Weekly Trading Plan Monday, May 05th 2014
Weekly IHSG 4838.76 -58.88 -1.20% Vol (Mn):
19
Val (Bn):
24
F Net B (Bn):
Weekly LQ-45
815.80 -13.68 -1.65%
(957)
International DJIA
Last 16,512.89
WoW Chg 151.44
(%) 0.93%
4,123.90
48.34
1.19%
Nasdaq S&P 500
1,881.14
17.74
0.95%
FTSE 100
6,822.42
136.73
2.05%
Nikkei 225
14,457.51
28.25
0.20%
Hang Seng
22,260.67
37.14
0.17%
3,252.6
-15.02
-0.46%
Last 11515
WoW Chg -48.80
(%) -0.42%
0.07
0.09%
STI
Agriculture
2405.77
32.91
1.39%
Exchange Rates USD / IDR
Mining
1447.21
-29.28
-1.98%
US $ Index
79.52
Basic Industry
508.32
-22.70
-4.27%
EUR / USD
1.3867
0.00
0.34%
Misc Industry
1296.70
-61.30
-4.51%
USD / JPY
102.09
-0.01
-0.01%
Consumer
2021.04
22.82
1.14%
GBP / USD
1.6882
0.01
0.55%
USD / CNY
6.253
0.00
0.07%
0.9254
0.00
-0.36%
Sector
Last
Property
WoW Chg
(%)
426.40
-6.89
-1.59%
AUD / USD
1026.73
-18.67
-1.79%
Others
Finance
647.47
-4.09
-0.63%
S&P 500 Vlty (VIX)
Trade
875.35
-3.00
-0.34%
Baltic Dry
4838.76
-58.88
-1.20%
Infrastructure
Composite
Last
WoW Chg
(%)
12.91
-1.15
-8.18%
1,017.00
50.00
5.17%
Recommendation Flashback 04/25/2014 Week's Potential Week's Potential Stock Rec. (close) Stop Loss Loss Highest Date Gain Lowest Date Gain BBTN SB 1230 1200 -2.4% 1230 4/28/2014 0.0% 1115 5/2/2014 -9.3% EXCL PS 5000 4930 -1.4% 5175 4/30/2014 3.5% 4805 4/29/2014 -3.9% PGAS PS 5525 5400 -2.3% 5575 4/28/2014 0.9% 5225 4/30/2014 -5.4% SGRO PS 2310 2250 -2.6% 2450 4/30/2014 6.1% 2310 4/28/2014 0.0%
IHSG on the Week (04/28/14 - 05/02/14) 4,818.76 -1.61%
4,840.15
4,819.68 0.02%
0.42%
4,840.15
4,838.76
0.00%
-0.03%
5,000.00
4,500.00 Value (Bn)
Volume (Mn)
4,000.00 7.02
IHSG
5.68 4.28
5.22
5.18
5.59
4.42
-
4.71
3,500.00
3,000.00
4/28/2014 LQ-45 Close LQ-45 % Chg Frgn Net Buy (Bn)
4/29/2014 813.731 -1.90% (376)
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4/30/2014
5/1/2014
812.087 -0.20% -497.97
814.963 0.35% -169.49
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5/2/2014 814.963 0.00% 0
815.80 0.10% 85.65
your reliable partner Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext.214
Weekly Trading Plan Weekly Technical Review IHSG
S1 S2 S3
4843 4768 4692
R1 R2 R3
4910 5000 5100
Comment: JCI declined after pulled back strong resistance level last week, Trading range 48244917. By the first session today the index has golden-crossed with MA7 & MA25, the index moves slightly on positive territory. Stochastic is on bullish movement from the oversold state, Broad upside potential. Relative Strength Index Indicator shows a strong bullish momentum at overbought oscillator. The Index on middle lower band from Bollinger bands indicator and it’s a positive signal after pulled back lower band last week. Long term and medium term bullish movement. This week stop-loss level 4820, if the index break out the support level, it will potentially continue to 4765 (MA50 support level). This week resistance level 4900, if the index break out resistance level, it will continue to move upward to 5000.
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your reliable partner Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext.214
Weekly Trading Plan Sectoral Highlight BASIC INDUSTRY
S1 S2 S3
500 484 468
R1 R2 R3
521 545 570
Comment: The Basic Industry index declined significantly after break out the fractal support level last week. Trading range 516-532. By the first session today, The index forms a bullish harami and has pull back The MA200 Support level. Stochastic, golden-crossed at oversold state, Bullish movement potential. RSI on bullish momentum at the oversold oscillator. The index reached the lower Bollinger band, signaling a potential pullback movement to the upper band. Medium term bearish movement. This week stop loss level around 505 (MA200 support level). If the index broke through this support, it will potentially continue to 484. The break up confirmation level is 518 (MA7 resistance level). The rally shall continue if the index able to pierce up this level. The next upside target will be 535 (MA50 Resistance level).
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your reliable partner Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext.214
Weekly Trading Plan Stock Highlight SMGR
S1 S2 S3
14500 13925 13150
R1 R2 R3
15125 15900 17000
Comment: SMGR declined significantly after dead-cross The MA50 support level last week. Trading range 14850-15775. By the first session this week, The candle forms a bullish harami and has pull back The MA200 Support level. The price moves slightly on positive territory. Stochastic, golden-cross at oversold state, strong bullish movement potential. RSI shows a bullish momentum at the oversold oscillator. The price has pulled back away the lower Bollinger band, signaling a potential reversal to the upper band. Upside scenario: Intraday resistance 15125, if the price able to move above this level, it will continue its movement towards 15525 (MA50 resistance level). Downside scenario: Stop loss level at 14400 (MA200 Support level). Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the price will potentially continue to 13925.
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your reliable partner Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext.214
Weekly Trading Plan Stock Highlight CPIN
S1 S2 S3
3600 3300 3050
R1 R2 R3
3825 4140 4500
Comment: CPIN declined significantly last week, after dead-crossed The MA200 support level. Trading range 3750-3950. By the first session this week, The candle forms a 2 days reversal pattern. The price moves slightly on positive territory. Stochastic shows a golden-cross at oversold state, broad upside potential. RSI shows a bullish momentum potential at oversold oscillator, The price on the middle lower Bollinger bands, signaling a reversal towards the upper bands. Upside scenario: Intraday resistance 3825, if the price able to move above this level, it will continue its movement towards level 3950 (Max bearish trend line). Downside scenario: Stop loss level at 3600. Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the price will probably continue to the 3300.
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your reliable partner Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext.214
Weekly Trading Plan HEAD OFFICE
RESEARCH DIVISION
Reliance Building Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A, Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 661 7768 F +62 21 661 9884
Jasa Adhi Mulya Robertus Lanjar Nafi Taulat I Hansen Teguh Aji Setiawan Alan Milgerry Pieter Djatmiko
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
EQUITY DIVISION JakartaJakarta- Pluit Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T + 62 21 661 7768 F + 62 21 661 9884
Bandung Jl.Cisangkuy No.58 Bandung 40115 T + 62 22 721 8200 F + 62 22 721 9255
Surabaya - Gubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196
Makassar Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634
Jakarta - Sudirman Menara Batavia 27th floor Jl.KH.Mas Mansyur Kav 126 Jakarta 10220 T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010
Tasikmalaya Ruko Tasik Indah Plaza No. 21 Jl. KHZ Mustofa No. 345 Tasikmalaya 46121 T + 62 265 345000 F + 62 265 345003
Surabaya – Diponegoro Jl. Diponegoro No. 26D Surabaya 60261 T + 62 31 567 0388 F + 62 31 561 0528
Pekanbaru Jl. Sumatera No. 9, Simpang Empat Pekanbaru - Riau 28000 T + 62 761 7894368 F + 62 761 7894370
Jakarta – Kebon Jeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2 Jakarta 11530 T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157
Yogyakarta Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121
Denpasar Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099
Medan Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597
BSD Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494
Surakarta Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478
Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615
Balikpapan Ruko Bukit Indah Blok I No3 RT 34 Jl. MT Haryono, Gunung Bahagia Balikpapan Selatan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
Pontianak Jl. MT Haryono No. 6 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 575674 F. +62 561 575670
Jakarta – Centro Ruko Centro Residence Kav. 4-5 Tower C Lt. 1 No. 26-29 Jl. Macan, Daan Mogot Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 56945227 F +62 21 56945226
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138
Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619
Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. +62354) 683128 F. +62354) 683128
President University Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585
Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888
STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218
Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru, Makassar 90222 T. +62411-889464 / 881244 F. +62411-887604
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782
Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420
Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840
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