Weekly Technical View The Gap must be filled
Technical Report
Market Recap
Jan 26, 2015
Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami kenaikan 3,4% dan ditutup di level 5323.885 yang merupakan rekor penutupan tertinggi.
Indicator says Betrand Raynaldi +62-21-5151140
[email protected]
Indicator Stochastic golden cross di area jenuh beli sementara PSAR dan MACD juga meningkat namun sayangnya volume menurun dibanding minggu lalu.
Sentiment Pergerakan IHSG bukan hanya dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) dan harga komoditas dan minyak namun faktor domestic mengenai ketegangan antara polri dan KPK juga akan menjadi sorotan investor.
This Week’s Prediction Pada minggu ini kami perkirakan akan terkoreksi dengan target menutup gap bawah di 5267
Trading Strategy Buy on Weakness
Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.
Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Buy On weakness
Support
5.225
Resistance
5.355
Close
5.324
Indicator
IHSG Sentiment Pergerakan IHSG bukan hanya dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) dan harga komoditas dan minyak namun faktor domestic mengenai ketegangan antara polri dan KPK juga akan menjadi sorotan investor.
Stoch
OB
MACD
UP
Technical View
PSAR
UP
Daily Analysis
Volume
DN
Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami rally penguatan yang dimulai dari hari selasa sampai jumat, dan 2 kali berturut-turut membuat rekor tertinggi. Semua indicator mendukung penguatan ini, Namun sayangnya pergerakan indeks membuat gap dibawah yakni dilevel 5267 dan volume perdagangan pada hari jumat mulai menurun.
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Key Charts
Chart 1. Daily Chart
Chart 2. Weekly Chart
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Stock in Focus
Recommendation
Sell
Selling price
6.100
Re Entry Price
5.500
(MAPI)
Close
6.100
Kenaikan 9% pada minggu lalu, melanjutkan kenaikan 4 minggu berturut-turut juga
Indicator
PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk
UP
MACD
UP
secara chart harian indicator telah jenuh beli dan gap di 5475 membuat saham ini
PSAR
GC
terkoreksi. Strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah jual dulu dengan target masuk
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Sell on Strength
Selling price
8.100
Re entry Price
7.650
Close
8.075
Indicator
membuat saham MAPI menembus 2 garis resistancenya,namun sayangnya volume
Stoch
transaksi semakin berkurang. Semua indicator menunjukan pelanjutan kenaikan namun
kembali di 5500.
PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) Kenaikan 10% pada minggu telah membuat saham ini kembali masuk area jenuh beli baik mingguan maupun harian, walaupun volume menyertai kenaikan tersebut namun adanya gap dibawah yakni dilevel 7750 dapat membuat ASII rentan terkena profit taking. Sehingga strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah jual dulu dengan target masuk
Stoch
OB
MACD
UP
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
kembali di 7650.
Chart 3
Chart 4.
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Speculate Buy
Target price
396
PT Eagle High Plantation Tbk (BWPT)
Stop-loss
360
Close
370
Indicator
Pada perdagangan minggu lalu, BWPT membentuk doji, indicator stochastic menunjukan oversold dan MACD mulai meningkat walaupin PSAR masih menurun, namun dilihat dari daily chart pada minggu lalu saham ini kemungkinan mematahkan
Stoch
OS
trend turunnya. Sehingga strategi yang dilakukan adalah beli dengan target harga di
MACD
UP
396.
PSAR
DN
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
Recommendation
Trading Buy/ Sell On Strength
Target price
3.600
Stop Loss
3.275
Close
3.410
Indicator
PT Matahari Putra Prima Tbk. (MPPA)
Saham MPPA mengalami rally yang kuat pada minggu lalu dengan penguatan 17%, rally ini juga disertai dengan penningkatan volume, indicator stochastic telah golden cross dan semua indicator mendukung pelanjutan kenaikan. Secara harian volume
Stoch
GC
transaksi mulai melemah pada jumat kemarin, walaupun indicator harian masih
MACD
UP
mendukung penguatan. Strategi yang dipakai adalah trading buya atau sell on strength
PSAR
UP
Volume
UP
GC = Golden-cross
AC = Accumulation
DC = Dead-cross
Dis = Distribution
NM = Normal
OB = Overbought
OS = Oversold
DN = Down
dengan target harga di 3600.
Chart 5.
Chart 6.
Source:HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
Source: HOTS, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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Disclaimers
This report is prepared strictly for private circulation only to clients of PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia (DWS). It is purposed only to person having professional experience in matters relating to investments. The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. No warranty (express or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgments as of this date, without regards to its fairness, and are subject to change without notice. However, none of DWS and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of DWS, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither DWS, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. This firms and its affiliates and their officers and employees may have a position, make markets, act as principal or engage in transaction in securities or related investments of any company mentioned herein, may perform services for or solicit business from any company mentioned herein, and may have acted upon or used any of the recommendations herein before they have been provided to you. © PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia 2014. KDB Daewoo Securities Research
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