6 Februari 2013
Daily Trading Idea 4.479,44
IHSG Resistance 2 : 4.519 Foreign Activity, Rp mil : Resistance 1 : 4.492 Reguler 687 Support 1 : 4.454 Negosiasi 101 Support 2 : 4.438 Total 788 Walau ditutup menguat tipis, namun dengan terbentuknya lower high dan lower low, serta adanya indikasi dead cross pada Stoch, potensi berlanjutnya pelemahan IHSG untuk membentuk trend turun minor menjadi terbuka. Maka IHSG diperkirakan cenderung melemah dalam rangka menguji ret 50% yang juga sekaligus support penting dari pola rising wedge. Historical Foreign Activity Rp mil Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days
Sales G 34.4 % 0.2 % 18.3 %
OPM 14.6 % 1.0 % 4.1 %
DER 0.0 0.0 0.5
161.8%
261.8%
Stochastic
50
4999
x1000000000
November
Buy on Weakness ACES
800 750 700 650
50
(19.183) -
Target Price : 410 Stop Loss : 380 Resistance 2 : 425 Support 2 : 360 Resistance 1 : 410 Support 1 : 385 Foreign, Rp jt: (5.565) Meski koreksi namun mampu closing di atas EMA 16 Telah tercapainya target penurunan ret 50% BoW pada kisaran retracement 50%-nya di 385-390 DER 0.9 0.2 0.5
Historical Foreign Activity Rp jt Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days dmia.danareksaonline.com
PE 9.0 x 28.4 x 26.5 x
850
EMA 6 EMA 16
30000 10000 x1000
September
November December 2013
APLN
EMA 6 EMA 16
February
Buy on Weakness
Rp 395
OPM 29.2 % 28.4 % 26.5 %
February
Stochastic
APLN
Sales G 31.6 % 46.5 % 31.4 %
2013
600
PE 37.1 x 56.6 x 57.1 x
Historical Foreign Activity Rp jt Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days
4500 4450 4400 4350 4300 4250 4200 4150
100.0%
Rp 730
Target Price : 790 Stop Loss : 690 Resistance 2 : 830 Support 2 : 670 Resistance 1 : 790 Support 1 : 700 Foreign, Rp jt: (3.524) Koreksi yang diiringi penurunan volume perdagangan Melambatnya Stoch yang sudah memasuki area oversold BoW pada kisaran support kuat jk menengah di 700-720
Ticker APLN CTRA LPKR
EMA 16
2.862 volume 5.637 8.086 September
ACES
Ticker ACES ALFA HERO
0.0% 23.6% 38.2% 50.0% 61.8%
EMA 6
0.0%
420 410 400 390 380 370 360 350 340 330
23.6% 38.2% 50.0% 61.8% 100.0%
161.8%
320
Stochastic 50
(3.257) (15.392) August September November December 2013 (21.905) See important disclosure on the end of this report
50000 x1000
February
1
6 Februari 2013
Daily Trading Idea Rp 255
BKSL Target Price : 265 Stop Loss : 230 Resistance 2 : 270 Support 2 : 220 Resistance 1 : 265 Support 1 : 235 Foreign, Rp jt: (2.076) Menguji EMA16 dan supp channel namun close di atasnya Pergerakan Stoch yang mulai mendekati area oversold BoW pada kisaran retracement 50% di 235-245 Ticker BKSL SMRA BSDE
Sales G 88.3 % 38.6 % 26.8 %
OPM DER 38.9 % 0.1 27.9 % 0.4 38.2 % 0.1
BKSL
EMA 6 EMA 16
50.0% 61.8%
DER 0.8 0.3 0.1
Stochastic 50
2.131 152.091 184.030August
September
November December 2013
Buy on Weakness
2400 2350 2300
EMA 6 EMA 16
2250 2200
Stochastic 50
50000
239 4.886 August 4.372
x100
September
Target Price : 17.000 Stop Loss : 15.950 Resistance 2 : 16.950 Support 2 : 15.750 Resistance 1 : 16.500 Support 1 : 16.000 Foreign, Rp jt: 123.086 Kofirmasi pola inverted H&S diiringi menguatnya volume Trend naik Stoch yang masih memiliki ruang kenaikan Trading Buy mengejar target inverted H&S di 17.000 OPM DER 31.3 % 0.2 33.5 % 0.0 21.6 % 0.2
Historical Foreign Activity Rp jt Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days dmia.danareksaonline.com
PE 21.0 x 17.7 x 19.5 x
2500 2450
November December 2013
Rp 16.250
Sales G 17.7 % 26.5 % 20.5 %
February
2150
SMGR
Ticker SMGR INTP SMCB
30000 10000 x10000
GJTL
PE 7.0 x 14.5 x 6.8 x
Historical Foreign Activity Rp jt Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days
190
100.0%
Target Price : 2.300 Stop Loss : 2.125 Resistance 2 : 2.300 Support 2 : 2.100 Resistance 1 : 2.250 Support 1 : 2.150 Foreign, Rp jt: (858) Candle doji dan naiknya volume menandakan akumulasi Melambatnya Stoch yang sudah mendekati area oversold BoW kisaran support konsolidasi di 2.150-2.175 OPM 12.0 % 6.1 % 5.7 %
220 210
Rp 2.200
Sales G 7.6 % 13.2 % 3.0 %
280 270 260 250 240 230
23.6%
200
GJTL
Ticker GJTL AUTO GDYR
0.0%
38.2%
PE 32.6 x 21.5 x 19.9 x
Historical Foreign Activity Rp jt Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days
Buy on Weakness
February
Trading Buy 17000 16500 16000 15500 15000 14500 14000 13500 13000
SMGR
EMA 6 EMA 16
12500 12000
Stochastic 50
270.711 (212.090) August 55.547
10000 x1000
September
November December 2013
February
See important disclosure on the end of this report 2
6 Februari 2013
Aksi Korporasi RUPS / RUPSLB Tanggal
Kode
Agenda
12-Feb-2013 13-Feb-2013 15-Feb-2013 15-Feb-2013 18-Feb-2013 19-Feb-2013 26-Feb-2013 27-Feb-2013 27-Feb-2013 28-Feb-2013 28-Feb-2013
GDST TKGA PKPK MLBI META MYOH ALKA BULL APEX ROTI BBRI
RUPS RUPSLB RUPSLB RUPS RUPS RUPSLB RUPSLB RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS
Kode
Harga Eksekusi (Rp)
WARAN Jatuh Tempo 8-Feb-2013 15-Feb-2013 12-Apr-2013 3-May-2013 21-May-2013 8-Jul-2013 9-Jul-2013 9-Jul-2013 10-Jul-2013 12-Jul-2013 26-Jul-2013 20-Nov-2013 5-Dec-2013 16-Dec-2013
BIPI-W UNSP-W2 MLPL-W KBLV-W2 VIVA-W PADI-W IPOL-W SMMA-W4 BVIC-W2 GREN-W META-W BMSR-W KBRI-W2 HOME-W
145 530 250 800 305 450 250 500 100 105 88 500 105 125
Kalendar Ekonomi GMT
W IB
Zona
Feb 05, 15:00
22:00
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
Event
Feb 05, 15:00
22:00
US
Feb 06, 00:01
Feb 6, 7:01
Feb 06, 00:30 Feb 06, 02:00
Pengaruh Sebelumnya
Konsensus
Medium
56.1
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM)
Low
46.5
UK
BRC Shop Price Index (MoM)
Low
1.50%
7:30
AU
Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
Medium
-0.10%
9:00
ID
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
High
6.17%
Feb 06, 02:00
9:00
ID
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
High
6.5
Feb 06, 08:00
15:00
UK
Halifax House Prices (3m/YoY)
Low
-0.30%
1.50%
Feb 06, 08:00
15:00
UK
Halifax House Prices (MoM)
Low
1.30%
-0.20%
Feb 06, 11:00
18:00
DE
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)
Medium
-1.80%
0.60%
Feb 06, 11:00
18:00
DE
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)
Medium
-1.00%
dmia.danareksaonline.com
55.8
0.30%
See important disclosure on the end of this report 3
6 Februari 2013
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6 Februari 2013
Keterangan : Sales G Sales Growth M Cap Market Cap OPM Operating Profit Margin DER Debt to Equity Ratio PBV Prive to Book Value PE Price to Earning
Sumber Data : Chart MetaStock Professional Kalendar Ekonomi http://myfxbook.com Aksi Korporasi http://idx.co.id
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See important disclosure on the end of this report 5