Teknikal Saham Harian
ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI
IHSG
Support 2 4.757/4.723
Support 1 4.803/4.771
Senin, 18 April 2016
Price 4,823
Resist 1 4.841/4.863/
Resist 2 4.886/4.908
Pola Candle Hanging Man & Closed < 20-D MA Dukung Kerawanan Profit Taking. IHSG masuk area 4.500 - 5.000, dukung trend jangka pendek IHSG bulllish, Stochastic Bearish, Fase Distribusi, penutupan di bawah 5D MA, candle Hanging Man, trend Volume menurun, menunjukkan peluang kenaikan terbatas dalam konsolidasi selama di bawah 4.908. Namun selama di atas 4.757 & closed > 4.770 di minggu ini, seharusnya masih dukung target kenaikan short term ke 4.908/4.940. Resist: 4.841/4.863/4.886/4.908. Support: 4.803/4.771/4.757/4.723. Perkiraan Range: 4.790 - 4.855.
Technical Analyst Analyst Research Assistant
: Andri Zakarias Siregar (
[email protected]) : Venia Allani Meissalina (
[email protected])
Stock Picks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
BBNI KLBF UNTR ADRO BSDE ACES
Research Division
www.bnisecurities.co.id1
Tabel Teknikal Saham Strategy
Ticker Trend
Last Price
R2
R1
5-DAY MA
S1
S2
Commentary
BLUE CHIP BBCA
↔
BUY
13100
13600
13350
13045
12945
12780 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral
ICBP
↗
BUY
14500
15425
14900
14780
14200
13850 Stochastic Oversold; MACD Netral
LPKR
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
1045
1090
1070
1038
1025
995
TLKM
↗
AKUMULASI BUY
3500
3730
3625
3413
3300
3180 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
PGAS
↔
BUY ON WEAKNESS
2660
2865
2740
2689
2615
2570 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral
2nd & 3rd LINERS AISA
↗
AKUMULASI BUY
1195
1290
1240
1176
1170
1130 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral
CPIN
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
3715
3900
3810
3706
3680
3590 Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi
INDY
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
314
339
322
300
296
289
Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi
PPRO
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
304
336
318
269
293
278
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
TAXI
↔
BUY
176
191
182
173
161
148
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral
Technical Analyst Team : Indah Lestari, Venia A. Meissalina * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2 Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2 Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi uptrend baru Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2 Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2 Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance berdasarkan pola grafik Jika harga naik diatas 5-DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya memberikan dividen secara reguler 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang) 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah)
Research Division
2
Analisa Teknikal Saham
BBNI
Support 2 4.730/4.650
Support 1 4.820/4.770
Price 4,840
Resist 1 4.880/4.920
Resist 2 4.970/5.100
KLBF
Support 2 1.320/1.270
Support 1 1.390/1.350
Price 1,420
Resist 1 1.440/1.470
Resist 2 1.510/1.550
BBNI: TREND NETRAL & FASE DISTRIBUSI, CANDLE
KLBF: TREND BULLISH & FASE DISTRIBUSI; CANDLE
BEARISH OPENING MARUBOZU, STOCHASTIC OVER-
BEARISH 3 INSIDE DOWN, STOCHASTIC BULLISH.
SOLD.
Rekomendasi: BUY 1.390-1.400 target 1.450/1.470 stop
Rekomendasi: BUY 4.800-4.840 target 4.920/5.100 stop
loss di bawah 1.350.
loss di bawah 4.730.
UNTR
Support 2 Support 1 15.350/14.900 16.000/15.725
Price 16,250
Resist 1 Resist 2 16.450/16.750 17.300/17.550
ADRO
Support 2 610/570
Support 1 680/650
Price 700
Resist 1 720/745
Resist 2 780/810
UNTR: TREND BEARISH & FASE DISTRIBUSI; STOCHASTIC
ADRO: TREND BULLISH & FASE DISTRIBUSI; CANDLE
BULLISH, CANDLE MARUBOZU.
TWO CROWS, STOCHASTIC OVERBOUGHT.
Rekomendasi: BUY 15.900-16.000 target 16.750/17.300
Rekomendasi: SELL target 650/620 kecuali naik di atas
stop loss di bawah 15.350.
745.
Research Division
3
Analisa Teknikal Saham
BSDE
Support 2 1.740/1.700.
Support 1 1.810/1.770
Price 1,830
Resist 1 1.865/1.890
Resist 2 1.940/2.000
ACES
Support 2 770/735
Support 1 820/800
Price 840
Resist 1 860/890
Resist 2 940/980
BSDE: TREND BULLISH & FASE DISTRIBUSI; STOCHASTIC
ACES: TREND NETRAL & FASE DISTRIBUSI, CANDLE DARK
OVERSOLD, CANDLE HANGING MAN.
CLOUD COVER; STOCHASTIC NETRAL.
Rekomendasi: BUY 1.790-1.810 target 1.860 stop loss di
Rekomendasi: BUY 800-820 target 860/890 stop loss di
bawah 1.740.
bawah 770.
Research Division
4
Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG
Keterangan Grafik Improving
: Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan
Leading
: Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya
Lagging
: Sektor yang belum meningkat namun berpeluang meningkat
Weakening
Research Division
: Sektor terlemah di IHSG
5
RESEARCH TEAM Research Division
: +62 21 25543946
Fax No
: +62 21 57935831
E-mail
:
[email protected]
Norico Gaman
ext. 3934
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Head of Research
Investment Strategy
Andri Zakarias
ext. 2054
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Market Strategy,
Research Department
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Heru Irvansyah
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Richard Jerry
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Venia Allani
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Thennesia Debora
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Data Administrator
EQUITY TEAM CM
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Sukanto
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Chandrawati
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Yulinda
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Teguh Hendro
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Institutional Sales
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Institutional Sales
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Institutional Sales
Dini Desita
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[email protected]
Client Relation
Putri Erinasari
ext. 3920
[email protected]
Client Relation
Research Division
6
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