20 November, 2014
L A P O R A N H A R I A N
RISET
Penutupan Americas INDU Index SPX Index CCMP Index IBOV Index
Prb
%Prb
%Ytd
PERKIRAAN PASAR HARI INI
P/E
17,685.73 2,048.72 4,675.71 53,402.81
-2.09 -3.08 -26.731 1340.95
-0.01 -0.15 -0.57 2.58
6.69 10.84 11.95 3.68
15.77 18.11 74.38 17.66
6,696.60 4,266.19 10,182.95 10,376.80 19,379.92 417.79 8,983.52
-12.53 3.81 -16.16 -56.1 26.97 0.63 10.98
-0.19 0.09 -0.16 -0.54 0.14 0.15 0.12
(0.78) (0.69) 0.06 4.64 2.17 3.98 9.52
19.06 25.56 3.86 21.22 494.21 21.07 20.44
17,326.85 23,373.31 2,450.99 8,963.24 1,960.58 5,127.93 1,577.55 7,269.49 28,032.85
38.1 -155.86 -5.38 104.17 -6.29 25.464 -3.72 -6.17 -130.44
0.22 -0.66 -0.22 1.18 -0.32 0.50 -0.24 -0.08 -0.46
6.36 0.29 15.83 4.08 (2.52) 19.97 21.47 23.42 32.41
21.15 10.10 11.66 14.86 25.74 19.69 18.62 21.00 19.49
20.83
0.63
5.28
13.53
Terakhir Sebelumnya 5,123.19 5,099.25 4,934.00 4,122.41 4,886.00 4,556.24 990.27 1,105.24
%Prb 0.47 19.69 7.24 -10.40
Indeks bursa saham Indonesia diprediksi bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat
EMEA UKX Index CAC Index RTSSTD Index IBEX Index FTSEMIB Index AEX Index SMI Index
Asia / Pacific NKY Index HSI Index SHCOMP Index TWSE Index KOSPI Index JCI Index SET Index PCOMP Index SENSEX Index FSSTI Index
3,334.56
Deskripsi Kapitalisasi Pasar (IDR Triliun) Volume Transaksi (Juta Saham) Nilai Transaksi (IDR Juta) Nilai/ saham (IDR) Net Asing (IDR Juta)
431,315.50
Komoditas Nikel/Nickel (US$/Ton) Tembaga/Copper (US$/Ton) Timah/Tins (US$/Ton) Minyak/Oil (US$/BBL) (*) Gas (US$/MMBTU) Batu Bara/Coal (US$/Ton) (**) Emas/Gold (USD/OZ) CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton)
243,675.13
77.00
Terakhir Sebelumnya 16,145.00 15,650.00 6,685.00 6,631.00 19,625.00 19,600.00 74.58 74.61 5.23 5.85 62.10 61.85 1,181.85 1,182.72 755.00 760.00 2,245.00 2,251.00
%Prb 3.16 0.81 0.13 -0.04 -10.67 0.40 -0.07 -0.66 -0.27
No 1 2 3 4 5
Stock BBCA IJ TLKM IJ BBRI IJ BMRI IJ ADHI IJ
Top Value (IDR) 390,905,036,800 276,601,339,904 237,791,805,440 222,591,680,512 160,796,540,928
No 1 2 3 4 5
Stock BKSL IJ SIAP IJ FREN IJ KIJA IJ MDLN IJ
Top Volume (Shares) 617,072,200.00 371,334,700.00 194,961,300.00 167,261,800.00 130,125,800.00
No 1 2 3 4 5
Top Gainers INDR IJ GTBO IJ DSFI IJ RBMS IJ FREN IJ
% change 19.00 18.06 15.38 14.46 13.58
No 1 2 3 4 5
Top Losers SSMS IJ PTIS IJ MFMI IJ WOMF IJ SUPR IJ
% change -7.41 -6.67 -6.15 -5.45 -5.26
No Leading Movers 1 BBCA IJ 2 GGRM IJ 3 TLKM IJ 4 SILO IJ 5 KLBF IJ
% change 1.91 2.04 0.73 12.00 2.30
No Lagging Movers 1 UNVR IJ 2 ASII IJ 3 BBRI IJ 4 SSMS IJ 5 MYOR IJ
% change -1.58 -0.69 -0.45 -7.41 -2.64 14,990
5,000
12,310
4,500
9,630
(*) WTI Cushing
4,000
6,950
(**) McCloskey Newscatle
3,500
4,270
ADR Stocks Saham Telkom
Bloomberg Code Kode TLK US
Terakhir Terakhir % Konversi (Rp) (US$) Prb (Rp) Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (Rp) 45.41 -0.24 13,759.23 2,775.00
3,000 1-Jan
1,590 11-Mar
20-May
29-Jul Volume (RHS) (Bn Shares)
Daily Report dapat dilihat di website BNI Securities : www.bnisecurities.co.id
7-Oct JCI (LHS)
16-Dec
24-Feb
Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
P E R K I R A A N P A S A R H A R I I N I Indeks bursa saham Indonesia diprediksi bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat
Indeks Dow Jones pada perdagangan Rabu kemarin (19/11/2014) ditutup melemah 0,01% ke level 17.685,73 sementara indeks S&P 500 ditutup melemah 0,15% ke level 2.048,72. Indeks bergerak melemah setelah merespon minutes The Fed yang menyatakan ada kemungkinan terjadinya deflasi di perekonomian AS. Saham emiten Microsoft turun 1,1% sementara saham emiten Yahoo!Inc. turun 2,3%. Sementara itu, bursa Eropa pada penutupan Rabu ditutup bervariasi. Indeks FTSE ditutup melemah sebesar 0,19% ke level 6.696,60 sementara indeks DAX ditutup menguat 0,17% ke level 9.472,80. Pasar bergerak menguat setelah merespon data minutes Bank Sentral Inggris, yang memutuskan untuk tetap mempertahankan suku bunga rendah untuk memulihkan perekonomian. Sementara itu bursa Asia pada pagi hari ini dibuka dalam teritori positif. Indeks Nikkei dibuka menguat 0,41% ke level 17.358,92. Pasar bergerak menguat merespon melemahnya nilai tukar yen ke level 118.18 per dollar AS yang menjadi katalis positif terhadap produk ekspor Jepang. Sementara itu potensi penguatan diprediksi terjadi di bursa saham Indonesia. Para pelaku pasar merespon positif keputusan Pemerintah baru yang akan mengalihkan alokasi anggaran subsidi ke bidang infrastruktur dan kesehatan masyarakat. Indeks diprediksi akan berada di rentang 5.112‐5.142 dengan support di level 5.112. Saham pilihan untuk hari ini diantaranya BBNI, TLKM, UNTR, ADHI, BKSL, ADRO. Analyst: Ankga Adiwirasta (
[email protected])
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Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
R I N G K A S A N B E R I T A •
Pendapatan PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), emiten batu bara, turun 4,2% menjadi US$ 1,03 miliar hingga kuartal III 2014 dibanding periode yang sama 2013 sebesar US$ 1,08 miliar.
•
Penjualan alat berat PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) berpotensi kembali terkoreksi seiring dengan pelemahan harga komoditas pertambangan hingga saat ini. Kondisi tersebut menjadikan perseroan pesimistis bisa mencapai target penjualan 4.000 unit hingga akhir tahun ini, menurut manajemen perseroan.
•
PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk (BBTN), bank fokus perumahan, menyatakan komitmennya untuk memberikan dukungan penuh terhadap upaya memenuhi kebutuhan rumah rakyat. Karena pemenuhan kebutuhan perumahan bagi masyarakat di Indonesia menjadi tanggungjawab bersama.
•
PT Trada Maritime Tbk (TRAM), emiten jasa pelayaran dan angkutan laut, telah melakukan klaim asuransi terhadap kerusakan kapal Lentera Bangsa dengan dana maksimal yang akan diperoleh sebesar US$ 75 juta. Direksi perseroan mengakui dana hasil klaim asuransi tersebut akan digunakan untuk membayar utang pinjaman sebesar US$ 35 juta dari PT Bank of Tokyo‐Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd (BTMU) dan International Finance Corporation (IFC).
•
PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON), anak usaha di bidang industri beton pracetak (precast) dari PT Wijaya Karya Tbk (WIKA), telah menggunakan dana hasil penawaran umum perdana saham (Initial Public Offering/IPO) sekitar Rp 471,1 miliar hingga Oktober 2014.
•
PT Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Tbk (WOMF), multifinance anak usaha PT Bank Internasional Indonesia Tbk (BNII) akan menerbitkan obligasi berkelanjutan I tahap II sebesar Rp 800 miliar. Menurut direksi, emisi obligasi ini untuk mendanai modal kerja perseroan.
•
Sawit Sumbermas akuisisi dua perusahaan perkebunan di Kalteng Rp 1,54 triliun. Akuisisi terhadap dua perusahaan sawit akan meningkatkan luas lahan Sawit Sumbermas sekitar 42% dari 78.071 hektare menjadi 110.518 hektare.
•
AKR Land tingkatkan belanja modal hingga 340% pada 2015. Dana belanja modal pada tahun depan difokuskan untuk melanjutkan pembangunan empat proyek terpadu (mixed use)
•
Perusahaan distributor sektor migas, PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) menggeber bisnis properti lewat anak usahanya, PT AKR Land Development. Dalam tiga tahun ke depan, AKR Land berharap menyumbang 10% dari total pendapatan konsolidasi AKRA. AKR Land berniat membangun tiga tower, meliputi apartemen, hotel dan perkantoran. Di apartemen, AKRA akan membangun 375 unit dengan 39 lantai. Untuk perkantoran dan hotel, AKR Land akan membangun masing‐masing 150 unit. Nilai total investasi ketiga proyek ini sekitar Rp 3,5 triliun. Untuk apartemen, harganya Rp 23 juta per meter persegi. Sedangkan perkantoran dihargai Rp 30 juta per m2.
•
PT Akasha Wira International Tbk juga sudah mempersiapkan strategi menapaki kinerja tahun depan. Produsen air minum dalam kemasan (AMDK) dan kosmetik itu pasang tiga jurus.
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Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
•
Meski 2014 belum berakhir, bisa dipastikan sepanjang tahun ini PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) nyaris tak berekspansi menambah gerai. Manajemen perusahaan itu sudah bulat hanya akan mengempit 119 gerai hingga akhir tahun nanti. Menilik laporan keuangan per 31 Desember 2013, Ramayana Lestari mencatatkan kepemilikan 118 gerai. Perinciannya, 108 gerai Ramayana, tujuh gerai Robinson dan tiga gerai Cahaya. Dus, tahun ini perusahaan itu hanya menambah satu gerai saja.
•
Source : Investor Daily, Kontan, Indonesia Finance Today, Inilah, Viva News
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Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
A N A L Y S T S T A R G E T P R I C E
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Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
A N A L Y S T S T A R G E T P R I C E Market Capitalization
EPS Growth PER 1 Year FY14F
PBV FY14F
PEG DER (x) ROE (%) Ratio
Rec
TP (Rp/share)
Total Return 1 Year in 2013
% of Free Float Shares
Agriculture AALI IJ Equity BWPT IJ Equity LSIP IJ Equity SGRO IJ Equity SIMP IJ Equity SMAR IJ Equity Average
40,825,264,125,000 6,013,779,803,750 15,419,672,560,900 4,025,700,000,000 14,630,086,750,000 19,818,134,225,400
31.17 16.71 9.70 5.13 6.48 92.95 27.02
17.02 21.81 15.37 31.39 24.05 11.00 20.11
3.55 1.96 1.82 1.42 0.81 2.86 2.07
0.55 1.31 1.58 6.12 3.71 0.12 2.23
0.34 2.07 0.16 0.80 0.70 2.38 1.08
20.84 8.97 11.88 4.54 3.38 25.96 12.60
BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY
30,625 1,620 2,180 2,270 985 7,450
47.06 2.84 23.59 0.77 ‐6.46 19.91 14.62
20.32 37.15 40.52 32.95 21.60 2.80
Metal ANTM IJ Equity INCO IJ Equity TINS IJ Equity Average
9,681,536,900,000 25,337,663,736,000 6,895,237,400,000
‐55.71 197.27 16.01 10.88
63.19 29.10 11.43 28.44
0.89 1.90 1.38 1.26
‐1.13 0.15 0.71 2.49
0.79 0.33 0.74 0.75
1.41 6.55 12.07 4.91
BUY BUY BUY
1,360 4,630 1,695
‐16.70 ‐3.55 ‐3.29 ‐7.85
34.99 20.49 35.00
Mining ADRO IJ Equity HRUM IJ Equity ITMG IJ Equity PTBA IJ Equity Average
36,943,786,110,000 5,704,638,200,000 29,858,268,125,000 25,633,466,831,250
50.59 ‐38.53 15.28 9.40 9.19
10.06 19.97 10.35 15.12 13.88
1.00 1.28 2.50 4.06 2.21
0.20 ‐0.52 0.68 1.61 0.49
0.73 0.16 0.41 0.74 0.51
9.96 6.41 24.10 24.36 16.21
HOLD HOLD HOLD HOLD
1,230 2,340 30,850 12,000
‐38.62 ‐56.30 ‐28.99 ‐37.08 ‐40.25
40.92 29.51 34.99 29.98
227,180,000,000,000 59,932,985,500,000 58,467,398,600,000 26,206,731,039,500 6,529,800,000,000 7,060,452,000,000 101,976,930,200,000
10.65 15.34 15.72 14.05 10.25 40.06 12.33
35.74 19.01 31.60 23.89 22.00 48.81 21.58
39.20 2.74 5.19 7.18 3.10 7.94 2.98
2.71 2.04 2.01 1.70 1.22 1.22 1.75
0.26 0.54 0.10 1.12 0.89 0.45 0.31
99.40 13.63 20.60 31.00 16.61 21.50 15.80
BUY BUY HOLD HOLD BUY HOLD BUY
34,250 7,600 10,800 30,314 3,150 1,450 60,000
27.83 8.79 37.25 57.68 48.06 4.01 11.06
15.01 49.92 19.47 66.93 53.37 29.25 23.53
16.91
28.95
9.76
1.81
0.52
31.22
PBV FY14F
PEG DER (x) ROE (%) Ratio
Consumer UNVR IJ Equity INDF IJ Equity ICBP IJ Equity MYOR IJ Equity AISA IJ Equity ROTI IJ Equity GGRM IJ Equity Average
Market Capitalization
EPS Growth PER 1 Year FY14F
27.81 Rec
TP (Rp/share)
Total Return 1 Year in 2013
% of Free Float Shares
Pharmaceutical KLBF IJ Equity KAEF IJ Equity Average
75,700,795,343,450 5,286,580,000,000
10.67 19.40 17.40
32.65 21.16 26.90
8.65 2.82 5.74
2.12 1.09 1.61
0.03 0.02 0.02
26.30 12.40 19.35
HOLD HOLD
1,745 1,200
29.77 ‐23.30 3.23
43.37 9.97
Retail RALS IJ Equity MAPI IJ Equity Average
8,272,480,000,000 17,420,000,000,000
9.32 20.10 14.71
28.32 26.60 66.82
3.10 4.26 3.68
3.04 5.24 4.14
0.00 0.91 0.46
12.29 13.20 14.85
HOLD HOLD
1,222 5,370
22.72 ‐3.62 9.55
40.46 44.00
Poultry CPIN IJ Equity JPFA IJ Equity MAIN IJ Equity Average
68,215,680,000,000 16,417,205,281,400 5,940,975,000,000
17.55 13.58 16.02 15.72
20.72 14.54 16.28 17.18
6.74 3.19 6.65 5.53
1.18 1.07 1.02 1.09
1.81
35.88
BUY BUY BUY
4,570 1,740 4,000
44.47 42.49 40.90
1.81
35.88
‐3.30 1.32 26.18 8.06
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Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
RESEARCH TEAM Research Division
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Laporan Harian – 20 November, 2014
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