.400 5.700 5.800 5.900 8 SMGR 10.600 BOW 11.000 10.800 10.500 10.200 10.700 10.800 11.000 9 TLKM 3.085 SOS 3.100 3.000 3.000 2.800 3.200 3.300 3.400 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 16.600 SOS 15.800 15.500 16.400 16.200 16.600 16.800 17.000 11 BWPT 141 BOW 200 150 130 120 140 150 160 12 LSIP 1.255 BOW 1.400 1.300 1.200 1.000 1.300 1.400 1.500 13 SIMP 297 SOS 250 200 200 100 300 400 500 14 SSMS 1.800 BOW 2.000 1.900 1.700 1.500 1.900 2.000 2.100 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2.355 SOS 2.100 2.000 2.300 2.000 2.400 2.500 2.600 16 PTPP 3.940 SOS 3.800 3.700 3.900 3.700 4.000 4.100 4.200 17 WIKA 2.820 BOW 3.000 2.900 2.700 2.500 2.800 2.900 3.000 18 WSKT 1.705 SB 1.900 1.800 1.600 1.400 1.700 1.800 1.900 24 ASRI 329 BOW 450 400 300 200 400 500 600 25 BSDE 1.810 SOS 1.700 1.600 1.700 1.500 1.900 2.000 2.100 26 CTRA 1.415 SOS 1.300 1.200 1.300 1.100 1.400 1.500 1.600 27 KIJA 235 BOW 300 250 200 100 300 400 500 28 LPKR 1.060 BOW 1.200 1.100 1.000 900 1.100 1.200 1.300 Mining 29 ADRO 449 BOW 700 600 400 300 500 600 700 30 ANTM 315 BOW 400 300 300 200 400 500 600 31 INCO 1.435 BOW 1.600 1.500 1.400 1.200 1.500 1.600 1.700 32 ITMG 5.425 SOS 5.300 5.200 5.300 5.000 5.400 5.500 5.600 33 TINS 505 SOS 400 300 400 300 500 600 700 Others 34 BBTN 1.385 BOW 1.600 1.500 1.300 1.200 1.400 1.500 1.600 35 INTP 19.625 SOS 19.300 19.000 19.400 19.200 19.700 20.000 20.200 36 KLBF 1.440 BOW 1.600 1.500 1.400 1.200 1.500 1.600 1.700 37 MPPA 1.680 SOS 1.500 1.400 1.600 1.300 1.700 1.800 1.900 38 PGAS 2.650 BOW 2.800 2.700 2.600 2.300 2.700 2.800 2.900 39 UNTR 16.275 SOS 16.000 15.800 16.000 15.800 16.300 16.400 16.600 40 UNVR 36.000 BOW 37.000 36.500 35.700 35.500 36.000 36.200 36.500 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy
Technical Alert MACD Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend RSI Uptrend MACD Downtrend Williams%R Downtrend Stochastic Goldencross Stochastic Downtrend
MA-5 Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Uptrend MA-5 Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend MA-5 Downtrend RSI Uptrend MACD Uptrend RSI Uptrend RSI Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Goldencross MFI Uptrend MACD Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend MACD Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Goldencross MACD Downtrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Senin 18 Januari 2016
Research Team
Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57944266 Ext. 166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
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