TECHNICAL ANALYSIS EQUITY CAPITAL MARKET RETAIL | 26 SEPTEMBER 2016
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Market Summary PRICE
Highlight CHANGE
%CHANGE
5.388,90
8,64
0,16%
933,37
2,79
0,30%
18.261,45
-131,01
-0,71%
2.164,69 5 5.305,75
-12,49
-0,57%
-33,78
-0,63%
FTSE
6.909,43
-1,97
-0,03%
DAX
10.626,97 -2 4.488,69
-47,21
-0,44%
-21,13
-0,47%
NIKKEI
16.754,02
-53.60
-0,32%
HSI
23.686,48
-73,32
-0,31%
SSE
3.033,93
-8,42
-0,28%
STI
2.856,95
10,89
0,38%
ASX 200
5.518,30
56,80
1,06%
1,341
-3,00
-0,22%
44,48
-1,84
-3,97%
IDX LQ-45 US-MARKET DJIA S&P 500 NASDAQ EUROPE
CAC ASIA
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada akhir pekan kemarin ditutup menguat. Indeks naik 8 poin (0,16%) ke 5.388 Posisi indikator IHSG: MACD sudah memberikan sinyal golden cross dan memasuki area posfitif, RSI berada di area 55, PSAR sudah memberikan sinyal uptrend, hanya stochastic yang memberikan sinyal negatif. Pergerakan IHSG hari ini kami estimasi akan terkoreksi. Estimasi pergerakan indeks hari ini berada di 5.342 sampai dengan 5.420
Global Market Indeks bursa AS pada ditutup turun gagal melewati SMA 50 D. DJIA -0,71%, S&P500 -0,57% dan Nasdaq -0,63%. Indeks saham di Eropa ditutup turun. Indeks FTSE di Inggris -0,02%, DAX di Jerman -0,44% dan CAC di Perancis -0,47%. Dari Asia, indeks Nikkei di jepang -0,32%, indeks Hang Seng di Hong Kong -0,31% dan indeks SSE di Shanghai -0,28%. Emas ditutup di US$ 1.341 per troy ounce atau -0,22%. Minyak mentah (OIL WTI) ditutup di US$ 44,48 per barel atau -3,97%.
Commodities GOLD
.
OIL (WTI) Exchange USD INDEX USD/IDR
95,39
0,01
0,01%
13,081
7,00
-0,05%
2
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Stock Pick Harga
Target
Penutupan
Harga
Saham
Rekomendasi
Stop Loss
Ket.
INTP
BUY
18.150
19.000
17.500
swing trade
SMGR
BUY
10.400
11.000
10.150
swing trade
SMBR
BUY
1.660
2.000
1.500
swing trade
ADHI
SELL
2.370
2.000
2.600
trend trade
WIKA
SELL
2.600
2.240
2.850
swing trade
Catatan: Day Trade: 1 hari, Swing Trade: 3-10 hari, Trend Trade (minor trend): maks 30 hari.
Hadiyansyah
[email protected]
"Hasil analisa saham pada laporan ini murni merupakan hasil analisa teknikal dengan jangka waktu investasi efektif di bawah 1 bulan. Analisa teknikal \ memfokuskan dalam melihat arah pergerakan dengan mempertimbangkan indikator-indikator pasar yang berbeda dengan analisa fundamental, sehingga rekomendasi yang diberikan dari kedua pendekatan tidak selalu sama. Pendekatan analisa teknikal belum tentu cocok bagi semua investor, pembaca disarankan untuk melakukan penilaian terhadap diri sendiri mengenai analisa investasi yang cocok dengan profil resikonya terlebih dahulu."
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EQUITY CAPITAL MARKET RETAIL | 26 SEPTEMBER 2016
IDX - DAILY CHART Technical Trends Short term
Bullish
Medium term
Bullish
Long term
Bullish
Daily Trading Range Last
5.388
Support
5.342
Market Review Jika IHSG berhasil melewati resistance (5.371), yang mengakhiri periode bearish jangka pendeknya. Resistance selanjutnya berada di 5.476.
Trading Strategy Dalam jangka panjang pasar berada dalam fase uptrend (BULLISH). Untuk Jangka pendek berada dalam fase konsolidasi.
Resistance 5.420
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
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EQUITY CAPITAL MARKET RETAIL | 26 SEPTEMBER 2016
INTP –BUY (swing trade)
INTP, MACD memberikan sinyal golden (day trade) cross dan memotong ke atas SMA 20 D trade) Kami merekomendasikan BUY untuk swing trade, dengan target harga di 19.000 dan stop loss jika harga ditutup di bawah 17.500
Technical Trends
59
STOCK INTP
CLOSE 18.150
TARGET PRICE 19.000
STOP LOSS 17.500
SUPPORT 17.500
Short term
Bullish
Medium term
Bullish
Long term
Bearish
RESISTANCE 18.750
SMGR –BUY (swing trade)
SMGR, MACD memberikan sinyal golden (day trade) cross dan memotong ke atas SMA 200 D trade) Kami merekomendasikan BUY untuk swing trade, dengan target harga di 11.000 dan stop loss jika harga ditutup di bawah 10.150
Technical Trends
STOCK SMGR
CLOSE 10.400
TARGET PRICE 11.000
STOP LOSS 10.150
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
SUPPORT 10.150
Short term
Bullish
Medium term
Bullish
Long term
Bullish
RESISTANCE 11.000
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EQUITY CAPITAL MARKET RETAIL | 26 SEPTEMBER 2016
SMBR –BUY (swing trade)
SMBR. Ditutup membuat nilai tertinggi. (day Bollingertrade) band berekspansi trade) Kami merekomendasikan BUY untuk swing trade, dengan target harga di 2.000 dan stop loss jika harga ditutup di bawah 1.500
Technical Trends
STOCK SMBR
CLOSE 1.660
TARGET PRICE 2.000
STOP LOSS 1.500
SUPPORT 1.550
Short term
Bullish
Medium term
Bullish
Long term
Bullish
RESISTANCE 2.000
ADHI – SELL (trend trade)
BBTN. Membentuk pola double top. (day trade) Kami merekomendasikan SELL untuk trade) tremd trade, dengan target harga di 2.000
Technical Trends
STOCK ADHI
CLOSE 2.370
TARGET PRICE 2.000
STOP LOSS 2.600
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
SUPPORT 2.000
Short term
Bearish
Medium term
Bearish
Long term
Bearish
RESISTANCE 2.600
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EQUITY CAPITAL MARKET RETAIL | 26 SEPTEMBER 2016
WIKA – SELL (swing trade)
WIKA. Ditutup melewati garis support (day trade) Kami merekomendasikan SELL untuk trade) swing trade, dengan target harga di 2.240
Technical Trends
STOCK WIKA
CLOSE 2.600
TARGET PRICE 2.240
STOP LOSS 2.850
SUPPORT 2.240
Short term
Bearish
Medium term
Bearish
Long term
Bearish
RESISTANCE 2.850
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