Batavia Technical Corner 13 March 2013 Parningotan Julio, CMT –
[email protected]
IHSG : - Indicator Stochastic membentuk dead cross di overbought area. - Volume perdagangan dibawah average perdagangan 1 bulan. - Badan candle cukup kecil dan menutup gap. - Indikator Bollinger band menyempit. Comment: - Trend bullish masih belum patah walau terlihat mulai melemah, oleh karenanya pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan masih akan cenderung bergerak mixed. Support di level 4,825, resistance 4,900.
Batavia Technical Corner
BJTM (Rp 465) – Speculative Buy (SB)
BJTM : -
Break consolidation pattern dan melanjutkan trend bullish.
-
Stochastic golden cross dan masuk kedalam overbought area.
-
White candle dengan badan yang panjang dan volume yang tinggi.
-
Relative Strength terhadap IHSG dan ROC upward crossover MA-5 hari.
Recommendation: -
2
Speculative Buy. Support: Rp. 460, resistance: Rp.480. Stop loss: Rp. 455.
13 March 2013
Batavia Technical Corner
BMTR (Rp 2,475) – Buy if Break (BiB)
BMTR : -
Candle white marubozu dengan badan yang relatif panjang dan volume yang kuat.
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ROC dan Relative Strength terhadap IHSG up trending.
-
Harga menguji resistance dan upper Bollinger band.
-
ADX dan +DI line mengindikasikan trend bullish.
Recommendation: -
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Buy if break Rp. 2,475. Stop loss: Rp. 2,450, resistance: Rp. 2,575 – Rp. 2,625.
13 March 2013
Batavia Technical Corner
CPIN (Rp 4,725) – Speculative Buy (SB)
CPIN : -
Break keatas resistance dan membentuk all time high, namun tertahan upper Bollinger band.
-
Break out diiringi oleh volume perdagangan yang sangat tinggi.
-
Indikator ROC upward crossover MA-5 hari.
-
Bollinger band mulai melebar.
Recommendation: -
4
Speculative Buy. Support: Rp. 4,675 – Rp. 4,600, resistance: Rp. 4,975. Stop loss: Rp. 4,575.
13 March 2013
Batavia Technical Corner
13 March 2013
What The Chart Says ? Ticker S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 Sektor Industri Dasar & Kimia (Basic Industry & Chemicals) INTP
22,283
22,417
22,633
22,767
22,983
JPFA 8,550 8,800 8,950 9,200 9,350 Sektor Barang Konsumsi (Consumer Goods Industry) KLBF 1,250 1,270 Sektor Keuangan (Finance)
Price
Rec
View
Stochastic dead cross dan keluar dari overbought area, volume perdagangan Sell tipis, harga downward crossover MA-5 hari, RS-IHSG dalam trend bearish Buy if Stochastic memasuki overbought area, MACD golden cross, volume dibawah 9,050 Break Price average 1 bulan, Bollinger band melebar, ROC downward crossover MA-5 hari
22,550
1,320
1,350
1,290
BMRI 9,750 9,850 9,900 Sektor Infastruktur (Infastructure)
10,000
10,050
9,950
PGAS 5,067 5,133 5,267 Sektor Pertambangan (Mining)
5,333
5,467
5,200
Sell
Mengkonfirmasi shooting star pattern, candle black marubozu dengan badan yang panjang dan volume yang tinggi, gapping down, downward crossover MA-5
ANTM 1,330 1,340 1,300 1,310 Sektor Aneka Industri (Michellaneous Industry)
1,360
1,320
Sell
Harga downward cross MA-50 dan MA-200 hari, Stochastic dead cross, candle black marubozu dengan badan yang panjang, volume perdangan cukup tipis
ASII 7,883 7,967 8,133 8,217 8,383 Sektor Properti & Real Estate (Property & Real Estate)
8,050
Sell
Terkoreksi setelah gagal menembus resistance, candle black marubozu dengan body yang panjang, Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, volume melemah
2,450
Sell if Break S1 Speculative Buy
Stochastic menguat dan masuk kedalam overbought area, candle membentuk doji, volume perdagangan tinggi, indikator Bollinger band semakin melebar Stochastic dan MACD up trending, badan candle panjang dengan volume yang tinggi, menguji upper Bollinger band, ROC dan RS-IHSG upward crossover MA-5
4,900
Speculative White long candle dengan badan yang panjang dan volume diatas average 1 bln, Buy Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, ROC upward crossover MA-50 hari
MDLN
847
863
887
903
927
SMRA 2,233 2,342 2,433 2,542 2,633 Sektor Perdagangan & Jasa ( Trade, Services, & Investment) AKRA
4,500
4,700
4,900
5,100
5,300
880
Sell
Harga downward cross MA-5 hari, Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, volume dibawah average perdagangan 1 bulan, Bollinger band mulai menyempit
1,300
Speculative MACD membentuk golden cross, candle white marubozu tidak mengkonfirmasi Buy reversal pattern, volume perdagangan tipis, indikator Bollinger band menyempit
Note: • Perhitungan support dan resistance menggunakan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan hasil perhitungan yang menggunakan chart. • Apabila harga naik di atas level pivot, maka saham tersebut berpeluang untuk mencatatkan penguatan. • Apabila harga turun di bawah level pivot, maka saham tersebut berpeluang untuk mengalami pelemahan. Batavia Prosperindo Sekuritas Investment Ratings: •Trading Buy (TB): kecenderungan harga menguat cukup tinggi •Speculative Buy (SB) : harga berpotensi menguat, namun dengan risiko tertentu •Buy if Break (BiB) : harga berpotensi menguat bila break resistance atau pattern tertentu •Sell if Break (SiB) : harga berpotensi melemah bila break support atau pattern tertentu •Trading Sell (TS) : kecenderungan harga melemah cukup tinggi •Stoploss : level risiko maksimal apabila pergerakan tidak sesuai dengan ekspektasi •Resistance : level ekspektasi harga mengalami tahanan, dapat dijadikan sebagai tempat profit taking (minimal return) •Risk & Reward : perbandingan antara risiko maksimal dengan minimum return
5
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Parningotan Julio, CMT
Analyst
Technical
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Analyst
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Research Associate
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