Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen

 Setelah melambat pada bulan sebelumnya, tingkat konsumsi rumah tangga pada Februari 2013 mengalami peningkatan. Hal ini terutama dipengaruhi oleh menguatnya optimisme konsumen untuk melakukan pembelian barang tahan lama  Kekhawatiran responden terhadap ketersediaan lapangan pekerjaan dan kegiatan usaha telah mempengaruhi persepsi terhadap kondisi perekonomian 6 bulan mendatang  Tekanan kenaikan harga pada 3 bulan yang akan datang diperkirakan cenderung menurun, sedangkan pada 6 bulan mendatang tekanan harga diperkirakan meningkat seiring dengan kenaikan permintaan pada bulan Ramadhan dan persiapan Hari Raya Idul Fitri

PESIMIS

OPTIMIS

Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen

Divisi Statistik Sektor Riil - DSM

1

Indeks Kondisi Ekonomi Saat Ini

PESIMIS OPTIMIS

(Indeks, rata-rata tertimbang 18 kota)

Indeks Ekpektasi Konsumen


2

OPTIMIS PESIMIS

Indeks Ekspektasi Harga


(% )

200

6.0 Inflasi Kumulatif Selama 3 bulan - BPS (sb. kanan)

190

Indeks Ekspektasi Harga 3 Bulan yad (sb. kiri)

5.0

180

4.0

170

3.0

160

2.0

150

1.0

140

0.0

130

-1.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 2009


2010

2011

2012

2013

3


(% )

200

5.0

Inflasi Kumulatif Selama 6 bulan - BPS (sb. kanan)

4.5

Indeks Ekspektasi Harga 6 Bulan yad (sb. kiri)

190

4.0

180

3.5

170

3.0

160

2.5

150

2.0 1.5

140

1.0

130

0.5

120

0.0 1

3

5

7 2009


9

11

1

3

5

7 2010

9

11

1

3

5

7 2011

9

11

1

3

5

7 2012

9

11

1

3

5

7

2013

4

P erubahan Indeks

A. Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen (IKK) 1) - Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen (IKK) - Indeks Kondisi Ekonomi Saat Ini (IKE) - Indeks Ekspektasi Konsumen (IEK) Indeks Kondisi Ekonomi saat ini - Penghasilan saat ini - Ketersediaan lapangan kerja - Ketepatan w aktu pembelian barang tahan lama Indeks Ekspektasi Konsumen - Ekspektasi Penghasilan - Ekspektasi Ketersediaan Lapangan Kerja - Ekspektasi Kegiatan Usaha

B. Indeks Ekspektasi Harga 1) - Indeks Ekspektasi Harga pada 3 bulan yad Menurut kelompok: - Bahan Makanan - Makanan Jadi, Minuman, Rokok, dan Tembakau - Perumahan, Listrik, Gas dan Bahan Bakar - Sandang - Kesehatan - Transpor, Komunikasi dan Jasa Keuangan - Pendidikan, Rekreasi dan Olah Raga -

2011

2012

2013

Profil Responden Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

Mei

Jun

Jul

Ags

Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

- Laki-laki

57.3

54.2

57.3

55.9

55.1

53.5

56.3

54.6

52.8

55.9

55.7

54.0

53.9

53.5

52.1

53.3

56.2

50.9

- Perempuan

42.6

45.8

42.6

44.1

44.9

46.5

43.7

45.5

47.2

44.1

44.3

46.0

46.1

46.5

47.9

46.7

43.8

49.1

- Rp. 1 - 2 juta

38.8

37.1

35.9

36.3

38.9

37.9

38.6

35.6

39.8

38.5

35.4

37.4

38.6

32.0

28.2

27.4

28.0

27.7

- Rp. 2 - 3 juta

28.6

28.3

27.1

28.9

27.0

27.3

29.1

30.0

26.4

28.4

29.2

29.3

30.6

29.7

30.1

31.5

31.0

32.1

- Rp. 3 - 4 juta

18.5

16.8

19.1

17.4

17.4

18.1

17.3

17.7

17.0

17.5

18.5

16.9

15.0

19.8

21.1

20.9

19.3

20.5

- Rp. 4 - 5 juta

7.3

8.7

9.1

8.7

8.1

8.7

7.3

8.3

8.5

8.0

8.2

8.0

8.2

9.4

9.4

9.7

10.9

9.7

- Diatas Rp. 5 juta

6.8

9.1

8.8

8.6

8.6

7.9

7.7

8.4

8.0

7.5

8.8

8.4

7.5

9.1

11.2

10.5

10.9

10.0

- 20 - 30 tahun

33.3

31.3

30.1

34.3

33.6

33.2

34.7

30.8

35.2

32.4

30.9

37.0

32.2

30.1

28.9

29.1

27.5

27.7

- 31 - 40 tahun

31.9

30.3

31.4

29.6

29.4

29.1

30.1

32.5

28.9

30.7

29.6

27.6

32.4

30.1

31.8

31.1

30.7

31.4

- 41 - 50 tahun

23.4

22.7

23.3

22.1

22.6

23.0

21.7

23.0

21.6

21.9

23.3

20.9

21.1

24.9

23.3

25.1

25.1

24.5

- 51 - 60 tahun

8.8

12.0

11.5

10.6

11.1

11.7

10.4

10.2

9.9

11.1

12.0

10.5

10.8

11.7

12.4

11.6

12.2

12.2

- Diatas 60 tahun

2.6

3.7

3.8

3.4

3.4

3.1

3.0

3.4

4.3

3.9

4.2

4.1

3.5

3.1

3.5

3.0

4.5

4.3

- SLTA

55.5

55.6

55.1

55.4

54.2

55.8

54.3

57.3

54.6

56.6

59.0

58.8

56.5

59.1

54.5

57.0

53.3

58.6

- Akademi

11.6

11.0

12.5

11.3

10.8

10.2

11.3

10.2

10.9

11.3

10.2

9.9

11.1

9.4

12.3

11.1

12.3

11.2

- Sarjana

30.0

29.9

29.3

29.9

31.5

31.4

31.2

29.4

31.6

29.5

28.1

29.3

29.7

28.6

29.4

29.0

29.9

27.7

2.9

3.5

3.1

3.4

3.6

2.6

3.0

3.0

2.7

2.4

2.7

1.9

2.5

2.9

3.7

2.9

4.5

2.5

Jenis Kelamin

Pengeluaran per bulan

Kelompok Umur

Pendidikan

- Pasca Sarjana


5

2011

2012

2013

KETERANGAN Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

Mei

Jun

Jul

Ags

Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

100.8 96.0 105.5 166.8 182.4

103.3 97.1 109.5 175.2 176.8

103.3 97.3 109.3 172.4 180.6

101.4 96.1 106.7 176.2 184.1

109.6 103.9 115.2 169.7 183.9

105.0 99.6 110.4 171.9 192.4

100.9 100.5 101.4 189.9 192.9

95.8 95.3 96.2 176.3 186.6

101.9 101.0 102.8 187.5 178.1

103.2 100.2 106.2 185.9 184.1

103.5 100.6 106.3 182.6 187.0

104.0 98.5 109.5 169.2 173.4

110.0 103.0 116.9 177.9 175.0

110.1 104.2 115.9 171.2 176.3

112.2 106.8 117.6 176.2 176.4

109.6 103.7 115.6 179.4 186.7

108.0 101.6 114.4 169.2 181.9

103.9 101.2 106.7 157.1 185.0

-4.1 -0.4 -7.7 -12.1 3.1

102.3 88.9 115.8 151.7 144.7

103.5 86.9 120.0 172.7 185.7

102.8 85.1 120.5 177.7 179.0

99.6 85.9 113.3 179.7 180.7

108.4 100.1 116.7 178.3 182.3

91.6 79.5 103.6 176.1 183.7

95.3 86.1 104.4 193.7 186.0

94.6 80.5 108.7 173.7 182.0

104.7 92.3 117.0 185.0 183.4

104.8 88.1 121.5 186.3 187.7

96.1 80.4 111.8 192.7 191.0

101.6 84.4 118.8 154.0 171.0

104.1 87.6 120.7 150.7 163.3

107.6 92.9 122.2 179.3 182.7

114.3 104.3 124.2 180.7 180.3

106.5 95.0 117.9 190.4 187.4

102.7 91.6 113.8 183.7 187.0

108.7 96.6 120.8 181.0 184.0

6.0 5.0 7.0 -2.7 -3.0

126.6 120.9 132.3 145.0 145.3

130.2 123.4 137.0 170.7 181.3

120.0 113.0 127.0 173.0 183.0

125.3 117.1 133.4 165.0 172.0

127.7 122.1 133.2 181.7 185.0

116.5 107.2 125.7 171.4 170.8

112.2 111.1 113.3 171.7 172.7

94.3 98.7 89.9 171.7 182.3

102.7 101.4 103.9 187.3 189.8

106.1 100.7 111.4 184.3 187.6

108.2 103.7 112.6 186.9 193.1

102.0 98.2 105.8 183.0 185.1

99.2 99.2 99.1 179.7 191.0

108.8 106.2 111.5 184.3 183.7

108.2 103.8 112.6 183.3 185.7

102.6 101.0 104.1 188.9 195.0

103.4 101.9 104.9 187.7 195.3

105.6 106.6 104.6 182.6 193.3

2.2 4.7 -0.3 -5.1 -2.0

Keyakinan Konsumen (IKK) Kondisi Ekonomi Saat Ini (IKE) Ekspektasi Konsumen (IEK) Ekspektasi Harga pada 3 bln yad Ekspektasi Harga pada 6 bln yad

116.1 106.7 125.6 170.2 182.2

119.6 113.5 125.7 173.6 179.6

118.5 109.5 127.4 177.0 182.0

121.4 103.6 139.1 174.0 178.4

123.4 111.2 135.7 171.4 184.2

115.3 108.4 122.2 182.6 191.0

105.9 102.7 109.1 191.4 195.2

97.4 91.9 102.8 183.2 191.9

104.9 102.2 107.7 189.4 193.7

125.5 122.3 128.7 191.3 192.9

121.3 110.7 132.0 183.2 186.9

124.4 113.7 135.1 167.8 179.8

130.4 122.8 137.9 172.8 182.4

132.5 124.9 140.1 181.9 183.9

130.9 124.2 137.7 178.5 191.3

125.0 119.2 130.9 186.5 194.2

122.1 109.2 135.1 181.8 188.4

121.1 109.6 132.6 185.2 184.8

-1.0 0.4 -2.5 3.4 -3.6


111.6 102.8 120.5 149.5 159.7

110.9 101.5 120.3 156.2 160.7

112.3 104.3 120.3 165.4 168.6

124.3 113.3 135.4 156.2 156.5

119.6 111.3 127.9 145.7 163.2

114.8 109.7 119.8 146.1 153.0

95.6 88.4 102.8 170.5 170.5

102.8 98.2 107.3 166.7 167.3

111.1 108.1 114.1 174.3 175.6

109.8 105.4 114.2 170.2 171.4

113.4 106.0 120.8 156.9 160.8

119.1 114.4 123.8 160.9 164.1

123.4 116.5 130.3 155.2 166.3

126.0 121.8 130.3 154.0 157.8

125.8 116.6 135.0 148.2 164.2

115.6 107.9 123.4 162.2 167.0

114.6 111.0 118.1 154.3 158.7

114.8 109.9 119.7 154.4 158.9

0.3 -1.1 1.6 0.2 0.1

119.3 107.7 131.0 159.0 167.3

126.4 118.6 134.2 182.7 186.0

127.8 119.6 136.0 181.3 184.7

123.2 116.8 129.7 174.0 183.3

125.1 116.3 133.9 181.7 180.3

136.0 128.2 143.8 174.3 184.7

124.4 120.0 128.8 190.0 191.3

126.3 119.1 133.6 183.0 195.3

121.6 112.8 130.4 182.0 186.4

129.2 119.8 138.6 181.4 188.6

126.7 116.8 136.5 176.6 185.0

130.3 124.4 136.2 175.0 180.4

127.1 122.1 132.1 167.3 177.0

133.6 119.6 147.6 174.0 178.3

132.0 119.8 144.2 174.3 183.0

132.7 123.9 141.4 185.6 189.0

131.6 121.7 141.5 185.3 194.3

125.6 113.1 138.1 180.3 190.0

-5.9 -8.5 -3.3 -5.0 -4.3

1. DKI Jakarta -

Indeks Indeks Indeks Indeks Indeks


2. Bandung -



3. Semarang -



4. Surabaya -


5. Medan -


6. Palembang -




6

2011

2012

2013

KETERANGAN Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

Mei

Jun

Jul

Ags

Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

136.8 129.7 143.9 152.9 152.1

114.8 110.4 119.2 131.3 135.8

99.0 97.5 100.6 104.6 105.4

147.9 142.9 152.9 155.8 157.1

132.2 122.6 141.8 154.6 164.2

136.5 131.4 141.6 151.6 160.9

131.8 125.0 138.6 146.7 156.7

139.8 135.6 143.9 174.9 187.9

128.0 124.2 131.8 137.1 145.0

129.6 127.8 131.4 135.0 145.8

161.8 160.0 163.5 168.8 180.9

140.8 139.6 142.0 147.0 155.4

119.0 116.0 122.1 133.8 141.2

121.5 117.1 126.0 128.3 143.8

111.8 111.5 112.2 131.3 143.8

110.2 113.4 106.9 132.2 141.0

113.7 113.1 114.3 132.5 144.6

121.3 118.6 124.0 152.7 156.1

7.7 5.6 9.7 20.2 11.5

129.3 119.3 139.3 173.0 171.5

120.9 109.0 132.8 182.5 180.5

121.6 111.5 131.7 167.5 172.0

128.0 113.2 142.8 179.0 186.0

127.0 116.0 138.0 177.0 185.0

123.2 113.5 133.0 188.5 192.0

120.2 113.0 127.3 194.5 197.5

114.7 111.2 118.2 184.0 178.5

108.1 105.7 110.4 189.5 181.5

119.1 112.4 125.8 193.0 192.0

137.8 128.5 147.2 191.5 189.5

135.3 131.0 139.5 165.5 164.5

129.8 120.7 139.0 180.5 178.5

130.0 118.2 141.8 187.0 180.0

139.2 130.5 147.8 187.5 189.0

136.3 128.7 144.0 187.5 189.0

129.5 118.2 140.8 187.0 188.5

129.4 117.7 141.2 186.5 190.0

-0.1 -0.5 0.3 -0.5 1.5

130.8 127.0 134.5 146.5 155.5

137.0 130.8 143.2 168.0 175.0

137.5 133.2 141.8 172.5 187.5

138.4 132.8 144.0 164.0 181.0

133.2 128.5 137.8 184.5 192.5

129.7 124.9 134.5 175.1 190.0

127.8 127.3 128.2 194.0 195.0

118.9 116.5 121.3 195.0 199.5

137.6 136.8 138.3 186.0 197.5

128.4 126.8 130.0 194.5 198.0

134.5 136.2 132.8 193.5 193.5

134.0 139.8 128.2 184.0 191.0

134.1 137.7 130.5 187.5 196.5

127.4 126.2 128.7 187.0 196.5

120.0 120.0 120.0 183.0 196.0

128.3 128.8 127.7 193.0 198.5

137.5 135.3 139.7 187.0 197.5

136.9 139.3 134.5 182.5 198.5

-0.6 4.0 -5.2 -4.5 1.0

116.8 103.2 130.5 178.5 174.0

116.4 101.0 131.8 178.0 173.5

123.7 114.5 132.8 179.5 177.5

126.6 117.5 135.7 179.0 185.0

128.2 120.5 135.8 186.0 190.5

123.7 113.8 133.5 164.7 169.1

118.9 112.7 125.2 182.0 174.0

117.6 114.7 120.5 194.5 193.0

123.0 111.3 134.7 179.0 181.0

121.3 116.2 126.5 175.5 182.5

127.9 120.5 135.3 185.5 188.5

123.6 114.0 133.2 175.5 167.0

127.8 114.0 141.5 185.0 178.5

124.3 115.8 132.8 175.5 183.5

129.0 117.2 140.8 168.0 183.5

124.6 121.2 128.0 176.5 184.0

130.4 122.0 138.8 184.5 175.5

134.0 125.5 142.5 175.5 183.0

3.6 3.5 3.7 -9.0 7.5

109.7 100.2 119.2 177.0 186.0

106.4 97.3 115.5 187.5 191.5

98.1 86.5 109.7 185.5 193.5

104.6 94.4 114.8 181.5 191.0

127.0 116.0 138.0 177.0 185.0

104.3 92.0 116.5 174.0 186.0

94.9 86.8 103.0 192.0 193.5

96.8 86.2 107.5 184.0 190.5

105.7 95.7 115.7 185.0 188.5

107.3 98.0 116.5 181.0 186.5

106.9 99.3 114.5 187.5 189.5

108.2 101.5 114.8 182.0 185.0

120.8 116.5 125.2 163.0 185.0

111.5 103.5 119.5 175.5 185.0

115.8 109.7 122.0 176.5 189.0

117.3 109.8 124.7 181.0 188.5

114.8 106.8 122.8 181.5 187.5

120.4 111.0 129.8 176.5 186.0

5.6 4.2 7.0 -5.0 -1.5

105.9 98.2 113.7 153.5 165.5

103.8 91.3 116.2 161.5 167.5

86.9 72.8 101.0 168.5 175.5

86.3 77.3 95.2 168.0 183.0

91.5 87.0 96.0 157.5 164.5

93.6 88.7 98.5 168.7 167.2

83.5 80.5 86.5 180.5 182.5

79.3 74.7 83.8 180.0 186.0

89.0 82.0 96.0 171.5 189.0

90.0 85.3 94.7 186.5 193.0

98.1 91.0 105.2 181.0 189.0

98.1 89.7 106.5 169.0 183.0

98.0 89.7 106.3 163.0 173.5

92.3 84.8 99.7 174.0 173.0

94.1 81.5 106.7 168.5 179.5

96.5 87.7 105.2 181.1 186.6

123.9 115.8 132.0 177.5 185.5

112.5 104.7 120.3 171.0 182.5

-11.4 -11.2 -11.7 -6.5 -3.0

7. Banjarmasin -



8. Bandar Lampung -



9. Makassar -



10. Samarinda -



11. Denpasar -



12. Padang -




7

2011

2012

2013

KETERANGAN Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

Mei

Jun

Jul

Ags

Sep

Okt

Nov

Des

Jan

Feb

131.4 124.5 138.3 152.5 165.0

125.9 117.3 134.5 168.0 169.0

126.4 118.5 134.3 171.0 176.0

125.0 114.0 136.0 172.0 169.5

132.6 125.2 140.0 171.0 174.5

140.4 134.0 146.8 181.6 176.6

140.8 134.8 146.7 188.5 184.5

144.8 139.0 150.7 181.5 183.0

148.9 141.5 156.3 172.5 172.0

148.8 146.7 151.0 185.5 183.5

140.2 129.3 151.0 184.5 183.5

145.7 135.7 155.7 167.0 175.5

145.3 138.2 152.3 174.5 173.5

126.1 120.0 132.2 169.5 169.5

133.6 126.5 140.7 156.0 160.0

140.3 133.2 147.3 157.0 157.5

138.1 133.2 143.0 159.5 167.5

128.7 124.8 132.5 122.0 144.7

-9.4 -8.3 -10.5 -37.5 -22.8

144.3 141.3 147.2 184.5 188.5

125.3 120.2 130.3 191.0 194.5

141.2 136.3 146.0 179.0 190.5

154.7 156.7 152.7 189.5 192.5

139.4 126.0 152.8 190.0 192.5

142.9 131.5 154.2 190.6 186.6

145.7 130.8 160.5 199.0 197.0

143.6 135.5 151.7 199.5 199.5

123.8 112.2 135.5 168.0 180.0

125.9 121.8 130.0 189.5 187.5

143.4 144.8 142.0 198.5 200.0

140.3 129.8 150.8 200.0 199.0

151.0 149.7 152.3 198.0 198.5

154.2 153.7 154.7 200.0 200.0

149.4 174.7 124.2 200.0 200.0

161.4 182.2 140.7 180.5 178.0

137.8 141.3 134.3 184.0 181.0

134.1 137.2 131.0 191.5 188.0

-3.7 -4.2 -3.3 7.5 7.0

121.4 111.7 131.2 188.0 185.0

127.8 118.0 137.5 178.5 185.5

125.4 117.8 133.0 178.5 179.0

131.1 121.3 140.8 183.5 182.5

125.4 121.2 129.7 153.5 170.5

119.8 116.3 123.2 171.1 176.5

128.8 124.2 133.3 178.5 186.5

112.7 117.7 107.7 157.5 170.0

116.2 114.3 118.0 175.0 173.0

137.8 137.8 137.9 184.2 188.3

133.3 127.5 139.1 169.5 174.5

127.6 123.2 132.0 166.0 170.0

123.8 114.3 133.2 156.0 166.5

127.2 116.2 138.2 161.0 169.0

124.5 119.8 129.2 158.3 168.0

127.1 123.7 130.5 157.5 158.0

139.5 127.8 151.2 165.5 183.5

132.8 121.8 143.7 171.5 181.5

-6.8 -6.0 -7.5 6.0 -2.0


122.9 115.2 130.7 166.5 177.0

125.8 115.7 135.8 178.5 184.0

132.0 125.8 138.2 171.0 178.5

127.3 118.3 136.2 176.0 178.0

110.3 105.8 114.8 175.5 165.5

112.6 106.3 118.9 169.6 183.1

118.3 108.3 128.3 177.5 181.5

123.9 114.2 133.7 176.0 180.0

129.8 120.0 139.7 171.0 179.0

128.9 119.3 138.5 165.3 165.0

134.8 122.3 147.2 183.9 191.5

139.4 124.3 154.5 181.0 189.5

136.8 125.5 148.2 183.5 188.0

129.3 123.7 135.0 161.0 171.5

124.1 114.0 134.2 156.8 169.5

130.1 119.8 140.3 164.0 178.5

149.5 137.5 161.5 158.5 172.5

151.1 142.7 159.4 160.8 167.3

1.6 5.2 -2.1 2.3 -5.2


118.6 106.4 130.8 169.0 171.9

120.2 105.9 134.4 170.0 175.7

113.7 102.5 124.9 180.0 178.1

119.4 113.3 125.4 177.6 177.1

127.0 115.7 138.3 168.6 168.1

127.0 116.2 137.8 168.6 168.6

132.9 126.5 139.4 183.3 186.2

121.4 115.2 127.6 178.1 182.4

129.5 122.7 136.2 181.5 174.3

123.7 118.9 128.4 184.8 182.8

126.2 112.3 140.1 177.1 184.1

130.0 118.3 141.7 175.9 177.5

136.3 126.0 146.5 180.0 174.5

119.8 106.0 133.7 180.0 181.5

121.8 108.3 135.2 174.0 179.5

125.5 112.2 138.8 169.5 168.5

138.6 126.8 150.3 169.5 177.0

149.1 141.1 157.2 173.5 171.0

10.6 14.3 6.8 4.0 -6.0


125.9 112.5 139.3 170.0 172.0

120.4 107.3 133.5 159.0 160.0

122.3 109.2 135.3 151.0 168.5

124.3 112.5 136.2 166.0 166.5

120.3 110.7 130.0 158.5 171.5

117.7 105.0 130.3 167.1 172.6

112.5 103.7 121.3 165.5 169.5

118.6 113.8 123.3 175.0 174.5

116.3 108.8 123.7 169.5 169.5

115.2 108.8 121.5 173.5 174.5

118.1 112.2 124.0 179.0 185.0

131.7 126.5 136.8 146.5 162.5

132.7 130.3 135.0 160.5 170.5

132.3 127.2 137.5 176.5 183.0

121.3 111.7 130.8 183.0 188.5

124.8 119.2 130.5 162.0 174.0

125.3 123.3 127.3 180.0 179.0

129.8 124.7 135.0 181.5 183.5

4.5 1.3 7.7 1.5 4.5

13. Pontianak -



14. Manado -



15. Mataram -



16. Pangkal Pinang -


17. Ambon -


18. Banten -



8

Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen

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