Teknikal Saham Harian
ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI
IHSG
Support 2 5.238/5.171
Support 1 5.276/5.254
Selasa, 13 September 2016
Price 5,281
Resist 1 5.296/5.324
Resist 2 5.348/5.396
Pola Bearish Marubozu & Oversold Dapat Picu Technical Rebound. IHSG menunjukkan peluang kenaikan dalam range baru 5.200-5.500, didukung Stochastic Oversold, Fase Distribusi, closed di bawah 5 & 20 Day MA, candle Bearish Marubozu, trend Volume meningkat, menunjukkan momentum penurunan masih terbuka selama di bawah 5.348. IHSG selama close di bawah 5.348? dapat menggagalkan masih dukung target kenaikan med term ke (4.848 DONE/4.875 DONE/4.945 DONE/5.006 DONE/5.071 DONE/5.134 DONE/5.198 DONE/5.282 DONE/5.358 DONE/5.382 DONE/5.424 DONE/5.524. Resist: 5.296/5.324/.348/5.396. Support: 5.276/5.254/5.238/5.171. Perkiraan range: 5.230 - 5.330.
Technical Analyst Analyst Research Assistant
: Andri Zakarias Siregar (
[email protected]) : Venia Allani Meissalina (
[email protected]) Indah Lestari (
[email protected])
Stock Picks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
BBRI SMGR UNTR PGAS TLKM SRIL
Research Division
www.bnisecurities.co.id1
Tabel Teknikal Saham Strategy
Ticker Trend
Last
R2
R1
8225
8500
8275
Price
5-DAY
S1
S2
8280
8175
7885
MA
Commentary
BLUE CHIP ASII
↗
BUY
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
BMRI
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
10850
11150
10925
11135
10775
10500 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi
INDF
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
8200
8450
8225
8330
8125
7875
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
JSMR
↘
TRADING BUY
4760
4840
4780
4784
4740
4680
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Distribusi
LPPF
↔
TRADING BUY
18075
18950
18250
18730
17900
17250 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi
PTBA
↗
TRADING BUY
10125
10650
10285
10140
10000
9580
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
WIKA
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
3130
3300
3180
3236
3090
2970
Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi
2 nd & 3rd LINERS ASRI
↗
TRADING BUY
474
498
486
490
461
448
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi
BBTN
↗
TRADING BUY
2000
2160
2080
1993
1915
1830
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
CPIN
↗
BUY
3570
3730
3650
3604
3490
3410
Stochastic Oversold; MACD Akumulasi
ERAA
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
795
865
830
822
700
665
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi
KAEF
↗
TRADING BUY
2430
2535
2480
2468
2380
2330
Stochastic Oversold; MACD Akumulasi
NIKL
↗
AKUMULASI BUY
725
815
770
650
680
635
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi
TINS
↗
TRADING BUY
800
880
840
802
755
710
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi
Technical Analyst Team : Indah Lestari, Venia A. Meissalina * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Selasa, 13 September 2016
Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2 Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2 Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi uptrend baru Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2 Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2 Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance berdasarkan pola grafik Jika harga naik diatas 5-DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya memberikan dividen secara reguler 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang) 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah)
Research Division
2
Analisa Teknikal Saham
BBRI
Support 2 Support 1 11.375/11.250 11.600/11.450
Price 11,750
Resist 1 Resist 2 11.825/11.950 12.050/12.300
SMGR
Support 2 9.600/9.450
Support 1 9.900/9.725
Price 10,050
Resist 1 Resist 2 10.150/10.350 10.425/10.600
BBRI: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Evening
SMGR: Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi; Candle Bullish 3
Star, Stochastic Overbought.
Inside Up, Stochastic Oversold.
Rekomendasi: BUY 11.600-11.600 target 11.875/12.000
Rekomendasi: BUY di atas 10.050 target 10.200/10.350
stop loss di bawah 11.350.
stop loss di bawah 9.800.
UNTR
Support 2 Support 1 16.800/16.450 17.400/17.225
Price 17,500
Resist 1 Resist 2 17.750/18.000 18.350/18.550
PGAS
Support 2 2.710/2.650
Support 1 2.790/2.750
Price 2,810
Resist 1 2.830/2.875
Resist 2 2.925/2.960
UNTR: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi, Candle Three
PGAS: Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi; Candle Morning
Black Crows, Stochastic Bearish.
Doji Star, Stochastic Oversold.
Rekomendasi: BUY di atas 17.550 target 18.000/18.350
Rekomendasi: BUY diatas 2.820 target 1.875/2.910 stop
stop loss di bawah 17.000.
loss di bawah 2.750.
Research Division
3
Analisa Teknikal Saham
TLKM
Support 2 3.970/3.945
Support 1 4.015/4.000
Price 4,050
Resist 1 4.075/4.125
Resist 2 4.175/4.210
SRIL
Support 2 222/210
Support 1 246/234
Price 258
Resist 1 268/278
Resist 2 290/302
TLKM: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Long Black Can-
SRIL: Trend Bearish & Fase Distribusi; White Candle, Sto-
dle, Stochastic Netral.
chastic Bearish.
Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 4.150/4.175 stop
Rekomendasi: BUY 245-253 target 268/278 stop loss di
loss di bawah 3.945.
bawah 240.
Research Division
4
Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG
Keterangan Grafik Improving
: Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan
Leading
: Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya
Lagging
: Sektor yang belum meningkat namun berpeluang meningkat
Weakening
Research Division
: Sektor terlemah di IHSG
5
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6
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