DAILY REPORT Selasa 29 Maret 2016
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Senin, 28 Maret 2016
Pada perdagangan awal pekan, Senin 28/3/2016 Indeks Harga
IHSG : 4.773,626
-53,461/(1,108%)
Market Volume
: 9,158 Million Shares
Market Value
: 4,596.645 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers LSIP
1.740
80
4,8%
PTBA
6.550
50
0,8%
ITMG
6.725
200
3,1%
SCMA
3.190
90
2,9%
MEDC
1.195
140
13,3%
ASII
7.250
-125
-1,7%
BMRI
10.075
-150
-1,5%
BBCA
13.175
-150
-1,1%
BBRI
11.100
-175
-1,6%
UNVR
42.000
-525
-1,2%
TLKM
3.305
-20
-0,60%
SSMS
1.905
5
0,26%
SRIL
311
-1
-0,32%
MYRX
805
0
0,00%
ANTM
459
1
0,22%
3.305
-20
-0,60%
ASII
7.250
-125
-1,69%
BMRI
10.075
-150
-1,47%
BBCA
13.175
-150
-1,13%
SSMS
1.905
5
0,26%
Lagging Movers
Most Active
Top Value TLKM
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
USD
13.336
13.225
0,84
SBI 1 mo
6,75%
25
0,25
Deflasi MoM
0,09%
1
0,01
Inflasi YoY
6,25%
58
0,58
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM
-2,19
Valuasi USD IDR 13.336
3.337
Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA Nasdaq
17.535,39 4.766,79
Perubahan +/% 19,66 (6,72)
0,11 (0,14)
Nikkei 225
17.134,37
Hangseng
20.345,61
(269,62)
(1,31)
2.830,29
(17,10)
(0,60)
STI
17,20
0,10
Saham Gabungan (IHSG) melemah 53,46 poin (1,10%) dan ditutup pada level 4.773,63. Pelemahan terbesar oleh Sektor Industri Dasar melemah 1,67%, Sektor Manufaktur melemah 1,56% dan Sektor Konsumsi melemah 1,55%. Investor asing melakukan net sell sebesar Rp 488 miliar. Bursa saham AS ditutup bervariasi, hal ini dipicu dari data ekonomi AS yang tercatat lebih lemah dari perkiraan. Ini mengurangi kekhawatiran tentang potensi kenaikan suku bunga dan penurunan harga minyak bisa mendorong saham energi. Data belanja konsumen AS menunjukkan hampir tidak naik pada Februari, yang menunjukkan Federal Reserve akan berhati-hati menaikkan suku bunganya di tahun ini. Data-data penting yang akan dirilis pekan ini termasuk kepercayaan konsumen untuk Maret pada Selasa dan laporan ketenagakerjaan untuk Maret pada Jumat. Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Average menguat 19,66 poin atau 0,11% ke level 17.535,39, Indeks S&P 500 menguat 1,11 poin atau 0,05% ke level 2.037,05 dan Indeks Nasdaq Composite melemah 6,72 poin atau 0,14% ke level 4.766,79. IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak melemah dengan rentang Support 4.725-4.749 dan resistance 4.781-4.805.
Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga SOS
7.050-7.150
Keterangan MACD dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend.
ASII
7.250
SOS
INTP
19.300
SOS
JSMR
5.600
5.400-5.550
MFI downtrend. Indikasikan JSMR potensi turun.
TB
SMCB
1.070
1.090-1.110
Williams%R uptrend. Indikasikan SMCB potensi naik.
SOS
TLKM
3.305
3.270-3.295
RSI dan stochastic downtrend. TLKM potensi turun.
SOS
WTON
995
965-975
EMA-5 dan MACD downtrend. Stochastic deathcross.
19.125-19.225 EMA-5 downtrend. RSI dibawah 30% dan stochastic dibawah 20%.
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: Harga minyak dunia turun.
√
BMRI
: Akan turunkan suku bunga 25-50 basis poin.
√
ICBP
: Kenaikan laba bersih 13,5% di tahun 2015.
√
INDF
: Laba bersih turun 24% sepanjang tahun lalu.
√
WIKA
: Meraih proyek pembangunan pabrik.
√
EXCL
: Hadirkan layanan Infinet 4G LTE.
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, IQPlus, Bloomberg, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 1
DAILY REPORT Selasa 29 Maret 2016
Economic News
Harga minyak dunia bergerak lebih rendah pada Senin (Selasa pagi WIB), memperpanjang penurunan pekan lalu di tengah kelebihan pasokan global dengan aktivitas perdagangan sangat dibatasi oleh liburan pasar di Eropa. Patokan AS, minyak mentah West Texas Intermediate (WTI) untuk pengiriman Mei turun tujuh sen menjadi menetap di 39,39 dolar AS per barel di New York Mercantile Exchange. Di perdagangan London, minyak mentah Brent North Sea untuk pengiriman Mei, patokan Eropa, turun 17 sen menjadi ditutup pada 40,27 dolar AS per barel.
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI) akan turunkan suku bunga 25-50 basis poin. PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI) akan menurunkan suku bunga kredit 25 hingga 50 basis poin yang disesuaikan dengan sektor bisnis. Penurunan tersebut selain menyelaraskan dengan turunnya suku bunga acuan Bank Indonesia (BI rate), juga untuk mendorong perekonomian Tanah Air. Langkah itu merupakan awal dari penerapan suku bunga rendah oleh Bank Mandiri. Melalui suku bunga rendah, diharapkan mampu meningkatkan fungsi intermediasi perseroan. Penurunan suku bunga kredit 25 hingga 50 basis poin akan memperhatikan sektorsektor yang paling ideal untuk diturunkan segera. Mudah-mudahan, pada semester kedua tahun ini, suku bunga kredit Bank Mandiri akan berada di single digit secara merata di semua segmen. Saat ini, Bank Mandiri memulai penerapan suku bunga rendah single digit dengan mengoptimalkan penyaluran Kredit usaha rakyat (KUR) untuk membantu pendanaan sektor UMKM dengan bunga yang ditetapkan sebesar 9%.
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) kenaikan laba bersih 13,5% di tahun 2015. PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) membukukan kenaikan laba bersih 13,5% sepanjang tahun lalu. Berdasarkan laporan keuangan perseroan 2015, perseroan mencetak laba tahun berjalan Rp 3 triliun, naik dari laba per 2014 sebesar Rp 2,64 triliun. Marjin bersih juga naik menjadi 9,5% dari 8,8%.Kontribusi penjualan dari divisi mi instan berkontribusi paling besar yakni 65%. Selanjutnya pendapatan dikontribusikan oleh divisi dairy 19%, makanan ringan dan minuman masing-masing 6%, penyedap makanan serta nutrisi dan makanan khusus masing-masing 2%.
Laba bersih PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF) turun 24% sepanjang tahun lalu. PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF) membukukan penurunan laba bersih 24,7% sepanjang tahun lalu. perseroan mencetak laba tahun berjalan Rp 2,97 triliun, turun dari laba per 2014 sebesar Rp 3,95 triliun. Marjin bersih juga turun menjadi 4,6% dari 6,2%. Sementara itu, penjualan bersih konsolidasi tumbuh 0,7% menjadi Rp 64,06 triliun dari Rp 63,59 triliun. Kelompok usaha strategis produk konsumen bermerek memberi kontribusi terbesar terhadap penjualan yakni 49%, disusul oleh bogasari 24%, agribisnis 19%, dan distribusi 8%
PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA) meraih proyek pembangunan pabrik miyak goreng. PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA) ditetapkan sebagai pemenang Proyek Pembangunan Pabrik Minyak Goreng 600.000 ton per tahun di Kawasan Ekonomi Khusus, Sei Mangke, Kabupaten Simalungun, Sumatera Utara dengan total nilai Rp 501,08 miliar. Rencananya proyek ini akan berlangsung selama 18 bulan kalender kerja. Lingkup pekerjaan Perseroan dalam proyek ini adalah Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC) yang meliputi: basic design, detail design for processing plant (ISBL) and utilities (OSBL); procurement (purchasing, expediting, logistics & formalities logistics); construction (site management, warehousing); project Management, HSE, quality control, commissioning, start up, termasuk warranty. Komposisi perolehan kontrak baru WIKA tahun 2016 ditargetkan berasal dari pemerintah sebesar 20,73%, BUMN 15,85% dan swasta 63,42%.
PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) hadirkan layanan Infinet 4G LTE. PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) juga terus melakukan inovasi layanan dalam menyediakan berbagai solusi yang dapat mendukung tumbuh kembangnya bisnis UMKM. Salah satu inovasi layanan terbaru yang dihadirkan oleh XL adalah INFINET yang merupakan layanan mobile broadband 4G LTE pertama di Indonesia untuk solusi bisnis UKM. kehadiran layanan INFINET ini juga semakin melengkapi berbagai pilhan solusi bagi para pelaku bisnis UMKM yang selama ini sudah disediakan oleh XL melalui Digibiz.Kehadiran produk layanan ini merupakan wujud komitmen XL untuk dapat membantu kebutuhan para pelaku bisnis UKM dalam mengembangkan bisnisnya melalui ketersediaan akses Internet mobile berkecepatanan tinggi 4G LTE dengan kuota yang besar.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 2
DAILY REPORT Selasa 29 Maret 2016
Today’s Pick Chart ASII
INTP
MACD dan MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Mengindikasikan ASII potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 7.050-7.150 dan resistance 7.325-7.450.
EMA-5 dan MACD downtrend. RSI dibawah 30% dan stochastic dibawah 20%. Williams%R downtrend. Mengindikasikan INTP potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 19.125-19.225 dan resistance 19.500-19.625.
JSMR
SMCB
MFI downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Didukung volume jual meningkat. Indikasikan JSMR potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 5.400– 5.550 dan resistance 5.700-5.825.
EMA-5 dan MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Indikasikan SMCB potensi naik. Rec : Trading Buy (TB). Support 1.030-1.060 dan resistance 1.090-1.110.
TLKM
WTON
MACD downtrend. RSI dan stochastic downtrend. Me ngi ndi kasi k a n TLK M potensi mel anj utka n penurunannya. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 3.270-3.295 dan resistance 3.325-3.350.
EMA-5 dan MACD downtrend. Stochastic deathcross. Williams%R downtrend. Mengindikasikan WTON potensi turun. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 965-975 dan resistance 1.010-1.035.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 3
DAILY REPORT Selasa 29 Maret 2016
NO Stock
Closing Rec Target Stop Support Pivot Resistance Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 7.250 SOS 7.700 6.800 7.100 6.800 7.400 7.500 7.600 2 BBCA 13.175 TB 14.300 12.700 13.000 12.700 13.500 13.800 1.400 3 BBNI 5.100 TB 5.600 4.700 5.000 4.500 5.300 5.600 6.000 4 BBRI 11.100 TB 11.600 10.700 11.000 10.500 11.700 12.000 12.300 5 BMRI 10.075 SOS 10.800 9.500 9.900 9.500 10.300 10.600 11.000 6 GGRM 59.300 SB 61.000 58.500 58.000 56.500 60.000 60.500 60.800 7 INDF 6.875 SB 7.700 6.200 6.800 6.500 7.000 7.200 7.500 8 SMGR 10.600 TB 11.000 10.000 10.400 10.200 10.800 11.000 11.300 9 TLKM 3.305 SOS 3.500 2.900 3.200 3.000 3.500 3.600 3.700 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 17.100 SOS 18.500 16.500 16.900 16.500 17.500 17.800 18.000 11 BWPT 287 BOW 400 200 200 100 400 500 600 12 LSIP 1.740 TB 1.900 1.300 1.600 1.400 1.800 1.900 2.100 13 SIMP 415 SOS 600 200 400 300 500 600 700 14 SSMS 1.905 TB 2.200 1.500 1.800 1.600 2.100 2.200 2.300 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2.660 SOS 3.000 2.100 2.600 2.400 2.800 2.900 3.100 16 PTPP 3.875 SB 4.200 3.300 3.800 3.600 4.200 4.400 4.800 17 WIKA 2.600 SB 3.000 2.200 2.500 2.300 2.800 3.000 3.200 18 WSKT 1.985 SOS 2.500 1.600 1.900 1.700 2.100 2.200 2.400 24 ASRI 377 TB 500 400 300 200 500 600 700 25 BSDE 1.825 TB 2.200 1.600 1.700 1.600 2.000 2.100 2.200 26 CTRA 1.265 SOS 1.500 1.000 1.200 1.000 1.400 1.500 1.600 27 KIJA 253 BOW 400 100 200 100 400 500 600 28 LPKR 1.150 TB 1.300 900 1.100 1.000 1.300 1.500 1.600 Mining 29 ADRO 670 SOS 800 400 600 500 800 900 1.000 30 ANTM 459 TB 600 250 400 300 600 700 800 31 INCO 1.770 SOS 2.100 1.300 1.700 1.500 1.900 2.100 2.200 32 ITMG 6.725 SOS 7.200 6.000 6.500 6.300 7.000 7.200 7.500 33 TINS 735 TB 900 500 700 600 800 900 1.000 Others 34 BBTN 1.745 SOS 2.000 1.400 1.700 1.600 1.900 2.100 2.200 35 INTP 19.300 SOS 21.000 20.000 19.000 18.700 20.000 20.300 20.500 36 KLBF 1.280 SOS 1.500 900 1.200 1.000 1.400 1.600 1.700 37 MPPA 1.640 SOS 2.000 1.300 1.500 1.300 1.800 2.100 2.300 38 PGAS 2.595 BOW 3.000 2.000 2.500 2.400 2.800 3.000 3.200 39 UNTR 15.000 SOS 16.000 14.500 14.800 14.500 16.000 16.200 16.800 40 UNVR 42.000 TB 43.000 41.000 41.800 41.500 42.800 43.000 43.500 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy
Technical Alert MACD Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend RSI Downtrend MFI Uptrend Williams%R Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend
MA-5 Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Uptrend MA-5 Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend RSI Uptrend MACD Downtrend RSI Uptrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Goldencross MFI Uptrend MACD Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend MACD Uptrend MA-5 Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Downtrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Page 4
DAILY REPORT Selasa 29 Maret 2016
Research Team
Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Page 5