Weekly Technical View Time to Take Profit
Technical Report
Market Recap
Feb 23, 2015
Pada minggu lalu indeks pergerakan indeks cukup volatile, namun sentiment penurunan BI rate berhasil mendorong indeks mencapai rekor tertinggi baru baik intraday maupun closing.
Betrand Raynaldi
Indicator says
+62-21-5151140
[email protected]
Indicator Stochastic masih bertahan di area jenuh beli, MACD dan PSAR masih naik.
Sentiment Investor masih akan berfokus kepada laporan keuangan emiten yang akan mulai banyak keluar pada minggu ini selain dari pada data ekonomi dari luar negeri.
This Week’s Prediction Walaupun indeks masih bergerak dalam trend naik namun indicator yang sudah di area jenuh beli mengindikasikan akan adanya koreksi dalam rangka konsolidasi.
Trading Strategy Sell on Strength
Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.
Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Trading Buy
Support
5.350
Resistance
5.427
Close
5.400
Indicator
IHSG Sentiment Investor masih akan berfokus kepada laporan keuangan emiten yang akan mulai banyak keluar pada minggu ini selain dari pada data ekonomi dari luar negeri.
Stoch
OB
Technical View
MACD
UP
Daily Analysis
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
Pada minggu lalu indeks sempat terkoreksi dalam pada hari senin sebelum terus menguat sampai hari jumat, namun sayangnya indeks membuka gap besar di level 5343. Semua indicator mendukung kenaikan ini namun indicator stochastic telah masuk area jenuh beli.
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Key Charts
Chart 1. Daily Chart
Chart 2. Weekly Chart
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
2
Stock in Focus
Recommendation
Sell
Target price
1305/1225
PT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL)
Close
Indicator
Pada minggu lalu saham GJTL mengalami tekanan jual dengan ditutup turun 7%,
1360
Stoch
DN
MACD
DN
PSAR
DC
Volume
DN
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Sell
Target price
penurunan ini diperkirakan masih akan berlanjut dengan target 1305 sebelum ke 1225, hal ini juga didukung oleh deathcross pada indicator PSAR. Sehingga gunakan hal ini untuk jual lebih dahulu dan mulai akumulasi lagi di level 1225.
PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk (ASRI)
635
Saham ASRI pada minggu lalu mengalami kenaikan 8.66% yang disertai dengan peningkatan volume namun penguatan ini masih dalam trend naiknya dan belum
Close
Indicator
dapat menembus resistancenya. Sementara melihat pergerakan daily, terlihat gap di
690
635 terbuka lebar. Dengan stochastic yang berada di area jenuh beli terlihat downside
Stoch
OB
lebih besar sehingga strategi yang digunakan Sell dan mulai akumulasi beli kembali
MACD
UP
ketika gap mulai tertutup.
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Chart 3
Chart 4.
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
3
Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Buy On Weakness
Target price
755
PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)
Stop-loss
720
Close
740
Indicator (Daily)
Tekanan jual saham RALS pada telah jauh berkurang sehingga trend turun telah berubah menjadi konsolidasi, hal ini juga terlihat dari stochastic yang telah masuk di area jenuh jual dan MACD yang mulai meningkat. Kami perkirakan saham RALS akan
Stoch
OS
bergerak antara 755-725, sehingga strategi yang dapat dilakukan trading di range
MACD
UP
tersebut.
PSAR
DM
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Trading Sell
Target price
12000
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (persero) Tbk. (BBRI) Saham BBRI pada minggu lalu naik 6% dan tidak dapat menembus resistancenya, akibat kenaikan yang tinggi ini pada minggu lalu saham BBRI membuat gap di 12025.
Close
Indicator
Dimana secara indicator juga telah masuk area jenuh beli sehingga pada minggu ini
12.725
Stoch
OB
MACD
UP
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
koreksi akan berlangung dengan target penurunan ke 12000.
Chart 5.
Chart 6.
Source:HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Disclaimers
This report is prepared strictly for private circulation only to clients of PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia (DWS). It is purposed only to person having professional experience in matters relating to investments. The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. No warranty (express or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgments as of this date, without regards to its fairness, and are subject to change without notice. However, none of DWS and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of DWS, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither DWS, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. This firms and its affiliates and their officers and employees may have a position, make markets, act as principal or engage in transaction in securities or related investments of any company mentioned herein, may perform services for or solicit business from any company mentioned herein, and may have acted upon or used any of the recommendations herein before they have been provided to you. © PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia 2014.
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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