MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK

z

Fundamental & Technical Outlook Senin 09 Mei 2016

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MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK • Bursa Saham AS berakhir sedikit lebih tinggi pada hari Jumat karena investor dibantu untuk data yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan upah AS pada bulan April meskipun pertumbuhan pekerjaan lebih lemah dari perkiraan, sementara itu data upah juga mendorong lagi Treasury yields hasil yang lebih tinggi. • Nonfarm payrolls meningkat sebesar 160.000 pekerjaan bulan lalu, jauh di bawah 202.000 ekonom yang disurvei oleh Reuters telah memperkirakan rata-rata dan pekerjaan paling sedikit ditambahkan dalam tujuh bulan. Tingkat yang meragukan apakah the Fed akan menaikkan suku bunga pada akhir tahun. • Harga minyak naik tipis pada Jumat, didukung oleh penurunan awal dolar dan api yang telah menyusut pada kebakaran di wilayah Kanada pada (oil sands crude) area produksi minyak mentahnya.

Senin 09 Mei 2015 WIB

CTY

INDICATORS

06.50 08.30 12.00 13.00 14.00 14.15 All Day 15.30 19.15 21.00

JP AU JP DE GB CH EZ EZ CA US

BoJ Minutes ANZ Newspaper Job Ads Consumer Confid Index Industrial Orders MM Halifax House Price MM CPI MM Eurogroup Meetings Sentix Index House Starts Annualized Employment Trends

PER

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREV.

Apr Apr Mar Apr Apr

N/A 40.8 0.7 -0.4 0.1

% IND % % %

-11.4 41.7 -1.2 2.6 0.3

May Apr Apr

6.1 195 N/A

IND K IND

5.7 204.3 127.5

REV

Laporan dibuat untuk tujuan informatif & dapat dijadikan bahan perbandingan atas prediksi lain namun tidak harus menjadi satu-satunya referensi dalam pengambilan keputusan untuk masuk pasar. Dengan demikian, segala sesuatu yang menyangkut akibat dari transaksi yang dilakukan nasabah, sepenuhnya menjadi tanggung jawab nasabah. RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777




EUR/USD Interest Rate: 0.00% (EU)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Daily EUR=

03/02/2016 - 12/05/2016 (GMT)

1.1614

1.1375

Cndl; EUR=; Bid 06/05/2016; 1,1405; 1,1476; 1,1384; 1,1402 EMA; EUR=; Bid(Last); 20 06/05/2016; 1,1370 WMA; EUR=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 1,1311

Price USD

1.1464

1,15 1,14 1,13 1,12

1.1213 1,11

1.1142 1,1 1,09 1,08

Auto Value USD Auto

(Research – @her1en)

@her1en

1.0810 Value USD 50

• Rangkaian turun level high • Tekanan berlanjut • RSI flat

1.0820

Auto

RSI; EUR=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 52,094

Mom; EUR=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; 0,0090 08

15

22

29

Februari 2016

07

14

21

28

04

11

Maret 2016

18

25

02

April 2016

09

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

May 06 May 05 May 04 May 03 May 02

1.1405 1.1490 1.1500 1.1525 1.1460

1.1476 1.1495 1.1528 1.1614 1.1532

1.1387 1.1386 1.1468 1.1502 1.1447

89 109 60 112 85

1.1405 1.1400 1.1490 1.1505 1.1525

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

5 90 15 20 75

APRIL

1.1400 1.1490 1.1505 1.1525 1.1450

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1.1614 (03/May)

1.1386 (05/May)

1.1614 (03/May)

1.1386 (05/May)

1.1464 (12/Apr)

1.1218 (25/Apr)

1.1614 (03/May)

1.0711 (05/Jan)

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1.1711

Reaction high on hourly chart

1.1600


1.1528

High May 04

1.1476

High May 06

1.1333

Low Apr 29

1.1294

Low Apr 28

1.1254

Low Apr 26

1.1213

Reaction low on daily chart

BUY

-----

SELL

1.1425

STOP LOSS

1.1490

TARGET

1.1355 1.1325

Trend pada laporan ini dilihat dari kondisi 15’-chart dengan mempertimbangkan harga bergerak dari sesi pasar sebelumnya. Level-level pada indikator technical, data fundamental maupun harga diperoleh dari Reuters. Komentar dan Analisis dibuat berdasarkan data maupun indikator tersebut. Perlu juga merujuk pada laporan Daily Bulletin (Outlook Harian) kami untuk memperkuat pandangan terhadap laporan ini.




USD/JPY Interest Rate: 0.25%-0.50% (US)/0-0.1% (JP) Daily JPY=

24/08/2015 - 20/05/2016 (JAK)

122

Price /USD 118

117.50 116.46

116

Cndl; JPY=; Bid 06/05/2016; 107,25; 107,41; 106,43; 107,10 EMA; JPY=; Bid(Open); 20 06/05/2016; 108,87 WMA; JPY=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 110,00 SMA; JPY=; Bid(Last); 200 06/05/2016; 117,82

114 112 110

110.65

• Tekanan ditunjukkan hourly • RSI merosot

108

107.50 106.22


106

105.49

Auto

RSI; JPY=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 35,867

Value /USD Auto

Value /USD Auto

Mom; JPY=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; -1,71 24 31 07 14 21 28 05 12 19 26 02 09 16 23 30 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 01 08 15 22 29 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 02 09 16

Sep 15

Okt 15

Nop 15

Des 15

Jan 16

Feb 16

Mar 16

Apr 16

Mei 16

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE


107.35 106.95 106.65 106.40 106.35

107.41 107.49 107.45 106.53 106.81

106.45 106.81 106.26 105.55 106.17

96 68 119 98 64

107.15 107.30 107.00 106.50 106.40

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

15 30 50 10 20

APRIL

107.30 107.00 106.50 106.40 106.60

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

107.49 (05/May)

105.55 (03/May)

107.49 (05/May)

105.55 (03/May)

112.58 (01/Apr)

106.58 (29/Apr)

121.68 (29/Jan)

105.55 (03/May)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

109.85

Pivot line

108.75

Pivot line

108.19

High 29/Apr/2016

107.41

High May 06

106.23

Low May 04

105.49

Low 16/Oct/2014

105.18

Low 15/Oct/2014 (Bottom)

104.67


BUY

----

SELL

107.30

STOP LOSS

107.95

TARGET

106.60 106.30





GBP/USD Interest Rate: 0.1% (GB)/0.25%-0.50% (US) 04/08/2015 - 20/05/2016 (JAK)

Daily GBP=

Price USD

1.5818 1.5658

1,56

1.5508

1,54 1,52

1.4950

1,5 1,48

1.4668 1.4577 Cndl; GBP=; Bid 06/05/2016; 1,4481; 1,4541; 1,4411; 1,4428 EMA; GBP=; Bid(Open); 20 06/05/2016; 1,4436 WMA; GBP=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 1,4343 SMA; GBP=; Bid(Last); 200 06/05/2016; 1,4845

1,46 1,44 1,42

1,4

1.4050

• Rangkaian turun level low harian • RSI merosot (Research – @her1en)

1,38

1.3833

Auto

RSI; GBP=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 44,722

Value USD Auto

Mom; GBP=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; 0,0155

Value USD

10 17 24 31 07 14 21 28 05 12 19 26 02 09 16 23 30 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 01 08 15 22 29 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 02 09 16

Agust 15

Sep 15

Okt 15

Nop 15

Des 15

Jan 16

Feb 16

Mar 16

Apr 16

Mei 16

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE


1.4490 1.4505 1.4545 1.4665 1.4600

1.4541 1.4529 1.4571 1.4769 1.4695

1.4416 1.4444 1.4462 1.4530 1.4578

125 85 109 239 117

1.4430 1.4480 1.4495 1.4540 1.4670

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

50 15 45 130 55

APRIL

1.4480 1.4495 1.4540 1.4670 1.4615

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1.4769 (03/May)

1.4416 (06/May)

1.4769 (03/May)

1.4416 (06/May)

1.4669 (29/Apr)

1.4007 (06/Apr)

1.4813 (04/Jan)

1.3837 (29/Feb)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1.4725

High 05/Jan/2016

1.4685

Trendline resistance

1.4571

High May 04

1.4541

High May 06

1.4400

Low 25/Apr/2016

1.4298

Low 21/Apr/2016 (Reaction low)

1.4129

Low 18/Apr/2016 (Reaction low)

1.4088


BUY

----

SELL

1.4455

STOP LOSS

1.4520

TARGET

1.4375 1.4345





USD/CHF Interest Rate: 0.25%-0.50% (US)/-1.25 to -0.25% (CH) Daily CHF=

16/11/2015 - 17/05/2016 (JAK)

1.0330

Price /USD

1.0257

1,02

1.0100 1,01

1

1.0000

0,99

• Rangkaian kenaikan level high harian • RSI naik

0,98

0.9800 0,97

Cndl; CHF=; Bid 06/05/2016; 0,9673; 0,9734; 0,9648; 0,9720 EMA; CHF=; Bid(Open); 20 06/05/2016; 0,9645 WMA; CHF=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 0,9676

0.9490


0,96

0,95 Auto

RSI; CHF=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 62,460

Value /USD Auto

Value /USD Auto

Mom; CHF=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; 0,0085 16

23

30

Nop 15

07

14

21

28

04

Desember 2015

11

18

25

01

Januari 2016

08

15

22

29

07

Februari 2016

14

21

Maret 2016

28

04

11

18

25

April 2016

02

09

16

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS


0.9680 0.9570 0.9540 0.9550 0.9585

0.9727 0.9695 0.9589 0.9557 0.9604

0.9655 0.9566 0.9534 0.9444 0.9536

72 129 55 113 68

0.9715 0.9685 0.9575 0.9545 0.9545

30 110 30 UNCH 45

0.9685 0.9575 0.9545 0.9545 0.9590

WEEKLY

MAY

APRIL

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

0.9727 (06/May)

0.9444 (03/May)

0.9727 (06/May)

0.9444 (03/May)

0.9796 (22/Apr)

0.9498 (12/Apr)

1.0257 (29/Jan)

0.9444 (03/May)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1.0000

Pivot line

0.9915

Reaction high on daily chart

0.9800

Pivot line

0.9755

High 27/Apr/2016

0.9648

Low May 06

0.9625

Reaction low on 1H chart

0.9561

Low May 05

0.9530

Low May 04

BUY

0.9700

SELL

----

STOP LOSS

0.9635

TARGET

0.9770 0.9800





AUD/USD Interest Rate: 2.0% (AU)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Daily AUD=

10/12/2015 - 16/05/2016 (GMT)

0.7835

Price USD 0,78

0.7765

EMA; AUD=; Bid(Last); 20 06/05/2016; 0,7583 WMA; AUD=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 0,7594 Cndl; AUD=; Bid 06/05/2016; 0,7463; 0,7478; 0,7336; 0,7364

0.7680

0,77 0,76 0,75

0.7400

0,74

0.7413

0,73

0.7336 0,72 0,71

0.7105

0,7

0.6971

@her1en

0,68 Auto

RSI; AUD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 24,911

Value USD Auto

Mom; AUD=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; -0,0385 21

28

04

Desember 2015


0,69

0.6824

14

• Break area trend channel dibawahnya • Level high yang merosot

Value USD 11

18

25

Januari 2016

01

08

15

22

29

Februari 2016

07

14

21

28

Maret 2016

04

11

18

25

02

April 2016

09

16

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE


0.7475 0.7465 0.7500 0.7660 0.7615

0.7478 0.7513 0.7517 0.7719 0.7668

0.7339 0.7452 0.7448 0.7486 0.7594

139 61 69 233 74

0.7365 0.7460 0.7455 0.7490 0.7665

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

95 5 35 175 65

APRIL

0.7460 0.7455 0.7490 0.7665 0.7600

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

0.7719 (03/May)

0.7339 (06/May)

0.7719 (03/May)

0.7339 (06/May)

0.7828 (20/Apr)

0.7493 (07/Apr)

0.7828 (20/Apr)

0.6828 (15/Jan)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

0.7773

High Apr 22

0.7719

High May 03

0.7517

High May 04

0.7478

High May 06

0.7336

Low Mar 04

0.7278

Low May 03

0.7162

Low Mar 02

0.7105


BUY

-----

SELL

0.7385

STOP LOSS

0.7450

TARGET

0.7315 0.7285





NZD/USD Interest Rate: 2.25% (NZ)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Daily NZD=

16/12/2015 - 13/05/2016 (GMT)

0.7054

0.6910

Price USD

Cndl; NZD=; Bid 06/05/2016; 0,6881; 0,6891; 0,6806; 0,6836 EMA; NZD=; Bid(Last); 20 06/05/2016; 0,6890 WMA; NZD=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 0,6853

0.6886

0,7 0,69 0,68

0.6803

0,67

0.6757

0,66 0,65

0.6550

0,64 0,63

@her1en

0.6346

• Rangkaian turun level high harian • RSI turun (Research – @her1en)

0,62

0.6230

Auto RSI; NZD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 40,483

Value USD Auto

Mom; NZD=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; -0,0112 21

28

04

Desember 2015

11

18

25

01

Januari 2016

08

15

22

29

07

Februari 2016

14

21

28

Maret 2016

04

11

18

25

April 2016

02

09

Value USD

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE

PREVIOUS


0.6885 0.6885 0.6925 0.7035 0.6990

0.6891 0.6917 0.6939 0.7053 0.7023

0.6809 0.6873 0.6861 0.6912 0.6968

82 44 78 141 55

0.6840 0.6880 0.6880 0.6915 0.7015

40 FLAT 35 100 35

0.6880 0.6880 0.6915 0.7015 0.6980

WEEKLY

MAY

APRIL

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

0.7053 (03/May)

0.6809 (06/May)

0.7053 (03/May)

0.6809 (06/May)

0.7054 (19/Apr)

0.6760 (05/Apr)

0.7054 (19/Apr)

0.6348 (20/Jan)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

0.7054


0.7004


0.6939

High May 04

0.6891

High May 06

0.6789

Low 11/Apr/2016

0.6705

Low Mar 29

0.6667


0.6574


BUY

-----

SELL

0.6860

STOP LOSS

0.6930

TARGET

0.6790 0.6760





EUR/JPY Interest Rate: 0.00% (EU)/0-0.1% (JP) 21/01/2016 - 18/05/2016 (JAK)

Daily EURJPY=

Price JPY 128

128.16

127 126

126.25

125

124.64

124

123.35

• Tekanan turun berlanjut • Dukungan dilihat dalam hourly, RSI flat

123

122.50

Cndl; EURJPY=; Bid 06/05/2016; 122,31; 122,45; 121,46; 122,15 EMA; EURJPY=; Bid(Open); 20 06/05/2016; 123,73 WMA; EURJPY=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 124,41

122

121.67

121


120

119.08 119

118.86 Auto

Value JPY Auto

RSI; EURJPY=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 37,143 Value JPY Auto

Mom; EURJPY=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; -0,94 25

01

Jan 16

08

15

22

Februari 2016

29

07

14

21

28

04

11

Maret 2016

18

25

02

April 2016

09

16

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE


122.40 122.90 122.70 122.65 122.00

122.45 123.13 123.52 122.76 122.89

121.50 122.11 122.30 122.13 121.61

95 102 122 63 128

122.20 122.35 122.95 122.55 122.70

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE

PREVIOUS

15 60 40 15 65

APRIL

122.35 122.95 122.55 122.70 122.05

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

123.52 (04/May)

121.50 (06/May)

123.52 (04/May)

121.50 (06/May)

128.16 (01/Apr)

121.72 (18/Apr)

132.25 (29/Jan)

121.50 (06/May)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

124.64

Pivot line

123.52

High May 04

123.13

High May 05

122.45

High May 06

121.46

Low May 06

119.08

Low 03/Apr/2013 (Bottom)

118.85

Pivot line

117.55

Pivot line

BUY

----

SELL

122.40

STOP LOSS

123.05

TARGET

121.70 121.40





USD/CAD Interest Rate: 0.25%-0.50% (US)/0.5% (CA) Daily CAD=

1.4040

Cndl; CAD=; Bid 06/05/2016; 1,2851; 1,2951; 1,2831; 1,2907 EMA; CAD=; Bid(Open); 20 06/05/2016; 1,2770 WMA; CAD=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 1,2898

14/08/2015 - 20/05/2016 (JAK) Price /USD 1,37

1.3812

1,36

1.3635

1.35

1,35 1,34 1,33

1.3220

1,32 1,31

1.3035

1,3

1.29

1,29 1,28 1,27 1,26

1.2535

1,25

• Break area trend channel turun • RSI naik (Research – @her1en)

Auto Value /USD 40

RSI; CAD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 68,398 Value /USD Auto

Auto

Mom; CAD=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; 0,0127 17 24 31 07 14 21 28 05 12 19 26 02 09 16 23 30 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 01 08 15 22 29 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 02 09 16

Sep 15

Okt 15

Nop 15

Des 15

Jan 16

Feb 16

Mar 16

Apr 16

Mei 16

WEEKLY OPEN

CURRENT PRICE

1.2548

1.2907

WEEKLY

MAY

APRIL

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1.2951 (06/May)

1.2458 (03/May)

1.2951 (06/May)

1.2458 (03/May)

1.3217 (05/Apr)

1.2495 (29/Apr)

1.4689 (20/Jan)

1.2458 (03/May)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1.3083


1.3014

High 11/Apr/2016

1.2990

High 18/Apr/2016

1.2900

Pivot line

1.2828


1.2782

Low May 05

1.2693

Low May 04

1.2535

Pivot line

BUY

1.2885

SELL

----

STOP LOSS

1.2815

TARGET

1.2965 – 1.2995





GOLD (XAU/USD) Hourly XAU=

8:00 18/04/2016 - 15:00 09/05/2016 (GMT)

1303.60

1295.70

Cndl; XAU=; Bid 21:00 06/05/2016; 1.288,3100; 1.288,7600; 1.287,7700; 1.288,3000 EMA; XAU=; Bid(Last); 20 21:00 06/05/2016; 1.285,5824 WMA; XAU=; Bid(Last); 55 21:00 06/05/2016; 1.282,0397

Price USD Ozs 1.290 1.280 1.270 1.260 1.250

• Rangkaian hourly • RSI flat

1.240 1.230

1237.65

dalam


1.220

@her1en

naik

Auto RSI; XAU=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 21:00 06/05/2016; 54,728

Value USD Ozs Auto

Mom; XAU=; Bid(Last); 14 21:00 06/05/2016; 9,1400

19

20

21

22

24

26

27

28

29

01

03

04

April 2016

05

06

08

Value USD Ozs

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE

CHANGE


1277.50 1282.50 1286.50 1290.50 1294.00

1295.70 1286.00 1289.30 1302.00 1303.60

1274.90 1269.63 1272.38 1282.83 1288.23

20.80 16.37 16.92 19.17 15.37

1289.00 1277.00 1279.50 1286.50 1291.00

12.00 2.50 7.00 4.50 3.00

WEEKLY

MAY

PREVIOUS 1277.00 1279.50 1286.50 1291.00 1294.00

AM FIX

PM FIX

(16.30 WIB)

(21.00 WIB)

1280.25 1275.75 1280.30 1296.50 1274.50

1289.00 1280.25 1283.00 1294.00 1285.65

APRIL

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

1303.60 (02/May)

1269.63 (05/May)

1303.60 (02/May)

1269.63 (05/May)

1296.11 (29/Apr)

1209.55 (01/Apr)

1303.60 (02/May)

1062.28 (04/Jan)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

1315.20

High Aug 15, 2014

1306.20


1302.00

High May 03

1295.70

High May 06

1277.40


1271.25

Low May 04

1264.76

Low Apr 29

1252.82

Reaction low on hourly chart

BUY

1286.00

SELL

-----

STOP LOSS

1278.00

TARGET

1296.00 1301.50





SILVER (XAG/USD) Daily XAG=

16/12/2015 - 13/05/2016 (GMT)

18.00 Price USD Ozs

17

16.13

Cndl; XAG=; Bid 06/05/2016; 17,3310; 17,5950; 17,1900; 17,4520 EMA; XAG=; Bid(Last); 20 06/05/2016; 16,9181 WMA; XAG=; Bid(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 16,2982

16,5 16

16.14

15,5

15 14,5

14.75

14.57

@her1en

14 13,5 Auto

13.60 RSI; XAG=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 66,646

28

04

Desember 2015

11


Value USD Ozs Auto

Mom; XAG=; Bid(Last); 14 06/05/2016; 1,2310 21

• Hourly dukung penguatan • RSI telah naik • Helpdesk high level (17.579) low (17.211)

18

25

01

Januari 2016

08

15

22

29

07

Februari 2016

14

21

28

Maret 2016

04

11

18

25

April 2016

02

Value USD Ozs

09

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE


17.31 17.35 17.38 17.52 17.83

17.57 17.62 17.46 17.71 17.99

17.21 17.23 17.16 17.31 17.47

0.37 0.39 0.30 0.40 0.52

17.45 17.30 17.35 17.40 17.50

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE 0.15 0.05 0.04 0.11 0.30

APRIL

PREVIOUS 17.30 17.35 17.40 17.50 17.81

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

17.99 (02/May)

17.16 (04/May)

17.99 (02/May)

17.16 (04/May)

17.94 (29/Apr)

14.77 (01/Apr)

17.99 (02/May)

13.73 (12/Jan)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

18.04

High Jan 29, 2915

18.00

High May 02

17.72

High May 03

17.63

High May 05

17.19

Low May 06

17.12

Low Apr 28

17.03

Low Apr 27

16.80

Low Apr 26

BUY

17.35

SELL

-----

STOP LOSS

17.10

TARGET

17.70 17.90





CLM6/USD (OIL) (Exp.: 20 May 2016 - Reuters) Daily CLM6

16/02/2016 - 11/05/2016 (NYC)

46.78 Price USD Bbl

43.30

44 43 42

43.22

41

40 39 38

39.00

• Pergerakan jauhi area trend channel harian • RSI menguat

37 36

36.57

35 34

Cndl; CLM6; Trade Price 06/05/2016; 44,52; 45,34; 43,54; 44,66 WMA; CLM6; Trade Price(Last); 55 06/05/2016; 42,06 EMA; CLM6; Trade Price(Last); 20 06/05/2016; 43,43

32 31

@her1en Auto

RSI; CLM6; Trade Price(Last); 14; Exponential 06/05/2016; 57,604

Value USD Bbl

Mom; CLM6; Trade Price(Last); 14 06/05/2016; 3,47 16

22

29


33

07

14

Februari 2016

21

28

04

11

18

Maret 2016

25

02

April 2016

09

Value USD Bbl

Mei 2016

DATE

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

RANGE

CLOSE


44.51 44.02 43.83 44.90 45.67

45.32 46.04 44.86 45.34 46.13

43.54 43.95 43.21 43.31 44.53

1.78 2.09 1.65 2.03 1.60

44.56 44.49 44.04 43.85 44.89

WEEKLY

MAY

CHANGE

PREVIOUS 44.49 44.04 43.85 44.89 46.01

0.07 0.45 0.19 1.04 1.12

APRIL

2016

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

LOW

46.13 (02/May)

43.21 (04/May)

46.13 (02/May)

43.21 (04/May)

46.76 (29/Apr)

35.23 (05/Apr)

46.76 (29/Apr)

26.04 (11/Feb)


RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

47.83

High Nov 27, 2015

46.78

Reaction high on daily chart (Dec 04, 2015)

46.15

High May 02

45.35

High May 03

43.54

Low May 06

42.94

Reaction low on hourly chart

42.50

Low Apr 26

41.30


BUY

44.30

SELL

-----

STOP LOSS

43.20

TARGET

45.80 46.30


MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK

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