MFF 2014-20
Het Meerjarig Financieel Kader j g 2014‐2020
Een budget voor Europa 2020 Een budget voor Europa 2020
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MFF 2014-20
• I. Het oorspronkelijke voorstel van de COM • II. De huidige stand van zaken II. De huidige stand van zaken
© European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
EU Budget beleid in getallen EU Budget = beleid in getallen Uitdagingen d • • • • • • • •
Lisbon Treaty : more responsibilities Connect Europe better p Social, economic disparities Unstable neighborhood A sterit climate Austerity climate Financial crisis interventions Response to natural disasters Ensure synergies to prove EU Value‐ added
Antwoorden • •
European logic fully geared to Europe 2020 strategy Modernised budget ‐ output oriented, simplification, conditionality, leveraging investment y g g
•
Limited in size, but redesigned ‐ savings in some areas ‐ more to areas that matter more to areas that matter ‐ multi‐purpose expenditure
• •
Budgetary rigour, administrative limits N l iti New legitimacy of traditional policies f t diti l li i
Meer EUROPA voor evenveel GELD! voor evenveel GELD! © European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
Meer moderne begroting Meer moderne begroting •
Connecting Europe Facility
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Innovative financial instruments f l
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Key changes in research, cohesion, agriculture and external action
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Administrative rigour
•
Simplification
•
New Own resources New Own resources
•
Simplified system of corrections
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MFF 2014-20
I Voorstel COM: overzicht I. Voorstel COM: overzicht 1. Totaal volume Totaal volume 2. Uitgaven ‐ overzicht 3. Eigen middelen en correcties
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MFF 2014-20
Vastleggingen versus gg g betalingskredieten Commitments i
Payments y MFF + Outside MFF © European Commission
€ 1025 Billion
€ 972 Billion
€ 1083 Billion
1,05% BNI 1,00% of GNI
1,11 % Of GNI Of GNI 6
MFF 2014-20
Wat betekent constant in reele termen? Wat betekent constant in reele termen? MFF Commitments: • Level of 2013 x 7 years = € 1025 Billion in 2011 prices p = 1.05 % of GNI • Level of 2007‐2013 = € 994 Billion in 2011 prices = 1.05 % of GNI
MFF Payments • € 972 Billion = 1.00 % of GNI 972 Billion = 1 00 % of GNI © European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
What does constant in real terms mean? What does constant in real terms mean? COMPARISON BETWEEN 2007-2013 AND 2014-2020
Change (in %) 2011 prices
2007-2013
2013
2013 * 7
2014-2020 14-20 vs. 07- Statistical 14-20 vs 13 13 overhang g
Commitments
Payments
© European Commission
MFF
MFF
993.6
146.4
1.12%
1.12%
942 8 942.8
137 8 137.8
1.06%
1.05%
1 024.8
964 4 964.4
1 025.0
in billion of euro
1.05%
in % of GNI
972 2 972.2
i billion in billi off euro
1.00%
in % of GNI
3.2%
3.1%
0.0%
3 1% 3.1%
2 3% 2.3%
0 8% 0.8%
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MFF 2014-20
Buiten het Meerjaren Financieel Kader Buiten het Meerjaren Financieel Kader OUTSIDE THE MFF 350 429 1 000 500 500
350 429 1 000 500 500
350 429 1 000 500 500
350 429 1 000 500 500
350 429 1 000 500 500
350 429 1 000 500 500
350 429 1 000 500 500
2 450 3 000 7 000 3 500 3 500
886 834
624 834
299 834
291 834
261 834
232 834
114 834
2 707 5 841
EDF ACP EDF OCT Global Climate and Biodiversity Fund
3 271 46 p.m.
4 300 46 p.m.
4 348 46 p.m.
4 407 46 p.m.
4 475 46 p.m.
4 554 46 p.m.
4 644 46 p.m.
29 998 321 p.m.
TOTAL OUTSIDE THE MFF
7 815
8 583
8 306
8 357
8 395
8 445
8 416
58 316
Emergency Aid Reserve European Globalisation Fund Solidarity Fund Flexibility instrument Reserve for crises in the agricultural sector ITER GMES
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MFF 2014-20
Overzicht voorstelling Overzicht voorstelling 1. Totaal volume Totaal volume 2. Overzicht uitgavenzijde 3. Eigen middelen en correcties
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MFF 2014-20
Ambitieus maar realistisch Ambitieus, maar realistisch… COMPARISON MFF 2007-13/2014-20
1. Smart and Inclusive Growth Of which Competitiveness Of which infrastructure Of which cohesion policy 2. Sustainable Growth: natural resources Of which Market related expenditure and direct payments 3. Security and Citizenship of which Freedom, Security and Justice of Citizenship 4. Global Europe 5. Administration (including pensions and European schools) Of which hi h administrative d i i i expenditure di off EU institutions i i i 6. Compensations Total appropriations In % of EU-27 GNI
© European Commission
Billion € in 2011 prices 2007-2013 445,5 77,8 12,9 354,8 421,1 322,0 12,4 7,6 4,8 56,8 56,9 48 4 48,4 0,9 993,6 1,12%
Difference (in %)
2014-2020 490,9 114,9 40,0 336,0 382,9 281,8 18,5 11,6 6,9 70,0 62,6 50 5 50,5 1.025,0 1,05%
10,2% 47,7% 209,7% -5,3% -9,1% -12,5% 49,9% 53,0% 44,9% 23,2% 10,1% 4 2% 4,2% 3,2%
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MFF 2014-20
Beduidende herverdeling in sleutelsectoren beleid 90 0 90,0 80,0
+23,2%
70,0 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 10,0 0,0
Research and innovation
Education and culture
Infrastructure funding
Security and citizenship
Global Europe
2007 2013 2007-2013
54 9 54,9
91 9,1
12 9 12,9
11 5 11,5
56 8 56,8
2014-2020
80,0
15,2
50,0
18,5
70,0
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MFF 2014-20
Ontwikkeling GLB en Cohesie in 2013 2020 Ontwikkeling GLB en Cohesie in 2013‐2020 45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20% 2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Common agricultural policy
© European Commission
2018
2019
2020
Cohesion policy
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MFF 2014-20
Cohesie Ni Niewe architectuur cohesiebeleid hit t h i b l id •
Three categories of regions – Less developed regions (GDP per capita < 75%) – Transition regions (GDP per capita between 75% and 90%) – More developed p regions g (GDP ( per p capita p > 90%)) –
•
Cohesion Fund for Member States with GNI per capita <90%
Territorial cooperation (3 strands: CBC, transnational, interregional)
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MFF 2014-20
C h i policy Cohesion li •
Common strategic framework for all Common strategic framework for all structural funds
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Investment partnership contracts Investment partnership contracts with Member States 60%
•
Stronger conditionality
50%
40%
•
The biggest spending area by 2020
EU-15
30%
20%
•
Concentration on poorer and weakest regions
EU-12
10%
0% 2007-2013
•
Thematic concentration Thematic concentration
•
Transition regions
© European Commission
2014-2020
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MFF 2014-20
Landbouw • Declining share in the EU budget until 2020 D li i h i th EU b d t til 2020 • Greening Greening of CAP of CAP ‐ direct aid 30 % linked to environment direct aid 30 % linked to environment measures • Progressive convergence towards EU average: P i d EU – Close 33% of the gap with 90% of EU average – Financed by all Member States above the average y g
• Market measures: Emergency Mechanism • European Globalisation Fund to help farmers adapt to globalisation © European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
Administratieve uitgaven • Budget under restraint – Staff reduction up to 5% – Efficiency gains (increase working hours to 40 a week) – Reviewing certain benefits in line with similar trends in Member States
• Administrative expenditure discipline for all EU p p institutions * Excluding Pensions and European Schools
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MFF 2014-20
Overzicht presentatie Overzicht presentatie 1. Totaalvolume 2. Uitgavenzijde 3. Eigen middelen en correcties
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MFF 2014-20
Eigen middelen vroeger EU budget revenue 1958-2011 (in % of EU GNI) 1,20%
Other revenue & surplus
1,00%
GNI-based own resource VAT-based own resource
0 80% 0,80%
Other revenue & surplus
Traditional own resources (custom duties & sugar levies) Financial contributions
GNI-based own resource
0,60% VAT-based own resource
0,40%
0 20% 0,20% Financial contributions
0,00% 1958
1963
© European Commission
1968
1973
1978
Traditional own resources (custom duties & sugar levies)
1983
1988
1993
2003
2008
2011
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MFF 2014-20
Een nieuw systeem van eigen middelen? • Voorstel Commissie V lC i i : – End statistical VAT own resource as of 2014 – Introduce 2 new own resources I d 2 • Financial Transaction Tax • VAT resource VAT resource
– Radically simplify the system of corrections
• In vergelijking met het huidige systeem: – Simpler p – Fairer – More transparent © European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
EU taxatie financiele sector •
Commission proposal – Introduce Financial transaction tax from 1/1/2018 at the lastest. – Maximum tax rate to be set at the moment of legislative proposal (Autumn 2011)
•
Advantages – Contributes to budgetary consolidation of Member States by reducing their Contributes to budgetary consolidation of Member States by reducing their contributions to the EU budget – Wide popular support. Eurobarometer: 61% in favour – EP resolutions – Financial transaction tax more efficient at EU level – Centralised collection system possible
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MFF 2014-20
BTW • Commission proposal – Maximum Maximum rate in OR decision: 2% rate in OR decision: 2% – New VAT resource from 1/1/2018 at the latest. Effective rate: 1 %
• Advantages – Link EU VAT policy and EU budget – Part of wider revision of VAT systems: fight against VAT Part of wider revision of VAT systems: fight against VAT fraud and reinforce harmonisation of VAT systems
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MFF 2014-20
Beoogde g evolutie van structuur eigen middelen Sh Share off Own O Resources R Types T in i Total T t l Own O Resources R Payments P t
100%
78%
80%
61% 60%
56% 51% 47%
44%
Traditional own resources + new OR GNI resource (1978 MS Financial Contributions) VAT resource
40% 29%
20% 10%
12%
10%
0%
0%
0% 1978
© European Commission
1988
2013
2020
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MFF 2014-20
Nieuwe structuur eigen middelen Estimated d Impact on own resources structure
DB 2012 2020 bil. €
% of OR
bil. €
% of OR
Traditional OR
19,3
14,7
30,7
18,9
Existing national contributions of which ‐ VAT‐based OR ‐ GNI‐based OR GNI based OR
111,8
85,3
65,6
40,3
14,5 97 3 97,3
11,1 74 2 74,2
‐ 65 6 65,6
‐ 40 3 40,3
66,4
40,8
29,4 37,0
18,1 22,7
162,7
100,0
New OR of which o c ‐ VAT Resource ‐ EU financial transaction tax Total own resources © European Commission
131,1
100,0
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MFF 2014-20
Correctie mechanismen •
Commission proposal Commission proposal – Replace all corrections mechanisms by a system of fixed annual lump sums for 2014‐ 2020 – Based on Fontainebleau principle: "any member State sustaining a budgetary burden which is excessive in relation to its relative prosperity may benefit from a correction at the appropriate time " relative prosperity may benefit from a correction at the appropriate time.
•
Advantages – Fairness ‐ equal treatment of the Member States – Simplicity and transparency – Lump‐sum correction mechanism to correspond to MFF duration – Avoids perverse incentives for expenditure p p
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MFF 2014-20
Correcties LUMPSUMS ADJUSTED FOR RELATIVE PROSPERITY
(in million of euro / in i currentt prices)
Annual lumpsum 2014-2020 GROSS AMOUNT
© European Commission
DE NL SE UK
2500 1050 350 3600
TOTAL
7500 26
MFF 2014-20
Abolish VAT VAT-based based own resource Manier van doen … • Timing of negotiations: – 2011: Preparatory work under PL presidency – June 2012 (DK pres) : European Council level – December 2012 (CY pres): Agreement on new MFF regulation between European Parliament and Council regulation between European Parliament and Council – 2013: Adoption by co 2013: Adoption by co‐decision decision of new legal bases of new legal bases © European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
II Huidige situatie II. Huidige situatie •
Manier van werken: Manier van werken: 1. Raadswerkgroep SA en FOP 1. Coreper – RAZ – [Europese Raad]
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MFF 2014-20
II Huidige situatie (b) II. Huidige situatie (b) 2. Stavaza na RAZ van 29 mei 2012: * Deense “onderhandelingsdoos” MFK met alle elementen (ook “inkomsten”) alle elementen (ook inkomsten ) * Kloof tussen netto‐betalers (DU, NL, FI, …) en netto ontvangers (nieuwe lidstaten en netto‐ontvangers (nieuwe lidstaten, lidstaten in serieuze fin.‐econ. Problemen) * BE: in tussenpositie …
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MFF 2014-20
II Huidige situatie (c) II. Huidige situatie (c) • Grote spanningen rond: • Algemeen volume begroting: ‐ 100 miljard euro? • Geld voor cohesie: transitieregio’s, competiviteitsregio’s, macro‐ economische conditionaliteit? Allocatiecriteria competregio’s … p g • Geld voor GLB: daling pijler 1 (art. 53)? Convergentie tussen oude en nieuwere LS: snelheid? Pijler 2 voor wie? Vergroening … • Eigen middelen: nieuwe BTW / FTT – dd l / inbreuk op “fiscale b k “f l soevereiniteit LS?” Britse “NO” • Horizon 2020 … zwakke schakel? • In of uit het MFK? • …
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MFF 2014-20
II Huidige situatie (d) II. Huidige situatie (d) • Op einde Deens Voorzitterschap staat alles g p nog open … • Diensten Europese Raad zullen geleidelijk // beginnen lopen met Cypriotisch beginnen lopen met Cypriotisch Voorzitterschap • Doel: geleidelijk met hoofdlijnen naar Europese Raad voor definitieve beslissingen: Europese Raad voor definitieve beslissingen: eerste keer in december? © European Commission
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MFF 2014-20
Abolish VAT VAT-based based Meer info own op: resource
• Dedicated website: Dedicated website: http://ec.europa.eu/budget/reform/
DANK VOOR DE AANDACHT!
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