Teknikal Saham Harian
ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI
IHSG
Support 2 5.358/5.323
Support 1 5.424/5.386
Rabu, 10 Agustus 2016
Price 5,440
Resist 1 5.468/5.500
Resist 2 5.524/5.572
Pola Bearish Harami & Penutupan > 5Day MA Membatasi Peluang Kenaikan IHSG. IHSG menunjukkan peluang kenaikan dalam range baru 5.200-5.600, didukung Stochastic Overbought, Fase Akumulasi, closed di atas 5-Day MA, candle Bearish Harami, trend Volume meningkat, menunjukkan momentum kenaikan terbatas dibayangi kerawanan profit taking. IHSG selama bertahan di atas 5.368 masih dukung target kenaikan short term ke (4.848 DONE/4.875 DONE/4.945 DONE/5.006 DONE/5.071 DONE/5.134 DONE/5.198 DONE/5.282 DONE/5.358 DONE/5.382 DONE/5.424 DONE/5.524/5.646. Resist: 5.468/5.500/5.524/5.572. Support: 5.424/5.386/5.358/5.323. Perkiraan range: 5.400 - 5.480.
Technical Analyst Analyst Research Assistant
: Andri Zakarias Siregar (
[email protected]) : Venia Allani Meissalina (
[email protected]) Indah Lestari (
[email protected])
Stock Picks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
BBCA TLKM ADRO BSDE SMGR ADHI
Research Division
www.bnisecurities.co.id1
Tabel Teknikal Saham Strategy
Ticker Trend
Last Price
R2
R1
5-DAY MA
S1
S2
Commentary
BLUE CHIP AALI
↘
TRADING BUY
15100
15685
15200
15050
14900
14600 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
BMRI
↗
TRADING BUY
11800
12350
11900
11165
11550
11285 Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi
LPKR
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
1160
1230
1195
1170
1150
1100
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
MNCN
↗
TRADING BUY
2190
2300
2210
2160
2175
2025
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Distribusi
PTBA
↗
TRADING BUY
10375
11050
10600
10390
10050
9450
Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi
UNVR
↔
TRADING BUY
45600
47650
45550
45500
45400
43200 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi
WIKA
↗
TRADING BUY
3270
3580
3350
3206
3210
2985
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
2 nd & 3rd LINERS ACES
↗
TRADING BUY
960
985
970
953
950
935
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi
ASRI
↗
AKUMULASI BUY
555
573
565
535
543
537
Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi
DOID
↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS
290
311
300
280
281
270
Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi
KAEF
↗
TRADING BUY
1450
1580
1520
1492
1400
1340
Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi
PPRO
↗
TRADING BUY
820
855
835
776
805
775
Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi
SRIL
↔
TRADING BUY
268
281
276
269
263
256
Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral
SSMS
↘
BUY
1610
1720
1670
1613
1580
1550
Stochastic Oversold; MACD Distribusi
Technical Analyst Team : Indah Lestari, Venia A. Meissalina * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Rabu, 10 Agustus 2016
Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2 Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2 Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi uptrend baru Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2 Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2 Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance berdasarkan pola grafik Jika harga naik diatas 5-DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya memberikan dividen secara reguler 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang) 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah)
Research Division
2
Analisa Teknikal Saham
BBCA
Support 2 Support 1 14.450/14.150 14.900/14.725
Price 15,000
Resist 1 Resist 2 15.100/15.300 15.550/15.850
TLKM
Support 2 4.260/4.210
Support 1 4.330/4.300
Price 4,370
Resist 1 4.400/4.440
Resist 2 4.490/4.530
BBCA: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Evening
TLKM: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Dark
Star, Stochastic Overbought.
Cloud Cover, Stochastic Bullish.
Rekomendasi: BUY 14.700-14.800 target 15.300/15.550
Rekomendasi: BUY 4.300-4.330 target 4.400/4.440 stop
stop loss di bawah 14.450.
loss di bawah 4.250.
ADRO
Support 2 1.110/1.060
Support 1 1.180/1.150
Price 1,200
Resist 1 1.220/1.250
Resist 2 1.285/1.330
BSDE
Support 2 2.200/2.150
Support 1 2.280/2.240
Price 2,310
Resist 1 2.330/2.370
Resist 2 2.400/2.450
ADRO: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Bullish
BSDE: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Bullish
Closing Marubozu, Stochastic Bullish.
Breakaway, Stochastic Bullish.
Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 1.250/1.280 stop
Rekomendasi: BUY 2.280/2.310 target 2.360/2.400 stop
loss di bawah 1.150.
loss di bawah 2.240.
Research Division
3
Analisa Teknikal Saham
Support 2 Support 1 SMGR 11.345/11.090 11.500/11.450
Price 11,600
Resist 1 Resist 2 11.685/11.800 12.100/12.885
ADHI
Support 2 2.630/2.570
Support 1 2.720/2.680
Price 2,760
Resist 1 2.800/2.840
Resist 2 2.890/2.950
SMGR: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; White Candle-
ADHI: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Black Candle, Sto-
stick, Stochastic Overbought.
chastic Bearish.
Rekomendasi: BUY 11.450-11.550 target 11.685/11.775
Rekomendasi: BUY 2.720-2.760 target 2.810/2.830 stop
stop loss di bawah 11.100.
loss di bawah 2.710.
Research Division
4
Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG
Keterangan Grafik Improving
: Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan
Leading
: Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya
Lagging
: Sektor yang belum meningkat namun berpeluang meningkat
Weakening
Research Division
: Sektor terlemah di IHSG
5
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Research Division
6
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