OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
29 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
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JCI 5,166.98 Previous 5,139.07 Highest 5,175.38 Volbn 8.4 NetForg 1DIDRbn (2793.8) Return YTD (%) 19.92 Indices Countries Americas Dow Jones United States S&P 500 United States Nasdaq United States EIDO United States EMEA FTSE 100 United Kingdom CAC 40 France D DAX Germany Asia Pacific Nikkei Japanese Shanghai China TWSE Taiwan KOSPI Korea KLSE Malaysia ST – Times Singapore Sensex India Hangseng Hongkong Sectoral Previous AGRICULTURE 2,263.61 MINING 1,362.38 MISC INDUSTRY 1,252.52 BASIC INDUSTRY 538.25 CONSUMER GOODS 2,128.06 PROPERTY 507.32 INFRASTRUKTUR 1,148.69 FINANCE 726.44 MANUFAKTURE 1,302.74 TRADE 845.76 LQ 45 883.13 SRI-KEHATI 294.50 Commodities Oil (USD/bbl) Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) Tins (USD/mtrc ton) Gold (USD tr.oz) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) CPO (MYR/ton) Coal (USD/ton) Currencies IDR / USD IDR / AUD IDR / EUR IDR /SGD IDR / JPY IDR / GBP Global Macro Economics United States Euro Area United Kingdom Japan China Domestic Macro Economics Jibor GovBonds (5y) GovBonds (10y) Inflasi YoY Inflasi MoM BI Rate GDP Growth YoY Foreign Reserve (Bn)
+27.92
+0.54%
Lowest Val IDR bn Mkt Cap IDRtr NetForgYTDIDRbn Month to date (%) Last
Chg%
18053.71 2088.77 4806.86 27.41
0.13 0.33 0.70 0.77
8.91 13.01 15.09 20.01
6609.93 4295.85 9922.11
0.18 -0.44 0.57
-2.06 0.00 3.87
17818.96 3157.60 9218.50 1948.16 1764.44 3353.68 27241.78 23349.34 Last 2262.50 1364.68 1280.64 541.22 2134.81 514.39 1156.47 730.57 1313.93 858.29 890.86 297.31 Last 55.27 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 1193.89 #N/A N/A 2250 62.75 Last 12409.00 10081.30 15133.89 9392.05 103.13 19303.87 CB Rate (%) 0.25 0.05 0.50 0.10 5.60 Last 5.80 7.85 7.90 6.23 1.5 7.5 5.01 111.1436
0.06 2.77 0.05 0.08 0.84 0.23 0.12 0.07 Chg% 0.42 0.29 0.43 0.57 0.32 0.61 0.67 0.37 0.41 1.18 0.50 0.48 Chg% 0.99 -0.74 3.56 -0.18 -0.44 1.49 1.54 Chg% 0.25 0.24 0.62 0.15 0.40 0.57 CPI YoY (%) 1.30 0.30 1.00 2.90 1.40 Chg% (0.96) (0.98)
9.38 49.23 7.05 -3.14 -5.49 5.88 28.68 0.18 YTD% 5.73 -4.52 6.28 12.58 19.79 52.64 24.30 35.21 14.19 10.49 25.27 27.46 YTD% -43.84 10.32 -14.77 -0.98 -14.38 -14.38 -25.83 YTD% -1.92 7.67 10.73 2.44 12.28 4.19 GDP YoY (%) 2.40 0.80 3.00 (1.30) 7.30 YTD% (3.54) (2.23) (6.51)
NAV/Unit 1,023.20 1,041.23 1,001.96
1 Mth (%) 0.57 1.66 (0.52)
Sumber : Bloomberg
Mutual Fund Oso Sustainability Fund Oso Syariah Equity Fund Oso Socent Fund
5,140.97 9299.9 5165.9 40175.33 (0.47) YTD%
Market Review Menjelang libur panjang (24/12) IHSG ditutup menguat 0.54% atau naik 27.9 poin di level 5,166.98. Seluruh indeks sektoral menguat dipimpin oleh sektor trade dan infrastructure. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell sebesar Rp 2793.8 Miliar. Global Market Sementara itu, pada akhir pekan lalu bursa Wall ditutup menguat. Indeks DJIA menguat 23,50 18.053,71 dan indeks S&P500 naik 6,89 poin ke Turunnya data initial job claims menjadi katalis Wall Street pasca libur natal kemarin.
Street kembali poin ke level level 2.088,77. penguat bursa
JCI Prediction Hari ini kami perkirakan IHSG akan cenderung menguat terbatas. Penguatan bursa Regional Asia pada pagi ini bisa menjadi katalis penguat IHSG di sisa 2 hari perdagangan menjelang akhir tahun 2014. Secara teknikal IHSG, indicator slow stochastic oscillator masih berada pada area netral dan terlihat menguat. Sementara itu, histogram pada Indicator MACD Histogram masih berada pada teritori positif. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak di kisaran 5.140 – 5.190.
Highlight News
Harga Nikel Diperkirakan Gagal Lepas Landas pada Tahun 2015 GIAA Kucurkan Pinjaman Ke Citilink.. LCGP Beli 6.375 Lembar Saham SAP RANC Dirikan Anak Perusahaan Baru KBLV Tingkatkan Kepemilikan Saham di MMM SSIA Akan Bangun 40 Hotel Dalam 5 Tahun
OSO SECURITIES MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
OSO Daily 29 Desember 2014
Today News Harga Nikel Diperkirakan Gagal Lepas Landas pada Tahun 2015 Harga nikel dunia pada tahun 2015 mendatang diperkirakan akan gagal lepas landas. Hal tersebut disebabkan oleh sentiment dari Negara Filipina yang berencana menggenjot produksi nikelnya. Mengutip Bloomberg, Kamis (24/12), pukul 04.16 am Shanghai, harga nikel kontrak pengiriman tiga bulan di London Metal Exchange (LME) turun 1,3% dari hari sebelumnya) menjadi US$ 15.450 per MT. Dalam sepekan terakhir harga nikel telah tergerus 1,1% dari US$ 15.625 per MT pada Selasa (16/12) lalu yang menjadi US$ 15.450 per MT. Sumber: Kontan GIAA Kucurkan Pinjaman Ke Citilink PT Garuda Indonesia Tbk (GIAA) mengucurkan pinjaman kepada anak usahanya, Citilink. Pinjaman itu terdiri dari dua jenis. Pertama, pinjaman senilai US$ 20 juta yang bertenor empat tahun. Citilink akan memakai utang ini untuk memenuhi kebutuhan modal kerja dan investasi. Kedua, GIAA dan Citilink meneken perjanjian reprofiling utang senilai US$ 95,23 juta bertenor lima tahun. Sumber: Kontan LCGP Beli 6.375 Lembar Saham SAP PT Eureka Prima Jakarta Tbk (LCGP) telah melakukan pembelian saham 6.375 saham PT Senopati Aryani Prima (SAP) dari PT Gagas Mitra Persada (GMP). Nilai pembelian 6.375 saham SAP tersebut disepakati sebesar Rp1,8 miliar. Ini merupakan transaksi afiliasi karena Direktur GMP, Lukman Purnomosidi dan Imrna Syamnir juga menjabat Direktur perseroan. Selain itu juga terdapat hubungan afiliasi kepemilikan saham tidak langsung antara perseroan dengan GMP. SAP merupakan sebuah perusahaan yang bergerak dalam bidang properti yang sejenis dengan perseroan sehingga terdapat sinergi yang sangat baik dengan bisnis dan usaha yang sedang dijalankan perseroan. Sumber: IQ Plus RANC Dirikan Anak Perusahaan Baru PT Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) mendirikan anak perusahaan baru yakni PT Supra Investama Mandiri (SIM). Modal dasar perusahaan baru ini sebesar Rp10 miliar yang terdiri dari 10.000 saham. Modal disetor awal dari Perseroan yakni 2.499 saham atau Rp2,5 miliar dan Tuan Suharno Kusumodjojo 1 saham atau Rp1 juta. Tujuan dari pendirian anak perusahaan baru ini adalah menjalankan jasa manajemen operasi bagi perusahaan-perusahaan, termasuk perusahaan patungan dengan partner usaha, dalam rangka pengembangan gerai-gerai supermarket dan convenience stores perseroan dan anak perusahaan. Sumber: IMG KBLV Tingkatkan Kepemilikan Saham di MMM PT First Media Tbk (KBLV) kembali akan meningkatkan kepemilikan sahamnya di PT Mitra Mandiri Mantap (MMM) yang merupakan induk dari PT Internux suatu perusahaan yang memiliki merek dagang Bolt. Keterangan perseroan menyebutkan bahwa perseroan akan kembali membeli 2.229 saham MMM melalui serangkaian transaksi dengan total nilai transaksi Rp1,34 triliun. Dengan selesainya seluruh transaksi maka kepemilikan perseroan di MMM adalah sebesar 69,04 persen dari saham yang dikeluarkan oleh MMM. Penyertaan perseroan melalui MMM dilakukan melalui beberapa tahap yakni melakukan konversi puitang perseroan di MMM senilai Rp477,6 miliar pada 20 November, penyertaan modal sebesar Rp18 miliar pada 9 Desember dan penyertaan modal Rp739 miliar pada 23 Desember 2014. Sumber: IQ Plus
OSO SECURITIES MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
OSO Daily 29 Desember 2014
SSIA Akan Bangun 40 Hotel Dalam 5 Tahun Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk (SSIA) akan bangun 40 hotel berbintang Tiga dalam kurun waktu 5 tahun. Rencana tersebut merupakan revisi dari rencana sebelumnya yang akan membangun hotel bujet. Adapun nilai investasi belum diungkapkan oleh pihak Manajemen. Sumber: Investor Daily
OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
29 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
Trading Idea ELSA Rp. 685
Saham ini telah break resistance kuat di level 680 dimana indikator RSI telah crossover MA 10 dan stochastic masih bergerak uptrend, MACD hampir membentuk golden cross.
Recommendation: Buy
Buy untuk ELSA dengan target price di level 710 dalam waktu dekat dan akan mencoba menuju level 755 dalam jangka menengah. Support di level 675 dan cutloss jika break level 660.
ROTI Rp. 1425
Saham ini masih bergerak dalam pola minor uptrend dimana indikator RS dan MACD masih bergerak uptrend. Stochastic juga baru membentuk golden cross.
Recommendation: Speculative Buy
Speculative Buy untuk ROTI dengan target price di level 1480 dalam jangka waktu dekat. Support di level 1420 dan cutloss jika break level 1395.
CPIN Rp. 3795
Saham ini telah break dari pola minor downtrend dimana indikator RSI baru crossover MA 10 dan stochastic baru membentuk golden cross.
Recommendation: Speculative Buy
Speculative Buy untuk CPIN dengan target price di level 3890 dalam jangka pendek. Support di level 3750 dan cutloss jika break level 3735.
Rating Definitions Buy On Breakout Buy On Weakness Speculative Buy Sell On Strength
: Buying when the stock prices breach up the predetermined resistance level : Buying when the stock prices reach the potential bottoming area : Buying stock that yields around 1:1 reward-to-risk ratio and usually has no significant indication to rise : Selling when the stock prices are experiencing technical rebound
OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
24 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
Fundamental Analysis (LQ 45) Ticker AALI ADHI ADRO AKRA ANTM ASII ASRI BBCA BBNI BBRI BBTN BDMN BMRI BMTR BSDE CPIN CTRA EXCL GGRM HRUM ICBP INCO INDF INTP ITMG JSMR KLBF LPKR LPPF LSIP MNCN PGAS PTBA PTPP PWON SCMA SMGR SMRA TAXI TBIG TLKM UNTR UNVR WIKA WSKT
P/BV P/E (x) (x) 2015F 23,300 3.39 13.02 3,245 3.85 16.26 1,060 0.95 10.66 4,080 3.12 16.59 1,085 0.85 21.90 7,325 3.28 13.45 540 1.82 7.69 13,200 4.37 17.14 6,150 2.05 10.08 11,600 3.13 10.61 1,200 1.07 8.30 4,500 1.34 11.74 10,700 2.57 10.97 1,455 1.82 12.47 1,790 2.23 13.08 3,795 5.71 17.81 1,250 2.72 13.14 4,690 2.87 32.24 59,600 3.61 18.67 1,685 1.22 15.06 12,400 5.34 23.48 3,595 1.56 11.12 6,600 2.29 12.23 24,800 3.92 16.13 15,600 1.46 7.94 6,950 4.77 25.92 1,830 9.75 33.53 990 1.55 14.28 14,375 #N/A N/A 21.13 1,875 1.83 11.71 2,545 4.26 16.09 6,000 4.48 14.20 12,625 3.42 13.71 3,505 7.90 24.65 525 5.08 12.37 3,500 16.52 28.70 16,100 4.24 15.31 1,530 4.38 16.87 1,170 2.85 14.70 9,625 10.78 24.75 2,845 4.33 16.80 17,150 1.77 10.84 31,525 43.95 39.11 3,535 5.22 26.35 1,470 5.88 27.10
Last Price
PEG (0.52) 0.19 (0.00) (24.51) #VALUE! (704.23) (0.47) 0.98 0.40 1.07 46.44 18.48 0.72 (0.55) 0.08 (5.19) 0.25 #VALUE! 2.84 (0.22) 17.34 (0.00) (0.69) 3.40 (0.15) (1.95) 3.84 1.03 0.65 (0.40) 14.84 1.49 (0.37) 0.96 0.32 (1.24) 1.59 0.60 1.11 0.67 1.87 (0.63) 4.25 1.94 257.20
BETA 0.05 2.00 0.30 1.19 0.47 1.39 1.93 1.22 1.70 1.64 1.59 0.64 1.64 1.41 1.43 2.01 2.10 0.61 0.97 0.06 1.30 0.44 1.17 1.16 0.48 0.71 1.32 1.88 1.40 0.23 1.18 1.02 0.47 1.90 1.86 0.83 1.40 2.06 1.25 0.56 1.13 0.70 0.97 1.52 2.14
ROA ROE DER (%) (%) (x) 16.95 28.06 0.28 3.52 23.12 0.95 3.79 9.64 0.83 4.71 14.17 1.08 (2.28) (4.04) 0.53 9.19 24.35 0.77 5.45 15.07 0.89 3.14 23.71 0.11 2.63 19.95 0.59 3.72 29.18 0.26 0.95 11.02 1.63 1.71 10.08 0.98 2.65 22.19 0.45 2.94 6.35 0.47 15.37 30.69 0.40 12.17 19.85 0.29 5.63 17.68 0.43 (1.62) (5.39) 1.16 9.84 17.14 0.44 5.23 8.02 11.12 18.95 0.16 5.19 6.78 0.13 4.52 15.11 1.16 20.07 22.85 0.01 14.66 21.63 4.79 15.37 1.23 18.16 24.94 0.07 4.10 10.10 0.61 49.17 #N/A N/A #VALUE! 12.83 15.44 15.40 23.09 0.07 17.66 32.86 0.41 17.03 29.65 0.01 4.08 25.07 0.77 14.23 36.08 0.46 33.28 49.24 0.00 18.45 26.70 0.20 8.14 23.92 0.56 6.18 17.82 1.14 7.91 38.63 3.25 11.27 23.94 0.31 10.44 18.46 0.12 37.26 96.71 0.23 4.29 16.60 0.41 4.06 16.77 0.68
EAT 1 Year Fair Value Growth (%) (25.26) 27,125 91.88 3,195 (328,068.05) 1,230 (0.92) 5,150 (86.04) 895 (0.02) 7,525 (27.08) 600 20.54 13,125 28.50 6,375 11.08 12,550 0.22 1,185 0.74 3,870 17.41 11,800 (53.61) 2,045 109.28 2,030 (5.89) 4,475 65.13 1,330 (62.68) 6,450 7.85 66,975 (68.21) 1,395 1.71 12,250 (514,285.71) 4,605 (23.43) 7,950 5.25 26,050 (46.32) 22,350 (16.70) 7,225 10.81 1,775 16.05 1,230 49.20 17,850 (31.22) 2,180 1.33 2,815 8.98 6,450 (34.83) 13,725 35.85 3,230 51.45 545 (28.48) 3,620 10.82 17,625 33.00 1,630 15.45 1,465 43.91 9,250 10.15 2,960 (16.34) 20,575 10.65 29,650 19.20 3,240 0.15 1,115
Up-Side Recommendation (Down-Side) (%) 16.42 Buy (1.54) Sell 16.04 Buy 26.23 Buy (17.51) Sell 2.73 Hold 11.11 Buy (0.57) Sell 3.66 Hold 8.19 Buy (1.25) Sell (14.00) Sell 10.28 Buy 40.55 Buy 13.41 Buy 17.92 Buy 6.40 Buy 37.53 Buy 12.37 Buy (17.21) Sell (1.21) Sell 28.09 Buy 20.45 Buy 5.04 Buy 43.27 Buy 3.96 Hold (3.01) Sell 24.24 Buy 24.17 Buy 16.27 Buy 10.61 Buy 7.50 Buy 8.71 Buy (7.85) Sell 3.81 Hold 3.43 Hold 9.47 Buy 6.54 Buy 25.21 Buy (3.90) Sell 4.04 Hold 19.97 Buy (5.95) Sell (8.35) Sell (24.15) Sell
Market Cap (Tn) 36.69 5.85 33.91 15.97 10.35 296.54 10.61 325.45 114.69 286.16 12.68 43.13 249.67 20.66 32.89 62.23 18.96 40.03 114.68 4.56 72.30 35.72 57.95 91.29 17.63 47.26 85.78 22.85 41.95 12.79 36.33 145.45 29.09 16.97 25.28 51.18 95.50 22.07 2.51 46.17 286.78 63.97 240.54 21.74 14.30
OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
24 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
Technical Analysis (LQ 45) Ticker JCI AALI ADHI ADRO AKRA ANTM ASII ASRI BBCA BBNI BBRI BBTN BDMN BMRI BMTR BSDE CPIN CTRA EXCL GGRM HRUM ICBP INCO INDF INTP ITMG JSMR KLBF LPKR LPPF LSIP MNCN PGAS PTBA PTPP PWON SCMA SMGR SMRA TAXI TBIG TLKM UNTR UNVR WIKA WSKT
Last 5,167 23,300 3,245 1,060 4,080 1,085 7,325 540 13,200 6,150 11,600 1,200 4,500 10,700 1,455 1,790 3,795 1,250 4,690 59,600 1,685 12,400 3,595 6,600 24,800 15,600 6,950 1,830 990 14,375 1,875 2,545 6,000 12,625 3,505 525 3,500 16,100 1,530 1,170 9,625 2,845 17,150 31,525 3,535 1,470
Open
High
5,141 23,300 3,115 1,055 4,220 1,030 7,225 525 13,250 6,125 11,600 1,205 4,410 10,675 1,450 1,790 3,710 1,250 4,650 59,900 1,690 12,300 3,695 6,600 24,900 15,750 6,925 1,820 995 14,200 1,900 2,555 5,925 12,550 3,470 530 3,410 15,850 1,550 1,185 9,625 2,820 17,150 31,550 3,430 1,410
5,175 23,575 3,250 1,065 4,240 1,105 7,350 545 13,275 6,150 11,700 1,210 4,500 10,725 1,460 1,805 3,795 1,260 4,690 59,900 1,705 12,500 3,695 6,650 24,925 15,750 7,000 1,830 1,000 14,475 1,915 2,555 6,000 12,700 3,535 535 3,510 16,175 1,560 1,185 9,650 2,850 17,400 31,925 3,540 1,520
Low 5,141 23,300 3,115 1,055 4,065 1,025 7,225 525 13,175 6,100 11,600 1,195 4,400 10,650 1,425 1,790 3,700 1,245 4,635 59,425 1,670 12,300 3,590 6,575 24,675 15,575 6,925 1,810 970 14,200 1,875 2,525 5,900 12,550 3,470 525 3,305 15,850 1,525 1,160 9,575 2,820 17,075 31,500 3,425 1,410
Year-to-Date (YtD%) 20.89% -7.17% 114.90% -2.75% -6.74% -0.46% 7.72% 25.58% 37.50% 55.70% 60.00% 37.93% 19.21% 36.31% -23.42% 38.76% 12.44% 66.67% -9.81% 41.90% -38.73% 21.57% 35.66% 0.00% 24.00% -45.26% 47.09% 46.40% 8.79% 30.68% -2.85% -3.05% 34.08% 23.77% 202.16% 94.44% 33.33% 13.78% 96.15% -19.86% 65.95% 33.58% -9.74% 21.25% 123.73% 262.96%
MA5
RSI Rec
Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif
Trading Trading OverBought Trading Oversold OverBought OverBought Trading Trading Trading Trading OverBought OverBought Trading Oversold Trading Trading Trading Oversold Trading Trading OverBought Oversold Trading Trading Oversold Trading OverBought Oversold Oversold Trading Trading Trading Trading OverBought Trading OverBought Trading Trading Trading Trading Trading Trading Trading OverBought Strong Sell
MACD Trend Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Positif Positif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Positif Negatif Positif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Negatif Positif Positif Positif Negatif Negatif Positif Negatif Positif Positif Positif Positif Positif
Bollinger Band Pivot Point Lower Middle Upper 5,056 5,139 5,222 5,156 22,325 23,425 24,550 23,375 2,745 2,975 3,205 3,180 1,015 1,070 1,125 1,060 4,135 4,480 4,820 4,150 925 980 1,035 1,060 6,925 7,100 7,300 7,275 499 555 615 535 12,875 13,150 13,425 13,225 5,800 6,050 6,275 6,125 11,200 11,500 11,800 11,625 1,115 1,165 1,220 1,205 4,180 4,370 4,565 4,455 10,375 10,625 10,850 10,700 1,350 1,480 1,615 1,450 1,700 1,795 1,895 1,795 3,625 3,950 4,275 3,750 1,190 1,285 1,380 1,250 4,620 4,930 5,225 4,665 58,500 59,875 61,250 59,700 1,640 1,695 1,745 1,690 11,075 11,750 12,425 12,375 3,595 3,875 4,155 3,645 6,425 6,600 6,750 6,600 23,450 24,750 26,050 24,825 14,250 16,900 19,550 15,675 6,725 6,875 7,050 6,950 1,710 1,775 1,845 1,825 955 1,095 1,235 990 14,075 15,000 15,950 14,325 1,845 1,940 2,030 1,890 2,215 2,405 2,595 2,545 5,800 5,925 6,075 5,950 12,425 13,025 13,600 12,600 3,020 3,270 3,520 3,495 478 510 545 530 3,190 3,340 3,490 3,430 15,475 16,225 16,950 16,000 1,450 1,535 1,615 1,540 1,060 1,155 1,250 1,175 9,275 9,550 9,850 9,625 2,745 2,820 2,895 2,835 16,550 17,475 18,375 17,200 30,675 31,375 32,075 31,625 2,980 3,235 3,495 3,485 990 1,210 1,425 1,455
Support 1 2 5,137 5,122 23,175 23,100 3,115 3,045 1,055 1,050 4,065 3,975 1,020 980 7,225 7,150 525 515 13,175 13,125 6,125 6,075 11,550 11,525 1,195 1,190 4,405 4,355 10,650 10,625 1,435 1,415 1,785 1,780 3,705 3,655 1,245 1,235 4,645 4,610 59,525 59,225 1,670 1,655 12,250 12,175 3,595 3,540 6,575 6,525 24,725 24,575 15,600 15,500 6,900 6,875 1,815 1,805 980 960 14,150 14,050 1,870 1,850 2,535 2,515 5,925 5,850 12,525 12,450 3,455 3,430 525 520 3,355 3,225 15,825 15,675 1,525 1,505 1,165 1,150 9,600 9,550 2,820 2,805 17,000 16,875 31,325 31,200 3,425 3,370 1,385 1,345
Resistance Stop Loss Level 1 2 5,171 5,191 5,045 23,450 23,650 22,750 3,250 3,315 3,000 1,065 1,070 1,035 4,240 4,325 3,915 1,100 1,140 965 7,350 7,400 7,050 545 555 505 13,275 13,325 12,925 6,175 6,175 6,000 11,650 11,725 11,350 1,210 1,220 1,170 4,505 4,555 4,285 10,725 10,775 10,450 1,470 1,485 1,390 1,800 1,810 1,750 3,800 3,845 3,600 1,260 1,265 1,220 4,700 4,720 4,540 60,000 60,175 58,350 1,705 1,725 1,630 12,450 12,575 12,000 3,700 3,750 3,485 6,650 6,675 6,425 24,975 25,075 24,200 15,775 15,850 15,250 6,975 7,025 6,775 1,835 1,845 1,775 1,010 1,020 945 14,425 14,600 13,825 1,910 1,930 1,825 2,565 2,575 2,475 6,025 6,050 5,775 12,675 12,750 12,275 3,520 3,560 3,380 535 540 510 3,560 3,635 3,180 16,150 16,325 15,425 1,560 1,575 1,485 1,190 1,200 1,135 9,675 9,700 9,400 2,850 2,865 2,760 17,325 17,525 16,625 31,750 32,050 30,725 3,540 3,600 3,315 1,495 1,565 1,320
Recommendation Sell Sell Sell Sell Speculative Buy Sell Sell Sell Sell Hold Sell Sell Strong Sell Sell Speculative Buy Sell Sell Sell Speculative Buy Sell Sell Sell Speculative Buy Hold Sell Speculative Buy Sell Sell Speculative Buy Speculative Buy Sell Hold Sell Hold Sell Hold Sell Sell Sell Speculative Buy Sell Hold Speculative Buy Hold Sell Sell
OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
24 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
Economic Calendar Date 29-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 1-Jan-15 1-Jan-15 1-Jan-15 1-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 2-Jan-15 3-Jan-15
Country HK US US US US US US US US US US US US KR CN US SG SG ID ID ID ID ID ID ID US US US US CN
Economic Agenda Balance of Trade Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Chain Store Sales WoW Chain Store Sales YoY MBA Mortgage Applications MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate Continuing Jobless Claims Initial Jobless Claims Chicago PMI Pending Home Sales MoM Pending Home Sales YoY EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change Balance of Trade NBS Manufacturing PMI New Year's Day GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv HSBC Manufacturing PMI Core Inflation Rate YoY Inflation Rate YoY Inflation Rate MoM Balance of Trade Exports YoY Imports YoY Markit Manufacturing PMI Final ISM Manufacturing Index Construction Spending MoM ISM Prices Paid Non Manufacturing PMI
Sumber :Trading economic & Bloomberg
Actual NOV DEC 20-Dec 20-Dec 27-Dec 27-Dec 20-Dec 27-Dec DEC NOV NOV 27-Dec 27-Dec DEC DEC Q4 Q4 DEC DEC DEC DEC NOV NOV NOV DEC DEC NOV DEC DEC
Previous Survey (i) Forecast (i) HKD -49.8B HKD -38.5B 10.5 12.43 3.40% 3.10% 0.90% 1.09% 4.02% 4.20% 2403K 2370K 280K 289K 268K 60.8 60.4 62.71 -1.10% 0.50% 2.20% 2.69% 7.267M -49Bcf $ 5.61B $ 4.7B 50.3 50.67 3.10% 2.80% 48 4.21% 6.23% 1.50% $0.02B -2.21% -2.21% 54.8 58.7 1.10% 44.5 53.9
2.30%
53.7 57.7 0.30% 43
1.39% 1.82% 50.99 4.28% 6.96% 0.64% $ -0.3B
53.7 57.11 -0.01% 52.37
OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
24 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
DIVIDEN No 1 2 3 4
Name ADARO ENERGY Tbk TIGA PILAR SEJAHTERA FOOD Tbk BFI FINANCE INDONESIA Tbk BENAKAT INTEGRA Tbk
RUPS Code BRAU TBIG MASA OKAS BSWD MAYA GMCW SSMS BCIC BULL EXCL CNKO MBAP KOPI SCPI BTPN CMNP DAJK JTPE WOMF KARW BBNP SMGR IPO No 1 2 3 4 5
Agenda RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS RUPS
Date 22-Dec-14 22-Dec-14 22-Dec-14 23-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 7-Jan-15 8-Jan-15 9-Jan-15 12-Jan-15 14-Jan-15 15-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15
Time 10.00 10.30 14.00 14.00 16.00 15.00 9.00 9.00
Code ADRO AISA BFIN BIPI
Cum- Date 24-Dec-14 24-Dec-14 2-Jan-15 13-Jan-15
Ex-Date Pay -Date Ammount (IDR) 29-Dec-14 16-Jan-15 USD 0.00094 29-Dec-14 14-Jan-15 8.50 5-Jan-15 15-Jan-15 138.00 14-Jan-15 30-Jan-15 1.00
Place Ruang Anggrek - Sampoerna Strategic Ballroom Sampoerna Strategic Square, North Tower Lt. 3A, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav.45-46, Jakarta 12930 The Ritz-Carlton Jakarta, Mega Kuningan-Ballroom 3 dan 5 Jl. DR Ide Anak Agung Gde Agung Kav. E1.1 No. 1 Kawasan Mega Kuningan, Jakarta 12950 The Financial Club Graha Niaga Lt.27 Jl. Jend Sudirman Kav.58 Jakarta Financial Club, Gedung Graha Niaga Lt. 27 Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 58 Jakarta Selatan 12190 PT Bank Of India Indonesia Tbk lt. IV Jl. Samanhudi No. 37, Pasar Baru Jakarta 10710 Bank Mayapada Learning Centre Ruang Serbaguna Menara Topas Lantai 16 Jl. MH. Thamrin No. 19 Jakarta Pusat Financial Club,Graha Niaga Lt. 27 Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 58 Jakarta Selatan 12190 Ballroom 3A, The Ritz Carlton, Pacific Place SCBD Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav.52-53, Jakarta 12190
7.00 Sampoerna Strategic Square Ruang Anggrek 1, Lantai 3A Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 45-46 Jakarta 12930
10.00 The SUN Hotel,Ruang Saturnus III Jl. Pahlawan No.01 Sidoarjo 10.00 Graha Kirana Lantai 7, Ruang 701 Jalan Yos Sudarso No.88, Jakarta Utara 14350 11.00 Gedung Kantor Pusat PT Bank Nusantara Parahyangan Tbk lt. 3 Jl. Ir. H. Juanda No. 95 Bandung - 40132 13.00 Balai Kartini Jl. Gatot Subroto Kav. 37 Jakarta 12950
Company PT Intan Baruprana Finance PT Bank Agris PT Golden Plantation PT Karisma Aksara Mediatama PT Archi Indonesia
Business Line Finance Banking & Finance Agriculture Books Store Trade & Service Mining
Underwriter BNI Securities Indo Premier Securities CIMB Securities BCA Sekuritas dan Maybank Kim Eng CIMB Niaga, Danareksa, Mandiri Sekuritas, Valbury
Listing Date 22-Dec-14 22-Dec-14 23-Dec-14 -
IPO Price Shares (Mn) 311-383 1,670.48 105-115 900.00 250-300 800.00 175-240 532.82 1895-2445 1,600.00
OSO Daily
OSO SECURITIES
24 Desember 2014
MEMBER OF INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
RESEARCH TEAM Supriyadi (
[email protected]) Andri Goklas (
[email protected]) Fanny Suherman (
[email protected]) Mohammad Alfi Syahr (
[email protected])
Head of Research
+62 21 2991 5300
Research Analyst
+62 21 2991 5300
Research Analyst
+62 21 2991 5300
Research Analyst
+62 21 2991 5300
HEAD OFFICE
Cyber 2 Tower, 22nd Floor Jl. HR. Rasuna Said Blok X-5 No. 13 Jakarta Selatan 12950 Tel: +62-21-299-15-300 Fax : +62-21-290-21-497 BRANCHES Semarang Jl. Dr. Cipto No. 96 C - D Semarang, Jawa Tengah Tel: 024 - 3575511
Yogyakarta Galeri Investasi UIN Sunan Kalijaga Jl. Marsda Adisucipto Yogyakarta 55281 Tel: +62-274 55 31 63 Fax: +62-274 55 31 63
Akastiebi STIE Bisnis Indonesia Kampus Kebayoran AKA Building Jl. Bangka Raya No.2 Kebayoran Baru Jakarta Selatan Tel: +62-21 717 945 52 (General) Fax: +62 –21 717 944 65
Solo Solo Centre Point Jl. SlametRiyadi 373, Ruko A7B, Purwosari, Solo JawaTengah Tel: +62-271 717 909 Fax: +62-271 710 689
Bandung Grand Royal Panghegar lnt 2,10-11 JL. Merdeka No 2 Bandung, Jawa Barat Tel: +62-22 424 0269 (General) Fax +62-22 424 0279
Surabaya Jl. Dr. Sutomo No. 97C Fl. 5th,Surabaya JawaTimur Tel: +62-31 563 0234 (Hunting) Fax: +62-31 5630 26
Bali Shopping Archade A-4 JL. PantaiKuta The Stones Hotel Bali, Indonesia Tel: 0361-754020, 0361-757037 Fax : 0361–754779
Jember Jember Business Centre (JBC) Jl. Trunojoyo No. 26 Blok A-8, Jember JawaTimur Tel: +62-331 421050 (Hunting) Fax: +62-331 420320
Medan Mandiri Building Fl. VII Jl. Imam Bonjol No. 16 D Medan, Sumatera Utara Tel: +62-614539955 Fax: +62-614529427
Makasar Jl. Pengayoman no.118 (sampingcarefour) Makassar, Sulawesi Selatan Tel: 0411 - 439 050 Fax. 0411 - 431 373
Malang Ruko Borobudur Bisnis Center Jl. Terusan Borobudur Kav. 5 Malang, JawaTimur Tel: 0341 - 407771
DISCLAIMER This report has been prepared by PT OSO Securities on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for infor mation purposes only. Under no circumstance.is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. OSO Securities. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT. OSO Securities, its af filiated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action , suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT. OSO Securities, its a ffiliated companiesor their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT. OSO Securities or any other person to enter into any agreement with regard to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards tothe specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investments you should make your own independent assessment and seek your own professional financial and legal advice.
