Weekly Technical View Consolidation Time
Technical Report
Market Recap
Jan 12, 2015
Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami koreksi sebesar 0.5% dan ditutup dilevel 5216,66, koreksi ini merupakan koreksi yang sehat mengingat IHSG telah masuk level overbought.
Indicator says Betrand Raynaldi +62-21-5151140
[email protected]
Indicator stochastic masih pada area overbought, MACD mulai menurun walaupun PSAR masih masih pada area bullish walaupun sudah mulai melandai.
Sentiment Sama seperti minggu lalu dimana pergerakan IHSG lebih dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) juga harga komoditas.
This Week’s Prediction Pada minggu ini kami perkirakan indeks bergerak sideways dengan range 5157-5262
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Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Trading
Support
5.157
Resistance
5.262
Close
5.217
Indicator
IHSG Sentiment Sama seperti minggu lalu dimana pergerakan IHSG lebih dipengaruhi oleh faktor external (dari luar Indonesia) juga harga komoditas.
Stoch
DN
Technical View
MACD
DN
Daily Analysis
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Pada minggu lalu indeks dibuka melemah kemudian rebound pada tengah minggu namun sayangnya indicator menunjukan pelemahan sentiment beli pada akhir minggu, sehingga pada minggu ini akan terjadi perubahan trend jangka pendek dari naik menjadi sideways.
Key Charts
Chart 1. Daily Chart
Chart 2. Weekly Chart
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Recommendation
Trading Buy/Sell On Strength
Stock in Focus
Target price
830
Stop-loss
780
PT BPD Jabar Banten Tbk
Close
805
(BJBR)
Indicator
Stoch
OB
Kenaikan 8.78% pada minggu lalu disertai dengan peningkatan volume, Indicator
MACD
UP
Stochastic telah golden cross dan terus meningkat, juga MACD yang terus meningkat
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
sementara PSAR masih memberikan signal bullish, namun bila dilihat dari pergerakan harian saham ini terus menguat selama beberapa hari perdagangan, yang membuat semakin besarnya resiko untuk terjadinya profit taking. Namun kami melihat target
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
terdekat adalah 830, sehingga strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah trading dengan
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
level beli di 805 dan jual dilevel 830. Namun tetap jaga level stop loss di 780.
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Trading Buy
Target price
3.150
Stop-loss
2.880
Close
2.910
Indicator
PT Matahari Putra Prima Tbk (MPPA) Kenaikan pada hari jumat disertai dengan lonjakan volume setelah selama beberapa minggu perdagangan cenderung melemah, dari indicator harian terlihat stochastic dan MACD mulai menunjukan adanya sentiment beli pada saham perseroan. Secara mingguan saham perseroan tertahan pada support fibo di 2890, indicator mingguan
Stoch
DN
masih menunjukan pelemahan. Kami melihat saham perseroan pada minggu ini
MACD
DN
diperkirakan akan mengalami rebound sehingga strategi yang digunakan adalah
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
trading beli dengan target harga pada minggu ini 3150 namun tetap jaga level stop loss di 2880.
Chart 3
Chart 4.
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Trading Buy/Sell on Strength
Target price
1.760
Stop-loss
1.520
Close
1.605
PT Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) Pada perdagangan minggu lalu, saham perseroan mulai menunjukan signal perubahan trend, setelah terkonsolidasi hampir 1 bulan lamanya, hal ini juga ditunjukan oleh
Indicator
indicator stochastic yang telah golden cross dan kemungkinan MACD juga mengikuti pada minggu ini. PSAR sendiri juga telah menunjukan perubahan trend menjadi bullish.
Stoch
DN
MACD
DN
PSAR
UP
perseroan telah 3 hari berturut-turut naik, semua indicator masih menunjukan
Volume
UP
penguatan. Strategi yang dipakai adalah trading beli dengan target harga di 1760
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
SELL
Target price
375
Melihat pola pergerakan saham perseroan sebelumnya, rebound perseroan terjadi paling tidak 2 kali dalam hal ini 2
mingguan. Namun bila melihat char harian, saham
namun jangan lupa jaga level stop loss di 1520.
PT Sekawan Intipratama (SIAP) Volatilitas yang terjadi kemarin yang juga disertai dengan peningkatan volume
Close
Indicator
411
menyertai penurunan harga secara mingguan sebesar 3.3%, hal ini juga mengakhiri
Stoch
DN
MACD
DN
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
trend kenaikan perseroan selama 2 bulan. Melihat darai indicator MACD mulai menurun demikian pula dengan PSAR yang telah memberikan signal bearish sementara stochastic menunjukan deathcross di area overbought. Kami perkirakan saham perseroan akan turun pada minggu ini, dengan target harga di 375.
Chart 5.
Chart 6.
Source:HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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