L A M P I R A N Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1 Data Inflasi Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Tahun
2007
2008
2009
Bulan Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus
Tingkat Inflasi 6.26% 6.30% 6.52% 6.29% 6.01% 5.77% 6.06% 6.51% 6.95% 6.88% 6.71% 6.59% 7.36% 7.40% 8.17% 8.96% 10.38% 11.03% 11.90% 11.85% 12.14% 11.77% 11.68% 11.06% 9.17% 8.60% 7.92% 7.31% 6.04% 3.65% 2.71% 2.75%
Average (Triwulan) 6.36%
6.02%
6.51%
6.73%
7.64%
10.12%
11.96%
11.50%
8.56%
5.67% 2.76%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2010
September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember
2.83% 2.57% 2.41% 2.78% 3.72% 3.81% 3.43% 3.91% 4.16% 5.05% 6.22% 6.44% 5.80% 5.67% 6.33% 6.96%
2.59%
3.65%
4.37%
6.15%
6.32%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2 Data Suku Bunga Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Tahun
2007
2008
2009
Bulan
BI Rate
Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September
9.50% 9.25% 9.00% 9.00% 8.75% 8.50% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.25% 8.50% 8.75% 9.00% 9.25% 9.50% 9.50% 9.25% 8.75% 8.25% 7.75% 7.50% 7.25% 7.00% 6.75% 6.50% 6.50%
Average (Triwulan) 9.25%
8.75%
8.25%
8.17%
8.00%
8.25%
9.00%
9.42%
8.25%
7.25%
6.58%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2010
Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember
6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3 Data Nilai Tukar Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Tahun
2007
2008
2009
Bulan Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli
Kurs (USD) 9,067 9,068 9,164 9,098 8,844 8,984 9,067 9,367 9,310 9,107 9,264 9,334 9,406 9,181 9,185 9,209 9,291 9,296 9,163 9,149 9,341 10,048 11,711 11,325 11,167 11,853 11,850 11,025 10,392 10,207 10,111
Average (Triwulan) 9,100
8,975
9,248
9,235
9,257
9,265
9,218
11,028
11,623
10,541
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2010
Agustus September Oktober November Desember Januari Februari Maret April Mei Juni Juli Agustus September Oktober November Desember
9,978 9,901 9,483 9,470 9,458 9,275 9,348 9,174 9,027 9,183 9,148 9,049 8,972 8,976 8,928 8,938 9,023
9,997
9,470
9,266
9,119
8,999
8,963
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 4 Rasio PT Bank Mandiri Tbk Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Periode
2007
2008
2009
2010
Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4
LDR 55.33% 53.64% 55.10% 52.02% 56.64% 59.53% 62.07% 56.89% 61.32% 59.81% 60.43% 59.15% 61.89% 88.36% 88.98% 65.44%
Rasio ROA 2.31% 2.42% 2.39% 2.40% 2.78% 2.62% 2.64% 2.69% 2.46% 2.67% 2.78% 3.13% 2.93% 3.51% 3.65% 3.63%
CAR 26.31% 24.40% 22.29% 20.75% 22.14% 17.58% 16.98% 15.66% 15.30% 14.02% 14.13% 15.43% 15.96% 14.60% 13.36% 13.36%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 5 Rasio PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Periode
2007
2008
2009
2010
Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4
LDR 48.66% 55.32% 59.42% 60.56% 70.46% 69.55% 73.20% 68.61% 68.76% 70.97% 74.60% 64.06% 67.23% 68.21% 68.64% 70.15%
Rasio ROA CAR 1.63% 15.34% 1.78% 14.27% 1.74% 17.61% 0.85% 15.74% 0.50% 16.33% 0.76% 14.51% 1.06% 13.85% 1.12% 13.47% 1.91% 15.00% 1.62% 14.30% 1.57% 14.67% 1.72% 13.78% 2.51% 13.09% 2.34% 13.32% 2.61% 12.02% 2.49% 18.63%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 6 Rasio PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Periode
2007
2008
2009
2010
Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4 Triwulan 1 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3 Triwulan 4
LDR 74.70% 72.73% 73.88% 68.80% 74.19% 77.01% 86.35% 79.93% 81.35% 85.33% 87.35% 80.88% 86.53% 88.36% 88.98% 75.17%
Rasio ROA CAR 4.49% 20.87% 4.29% 17.93% 4.27% 17.18% 4.61% 15.84% 4.17% 16.52% 4.06% 13.89% 4.14% 13.45% 4.18% 13.18% 3.92% 14.91% 3.61% 14.60% 3.47% 13.50% 3.73% 13.20% 3.71% 15.44% 3.51% 14.11% 3.65% 13.36% 4.64% 13.76%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 7 Perhitungan Standar Deviasi PT Bank Mandiri Tbk Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Tahun
Periode Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2007 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2008 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
2009
Triwulan 2
Triwulan 3
Bulan Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep
Harga Penutupan 2,667 2,463 2,393 2,895 3,101 3,110 3,419 3,053 3,237 3,695 3,449 3,458 3,148 3,264 3,059 2,783 2,868 2,713 2,730 2,845 2,614 1,821 1,612 1,862 1,903 1,736 1,886 2,377 2,735 3,239 3,411 3,961 4,299
Return Bulanan -0.05 -0.08 -0.03 0.21 0.07 0.00 0.10 -0.11 0.06 0.14 -0.07 0.00 -0.09 0.04 -0.06 -0.09 0.03 -0.05 0.01 0.04 -0.08 -0.30 -0.11 0.16 0.02 -0.09 0.09 0.26 0.15 0.18 0.05 0.16 0.09
RataRata
Total Risiko (St Dev)
-0.05
0.02
0.09
0.11
0.02
0.11
0.03
0.11
-0.04
0.07
-0.04
0.06
-0.01
0.06
-0.09
0.23
0.01
0.09
0.20
0.06
0.10
0.06
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2010 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des
4,709 4,581 4,513 4,679 4,370 4,853 5,191 5,191 5,527 5,889 5,837 6,389 6,787 6,885 6,458
0.10 -0.03 -0.01 0.04 -0.07 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.07 -0.01 0.09 0.06 0.01 -0.06
0.02
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.06
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 8 Perhitungan Standar Deviasi PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Tahun
Periode Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2007 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2008 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1 2009 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3
Bulan Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul
Harga Return Penutupan Bulanan 1,778 -0.03 1,698 -0.05 1,692 0.00 1,961 0.16 2,228 0.14 2,309 0.04 2,488 0.08 1,890 -0.24 1,857 -0.02 1,962 0.06 1,790 -0.09 1,907 0.07 1,703 -0.11 1,620 -0.05 1,389 -0.14 1,182 -0.15 1,159 -0.02 1,158 0.00 1,192 0.03 1,227 0.03 1,071 -0.13 552 -0.48 470 -0.15 558 0.19 714 0.28 699 -0.02 665 -0.05 939 0.41 1,429 0.52 1,600 0.12 1,677 0.05
RataRata
Total Risiko (St Dev)
-0.03
0.02
0.11
0.07
-0.06
0.16
0.01
0.09
-0.10
0.05
-0.06
0.08
-0.02
0.09
-0.15
0.34
0.07
0.18
0.35
0.21
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2010 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des
1,837 1,899 1,907 1,853 1,876 1,854 1,787 1,930 2,281 2,285 2,269 2,529 3,035 3,463 3,687 3,686 3,920
0.10 0.03 0.00 -0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.04 0.08 0.18 0.00 -0.01 0.11 0.20 0.14 0.06 0.00 0.06
0.06
0.03
0.00
0.02
0.01
0.06
0.06
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.04
0.04
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 9 Perhitungan Standar Deviasi PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk Tahun 2007 s/d 2010 Tahun
Periode Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2007 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2008 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1 2009 Triwulan 2 Triwulan 3
Bulan Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul
Harga Penutupan 2,609 2,468 2,477 2,704 2,889 2,971 3,145 2,964 3,210 3,874 3,855 3,713 3,559 3,563 3,121 2,966 3,136 2,608 2,830 2,958 2,804 1,900 1,624 2,004 2,310 2,130 2,061 2,524 3,020 3,177 3,417
Return Bulanan 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.09 0.07 0.03 0.06 -0.06 0.08 0.21 0.00 -0.04 -0.04 0.00 -0.12 -0.05 0.06 -0.17 0.09 0.05 -0.05 -0.32 -0.15 0.23 0.15 -0.08 -0.03 0.22 0.20 0.05 0.08
RataRata
Total Risiko (St Dev)
-0.02
0.03
0.06
0.03
0.03
0.08
0.06
0.13
-0.06
0.06
-0.05
0.11
0.03
0.07
-0.08
0.28
0.01
0.12
0.16
0.09
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Triwulan 4
Triwulan 1
Triwulan 2 2010 Triwulan 3
Triwulan 4
Agt Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des
3,679 3,718 3,889 3,723 3,855 3,901 3,713 3,876 4,289 4,176 4,460 4,810 4,726 4,974 5,407 5,911 5,359
0.08 0.01 0.05 -0.04 0.04 0.01 -0.05 0.04 0.11 -0.03 0.07 0.08 -0.02 0.05 0.09 0.09 -0.09
0.05
0.04
0.01
0.05
0.00
0.05
0.05
0.07
0.04
0.05
0.03
0.11
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 10 HASIL PENGOLAHAN SPSS Normalitas
Kolmogorov-Smirnov One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test Unstandardize d Residual N
48 a,,b
Normal Parameters
Mean Std. Deviation
Most Extreme Differences
.0000000 .04724152
Absolute
.117
Positive
.117
Negative
-.062
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z
.812
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)
.524
a. Test distribution is Normal.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Kolmogorov-Smirnov One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test Unstandardize d Residual N
48 a,,b
Normal Parameters
Mean
.0000000
Std. Deviation Most Extreme Differences
.04724152
Absolute
.117
Positive
.117
Negative
-.062
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z
.812
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)
.524
a. Test distribution is Normal. b. Calculated from data.
Heteroskedastisitas
Uji Glejser Coefficientsa Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
B 1
(Constant)
Std. Error -.123
.075
Inflasi
.039
.240
Suku_Bunga
.808
Nilai_Tukar
Beta -1.636
.110
.035
.164
.870
.694
.284
1.165
.251
1.513E-5
.097
.387
1.940
.076
LDR
-.043
.048
-.158
-.904
.371
ROA
-.205
.413
-.074
-.498
.621
CAR
-.100
.169
-.102
-.593
.556
a. Dependent Variable: absut Autokorelasi Model Summaryb Model
R
R Square a
1
.694
Adjusted R Square
.482
Std. Error of the Estimate
.406
Durbin-Watson
.05058
2.106
a. Predictors: (Constant), CAR, Inflasi, ROA, Nilai_Tukar, LDR, Suku_Bunga b. Dependent Variable: Risiko_Investasi
Multikolinieritas Coefficientsa Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
Std. Error
Beta
Collinearity Statistics
Model
B
t
1 (Constant)
-.302
.146
-2.062
.046
Inflasi
.757
.467
.314 1.620
.113
.337 2.971
Suku_Bunga
.424
1.351
.069
.314
.755
.259 3.857
Nilai_Tukar 3.990E-5
.000
.475 3.847
.000
.828 1.208
LDR
-.058
.093
-.099 -.625
.536
.504 1.985
ROA
.031
.803
.038
.970
.693 1.443
CAR
-.228
.328
-.108 -.694
.491
.525 1.905
.005
Sig.
Tolerance VIF
a. Dependent Variable: Risiko_Investasi
Universitas Sumatera Utara
ANALISIS REGRESI LINIER BERGANDA Variables Entered/Removed Variables Entered
Model 1
Variables Removed
Method
CAR, ROA, Nilai_Tukar, Inflasi, LDR, Suku_Bungaa
. Enter
a. All requested variables entered. Model Summary Model
R
1
.694a
Adjusted R Square
R Square .482
Std. Error of the Estimate
.406
.05058
a. Predictors: (Constant), CAR, Inflasi, ROA, Nilai_Tukar, LDR, Suku_Bunga
ANOVAb Sum of Squares
Model 1
df
Mean Square
Regression
.098
6
.016
Residual
.105
41
.003
Total
.202
47
F
Sig.
6.352
.000a
a. Predictors: (Constant), CAR, Inflasi, ROA, Nilai_Tukar, LDR, Suku_Bunga b. Dependent Variable: Risiko_Investasi Coefficientsa Unstandardized Coefficients Model 1
B (Constant)
Standardized Coefficients
Std. Error -.302
.146
Inflasi
.757
.467
Suku_Bunga
.424
1.351
Beta
t
Sig.
-2.062
.046
.314
1.620
.113
.069
.314
.755
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Nilai_Tukar
3.990E-5
.000
.475
3.847
.000
LDR
-.058
.093
-.099
-.625
.536
ROA
.031
.803
.005
.038
.970
CAR
-.228
.328
-.108
-.694
.491
a. Dependent Variable: Risiko_Investasi
Universitas Sumatera Utara