Weekly Technical View Consolidation Time
Technical Report
Market Recap
Jan 19, 2015
Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami koreksi sebesar 1.3% dan ditutup dilevel 5148.379, koreksi yang terjadi masih dalam pergerakan sideways.
Indicator says Betrand Raynaldi +62-21-5151140
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Indicator stochastic mulai meninggalkan overbought area, MACD mulai menurun walaupun PSAR masih masih pada area bullish walaupun sudah mulai melandai.
Sentiment Sama seperti minggu lalu dimana pergerakan IHSG lebih dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) juga harga komoditas dan minyak.
This Week’s Prediction Pada minggu ini kami perkirakan akan terjadi rebound.
Trading Strategy Trading buy
Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.
Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Trading
Support
5.136
Resistance
5.206
Close
5.148
Indicator
IHSG Sentiment Sama seperti minggu lalu dimana pergerakan IHSG lebih dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) juga harga komoditas dan minyak.
Stoch
DN
Technical View
MACD
DN
Daily Analysis
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Pada minggu lalu indeks bergerak cenderung melemah, pelemahan ini telah membuat indeks stochastic masuk dalam level oversold, bila menganalisa volume maka terlihat 1) mengalami lonjakan ketika indeks naik 2) volume transaksi semakin menurun dimulai selama 3 hari terakhir dan selama itu juga indeks cenderung melemah. Hal ini mengindikasikan tekanan penurunan semakin melemah dan besar kemungkinan terjadi technical rebound.
Key Charts
Chart 1. Daily Chart
Chart 2. Weekly Chart
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Stock in Focus
Recommendation
Trading Buy
Target price
740
Stop-loss
640
(WINS)
Close
685
Kenaikan 9.26% pada minggu lalu disertai dengan peningkatan volume yang
Indicator
PT. Wintermar Offshore Marine Tbk
OS
MACD
UP
MACD yang terus meningkat sementara PSAR masih memberikan signal bearish. Kami
PSAR
DN
perkirakan saham WINS dapat rebound dengan target fibo terdekat di level 740. Tetap
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Trading Buy
Target price
510
Stop-loss
465
Close
472
Indicator
significant merupakan awal dari rebound setelah 5 minggu berturut-turut mengalami
Stoch
pelemaha, Indicator Stochastic berpotensi golden cross di area oversold. Begitu juga
jaga level stop loss di 740.
PT Pakuwon Jati Tbk (PWON) Dilihat dari chart harian tekanan jual mulai jauh berkurang, diperkirakan pada minggu ini saham PWON akan rebound dengan target 510, yang juga merupakan gap atas. Indicator weekly masih mixed sementara dari daily stochastic telah golden cross, sehingga strategi yang dipakai adalah trading buy. Namun tetap jaga level stop loss di
Stoch
DN
MACD
DN
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
465.
Chart 3
Chart 4.
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Trading Buy/Sell on Strength
Target price
184
Stop-loss
152
Close
166
PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA) Pada perdagangan minggu lalu perseroan mengalami rebound yang disertai dengan volume yang jauh meningkat, indicator stochastic telah golden cross demikian pula
Indicator
dengan indicator MACD. Kami perkirakan pada minggu ini saham ASSA akan
Stoch
GC
MACD
GC
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Spec Buy
Target price
4950
Stop Loss
4300
Close
4575
Indicator
menembus level resistance channel trend turunnya di 175, dimana target berikut adalah 184. Strategi yang dipakai trading buy namun tetap jaga stop loss di 152.
PT XL Axiata (EXCL) Saham EXCL berada dalam trend turun namun pola Hammer yang terjadi pada minggu lalu memberikan indikasi akan adanya perubahan trend, pola tersebut juga didukung oleh volume dan indicator, dimana indicator stochastic telah golden cross dan MACD juga meningkat, walaupun PSAR masih memberikan signal bearish. Kami perkirakan
Stoch
GC
MACD
UP
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
EXCL akan rebound dengan target 4950. Namun tetap jaga level stop loss di 4300.
Chart 5.
Chart 6.
Source:HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Disclaimers
This report is prepared strictly for private circulation only to clients of PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia (DWS). It is purposed only to person having professional experience in matters relating to investments. The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. No warranty (express or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgments as of this date, without regards to its fairness, and are subject to change without notice. However, none of DWS and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of DWS, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither DWS, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. This firms and its affiliates and their officers and employees may have a position, make markets, act as principal or engage in transaction in securities or related investments of any company mentioned herein, may perform services for or solicit business from any company mentioned herein, and may have acted upon or used any of the recommendations herein before they have been provided to you. © PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia 2014. KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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