MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK

z

Fundamental & Technical Outlook Jumat 18 September 2015

FX & Commodities Page 1 of 12

MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK • USD & Global Markets –

• • • • • • • • •

Saham-saham blue-chip AS terkoreksi dalam perdagangan yang fluktuatif pada Kamis kemarin, sementara harga obligasi melonjak setelah The Fed memutuskan untuk tahan suku bunganya dekat dengan level nol persen karena fokus pada kondisi ekonomi global yang masih suram, namun membuka peluang untuk kenaikan akhir tahun ini. Dolar membukukan penurunan 1 hari tertajamnya dalam sebulan terhadap sejumlah rivalnya usai sidang The Fed. Meskipun peluang kenaikan suku bunga masih terbuka, namun pernyataan Yellen semalam menunjukkan komitmen yang kurang kuat untuk menaikkan suku bunga di akhir tahun ini. Jajak pendapat terkini menunjukkan terjadi penurunan pada peluang kenaikan di bulan Desember menjadi 49 persen dari 67 persen pada jajak pendapat sebelum hari Kamis. Harga emas naik seiring melemahnya dolar, sedangkan harga minyak turun. Aksi beli Treasury juga meningkat setelah investor melihat kemungkinan The Fed masih akan mempertahankan suku bunga lebih lama dari yang diperkirakan. Indeks Dow Jones melanjutkan rebound-nya dan semakin mendekati level psikologi di 17000. Sementara Swiss National Bank (SNB) juga memutuskan mempertahankan kebijakan moneternya dan mengisyaratkan akan mempertahankan suku bunga negatif untuk masa mendatang dan tidak menargetkan nilai tukar tertentu untuk "overvalue secara signifikan" franc terhadap euro. EURUSD, euro tunjukkan potensi penguatan hariannya. Dengan potensi naik didukung indikator pada harian yang meningkat. Dalam 4-hours chart yang menguat pergerakannya. Kisaran pergerakan mingguan dilevel 1.1170-1.1560. USDJPY, reversal berkembang sejak gagal bertahan di atas area SMA200 di sekitar 120.80. Koreksi masih berpeluang berlanjut meskipun waspadai area trendline support pada 1-H chart di sekitar 119.60 untuk kemungkinan koreksi terhambat jika area tersebut efektif. GBPUSD, berhasil tembus area 1.56 setelah mengalami reli dalam 2 hari berturut-turut. Reli saat ini akan uji level pivot line di sekitar 1.5720. Jika gagal, maka reli terhambat, menyusul RSI mendekati overbought. USDCHF, koreksi berkembang sejak gagal bertahan di atas area horizontal support sebelumnya di 0.9665 dan saat ini sedang menghadapi area support di sekitar 0.9565/70. Jika area tersebut efektif, maka koreksi terhambat. Namun jika dipecahkan, maka koreksi potensial uji level support di 0.9240. AUDUSD, aussie peluang merosot dalam harian. Dengan dukungan anjloknya indikator, mencoba masuk area bearish sebelumnya. Terjadi tekanan indikator dalam 4-hours chart yang bantu peluang tersebut. Target pergerakan mingguan di level 0.7080-0.7200. NZDUSD, kiwi dengan potensi turun dalam hariannya. Dari pergerakan indikator yang merosot, telah dekati area bearish sebelumnya. Dalam 4-hours chart dukung peluang melemah dari indikatornya. Potensi pergerakan mingguan dilevel 0.62800.6500. EURJPY, melanjutkan rebound dalam 2 hari berturut-turut dan saat ini sedang uji area trendline resistance di sekitar 138.30 (pada 1-D chart). Jika gagal breakout area tersebut, maka reli terhambat menyusul kondisi RSI mendekati overbought. Sedangkan area trendline support berada di sekitar 135.70 (pada 1-H chart). Emas-Perak, emas potensi naik dalam harian. Dari penguatan indikator harian. Dibantu dalam 4-hours chart yang meningkat indikator. Peluang pergerakan mingguan di level 1090-1170. Perak terlihat naik dalam harian, dengan capai level tertinggi bulanannya. Dari dukungan indikator yang naik pada 4-hours chart. Pergerakan mingguan dikisaran level 14.30-15.40. Minyak, crude AS tunjukkan potensi turun hariannya, didukung anjloknya indikator harian. Dengan 4-hours chart yang dukung pelemahan dari indikator. Pergerakan mingguan dikisaran level 43.20-47.20. Jumat 18 September 2015 WIB 04.00 04.00 06.30 08.30 15.00 15.00 15.00 19.30 19.30 19.30 19.30 21.00

CTY KR KR AU CN EZ EZ EZ CA CA CA CA US

INDICATORS PPI Growth YY PPI Growth RBA Stevens Speaks China House Prices YY Current Account NSA EUR Current Account SA EUR Net Investment Flow EUR CPI Inflation MM CPI Inflation YY CPI BoC Core YY CPI BoC Core MM Leading Index Chg MM

PER Aug Aug

ACT

Aug Jul Jul Jul Aug Aug Aug Aug Aug

F.CAST N/A % N/A % N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.0 1.3 2.1 0.2 0.2

% B B B % % % % %

PREV -4.0 -0.3

REV

-3.7 31.1 25.4 47.4 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.0 -0.2

Laporan dibuat untuk tujuan informatif & dapat dijadikan bahan perbandingan atas prediksi lain namun tidak harus menjadi satu-satunya referensi dalam pengambilan keputusan untuk masuk pasar. Dengan demikian, segala sesuatu yang menyangkut akibat dari transaksi yang dilakukan nasabah, sepenuhnya menjadi tanggung jawab nasabah. RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – P.T. Platon Niaga Berjangka Menara Karya 20th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia – (021) – 25533773 Fax (021) - 25533776



GOLD (XAU/USD) INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

4 Hours QXAU=

Daily QXAU=

5:50 22/06/2015 - 9:50 23/09/2015 (GMT) Price USD Ozs

01/04/2015 - 28/09/2015 (GMT)

1224.10

Price USD Ozs

1236

1232.20

1.200 1.220

1168.40

1.180

1.200

1168.40

1.160

1.140

1146.75

1.180 1.160

1170.20

1.140

1.120

1138 1.100

1.080

1077.00

1.060 Auto

Agustus 2015

1.080

1077.00

1.060 Auto Value USD Ozs

Mom; QXAU=; Bid(Last); 14 18/09/2015; -2,7000

Value USD 23 25 26 29 30 01 02 03 07 08 09 10 13 14 15 172021 22 23 24 27 293031030405 06 10 11 12 13141718 20 21 24 25 26 2728 01 02 03 04 07 08 09 11 14 15 16 17 18 21 23 Ozs

Juli 2015

1.100

1098.35

RSI; QXAU=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 18/09/2015; 62,876

Value USD Ozs

Juni 2015

1.120

Cndl; QXAU=; Bid 18/09/2015; 1.130,4500; 1.131,4000; 1.130,1900; 1.131,4000 EMA; QXAU=; Bid(Last); 20 18/09/2015; 1.121,2783 WMA; QXAU=; Bid(Last); 55 18/09/2015; 1.119,5649

06

September 2015

13

20

27

04

11

April 2015

18

25

01

08

Mei 2015

15

22

29

06

13

Juni 2015

20

27

03

10

Juli 2015

17

24

31

07

Agustus 2015

14

21

Value USD 28 Ozs

September 2015

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic

DAILY CHART INDICATORS XAU=

RSI-14 : 62.45

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 1121.25

WMA 55 : 1119.55

Daily Trend :

=USD

RSI-14 : 30.61

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 95.63

WMA 55 : 96.08

Daily Trend :

DATE Sept Sept Sept Sept Sept

17 16 15 14 11

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

AM FIX

PM FIX

1120.00 1105.60 1109.20 1106.00 1111.50

1133.20 1124.30 1109.40 1110.30 1113.00

1116.03 1104.40 1103.28 1104.08 1099.15

17.17 19.90 6.12 6.22 13.85

1131.50 1119.50 1105.00 1109.00 1107.00

12.00 14.50 4.00 2.00 3.50

1119.50 1105.00 1109.00 1107.00 1110.50

1118.15 1109.75 1105.50 1108.00 1106.35

1117.50 1117.60 1105.95 1104.80 1100.25

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

AUGUST

2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1133.20 (17/Sept)

1103.28 (15/Sept)

1147.16 (01/Sept)

1099.15 (11/Sept)

1168.40 (21/Aug)

1081.40 (04/Aug)

1306.20 (22/Jan)

1077.90 (24/Jul)

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION 1174.70

RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

Reaction high on daily chart

1168.40


1147.16


1133.20


1115.20

Low Sept 17

1103.55

Low Sept 16

1098.35

Low Sept 11

1082.76

Reaction low on daily chart

Trend pada laporan ini dilihat dari kondisi 15’-chart dengan mempertimbangkan harga bergerak dari sesi pasar sebelumnya. Level-level pada indikator technical, data fundamental maupun harga diperoleh dari Reuters. Komentar dan Analisis dibuat berdasarkan data maupun indikator tersebut. Perlu juga merujuk pada laporan Daily Bulletin (Outlook Harian) kami untuk memperkuat pandangan terhadap laporan ini.


FX & Commodities Page 3 of 12 BUY

RECOMMENDATION

1129.00

SELL

-----

STOP LOSS

1115.00 1138.50

TARGET 1143.00

SILVER (XAG/USD) INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

4 Hours QXAG=

5:50 11/06/2015 - 17:50 23/09/2015 (GMT)

Daily QXAG=

25/02/2015 - 30/09/2015 (GMT)

17.77

Price USD Ozs 16,2

Price USD Ozs

17.45

15.66

17

15,9

16,5

15,6

15.66

15,3

16

15

15,5

15.40

14,7 14,4

14.33

14,1

13.93

15

Cndl; QXAG=; Bid 18/09/2015; 15,1200; 15,1300; 15,0850; 15,1100 EMA; QXAG=; Bid(Last); 20 18/09/2015; 14,7712 WMA; QXAG=; Bid(Last); 55 18/09/2015; 14,8053

13,8

14,5

14.33

14

13.93

13,5 Auto

Auto Value USD Ozs

12 16 18 22 24 26 30 02 06 08 10 14 16 20 22 24 28 30 03 05 07 11 13 17 19 21 25 27 31 02 04 08 10 14 16 18 22

Juni 2015

Juli 2015

Agustus 2015

Value USD Ozs

September 2015

RSI; QXAG=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 18/09/2015; 65,612

Value USD Ozs

Mom; QXAG=; Bid(Last); 14 18/09/2015; 0,5100 02

09

16

23

30

06

Mar 15

13

20

27

04

11

Apr 15

18

25

01

08

15

Mei 15

22

Jun 15

29

06

13

20

27

03

10

Jul 15

17

24

31

Agust 15

07

14

21

Value USD 28 Ozs

Sep 15

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic

DAILY CHART INDICATORS XAG=

RSI-14 : 65.61

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 14.77

WMA 55 : 14.80

Daily Trend :

=USD

RSI-14 : 30.61

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 95.63

WMA 55 : 96.08

Daily Trend :


17 16 15 14 11

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

14.90 14.39 14.42 14.56 14.68

15.25 14.94 14.44 14.61 14.75

14.78 14.34 14.27 14.34 14.28

0.47 0.60 0.17 0.27 0.47

15.12 14.89 14.40 14.41 14.61

WEEKLY HIGH 15.25 (17/Sept)

LOW 14.27 (15/Sept)

SEPTEMBER HIGH 15.25 (17/Sept)

CHANGE

HIGH 15.64 (21/Aug)

LOW 13.96 (26/Aug)

14.89 14.40 14.41 14.61 14.66

0.23 0.49 0.01 0.20 0.05

AUGUST

LOW 14.27 (15/Sept)

PREVIOUS

2015 HIGH 18.47 (21/Jan)

LOW 13.96 (26/Aug)

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

16.04


15.83


15.66


15.24

High Sept 17

14.75

Low Sept 17

14.24

Low Sept 15

14.08

Low Aug 27

13.93




FX & Commodities Page 4 of 12 BUY

RECOMMENDATION

15.00

SELL

-----

STOP LOSS

14.40 15.35

TARGET 15.60

CLV5/USD (OIL) (Exp.: 22 Sept. 2015 - Reuters)

INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

4 Hours QCLc1

17:15 17/06/2015 - 6:00 23/09/2015 (NYC)

Daily QCLc1

11/03/2015 - 29/09/2015 (NYC)

62.58

61.57

61.82

Price USD Bbl

Price USD Bbl

60 57

57

49.33

54

56.51

54

49.33

51

51 48

48

45

45 Cndl; QCLc1; Trade Price 18/09/2015; 46,89; 46,91; 46,76; 46,82 WMA; QCLc1; Trade Price(Last); 55 18/09/2015; 44,99 EMA; QCLc1; Trade Price(Last); 20 18/09/2015; 45,23

42 39

37.75

42

43.36 39

37.75

36 Auto

Auto Value USD Bbl

18 19 22 24 25 26 29 30 01 02 05 07 08 09 10 13 14 15 16 17 20 21 23 24 27 28 29 30 31 03 04 05 06 07 10 11 12 14 17 18 19 20 21 24 25 26 27 28 31 01 02 03 06 08 10 11 14 15 16 17 18 21 22

Juni 2015

Juli 2015

Agustus 2015

Value USD Bbl

September 2015

RSI; QCLc1; Trade Price(Last); 14; Exponential 18/09/2015; 59,510

Value USD Bbl

Mom; QCLc1; Trade Price(Last); 14 18/09/2015; 1,60 16

23

30

06

Maret 2015

13

20

27

04

April 2015

11

18

26 01

08

Mei 2015

15

22

Juni 2015

29 06

13

20

27

03

10

Juli 2015

17

24

31

Agustus 2015

Reuters Graphic

08 14

21

Value USD 28 Bbl

September 2015

Reuters Graphic

DAILY CHART INDICATORS /CLc1

RSI-14 : 59.43

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 44.99

WMA 55 : 45.22

Daily Trend :

=USD

RSI-14 : 30.61

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 95.63

WMA 55 : 96.08

Daily Trend :


17 16 15 14 11

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

47.14 45.13 44.11 44.74 45.67

47.68 47.32 45.22 44.95 45.85

46.33 44.80 43.91 43.59 44.15

1.35 2.52 1.31 1.36 1.70

46.87 47.23 45.05 44.12 44.76

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

0.36 2.18 0.93 0.64 0.89

AUGUST

47.23 45.05 44.12 44.76 45.65 2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

47.68 (17/Sept)

43.59 (14/Sept)

48.83 (01/Sept)

43.21 (02/Sept)

49.29 (31/Aug)

37.75 (24/Aug)

62.55 (06/May)

37.75 (24/Aug)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

49.33


48.87

High Sept 01

48.42


47.71

High Sept 17

44.82

Low Sept 16

43.21


41.78

Low Aug 28

38.95

Low Aug 27




RECOMMENDATION

BUY

-----

SELL

47.05

STOP LOSS

49.05 45.55

TARGET

45.05

EUR/USD Interest Rate (EU): 0.05%

Interest Rate (US): 0-0.25%

INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

4 Hours QEUR=

13:00 18/06/2015 - 9:00 23/09/2015 (GMT) Price USD

1.1711

Daily QEUR= 1.2599

02/12/2014 - 05/10/2015 (GMT) Price USD

Cndl; QEUR=; Bid 18/09/2015; 1,1435; 1,1438; 1,1411; 1,1421 EMA; QEUR=; Bid(Last); 20 18/09/2015; 1,1269 WMA; QEUR=; Bid(Last); 55 18/09/2015; 1,1189

1.2569

1,26

1.2600

1,15 1,14

1,23

1,2

1.1711

1,13

1.1500

1,12

1,17

1.1466

1,11

1,14

1,1 1,11 1,09

1.1086

1,08

1.0808

1.0818

1,08

1.0808 1,05

1,07

1.0460

1.0456

1,06

1,02 Auto

Auto Value USD Auto

Value USD Auto

Value USD 50 Auto Value USD

RSI; QEUR=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 18/09/2015; 66,686

Mom; QEUR=; Bid(Last); 14 18/09/2015; 0,0210

Auto 19 22

24 26 29

01

03 06

08

Juni 2015

10 13 15

17 20 22

24 27 29

31 03 05

Juli 2015

07 10 12

14 17 19

21 24 26

28 31

02 04 07

Agustus 2015

09 11 14

16 18 21 23

September 2015

08 15 22 29 05 12 19 26 02 09 16 23 02 09 16 23 30 06 13 20 27 04 11 18 25 01 08 15 22 29 06 13 20 27 03 10 17 24 31 07 14 21 28 05

Des 14

Jan 15

Feb 15

Mar 15

Apr 15

Mei 15

Jun 15

Jul 15

Agust 15

Reuters Graphic

Sep 15

Reuters Graphic

DAILY CHART INDICATORS RSI-14 : 66.68


17 16 15 14 11

Mom-14 :

EMA 20 : 1.1269

WMA 55 : 1.1189

Daily Trend :

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

1.1290 1.1270 1.1310 1.1345 1.1285

1.1441 1.1320 1.1328 1.1372 1.1349

1.1285 1.1214 1.1259 1.1283 1.1255

156 106 69 89 94

1.1425 1.1285 1.1270 1.1320 1.1335

140 15 50 15 65

1.1285 1.1270 1.1320 1.1335 1.1270

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

AUGUST

2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1.1441 (17/Sept)

1.1214 (16/Sept)

1.1441 (17/Sept)

1.1088 (03/Sept)

1.1711 (24/Aug)

1.0849 (05/Aug)

1.2108 (02/Jan)

1.0458 (16/Mar)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1.1859


1.1711


1.1561

High Aug 26

1.1441

High Sept 17

1.1283

Low Sept 17

1.1212

Low Sept 16

1.1170

Low Sept 10

1.1086

Low Sept 03

BUY

1.1400



FX & Commodities Page 6 of 12 SELL

-----

STOP LOSS

1.1300 1.1470

TARGET 1.1500

USD/JPY Interest Rate (US): 0-0.25%

Interest Rate (JP): 0.0%

INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic

DAILY CHART INDICATORS RSI-14 : 42.74 DATE Sept Sept Sept Sept Sept

17 16 15 14 11

EMA 20 : 120.79

Mom-14 :

WMA 55 : 121.78

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

120.55 120.40 120.35 120.65 120.60

120.99 120.72 120.65 120.83 120.96

119.81 120.12 119.41 119.86 120.37

118 60 124 97 59

120.00 120.55 120.40 120.15 120.55

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

Daily Trend : CHANGE

PREVIOUS

55 15 25 40 15

AUGUST

120.55 120.40 120.15 120.55 120.70 2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

120.99 (17/Sept)

119.41 (15/Sept)

121.32 (10/Sept)

118.70 (07/Sept)

125.28 (12/Aug)

116.47 (24/Aug)

125.85 (05/Jun)

115.86 (16/Jan)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

123.49

High 21/Aug/2015

122.01

Reaction high on 1-H chart

121.74

Peak level

121.35

Horizontal resistance on 1-H chart

119.38

Reaction low on 1-H chart

118.75

Horizontal support on 1-H chart

118.23


116.46

Low 24/Aug/2015

BUY

----

SELL

120.20

RECOMMENDATION



FX & Commodities Page 7 of 12 STOP LOSS

120.90 119.35

TARGET 118.90

GBP/USD Interest Rate (GB): 0.1%


INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic


17 16 15 14 11

EMA 20 : 1.5426

Mom-14 :

WMA 55 : 1.5490

Daily Trend :

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

1.5510 1.5345 1.5425 1.5445 1.5440

1.5628 1.5528 1.5456 1.5471 1.5462

1.5487 1.5330 1.5328 1.5374 1.5400

141 198 128 97 62

1.5580 1.5490 1.5340 1.5425 1.5430

90 150 85 5 20

1.5490 1.5340 1.5425 1.5430 1.5450

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

AUGUST

2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1.5628 (17/Sept)

1.5328 (15/Sept)

1.5628 (17/Sept)

1.5165 (04/Sept)

1.5818 (25/Aug)

1.5337 (28/Aug)

1.5928 (18/Jun)

1.4568 (13/Apr)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1.5909

High 22/Jun/2015

1.5818

Peak level

1.5775

Trendline resistance on 1-D chart

1.5720

Pivot line on 1-H chart

1.5478


1.5320

Pivot line

1.5244


1.5160


BUY

1.5560




----

STOP LOSS

1.5480 1.5670

TARGET 1.5720

USD/CHF Interest Rate (US): 0-0.25%

Interest Rate Range (CH): -1.25 to -0.25%

INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic


17 16 15 14 11

EMA 20 : 0.9687

Mom-14 :

WMA 55 : 0.9669

Daily Trend :

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

0.9705 0.9740 0.9680 0.9690 0.9735

0.9724 0.9762 0.9762 0.9719 0.9796

0.9587 0.9667 0.9668 0.9666 0.9681

137 95 94 53 115

0.9600 0.9715 0.9740 0.9685 0.9700

115 25 55 15 35

0.9715 0.9740 0.9685 0.9700 0.9735

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

AUGUST

2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

0.9762 (15/Sept)

0.9587 (17/Sept)

0.9825 (09/Sept)

0.9567 (01/Sept)

0.9905 (11/Aug)

0.9257 (24/Aug)

1.0240 (14/Jan)

0.7446 (15/Jan)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

0.9905

Horizontal resistance on 1-D chart

0.9825

Reaction high on 1-H chart

0.9796

Horizontal resistance on 1-H chart

0.9665

Pivot line

0.9570

Horizontal support on 1-H chart

0.9508


0.9379


0.9295

Low 25/Aug/2015




RECOMMENDATION

BUY

----

SELL

0.9620

STOP LOSS

0.9690 0.9550

TARGET 0.9485

AUD/USD Interest Rate (AU): 2.0%


INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

4 Hours QAUD=

13:00 18/06/2015 - 9:00 23/09/2015 (GMT)

Daily QAUD=

12/03/2015 - 29/09/2015 (GMT)

0.8162

Price USD

Price USD

0.8085

0,81

0,77

0,8 0,76

0.7428

0,79 0,78

0,75

0,77 0,74 0,73

0,76

0.7558

0.7595

0.7560

0.7530

0,75 0,74

EMA; QAUD=; Bid(Last); 20 18/09/2015; 0,7134 WMA; QAUD=; Bid(Last); 55 18/09/2015; 0,7195 Cndl; QAUD=; Bid 18/09/2015; 0,7167; 0,7178; 0,7157; 0,7175

0,72 0,71

0,7

0,73 0,72 0,71

0,7 0,69

0,69 Auto

0.6893

Value USD

0,68 Auto

0.6893 RSI; QAUD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 18/09/2015; 62,027

Value USD

Auto

Value USD

Auto

Mom; QAUD=; Bid(Last); 14 18/09/2015; 0,0065

Value USD

Auto 19 22 24 26 29 01 03 06 08 10 13 15 17 20 22 24 27 29 31 03 05 07 10 12 14 17 19 21 24 26 28 31 02 04 07 09 11 14 16 18 21 23

Juni 2015

Juli 2015

Agustus 2015

September 2015

16

23

30

06

Maret 2015

13

20

27

04

April 2015

11

18

25

01

Mei 2015

08

15

22

29

06

13

Juni 2015

20

27

03

Juli 2015

10

17

24

31

Agustus 2015

Reuters Graphic

07

14

21

28

September 2015

Reuters Graphic


17 16 15 14 11

EMA 20 : 0.7135

Mom-14 :

WMA 55 : 0.7195

Daily Trend :

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

0.7200 0.7125 0.7160 0.7090 0.7070

0.7274 0.7199 0.7165 0.7151 0.7091

0.7139 0.7124 0.7086 0.7064 0.7036

135 75 79 87 55

0.7170 0.7195 0.7145 0.7135 0.7085

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

25 50 10 50 5

AUGUST

0.7195 0.7145 0.7135 0.7085 0.7080 2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

0.7274 (17/Sept)

0.7064 (14/Sept)

0.7274 (17/Sept)

0.6897 (07/Sept)

0.7439 (11/Aug)

0.7058 (24/Aug)

0.8295 (15/Jan)

0.6897 (07/Sept)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

0.7496


0.7439


0.7408


0.7274


0.7120

Low Sept 16

0.7033

Low Sept 11

0.6917

Low Sept 08

0.6893

Low Sept 07

BUY

----




0.7195

STOP LOSS

0.7295 0.7125

TARGET 0.7095

NZD/USD Interest Rate (NZ): 3.0%


INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

4 Hours QNZD=

11:00 15/06/2015 - 13:00 23/09/2015 (GMT)

Daily QNZD=

25/02/2015 - 30/09/2015 (GMT)

0.7744 Price USD

0.7715

Price USD

0.7562

0,71

0,76

0.7394

0,7

0,74 0,69

0.6707

0,72

0,68

0.6924

0,67

0,7

0,66

0.6707

0,68

0,65 0,66 0,64 0,63 0,62

0.6241

Auto Value USD

Cndl; QNZD=; Bid 18/09/2015; 0,6340; 0,6371; 0,6332; 0,6365 EMA; QNZD=; Bid(Last); 20 18/09/2015; 0,6384 WMA; QNZD=; Bid(Last); 55 18/09/2015; 0,6456

0,64 0,62

0.6241

Auto

RSI; QNZD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 18/09/2015; 50,790

Value USD

Auto Value USD 16 18 21 23 25 28 30 02 05 07 09 12 14 16 19 21 23 26 28 30 02 04 06 09 11 13 16 18 20 23 25 27 30 01 03 06 08 10 13 15 17 20 22

Juni 2015

Juli 2015

Agustus 2015

September 2015

Auto

Mom; QNZD=; Bid(Last); 14 18/09/2015; 0,0031 02

09

16

23

30

06

Mar 15

13

20

27

04

Apr 15

11

18

25

01

Mei 15

08

15

22

29

06

Jun 15

13

20

27

03

Jul 15

10

17

24

31

Agust 15

07

14

21

28

Value USD

Sep 15

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic


17 16 15 14 11

EMA 20 : 0.6384

Mom-14 :

WMA 55 : 0.6456

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

0.6355 0.6345 0.6340 0.6315 0.6310

0.6444 0.6380 0.6367 0.6344 0.6326

0.6313 0.6335 0.6295 0.6299 0.6284

131 45 72 45 42

0.6355 0.6365 0.6355 0.6330 0.6320

WEEKLY

SEPTEMBER

Daily Trend : CHANGE

PREVIOUS

10 10 25 10 15

AUGUST

0.6365 0.6355 0.6330 0.6320 0.6305 2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

0.6444 (17/Sept)

0.6295 (15/Sept)

0.6444 (17/Sept)

0.6246 (07/Sept)

0.6707 (21/Aug)

0.6249 (24/Aug)

0.7890 (15/Jan)

0.6246 (07/Sept)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

0.6707


0.6513


0.6475

High Aug 31

0.6444

High Sept 17

0.6251

Low Sept 08

0.6192

Reaction low on daily chart (July 13, 2009)

0.6148

Reaction low on daily chart (June 08, 2009)

0.6088

Reaction low on daily chart (May 26, 2009)

BUY

----




0.6385

STOP LOSS

0.6485 0.6315

TARGET 0.6285

EUR/JPY Interest Rate (EU): 0.05%

Interest Rate (JP): 0-0.1%

INTRADAY CHART

DAILY CHART

Reuters Graphic

Reuters Graphic


Mom-14 : OPEN 136.15 135.70 136.10 136.90 136.10

17 16 15 14 11 WEEKLY

EMA 20 : 135.83

HIGH

LOW

137.46 136.63 136.41 137.03 136.93

136.08 135.15 135.00 135.51 135.71

WMA 55 : 136.14

RANGE 138 148 141 152 122

SEPTEMBER

Daily Trend :

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

137.10 136.05 135.70 136.00 136.65

105 35 30 65 60

136.05 135.70 136.00 136.65 136.05

AUGUST

2015

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

137.46 (17/Sept)

135.00 (15/Sept)

137.46 (17/Sept)

132.23 (04/Sept)

138.93 (24/Aug)

134.98 (05/Aug)

145.30 (02/Jan)

126.08 (14/Apr)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

140.02

High 23/Jun/2015

139.02

Peak level

138.61

High 25/Aug/2015

137.58

High 26/Aug/2015

135.96


134.95

Low 15/Sep/2015

134.20

Pivot line on 1-H chart

133.73


BUY

137.05




----

STOP LOSS

136.30 138.00

TARGET 138.75


MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK

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