INSTITUTE FOR WORLD ECONOMICS HUNGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
REPORT ON ACTIVITIES 2003
Budapest, 2004
INSTITUTE FOR WORLD ECONOMICS of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences
REPORT ON ACTIVITIES 2003
Budapest, 2004
Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences H-1014 Budapest, Országház u. 30. Hungary
P.O.Box 936, H-1535 Budapest, Hungary 224-6765 224-6760,
[email protected], www.vki.hu
Contents 1. OUTLINE OF THE INSTITUTE ....................................................................................................... 5 1.1. OBJECTIVES ..................................................................................................................................... 5 1.2. STRUCTURE ..................................................................................................................................... 6 1.3. FINANCING ...................................................................................................................................... 7 1.4. RESEARCH PRIORITIES .................................................................................................................... 7 1.5. LIBRARY AND SCIENTIFIC INFORMATION SERVICE......................................................................... 9 1.6. PUBLICATION AND DISSEMINATION POLICIES ................................................................................ 9 1.7. INTERNATIONAL CONTACTS ......................................................................................................... 10 2. PRINCIPAL RESEARCH PROJECTS........................................................................................... 12 2.1. Global Issues ............................................................................................................................ 12 2.2. EU Issues .................................................................................................................................. 16 2.3. The CEECs and Hungary ......................................................................................................... 22 2.4. Selected Topics ......................................................................................................................... 32 3. MAJOR RESEARCH PROJECTS PREPARED FOR HUNGARIAN POLICY MAKERS ..... 36 4. MAJOR PROJECTS IN PREPARATION FINANCED BY HUNGARIAN RESEARCH FUNDS ......................................................................................................................... 38 5. COORDINATION OF AND PARTICIPATION IN INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS .............. 40 Human Development in Hungary................................................................................................ 40 Technical Trade Barriers between the EU and the CEECs............................................................. 41 6. PUBLICATIONS................................................................................................................................ 42 6.1. IWE PUBLICATIONS IN 2003 ....................................................................................................... 42 6.1.1. Working Papers ..................................................................................................................... 42 6.1.2. Kihívások (‘Challenges’ – in Hungarian) ............................................................................. 43 6.1.3. Műhelytanulmányok (‘Workshop Studies’ – in Hungarian) .................................................. 44 6.1.4. Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk (‘Opinions, Comments, Information’ – in Hungarian).......................................................... 46 6.1.5. Joint Publications .................................................................................................................. 48 6.1.6. Occasional Publications........................................................................................................ 49 6.2. PUBLICATIONS BY IWE STAFF MEMBERS IN 2003.................................................................... 50 7. LECTURES DELIVERED ABROAD OR AT INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES HELD IN HUNGARY......................................................................................... 70 8. INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES ORGANIZED BY IWE IN 2003 ..................................... 79 9. FOREIGN GUESTS AT IWE IN 2003 ............................................................................................ 81 APPENDIX ............................................................................................................................................. 85
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Outline of the Institute
1. Outline of the Institute 1.1. Objectives The Institute for World Economics (IWE), as part of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, carries out research and formulates policy recommendations on an objective, non-partisan basis, since its establishment in 1973 on the institutional background of the former Afro-Asian Research Centre founded in 1965, three years before the first wave of economic reform in Hungary. The Institute has become one of the major policy-oriented international research institutes and economic policy think tanks in Central Europe. Its main task is to study the underlying trends and factors behind global and regional economic developments and their present and future impact on the Hungarian economy. In addition, it sets out to contribute to international research through cooperation with top research institutes throughout the world. Because of its location, history and human and material resources, the IWE is particularly well placed to be a leading centre for research on the integration of Central and Eastern Europe into the global market economy. The change of political system in Hungary, the transition to a market economy as well as the coming enlargement of the European Union and new global challenges have greatly enhanced the importance of world economic research and altered the emphasis of it. The IWE sets out to give strategic support during this historic change of course: ∗ by drawing on the Institute's long experience and extensive and effective system of international connections to build up a reformulated programme of research, and ∗ by using the techniques of comparative economic analysis and interdisciplinary investigations. The Institute's research philosophy is based on the conviction that the transition to a market economy and the accession to the European Union are not an end in themselves but a means of shifting the Hungarian economy from the periphery towards the mainstream of global economic development. Central to this is the need to modernize, in view of Hungary's modest level of economic development by comparison with Western Europe. International comparisons of the path taken to modernization and the blind alleys to be avoided are being made, in order to identify the key areas in which the Hungarian economy has to catch up and the requirements and means for doing so. Moreover the transition to a market economy is taking place in an international, and particularly a European economic environment of unprecedented upheavals and a system of relations in the process of restructuring. Whereas, on the global scale, some of the other attempts to modernize in the more recent past took place within a stable, predictable system of international relations, the forecast in Hungary's case is that the international economic environment will be uncertain, or at least multidimensional. This country has to build up a system of economic relations that takes account of its comparative advantages against a background of a moving Europe itself undergoing adjustment. The criteria for choosing the IWE's research areas have been the medium-term demands of decisive importance in terms of the processes taking place in the world economy and the adjustment that Hungary must take, coupled with the comparative advantages offered by the
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Outline of the Institute
Institute itself. This is a pioneer undertaking for the future: instead of resting on short-term, ad hoc requirements, it is built on a long-term strategic demand that must be created in part by the Institute itself with the demand-oriented nature of its researches. This we see as the way to ensure that the IWE is a professionally respected, authoritative, influential, opinion-shaping institute. These objectives can be served by the Institute's present research staff as a whole. After the appreciable staff losses of the early nineties, the internationally reputed, competitive and highly experienced research team has been replenished with ambitious and productive young researchers. The funds, however limited, granted by the Hungarian Academy of Sciences guarantee the political independence, so providing one of the fundamental external conditions for scientific activity of a high standard. * In 2003, basic conditions for substantive research at IWE were able to rely on a consolidated financial background due in part to increasing cooperation with different government institutions. * IWE, in cooperation with other research institutes (largely belonging to the Academy of Sciences), undertook a coordinative function in developing a medium-term strategy of research priorities on European integration. * Cooperation with leading international and Western European economic institutions was further strengthened. * Demand for IWE's research output by leading Hungarian banks, companies and multinational firms located in Hungary grew substantially. * A special system of fellowships managed by the Academy of Sciences provided an opportunity to employ some young researchers and cover selected basic areas of research. * Interdisciplinary research network has strengthened as the Social Sciences Research Centre came into being in the framework of the consolidation programme of the Academy of Sciences. In the Centre IWE and several other legally and financially independent institutes cooperate concerning political, social, legal, and economic issues.
1.2. Structure The IWE had a research staff of 30 at the end of 2003, and an auxiliary, service staff of 16. As of January 1996, the executive structure was changed. Based on the experience of previous years and the accomplishment of the substantially enhanced research tasks recently, IWE has eliminated the traditional structure based on research centres. In fact, organization of the research activities has never been carried out in a rigid system. In contrast to many institutes, IWE has always stressed the importance of ‘cross-working’, and provided opportunity for its staff to become acquainted with research activities of other centres within the institute. To a substantial extent, growing domestic and international competitiveness of the research staff can be explained by this flexibility. From the beginning of 1996, IWE's internal structure is based on teams organized for special topics and purposes. As a result a ‘research network’ was created, in which practically each staff member is both the director of one or more research teams and member of other teams, simultaneously. This approach is expected to make research even more efficient, to use available capacities better and deal with priority tasks from different angles. A Research Council created in 1996 and consisting of 11 staff members, including talented young researchers directs and supervises research activities. In selected areas of ensuring the infrastructure of efficient research, three commissions, each of which consists of three staff members, have been acting (acquisition of books, journals and documents, computerisation, publishing activities). Since early summer 1999 a managing director has also been acting who is responsible for internal and external contacts, communications and public relations.
Structure of the Institute for World Economics Mihály Simai Research Professor
General Director: András Inotai
Library Commission Computer Commission
Treasury Head: E. Marosi
Financial Group
Scientific Information Service Head: K. Förgeteg
Maintenance Service
Library Section
Directorial Secretariat
Managing Director Éva Nagy
Publications' Commission
Section for International Exchange
Section of Documentation
Section of Publication Head: Gábor Fóti
Section of International Cooperation and Marketing Head: Anikó Gyorgyovich
Secretariat Head: Andrea Vincze
Japan, East and Southeast Asia Research Centre Head: András
Printing
Various Research Teams Headed by Staff mem-
Staff Members
Outline of the Institute
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In order to appropriately cope with growing research commitments, to ensure the education and training of young researchers and to use financial resources more efficiently, a special ‘external research work’ has been extended, as part of the long-term and deliberate strategy of IWE.
1.3. Financing The tasks laid down in its deed of foundation and the new demands made by the changes taking place in the world economic environment make it essential for the dominance of direct state funding in the Institute's finances to remain. This conclusion is also supported by the widespread international practice of financing institutions that conduct strategic research out of central funds as a way of ensuring a high standard of activity. While strategic research institutes are generally financed in 60 to 70% of their annual budget from central funds throughout the world, contrary tendencies prevailed in IWE's financial situation until 2002, as central funds were limited to basic salaries and their non-wage labour costs. In 2003, however, IWE's total income amounted to HUF 338 mn (about USD 1.6 mn), of which slightly less than 61 per cent of IWE's total income was provided by the Hungarian Academy of Sciences. Other major income sources included research grants provided by Hungarian funds (1 per cent), various domestic sources (17 per cent), participation in international cooperation (10 per cent) and an overhang from fiscal year 2001 (11 per cent). Total expenditure reached HUF 310 mn (about USD 1,5 mn), of which wages, income taxes and social security contributions accounted for almost 67 per cent. Additional major items of expenditure were other research supporting expenses (12 per cent) and communal services and maintenance (21 per cent). The stable and relatively favourable financial situation is the result of the high professional level of the Institute, the attractiveness and practical usefulness of its research results as well as the successful search for new resources. As a rare exception among other academic research institutes, IWE possesses a solid financial background for 2003, which enables it to carry out strategic policy-oriented research and cement longer-term development concepts during the coming years.
1.4. Research Priorities Research activities were characterised by 31 major projects during last year. Contrary to the ruling tendency of the 90s, there was a clear shift from shorter-term to longer-term research in the new decade, though it remained highly policy-oriented still. Six principal research projects were finished during the year (out of which only one had a duration of less than a year), and another ten projects were initiated in 2003. Similarly, eleven research projects started earlier and spread beyond 2003. Research is fundamentally carried out on two basic levels: regional (geographic) and functional. Almost all research projects combine these two approaches, while staff members have to specialise themselves on one regional and at least on one functional topic. Priority areas of research in recent years: (a) Global economic development and transformation ∗ interrelationship of knowledge, growth and globalization; science and technology as a growth factor in smaller economies; ∗ sustainable development amid a system of terms under intensive world-market impacts; ∗ fundamental medium-term changes in the world economy and their impact on Hungary;
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Outline of the Institute ∗ interactions and human dimensions of global demographic, political, economic, technical and social transformation; ∗ globalization and regionalization, with special reference to international capital and labour markets; ∗ relevant features and development trends of the new regionalism; ∗ role of the transnational companies in the shaping of a new global economic system; ∗ current issues of international trade and the role of WTO; ∗ interrelation between globalization and economic transformation; ∗ basic trends of consumption globally and in Central and Eastern Europe.
(b) Economic developments in Europe, with special attention paid to the European Union and Eastern enlargement ∗ the development paths and modernization of selected European countries; ∗ relationship between community policies and different national policies; ∗ key integration processes in the European Union (common agricultural policy, economic and monetary union, experience of the Union's periphery with catching up, institutional reform, experience of ex-EFTA countries in the European Union, regional development, budgetary issues, developments in major EU member countries); ∗ the prospects for, conditions and costs of Eastern enlargement, and Hungary's preparation for full membership; ∗ main features of ‘developmental integration’ and Eastern enlargement; ∗ interdependence between European integration and subregional cooperation; ∗ the major features of Germany's European policy at the beginning of the 21st century. (c) Economic transformation in Central and Eastern Europe ∗ comparative analysis of the CEFTA countries; ∗ transformation and external trade relations, including the changing pattern of East-West division of labour; ∗ impact of foreign direct investment on the macro- and microeconomic performance of transforming countries; ∗ chances of regional cooperation; ∗ economic and political development in Southeast Europe; ∗ the accession of Hungarian agriculture and rural regions to the EU; ∗ Hungary's preparedness for EU accession in the field of infrastructure and services; ∗ Hungarian foreign trade structures in comparison with those of the EU; ∗ the structural transformation of Hungarian manufacturing industry. (d) New economic developments in the Asia-Pacific Region ∗ the lessons drawn from the Far Eastern economic development; ∗ Japan's decade-long stagnation or transformation rather than crisis; ∗ transformation patterns in China and Southeast Asia; ∗ the Chinese Diaspora and the chances of a ‘Chinese Common Market’; ∗ constant and changing elements in the Japanese model of development; ∗ prospects of Korean – Hungarian economic relations. (e) Other key research areas ∗ human development in Hungary; ∗ impact of socio-economic values on the pattern of development; ∗ possible scenarios of economic and social development in Latin America;
Outline of the Institute ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
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micro-level adjustment and cooperation; the role of infrastructure and services in the modernization process; the role of clusters in regional development policy; the measuring of the efficiency impacts of foreign direct investment; sectoral studies.
1.5. Library and Scientific Information Service The IWE's library is a specialised scientific library with national scope. It contains one of Hungary's most important and most up-to-date collections of books, periodicals and statistics on international economic affairs. Since 2000 the library constitutes part of the United Library for Social Sciences together with the libraries of the Institute for Political Sciences, the Institute for Sociology, and the Institute for Minority Research. Through consistent and constant expansion of the IWE's international relations, about 70% of the books and periodicals, including most of the foreign books, have been acquired on exchange base. This is already the case with some publications of the World Bank, the IMF, the OECD and the EU. In addition, almost three-quarters of the annual increase in value of the stock is accounted for publications that arrive under exchanges schemes or as gifts. This remarkably high proportion by national standards ties in with the Institute's own publishing activity. The task of the Scientific Information Service is to obtain the information required for research work, examine it comprehensively, store it, make it available, and distribute the Institute's publications through the conduct of international publication exchanges. The enlarged library’s stock contains more than 200,000 items (including 30,000 archives and 583 kinds of periodicals). Also, the establishment of a CD ROM databank was started and will be further developed in accordance with the financial possibilities of IWE. Last year the Institute was successful in creating the availability of publication distribution via e-mail among all its exchange partners who apply for it. (This may result in substantial savings of postage.) The library's cumulative catalogue can also be searched by the aid of Internet: www.etk.mtapti.hu On the WIIW's (Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche – The Vienna Institute for Comparative Economic Studies) request IWE has joined the WIIW's "Countdown" project and become its Hungarian coordinator. The project aims at collecting in a joint database the names of Central and East European experts working on the European Union, by indicating their activities and the particulars of published as well as unpublished works on the Union prepared in the Central and East European region, mainly in Hungary and available in the library of the Institute. For information about the library please contact our information service, telephone: (36-1) 224 6759.
1.6. Publication and Dissemination Policies In 2003, the publication policy of the IWE followed in the framework of substantial changes introduced in the early 90s. The new publication policy was justified by IWE's growing reputation at home and abroad, its scientific and economy-policy objectives, and not least its aim of influencing public opinion.
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Outline of the Institute
Last year the series Working Papers, Kihívások (Challenges), and Műhelytanulmányok (Workshop Studies) appeared with 9, 9 and 13 issues, respectively. The Working Papers series in English presents the best and internationally competitive products of research by IWE staff, primarily to the professional public abroad. Kihívások, in Hungarian, is designed to inform Hungarian economic policy-makers, members of Parliament, political parties and the broader professional public about current worldeconomic issues, their impact on Hungary and the economic policy measures proposed to be taken. Most of the articles provide clear, readable summaries of significant research work undertaken in the Institute. Műhelytanulmányok, also in Hungarian, presents comprehensive and in-depth analyses, mostly summary reports of major research projects carried out or coordinated by IWE staff members, for the professional community and students of economics in Hungary. In the autumn of 2000, a concise foreign-language series was started (Standpoints in English, Positions in French and Standpunkt in German) in order to disseminate the Institute's view on some economic questions of key importance in the global, European and regional context. Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk (Opinions, Comments, Information) is an even more concise series launched late 200l in Hungarian, and meant for the professional public as well as a wider circle interested in domestic and global issues of the day. Thirty-six of these short notices appeared in 2003. Our Newsletter (Hírfutár), available only in Hungarian so far, is designed to inform the professional public about the ongoing activities at IWE. The Institute’s restructured, new homepage on the Internet offers the possibility of interactive communication in addition to the regularly updated information about IWE (www.vki.hu). The publication activities were complemented by occasional volumes reproducing the proceedings of high-level international conferences or comprehending the findings of major interntional projects run by the Institute. Last year four such independent books appeared. In 2003, staff members published 79 contributions in foreign languages, including two books and 49 papers contained in books. Eighteen contributions appeared in international journals. In order to disseminate IWE's research findings to a broad interested public as well, the Institute regularly organises ‘open conferences’ on relevant and topical global and European issues. Teaching represents an increasingly important activity of most staff members. Based on the basic research results and the fundamentally policy-oriented approach of IWE, we experience a rapidly growing need for dissemination on various levels. Staff members teach regularly in universities both in Hungary (Budapest and several universities in major towns) and abroad, while its director general is a visiting professor to the College of Europe, Bruges, Belgium and Natolin, Poland.
1.7. International Contacts The IWE's international relations have traditionally been very extensive, active and useful. In recent years, the institute has taken part in an average of ten to fifteen international research programmes a year, and organized about ten bilateral and international conferences annually. There is close cooperation with some 30 research institutes, scientific institutions and universities. Staff members travel abroad frequently, and the number of visiting foreign researchers almost reached 70 in 2003. In the same year, IWE was a member of five reputed international scientific bodies (the EADI, the ECSA, the IFIAS, the UNU, and the Centre for Our Common Future). Close collaboration has been built up with the most influential international
Outline of the Institute
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agencies (the IMF, the World Bank, OECD, WTO, Unctad, Unesco, UNDP, Unido, Uncitral, CIPE, ECE, etc.). Similarly to recent years, in 2003 we were coordinators of and participants in several international projects. IWE has built up a special relationship with the World Bank and the Bertelsmann Foundation in launching new projects, and assumes a leading coordinating role both in research and dissemination of the findings. In 2003, staff members delivered more than a hundred lectures in foreign languages in different parts of the world and at international seminars held in Hungary. Twelve international conferences were organized in the past year. In addition, IWE's international network includes longer-term stays of its researchers abroad, work contracts of its staff in leading foreign institutes and international institutions. The Institute's medium-term research concept envisages further significant development of its international relations with some alterations in their nature. The initiative hitherto was usually taken by the IWE, but the change of political and economic system has greatly increased the number of foreign research institutes and international organizations proposing cooperation to the IWE. In line with the main directions of Hungary's economic relations, IWE aims particularly to expand its relations with European countries, including the EU and CEFTA, the United States, Japan and the East and Southeast Asian area. The Institute has already become the centre in Central and Eastern Europe for studies of Japan and Southeast Asia, and a regular informal platform for Latin American ambassadors on Hungarian, European and Latin American issues. Extra attention is given to developing scientific ties with neighbouring countries, particularly through joint research projects, and by inviting economists from these countries in order to promote mutual understanding and the flow of information, while also reinforcing IWE's relations with leading international and Western institutions.
Principal Research Projects
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2. Principal Research Projects
2.1. Global Issues 2.1.1. Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation; Science and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Smaller Economies (KNOGG) Project director: Mihály Simai Duration:
2002–2004
Summary:
The KNOGG Thematic Network studies specific problems regarding science and technology policy in smaller European countries in the era of globalisation and regional integration. As a research project funded by the European Commission, it responds to the R&D Fifth Framework Programme's horizontal programme ‘Improving Human Potential and the Socioeconomic Knowledge’. The objective of the Network is to review experiences in successful small EU member states and candidate countries in regard to the role and potential of STI policies as driving forces of innovation and economic growth. Participants of KNOGG Thematic Network are comprised of leading national research and higher education institutes from small EU member countries (Finland, Ireland, Netherlands, Greece) and accession countries (Hungary and Slovenia). The Network’s coordinator (VATT) and principal contractors organise national workshops and international conferences. The Network in 2002 produced three main reports and a number of country studies as background documents. During the year we also prepared three studies on Hungary. In the first one the concept of small states had to be defined, particularly in the context of science and technology policy, where traditional measures may not provide the most relevant indicators of the relative size of the state. In the second paper the technological capabilities and the innovation policy of Hungary has been analysed. In the focus of the country study was its potential for innovation, its ability to supply national technological needs from domestic sources, and its role in the global market as a supplier or purchaser of new products and processes as well as its relative international competitive position. In the third study the role of transnational corporations in the Hungarian R&D sector has been examined. In 2003 we compiled a book at IWE on the results of the Network whose findings had thematically been published previously by VATT in five volumes.
Principal Research Projects
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2.1.2. Most Important Issues and Processes of the World System in the Early 21st Century Project director: Mihály Simai Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
In the framework of this project the following studies have been made: (1) Civilisations, Civil Society and the Future of Global Security. (The Hungarian version of the paper was published in Magyar Tudomány. The English version was presented at the Convention of the Academic Council on the UN System, in June 2002 in Portugal.) (2) The Age of Global Transformations: New Challenges and Critical Trends of the Early 21st Century (The paper was presented at the annual meeting of the American International Studies Association, in March 2002 in New Orleans.The Hungarian version will appear in a volume by Aula) (3) The Geopolitics of Environmental Security (The study has been incorporated into the State of the World Future Report of 2002 by the American Council of the UN University) (4) The Global Agricultural Sector and the Hungarian Agriculture (in Hungarian) (The paper was presented at the Annual Conference of the Hungarian Statistical Association and appeared in the conference volume.) (5) Religions and the Main Global Churches in the Process of Globalization. (in Hungarian) (It will be published by Justicia and Pax)
Principal Research Projects
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2.1.3. The State of the World Economy, the New Tendencies of Globalization, and Hungary after the Turn of the Millennium Project director:
Péter Farkas
Participants:
Annamária Artner, Ágnes Bernek (ext.)
Duration:
2000–2004
Summary:
In 2002 in the framework of this project a research was completed on the interpretation of world-scale economic globalisation: history, dimensions, definition, hierarchical structures, differentiating and income redistributing mechanisms of world economy and its regional levels. A study was prepared on the regional structure of the world economy, based on the regional placing, investment and trade of transnational companies. One of the most important objectives of the research program is the analysis of the effects of globalisation on Hungary. For this reason a study was made on the effects of foreign investment (including mergers and acquisitions) on Hungary (on its foreign trade balance, company structure, employment, consumption). During the year 2003, we were surveying Hungarian literature of globalisation in the past 30 years. Studies were prepared on the movements of globalisation criticism, as well as on their trends and goals. We also analysed the recent tendencies and prospective trends of foreign direct investment (FDI theories, tendencies of international direct capital flows, including the role of East Europe and Hungary) and started to analyse the structure of international trade on goods and services in the global world, including the connection between FDI and trade. The latter work will be completed in the first quarter of 2004.
Principal Research Projects
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2.1.4. The World Economic Environment of Hungarian Agriculture in the First Decade of the 21st Century Project director: Judit Kiss Participants:
Miklós Somai, Zoltán Tiba
Duration:
2000–2004
Summary:
The main aims of the research are: to reveal and study the ongoing changes and main trends in world agriculture, in agricultural supply and demand, in world agricultural trade and its regulatios, and in the agricultural policy of Hungary’s main partners in the first decade of the 21st century; to draw conclusions from the analysed changes for the benefit of Hungarian agricultural policy, by determining its adjustment possibilities and the challenges it will have to face. The work concentrates on the following areas: * the expected changes of the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy; * the changes of the world agricultural system and world agricultural markets; * the performance of the Central and Eastern European countries’ agriculture with special regard to the CEFTA and the post-Soviet agriculture; * the agricultural policy of the USA and China; * the next WTO round and its implications for regulating world agricultural trade.
Principal Research Projects
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2.2. EU Issues 2.2.1. Challenges of the Political, Economic and Juridical Culture for Hungary in 2000– 2006, with Regard to the Succesful EU Integration and the Changes of the Internal Integration Rules in the European Union Project directors: András Inotai, Margit Rácz Participants:
Staff members of the Institute for World Economics, the Insitutute for Political Studies, the Institute of History and the Institute for Legal Studies
Duration:
2002–2004
Summary:
Under the leadership of the Institute for World Economics, this large-scale project is based on the cooperation among four academic institutes, representing the political, legal, historical and economic aspects of Hungary’s participation in the enlarging European Union. For the first time in the research activities on European integration in Hungary, such a multidisciplinary approach has been applied in order to identify not only the different impacts of and inputs into the European integration, but also to find multiplier factors which can contribute to designing the most appropriate integration strategy of Hungary for the first years of full membership. In 2002, the Institute for Political Studies Analyzed the socio-political development of four small and mainly less-developed EU member countries (Austria, Greece, Ireland, Portugal). The research focussed on the degree to which these countries were able or unable to make use of the new opportunities offered by membership. The level of efficient or inefficient approaches was explained on the basis of domestic political and social conditions. The Institute of History dealt with the politics of selected large Western European countries towards Central and Eastern Europe in the 20th century. Special attention was paid to the strategic or tactical changes in these politics, influenced by domestic or international developments. In 2002, two major studies were prepared, covering the United Kingdom and Germany. The Institute for Legal Studies concentrated on the possibilities of reforming the institutional structure and the decision-making process in the enlarging European Union. Particular emphasis was given to the future of reinforced cooperation and to the areas of qualified majority voting, both of strategic importance in order to formulate an appropriate Hungarian policy. The backbone of the project has been represented by altogether 13 studies prepared in the Institute for World Economics. They covered various aspects of Hungary’s agriculture facing membership, challenges and opportunities of small and medium-sized companies in the enlarging EU, the comparison of Hungary’s level of preparation and adjustment capacity with those of selected Central European countries (Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia), as well as the future of Europe in the light of the Convention. Attention was called to several important policy measures, including (a) the
Principal Research Projects
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quick and efficient establishment of the necessary institutions in the agricultural sector, (b) support to be provided to small and medium-sized companies in order to avoid their flight into the grey zone of economic activities, and (c) the outstanding importance of keeping and strengthening the locational advantages in the enhanced competition for foreign direct investment among Central and Eastern European countries which are supposed to become full-fledged members of the EU as of May 1st, 2004.
2.2.2. The Impact of European Integration and Enlargement on Regional Structural Change and Cohesion Project director: András Inotai Participants:
Andrea Szalavetz, Tamás Szemlér, Anna Wisniewski
Duration:
2002–2005
Summary:
The overall scientific objective of the project is to identify and explain in a cross-country analysis the impact of European integration and enlargement on regional structural change and cohesion. In particular, the project will provide empirical evidence about the relationship between industrial location, regional specialisation and regional income per capita in the context of European integration and EU enlargement. On the basis of our empirical analysis we will predict the types of potential winning and losing regions in both the current EU member states and accession countries. The research results will help identify challenges and recommendations for the regional policy at the European, national and local levels.
Principal Research Projects
18 2.2.3. Strategic Tasks before the European Union Project director: Margit Rácz Participants:
Ferenc Bódi (ext.), Sándor Buzás, Kálmán Dezséri, Endre Ferency (ext.), Jenő Horváth (ext.), Judit Kiss, Tamás Novák, Miklós Somai, Miklós Szanyi, Tamás Szemlér
Duration:
2001–2004
Summary:
In 2003 we closed the second phase of a four-year interdisciplinary research programme. The researchers of the Institute for World Economics surveyed the economies of some big EU member states. Among these countries, the studies on Germany and France are remarkable not only because these two countries have central positions within the EU, but they have significant impact on the changes of the EU decision-making system as well as on the further functioning of EMU. Germany and France have come up against the other ten countries in EMU because these two countries have for a long time violated the Stability and Growth Pact and they have not had to pay any penalty since the Ecofin council exempted them from doing so. Last year greater emphasis was paid to the analysis of the tasks for the Hungarian economy. On this basis a study was written on the tasks of the income and expenditure sides of the Hungarian budget after EU accession. In a separate study the economic policy tasks of Hungarian agriculture before accession were analysed. A comprehensive study was also written on the key tasks of economic policy aiming at catching up prior to accession. Two papers were written by the Institute for Political Sciences of the HAS on some issues of public administration. One of the papers examined Hungarian country planning and regionalisation efforts while the other investigated the chances of subregional integration of Hungarian communities. In the Institute for Law of the HAS a long-range study was written on the recent reform of the EU decision-making system. This study attempts to draw up the directions of further reforms. In the Institute for History of the HAS a comprehensive study was written on Italy.
Principal Research Projects
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2.2.4. The European Union and Its Direct Neighbourhood beyond Enlargement Project director: Tamás Szemlér Participants:
Tamás Novák, Tamás Szigetvári
Duration:
2000–2005
Summary:
The research focuses on three major topics: * The strategic choices of the European Union (EU) to formulate its future system of international political and economic relations. * Economic and political relations, traditions, present and future priorities of the EU with Central and Eastern Europe. * Economic and political relations, traditions, present and future priorities of the EU in the Mediterranean area. The objective of the research is to formulate a strategy – on the basis of the ideas of the EU concerning its future economic and political role – for the desirable development of the common future of the Union and its direct neighbourhood (the countries of Central and Eastern Europe and of the southern and eastern coasts of the Mediterranean Sea).
2.2.5. Hungary's Preparedness for EU Accession Project director: Éva Ehrlich Participants:
Péter Bakonyi (ext.), Zsolt Berki (ext.), Zsolt Denke (ext.), Halászné, Erzsébet Sipos (ext.), Miklós Horváth (ext.), Sándor Kálnoki-Kiss (ext.), Imre Keleti (ext.), Zoltán Kazatsay (ext.), Gyula Lengyel (ext.), József Lovas (ext.), János Monigl (ext.), László Ruppert (ext.), Elemér Saslics (ext.), Ödön Skonda (ext.), Gyula Sallai (ext.), Iván Schmideg (ext.), László Szivi (ext.), András Timár (ext.), István Valkár (ext.), Miklós Varga (ext.), József Pálfalvi (ext.), Miklós Somai, Tamás Szigetvári
Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
A series of studies were completed under the joint title ‘The Feasibility of Meeting EU Expectations by the Time of Hungary's Accession’. During the time span of the project five sectors had been examined: (1) transport – including all its branches (rail and road transport of passangers and goods, combined transport of goods, logistic centres, urban public transport, inland navigation, air transport), (2) water management, (3) postal services, (4) info-telecommunications, (5) energy.
Principal Research Projects
20
2.2.6. The Internal Development of EMU and the Issues of Hungarian Accession Project director: Margit Rácz Participants:
Etelka Bécsy (ext.), Anna Wisniewski
Duration:
2002–2006
Summary:
In our work-group dealing with the Economic and Monetary Union, two studies have been prepared so far. One of them compared the Hungarian and Polish situations in the process of fulfilling the convergence criteria of the Maastricht treaty, while the other introduced and analyzed Hungarian fiscal policy.
2.2.7. The EU Maturity of Hungary and the Accomodating Capability of the Union Project director: Margit Rácz Participants:
Kálmán Dezséri, Balázs Ferkelt (ext.), Klára Fóti, Rolf H. Hasse (ext.), Katalin Nagy (ext.), Gert Nicolaysen (ext.), Wilhelm Nölling (ext.), Martin Seidel (ext.), Wolf Schäfer (ext.), Karl-Ernst Schenk (ext.), Tamás Szemlér
Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
As a result of several years’ cooperation among the Institute for World Economics, the universities in Hamburg and Europa Kolleg, the discussed projects were published in a bilingual book by KJK-Kerszöv in 2003. In the book ‘EU-Kaleidoszkop’, Hungarian and German experts wrote about the internal reforms of the EU and the issues related to the EU accession of Hungary. One of the interesting features of the book is that the opinions of the German and Hungarian experts diverge in several respects. Thus, we emphasised at the time of writing this book that in this work-group everyone represents his or her own opinion. It could be very stimulating for the readers of this book to consider the kind of opinions the German university professors have on the deepening and widening of the EU.
Principal Research Projects
21
2.2.8. Tasks Related to the Channelling of EU Financial Support Project director: Tamás Szemlér Participants:
Annamária Artner, András Bakács, Tamás Szigetvári, Gábor Túry
Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
The research has been carried out for the Hungarian Development Bank (HDB). There were four main research issues: * Proposals for the creation of an EU-conform support system in Hungary, based on experiences in selected EU member states (Greece, Ireland, Portugal). * Experiences of channelling EU transfers in selected EU member states (Greece, Ireland, Portugal). * Background study for the formulation of the investment and credit strategy of HDB. * The co-operation of investment banks with the public administration.
Principal Research Projects
22
2.3. The CEECs and Hungary 2.3.1. Central Europe in 2010 Project Director: Tamás Novák Participants:
Beáta Szatmáry, Anna Wisniewski
Duration:
1999–2003
Summary:
The countries of Central Europe have gone through a very eventful transition period. Economic transformation in the region followed different strategies in the various countries. The objective of the research is to identify whether the significant differences that have developed between the countries are of a lasting character to the region, or a convergence will take place again. The team also tries to outline economic, political and sociological aspects of the potential future.
2.3.2. The Role of the Carpathian Euroregion in the Catching Up of the Participating Counties and Regions with Special Regard to the Innovation Relations Project director: Zsuzsa Ludvig Participants:
András Jánki (ext.), István Süli-Zakar (ext.), Anna Wiesniewski
Duration:
2000–2003
Summary:
This project aimed at analysing the problems of the Carpathian Euroregion and the results already achieved. The following questions were raised: How has the Euroregion cooperation helped the participating counties and regions in their economic development and catching up? Has there any positive change been in the economic developmental position of the Euroregion member counties in Poland, the Ukraine, Slovakia, Romania or Hungary for the last 7 years, or, on the contrary, despite all the efforts within the Euroregion framework the peripheral position has remained steady? The short history, main activities and the structure of the Carpathian Euroregion were studied as well.
Principal Research Projects
23
2.3.3. New Tendencies of Foreign Direct Investment and the Transfer of Technology in Hungary Project Director: Péter Farkas Participants:
Andrea Szalavetz and the authors of case studies
Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
A study have been prepared on the international literature of FDI, with special regard to the effect on R&D in medium-developed countries. We have also summarised the views in Hungarian literature on the subject studied and have synthesized the results of the case studies that dealt with the following subjects: * experiences of foreign companies that resumed R&D activities; * new R&D bases of transnational companies in Hungary; * R&D orders of transnational companies for Hungarian research centres; * utilisation of final Hungarian intellectual products; * technological effects of new subcontracting contracts. According to the evidence presented in the concluding study of the project, the negative impact of FDI on R&D has come to a halt, however, we cannot diagnose a decisive positive change yet.
Principal Research Projects
24 2.3.4. How Can Hungarian Agriculture Be Financed? Project director: Judit Kiss Duration:
2000–2003
Participants:
András Bakács, István Kapronczai (ext.) Miklós Somai, Gábor Udovecz (ext.)
Summary:
The project assumed to reveal how can Hungarian agriculture be financed by internal and external sources, how can the pressing shortage of capital be diminished and how can the sector be modernised and made competitive. In order to answer the above questions, the research work concentrates on the following areas: * The profitability and the self-financing capacity of agriculture with due regard to the performance of agricultural producers’ and input prices, the opening of the so-called agricultural scissors. * The possibilities of bank financing with special attention to the terms, the conditions of agricultural credits and the system of financing via commercial banks. * The role of state subsidies with due regard to budget constraints, WTO obligations and limitations, EU conformity and the requirements to change the subsidy system in a WTO and EU conform manner. Special attention has been paid to agricultural export subsidies as trade in agricultural products still plays a significant role in the Hungarian foreign trade balance. * The role of foreign capital in Hungarian agriculture with special attention to the huge (5–40-fold) difference between the Hungarian and the EU land prices and their future harmonization. * The impact of EU funds in financing Hungarian agriculture: the role of pre-accession funds, namely that of SAPARD, and the impact of agricultural subsidies (market measures, direct payments, rural development) in the post-accession phase.
Principal Research Projects
25
2.3.5. Internal and External Processes Affecting the Competitiveness of Hungarian Agriculture on the Eve of EU Accession Project director: Miklós Somai Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
One of the most delicate issues of Hungary’s EU accession is agriculture. The main objectives of the project are to outline, as precisely as possible, the circumstances that will prevail in Hungary, the EU and the world economy at the time of the accession and to answer the following questions: What are the most probable scenarios for the future of CAP and the Doha Round? What challenges Hungarian producers will have to face and how they might be able to cope with them? How many will have to give up producing? How accession will affect the different sectors and the production structure? How many will be able to survive in animal husbandry?
2.3.6. Human Development Report for Hungary at the Turn of the Millennium Project director: Klára Fóti Participants:
Klára Fóti, Gábor Fóti, Éva Havasi (ext.), Judit Monostori (ext.), József Nemes Nagy (ext.), Márta Záhonyi (ext.)
Duration:
2000–2003
Summary:
This was the fifth time the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) has commissioned a country report on human development in Hungary. This time the Report focused on the issue of human poverty (taking into account the trends over the last ten years) under the title Towards Alleviating Human Poverty. Its structure is as follows: Overview 1. State of Human Development in Hungary 2. Human Poverty and Social Exclusion 3. Poverty and Welfare Benefits Towards Alleviating Human Poverty (concluding chapter) Appendix (statistical database, covering topics and indicators of human development) The Report is now available both in English and Hungarian.
Principal Research Projects
26 2.3.7. Domestic and International Trends in Consumption Project director: András Hernádi Duration:
Continuously
Summary:
On the basis of the concept that consumption precedes and practically determines production, research was focused on whether Central-East European economies and societies, and especially Hungary, can have an identity and follow a model different from that of international trends.
2.3.8. Changes in the Quality of Infrastructure and Services in Hungarian Regions and Major Cities in the Decade of Transition, 1990–2000 Project director: Éva Ehrlich Participants:
Ferenc Erdősi (ext.), Albert Faluvégi (ext.), Imre Lengyel (ext.), Iván Schmideg (ext.), Tamás Szigetvári
Duration:
2001–2004
Summary:
The first phase of the research included the surveying and demonstrating of models and methods for measuring competitiveness. We have elaborated a system of indices for gauging the development level of infrastructure in the regions and major settlements. The examination embraces the 19 counties of Hungary and the 9 cities with inhabitants more than 100,000. Data gained on the county and city levels are being aggregated on the level of the country's seven planning and statistical regions each. Besides some 50 macroeconomic indicators, in the field of infrastructure and services (transport, informatics and telecommunications, health care and medical equipment, housing, environmental features, education and culture, trade and tourism) approximately 120 data are being collected and processed for two years (1990 and 2000) so as to unveil changes in regional development level. By applying this great number of indicators, most of them natural (and with the help of a tried and tested method of synthesis), a multi-segmented regional investigation can also be carried out. This examination will involve such a new approach in revealing regional differences which investigates the causes of disparities and their change over time in groupings, according to the technological or social features of infrastructure. Furthermore, the indicators used in examining the counties and the major cities will render it possible to expose the differences within the regions, and between Budapest and the bigger settlements as well. Determining the changes that took place in the last decade may immediately be utilized in mitigating Hungarian regional disparities of infrastructural development level and in obtaining EU funds already accessible for this purpose.
Principal Research Projects
27
2.3.9. Hungarian Infrastructure in International Comparison. The Decade of Transition (1990–2000) Project director: Éva Ehrlich Participants:
Albert Faluvégi (ext.), Iván Schmideg (ext.), Tamás Szigetvári
Duration:
2003–2004
Summary:
We have set out to present and assess the situation of several Hungarian infrastructural spheres in the light of a constantly changing international environment (by comparison with those of long-established market economies and transitional countries) These are: * various branches of transportation, * informatics and telecommunications, * health care, * education and culture, * environmental protection. We determined the development level of the five fields examined (using the database of the Central Statistical Office as well) by 49 natural economic indicators. However, in conducting the survey we were obliged to omit the field of housing and housing equipment due to an almost complete lack of reliable international data. The questions raised to answering are the following: Does the Hungarian way of development draw closer to international trends or, on the contrary, it becomes more distinct for some reason or another? Where does Hungary stand in the international ranking of the above-mentioned spheres? How can, in this respect, processes after the change of system be described and evaluated in Hungary? We tried to put emphasis on areas of infrastructure that especially promote (may promote) or even stimulate (may stimulate) the dynamism of Hungarian economy and enhance (may enhance) its competitiveness on the one hand, and in which the joining of international networks and the EU became extremely important on the other.
Principal Research Projects
28
2.3.10. Some Major Aspects of Integrational Adjustment in the Fields of Hungarian Infrastructure Project director: Éva Ehrlich Participants:
Endre Bakos (ext.), Sándor Búzás, Istvánné Csejtei (ext.), Péter Holló (ext.), Szabolcs Koppányi (ext.), Gyula Lengyel (ext.), József Lovas (ext.), Szabolcs Nyíri (ext.), Kálmán Papp (ext.), István Pálfalvy (ext.), Elemér Saslics (ext.), Iván Schmideg (ext.), Miklós Somai, Tamás Szigetvári, László Szivi (ext.), Géza Tényi (ext.), András Timár (ext.), Károly Tóth (ext.), István Valkár (ext.)
Duration:
2003–2004
Summary:
Each of the nine major studies being prepared within the framework of this project tackle topical issues related to EU accession: 1. The investigation into the responsibilities and regulatory powers of the central and local governments in transforming public infrastructure; the conditions, possibilities and methods of necessary decentralization. (A thorough examination in this question is especially urgent since widening the scope of action of local governments is an item on the agenda, involving the establishment of an adequate system of financing.) 2. The investigation into the finances of public infrastructure and public enterprises, including their management as well as the creation and allocation of resources; the elaboration of recommendations. 3. Factors determining the competitiveness of transportation (as a whole and its main branches); the formation of the division of labour in the sector in line with EU directives issued in the White Book (2001) on transport policy. 4. Discrepancies between maintenance and development and the reasons of their related strains; the creation of the conditions and methods of striking a balance between maintenance and development. 5. The assessment of the roles played by venture capital and private enterprises in the field of transportation, water management, logistics and postal services; the modes and potentialities of public private partnership. 6. The strategic tasks of the international shipping of goods and transport of passengers with special regard to transit. 7. The state of road safety; the making of recommendations for reducing the risks of accidents, in compliance with EU targets. 8. The security of energy supply and the effects of market-liberalizing processes with great emphasis on the domestic introduction of the new EU directive. 9. The situation of water management in neighbouring countries and its prospects; the questions and impacts of bilateral and multilateral watermanaging agreements and regulations, with special attention to the tasks to perform Hungary had been set. 10. A survey of the most necessary regulations in boosting the development of information-technology infrastructure and putting forward recommendations conform to the established rules of the European Union.
Principal Research Projects
29
2.3.11. Strengthening the Competitiveness of Hungary Project director: Andrea Szalavetz Duration:
2003–2004
Participants:
Annamária Artner, Zoltán Bassa, Sándor Buzás, György Csáki (ext.), András Inotai, István Kőrösi, Gábor Lakatos, Csaba Novák (ext.), Margit Rácz Our research project on the competitiveness of Hungary is organized around four work packages. The first tackles the theoretical underpinnings of the factors that influence Hungary’s economic competitiveness. In a series of theoretical studies we examine the relation between economic efficiency and export structure, between the industry mix of a country and its competitiveness, as well as the changes in international direct investment tendencies and the effects of these changes on the competitiveness of the Hungarian economy. We seek answer to the question whether transnational corporations, carriers of the globalisation of R&D also drive this globalisation process outside the center of the world economy or only within the most developed countries. In the frame of the second work package we examine the effect of the quality parameters of physical assets and the quantity parameters of the capital stock on the competitiveness of the companies. In order to obtain a real picture on the situation we survey five industries. According to our hypothesis, in the absence of modern, highly developed and internationally competitive technology, even the sophisticated, innovative human capital is not able to compensate for the competitive disadvantages deriving from this situation. Our research is built on interviews with company CEOs and representatives of business federations and also on the compilation and survey of the Hungarian and international literature. The industrial branches to be examined are the following: motor-car-parts industry, textile industry, confectionery industry, foundry industry, test and measuring instruments industry. The aim of the third work package is twofold. The first one is international comparison of various macroeconomic factors of competitiveness. The second is to examine changes in the determinants of competitiveness after Hungary’s accession to the European Union. Finally in the frame of the fourth workpackage our aim is to prepare a comprehensive „handbook” of economic policy recommendations aimed at strengthening national competitiveness.
Summary:
Principal Research Projects
30
2.3.12. Structural Change in Hungary. Theoretical Underpinnings and Empirical Analysis Project director: Andrea Szalavetz Duration:
2003–2004
Summary:
Our research rests on two pillars. In the first part of the research we examined the relation between technological development and structural change. We tried to answer the question, whether technological development automatically leads to an increase in the level of specialization. We also examined the flip side of the coin: whether the industries, which a given country is specialized in, exhibit a higher than the average rate of technological development? Finally we formulated our own opinion about the evergreen question, whether we can speak of such a thing as a ‘good specialization’. We tried to complement two well-known theories of structural change with the theory of technological complementarity. The two theories we complemented were (1) the multi-stage theory of technological accumulation and (2) the evolutionary theory, that explains economic growth with the emergence and the development of new industries. The second part of the research (starting in 2004) tries to discover and analyze changes in the relation between technological development and factor intensity.
2.3.13. Relationship with East Central European Countries after Accession Project director:
Tamás Novák
Participants:
András Bakács, Zsuzsa Ludvig, Gábor Tury
Duration:
2002–2003
Summary:
The aim of the research project is to elaborate a strategy towards East Central European countries for the post-accession period. East Central Europe is divided into three groups in the research: accession countries, South East European Countries and East European countries (focusing on Russia and Ukraine). With preparing sub-strategies for the different regions a coherent policy oriented proposal is to be formed.
Principal Research Projects
31
2.3.14. Development Policies and Institutions Participating in Development Policies Project director: Tamás Novák Participants:
András Bakács, Zsuzsa Ludvig, Gábor Tury
Duration:
2003–2004
Summary:
The project is aimed at analyzing policies and institutional preparations in accession countries for supporting catching up and development after accession. With the analyses of successful models of EU countries and the drawing of conclusions from the experiences of Central European countries, a proposal is to be elaborated for the effective framing of the Hungarian development policy model with the most suitable institutional structure.
Principal Research Projects
32
2.4. Selected Topics 2.4.1. Latin American Economic Development Project director: Sándor Buzás Duration:
1999–2004
Summary:
After the lost decade (the eighties), in the last ten years the region has shown a more encouraging and promising picture. The processes of democratization, trade liberalization, and parallel with them the growing attention given by foreign investors to the area made possible to start catching up with the developed world. But the Asian crisis, the effects of natural disasters of recent years as well as the Argentinian events made the near future uncertain. In fact, these havocs are real dangers for the promising evolution of integration processes in the region. The assignment of this project is to follow developments in Latin America, and to outline the possible scenarios of economic and social development.
2.4.2. 'Greater China' as a Decisive Power of the Next Century Project director: Klára Mészáros Participants:
Gyula Jordán (ext.), István Mádi (ext.), Barna Tálas (ext.)
Duration:
1998–2003
Summary:
In its first part the project deals with the processes of development in the biggest unit of Greater China, the People's Republic of China. In forming its position as a big power, the coincidence of three factors is of utmost importance. First, the changes in international environment and the collapse of the bipolar world order should be mentioned. The success of the reforms and the policy of modernization started in 1979 have to be counted as the second factor. Third are the basic conditions determined by the quantitative factors, such as territory, population, etc. The second part of the project considers Chinese territories with various international standings and tries to assess their abilities and possibilities to form a kind of ‘Chinese Common Market’.
Principal Research Projects
33
2.4.3. Science and Technology Policy in China: Further Cooperation with International Communities – the European Union and Hungary Project director: Klára Mészáros Duration:
2003
Summary:
In its first part the project deals with the reforms of science and technology policy in China. The factors that served as the fundamentals of the rapid development and strengthening of the country are (i) the exceptional harmony of internal and external conditions for modernization and (ii) the extensive spread of innovations. The second part of the project takes into account the chances of improving cooperation with the EU and Hungary. The contacts between China and the Union are tightening. In case of Hungary relations are still dominated by bilateral agreements. However, the weight of other forms of cooperation – such as investment, scientific and technological exchange programs – is steadily growing.
Principal Research Projects
34
2.4.4. Turning Points in Japan and Southeast Asia: Facts, Experiences, Reasons and Prospects. Lessons for the Central and Eastern European Countries Project director: Éva Ehrlich Participants:
Zoltán Bassa, István Benczes (ext.), András Hernádi, Gábor Hunya, Ferenc Kozma (ext.), Ilona Mészáros (ext.), Valéria Szekeres (ext.), Ferencné Szittya (ext.), Barna Tálas (ext.)
Duration:
1999–2003
Summary:
This research goes in quest for the answer to the query of what advantages and disadvantages, even hindrances, may the mere existence of economically more developed countries mean to late-comers in their joining and catching up with a world economy determined by the former. To what extent do the periodically varying world economic constraints collide with the historically evolved social and economic endowments of emerging nations? What kind of contradictions and tensions may the following of a previously successful closing-up strategy in a changed world economic environment lead to? This research scrutinizes the last two decades of economic development in Japan and Southeast Asia. South Korea, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia are the ones among the Southeast Asian nations that we especially investigate beside Japan. China is only considered as far as the features of progress in the above countries render it necessary. The assessment of the recent stages of economic development, and the analyzes of the reasons and effects of Japan's decade-long stagnation can provide useful lessons to former socialist countries, for the experiences gained can also show a way of how to avoid the standstills and blind alleys their transition might hide.
Principal Research Projects
35
2.4.5. Far Eastern Responses to Globalization Project director:
András Hernádi
Participants:
Annamária Artner, Zoltán Bassa, Klára Mészáros, András Székely-Doby
Duration:
2003
Summary:
This project was aimed at analyzing and highlighting the responses to globalization by the main role players in the Far East. In the case of Japan, its regionalism, management reforms, R&D and foreign policy measures were scrutinized, while for China and India, their internal economies were looked at more closely. Appropriate government policies and structural reforms were in the focus when the two smaller, export-oriented economies, i.e. South Korea and Taiwan were analyzed. In the cases of some ASEANcountries and also, in a more general approach, throughout Asia, the critical voices towards globalization were taken stock of as well.
Projects for Hungarian Policy Makers
36
3. Major Research Projects Prepared for Hungarian Policy Makers Prepared for the PRIME MINISTER'S OFFICE The Feasibility of Meeting EU Expectations by the Time of Hungary's Accession Project coordinator: Éva Ehrlich Globalization, European Union, Economic Policy Project coordinator: Péter Farkas The Internal Development of the Economic and Monetary Union and the Issues of Hungarian Accession Project coordinator: Margit Rácz Strengthening the Competitiveness of Hungary Project coordinator: Andrea Szalavetz Prepared for the MINISTRY OF EDUCATION Challenges of the Political, Economic and Juridical Culture for Hungary in 2000–2006, with Regard to the Succesful EU Integration and the Changes of the Internal Integration Rules in the European Union Project coordinators: András Inotai, Margit Rácz The Role of the Carpathian Euroregion in the Catching Up of the Participating Counties and Regions with Special Regard to the Innovation Relations Project coordinator: Zsuzsa Ludvig Comparison of the Conditions of Accession of the Newly Acceding Countries The Strategical Tasks of the European Union Project coordinator: Sándor Meisel Prepared for the MINISTRY OF ECONOMY AND TRANSPORT Transport Strategy at the Beginning of the 21st Century Project coordinator: Éva Ehrlich The Analysis of the Modernisation Paths and Development Strategies of Eight Selected European Countries Project coordinator: Judit Kiss Economic-System Change in East Central Europe Project coordinator: Tamás Novák Elaboration of the Strategy for East, Southeast and Central Europe
Projects for Hungarian Policy Makers
37
Project coordinator: Tamás Novák The Possibilities of the Increase of the Efficiency and Competitiveness of the Hungarian Transport Networks Based on International Experiences (HAVER) Project coordinator: Tamás Fleischer The Preparation of the Road Freight Sector for the EU Integration (KOSZAL) Project coordinator: Tamás Fleischer Prepared for the MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT AND WATER MANAGEMENT The Aid-Policy of the United States, Especially in the Field of Environment Protection. Project coordinator: András Székely-Doby Prepared for the MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS The Future of the European Union (preparation of background papers for the Hungarian members of the Convention) Project participant: Krisztina Vida Prepared for PEST COUNTY SELF-GOVERNMENT The Structure Plan of Pest County Project coordinator: Tamás Fleischer
Projects Financed by Hungarian Research Funds
38
4. Major Projects in Preparation Financed by Hungarian Research Funds Research topic
Coordinator
Period
Turning Points in Japan and Southeast Asia: Facts, Experiences, Reasons and Prospects. Lessons for the East-Central European Countries on the Path of Modernization
Éva Ehrlich
1999–2003
The State of the World Economy, the New Tendencies of Globalization, and Hungary after the Turn of the Millennium
Péter Farkas
2000–2003
The World Economic Environment of the Hungarian Agriculture in the First Decade of the 21st Century
Judit Kiss
2000–2004
Klára Mészáros
2003–2004
Structural Change in Hungary Theoretical Underpinnings and Empirical Analysis
Andrea Szalavetz
2003–2004
The European Union and Its Direct Neighbourhood beyond Enlargement
Tamás Szemlér
2002–2005
Péter Farkas
2002–2003
Judit Kiss
2000–2003
Miklós Somai
2002–2003
OTKA*
The Political and Economical Relationship’s between Taiwan and Mainland China from Song-Dynasty to Present
OKTK** New Tendencies of Foreign Direct Investment and the Transfer of Technology in Hungary How Can the Hungarian Agriculture Be Financed? Internal and External Processes Affecting the Competitiveness of Hungarian Agriculture on the Eve of EU Accession
*
OTKA = National Research Fund for Social Sciences OKTK = National Priority Research in Social Sciences
**
Projects Financed by Hungarian Research Funds
39
NKFP*** Changes in the Quality of Infrastructure and Services in Hungarian Regions and Major Cities in the Decade of Transition, 1990–2000
Éva Ehrlich
2001–2004
The Strategical Tasks of the European Union
András Inotai
2000–2004
The Change of System in Hungary
Tamás Novák
2001–2004
The Future of the Southeast European Region
Tamás Novák
2002–2005
***
NKFP = National Research and Development Programme
Participation in International Projects
40
5. Coordination of and Participation in International Projects Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation (KNOGG) – Science and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Smaller Economies R&D 5th Framework Programme, European Commission Coordinator: Mihály Simai The Impact of European Integration and Enlargement on Regional Structural Change and Cohesion R&D 5th Framework Programme, European Commission Coordinator: Center for European Integration Studies, University of Bonn Hungarian participants: András Inotai, Andrea Szalavetz, Tamás Szemlér Most Important Issues and Processes of the World System in the Early 21st Century United Nations University Coordinator: Mihály Simai Toward a Wider Europe: Challenges and Chances of Eastern Enlargement of the EU Coordinators: Stefan Fröhlich, Rheinische Friedrich Wilhelms Universität, Bonn and Katalin Botos, Pázmány Péter Catholic University Hungarian participant: István Kőrösi Visegrad Cooperation as Seen by the Citizens of Four Countries. Visegrad Fund and Institute of Public Affairs, Bratislava Hungarian participant: Tamás Novák Human Development in Hungary UNDP Project Hungarian coordinator: Klára Fóti Changing Labour Markets, Welfare Policies and Citizenship, COST 13A Action Programme, Group 4 on Youth Hungarian participant: Klára Fóti Evaluation of the Dutch Policy Concerning the Accession of Countries from Central Europe to the European Union, Coordinator: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands Hungarian participant: Judit Kiss The EU Maturity of Hungary and the Accomodating Capability of the Union IWE–Europa Kolleg Project Hungarian Coordinator: Margit Rácz
Participation in International Projects
41
Administrative Capacity Building in Central and Eastern European Candidate Countries: the Case of Hungary Coordinator: Gaby Umbach, Institut für Europäische Politik, Berlin Hungarian participant: Gábor Lakatos An Enlarged European Union and Ukraine – New Relations Stefan Batory Foundation (Poland) and International Renaissance Foundation (Ukraine) Hungarian participant: Zsuzsa Ludvig Stability of Trade Policy in the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary PHARE ACE Project Coordinator: Zdenek Drabek, WTO, Geneva Hungarian participant: Sándor Meisel Taiwan – Taipei – Materials Related to the Republic of China in Hungarian Archives (1999– 2003) Coordinator: Chiang Ching-kuo Foundation for International Scholarly Exchange Hungarian coordinator: Klára Mészáros CEEC Debate on the Future of Europe European Commission–TEPSA–Université Catholique de Louvain joint project Coordinators: Dorota Pyszna-Nigge – Christian Franck, Université Catholique de Louvain Hungarian participant: Krisztina Vida Technical Trade Barriers between the EU and the CEECs CEPS Project Hungarian coordinator: Kálmán Dezséri ECOCITY (Urban Development towards Appropriate Structures for Sustainable Transport) ADAPT EU-5 Hungarian coordinator: Cs. Koren, Széchenyi University, Győr Hungarian participant: Tamás Fleischer Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) of the Regional Operative Program (ROP) of the National Development Plan (NFT) (Participation in the work of the Consort founded for the elaboration of the SEA as part of the ROP developed in the frame of the Vati Kht) Hungarian coordinator: Endre Tombácz, Öko Rt. Hungarian participant: Tamás Fleischer Elaboration of a Feasibility Study for the Sustainable Transport of the Neusiedler/Fertö Lake Area Project Coordinator: Phare CBC Hungary – Austria Program Hungarian participant: Tamás Fleischer
The Institute’s Publications in 2003
42
6. Publications 6.1. IWE Publications in 2003 6.1.1. Working Papers (in English) No.134 Andrea SZALAVETZ 'Tertiarization' of Manufacturing Industry in the New Economy. Experiences in Hungarian Companies. 14 p. No.135 Yoji KOYAMA The Transition to a Market Economy in the Sucessor States of Former Yugoslavia. Differences of North and South. 42 p. No.136 Kálmán DEZSÉRI Business-Cycle Development in Hungary and Europe: The Consequences of EU and EMU Accession for Hungary’s Labour Market. 17 p. No.137 Éva EHRLICH and Tamás SZIGETVÁRI Transformation and Hungarian Regional Development: Facts, Trends, Dilemmas and Objectives. 30 p. No.138 Annamária ARTNER, Zoltán BASSA, András HERNÁDI, Klára MÉSZÁROS and András SZÉKELY-DOBY Far Eastern Responses to Globalization. 38 p. No.139 Tamás FLEISCHER Infrastructure Networks in Central Europe and EU Enlargement. 17 p.
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No.140 Klára FÓTI Potential Migration from Hungary to Austria after EU Accession and Possible Impacts of This. 25 p. No.141 Miklós SZANYI An FDI-Based Development Model for Hungary – New Challenges? 20 p. No.142 Andrea SZALAVETZ Peripheral Participants in Global Production Networks. Changing Dynamics in the Transformation from Industrial to Intellectual Capitalism. 23 p.
6.1.2. Kihívások (‘Challenges’ – in Hungarian) No.162 Attila KULCSÁR Olaj + háború = biztonság? 20 p. (Oil + War = Security?) No.163 András SZÉKELY-DOBY Széllel szemben: India gazdasága az ezredfordulón. 12 p. (Against the Wind: the Indian Economy at the Millennium) No.164 Tamás SZIGETVÁRI Információs technológiai trendek a világban és Magyarországon. 8 p. (Information-Technology Trends in the World and Hungary) No.165 Judit KISS A CAP legújabb reformja. 12 p. (The Latest Reform of CAP) No.166 Zsuzsa LUDVIG Ukrajna európai ambíciói és a realitások. 16 p. (The European Ambitions of Ukraine and the Realities) No.167 Miklós SOMAI A közvetlen kifizetések és az unió bővítése. 16 p. (Direct Payments and EU Enlargement)
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No.168 Krisztina VIDA Az európai konvent alkotmánytervezete. 16 p. (The Draft Constitution of the European Convention) No.169 Klára FÓTI A szegénység enyhítéséért – helyzetkép és javaslatok (Az azonos című, a humán fejlettségről szóló országjelentés főbb megállapításai) 8 p. (Towards Alleviating Poverty – a Survey and Recommendations [Major Conclusions of the Country Report on Human Development under the Same Title]) No.170 István KŐRÖSI Ausztria az Európai Unióban. Érdekeltsége a kibővítésben. Az osztrák gazdaság helyzete a XXI. század elején. 16 p. (Austria in the EU and Its Interests in Enlargement. The Situation of Austrian Economy at the Beginning of the 21st Century)
6.1.3. Műhelytanulmányok (‘Workshop Studies’ – in Hungarian) No.42 László HADAS A globalizáció árnyoldalai és a hírszerzés. Új kihívások. 108 p. (The Drawbacks of Globalization and the Intelligence. New Challenges) No.43 Tamás SZEMLÉR A strukturális alapok felhasználásának tapasztalatai Szászországban. 20 p. (The Experiences of the Use of Structural Funds in Saxony) No.44 Andrea SZALAVETZ Technológiafejlődés, specializáció, komplementaritás, szerkezetátalakulás (Szakirodalmi áttekintés). 18 p. (Technological Development, Specialization, Complementarity, Structural Transformation [An Overview of Bibliogarphy]) No.45 Barnabás SZABÓ Hogyan készítsük fel vállalkozásunkat az uniós piacra? 34 p. (How to Prepare Our Enterprise for the Union’s Market?)
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No.46 Andrea SZALAVETZ A hagyományos és a gyorsan növekvő ágazatok támogatására alkalmazott iparstratégiai eszközök. 18 p. (Industrial-Strategy Instruments for Supporting Traditional and Fast Growing Branches) No.47 Miklós SOMAI A közvetlen kifizetések és az EU keleti bővülése. 54 p. (Direct Payments and the Eastern Enlargement of the EU) No.48 Tamás SZEMLÉR Franciaország gazdasági helyzete és a francia gazdaságpolitika előtt álló kihívások. 18 p. (The Economic Situation of France and the Challenges for French Economic Policy) No.49 Annamária ARTNER A magyar telephelyű multinacionális cégek EU-csatlakozásunkkal kapcsolatos érdekei és ellenérdekei. 22 p. (The Interests and Opposing Interests of Multinationals with Hungarian Places of Business in Our Joining the EU) No.50 Csaba NOVÁK A külföldi működőtőke és a technológiai tovagyűrűzés Magyarországon. 16 p. (Foreign Direct Investment and Dispersion of Technology in Hungary) No.51 Annamária ARTNER Írország hivatalos fejlesztési támogatási politikája, különös tekintettel a környezetvédelemre. 18 p. (Ireland’s Official Development Assistance Policy with Special Regard to Environmental Protection) No.52 Andrea ÉLTETŐ Integráció és nemzetközi versenyképesség – a magyar gazdaság esélyei. 41 p. (Integration and International Competitiveness – the Chances of Hungarian Economy) No.53 Annamária ARTNER – György CSÁKI – András INOTAI – Andrea SZALAVETZ Gazdasági versenyképesség a 21. században. 23 p. (Economic Competitiveness in the 21st Century) No.54 Annamária ARTNER Globalizációkritika a világban. Az „antiglobalizációs” mozgalmak céljai és tevékenysége. 37 p. (Globalization Criticism. The Aims and Activities of Anti-Globalization Movements)
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6.1.4. Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk (‘Opinions, Comments, Information’ – in Hungarian) No.48 Sándor BUZÁS Új kormány Brazíliában, új remények Latin-Amerikában (New Government in Brazil, New Hopes in Latin America) No.49 Judit KISS Agrárcsatlakozási kilátásaink Koppenhága után. Az agrárcsatlakozási tárgyalások mérlege. I. rész (Our Prospects of Agricultural Accession after Copenhagen. An Assessment of the Negotiations of Agricultural Accession. Part One) No.50 Judit KISS Agrárcsatlakozási kilátásaink Koppenhága után. Költségvetési, termelési, jövedelmi, ár- és külkereskedelmi hatások. II. rész (Our Prospects of Agricultural Accession after Copenhagen. The Impacts on Production, Income, Prices, Foreign Trade and on the Budget. Part Two) No.51 Klára MÉSZÁROS Turizmus – jönnek a kínaiak (Tourism – the Chinese Are Coming) No.52 Margit RÁCZ Az Európai Unióról 2003 elején (On the European Union at the Beginning of 2003) No.53 Mihály SIMAI A világgazdaság távlatai és az iraki háború (World Economic Prospects and the Iraqi War) No.54 Tamás SZEMLÉR Francia nagyhatalmi álmok (French Great-Power Dreams) No.55 András HERNÁDI Vírusokra virtusok? (Viruses and Virtues?)
The Institute’s Publications in 2003 No.56 Judit KISS Hogyan finanszírozható a magyar mezőgazdaság? (How Can Hungarian Agriculture Be Financed?) No.57 Gábor TÚRY Szlovákia az Európaházban (Slovakia in the House of Europe) No.58 Miklós SZANYI Tőkevonzás és gyárbezárás: jön, vagy megy a tőke? (Capital Attraction and Closure: Whether Capital Comes or Goes?) No.59 Krisztina VIDA Születőben az európai alkotmány (The European Constitution Being Born) No.60 Judit KISS A CAP legújabb agrárreformja I. (The Latest Reform of CAP. Part One) No.61 Judit KISS A CAP legújabb agrárreformja II. (The Latest Reform of CAP. Part Two) No.62 Klára MÉSZÁROS Hongkong a demokráciára szavaz (Hongkong Votes for Democracy) No.63 Margit RÁCZ A magyar GMU-csatlakozás időpontja (About the Timing of Joining EMU) No.64 Sándor MEISEL Mi is történt Cancúnban? (What Has Really Happened in Cancún?) No.65 Anna WISNIEWSKI Az európai alkotmánytervezet lengyel szemmel (The European Constitution in Polish Eyes)
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No.66 Miklós SOMAI Hogyan tehető hatékonyabbá és vonzóbbá a tömegközlekedés? (How Can Public Transport Be Made More Efficient and More Attractive?) No.67 Tamás SZEMLÉR Egy év haladék Párizsnak – és ami mögötte van (One Year’s Grace for Paris – and What Is Behind It) No.68 Krisztina VIDA Az Európai Bizottság monitoring-jelentése Magyarországról (The Monitoring Report of the European Commission on Hungary) No.69 Annamária ARTNER Ázsiai gazdasági unió felé? (Toward an Asian Economic Union?) No.70 Annamária ARTNER A „maláj út” kérdőjelei: gondolatok Mahathir elnök távozása kapcsán (Question Marks over the ‘Malayan Way’: Thoughts about the Departure of President Mahathir) No.71 Margit RÁCZ Tovagyűrűző instabilitás? (Diffusing Instability?)
6.1.5. Joint Publications Klára FÓTI – Gábor FÓTI eds. Alleviating Poverty: Analysis and Recommendations. Human Development Report for Hungary 2000–2002, Budapest: United Nations Development Programme and Institute for World Economics, 102 p. A szegénység enyhítéséért – helyzetkép és javaslatok (Towards Alleviating Poverty – a Survey and Recommendations). Országjelentés a „humán fejlettségről” 2000–2002 (Human Development Report), Budapest: United Nations Development Programme and Institute for World Economics, 100 p.
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6.1.6. Occasional Publications Gábor FÓTI and Zsuzsa LUDVIG eds. The Future of Europe. Relations between the Enlarging European Union and Russia and Ukraine, Proceedings of the international seminar held in Budapest, 7–8 June 2002, Budapest: Institute for World Economics, 153 p. András HERNÁDI ed. A harmadik világból az elsőbe – A "szingapúri sztori" 1965–2000. Szingapúr és Ázsia gazdasági fellendülése (From Third World to First. The 'Singapore Story' 1965–2000. Singapore and the Asian Economic Boom), (Translation of and prologue to Lee Kuan Yew's book by András Hernádi), Budapest: IWE, 514 p. Gábor FÓTI and Mihály SIMAI eds. Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció. A tudomány- és technológiapolitika mint növekedési tényező kis országokban (Knowledge, Growth and Globalization. Science and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Small Countries), Budapest: Institute for World Economics, 130 p. Mihály SIMAI Hatalmi érdekek és kompromisszumok. Az eviani G8-csúcskonferencia hátteréről (Power Concerns and Compromises. On the Background of the G8 Summit in Evian), Budaepst: IWE, 6 p.
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6.2. Publications by IWE Staff Members in 2003 (titles in the language of publications) Annamária ARTNER A magyar telephelyű multinacionális cégek EU-csatlakozásunkkal kapcsolatos érdekei és ellenérdekei (The Interests and Opposing Interests of Multinationals with Hungarian Places of Business in Our Joining the EU), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 49, Budapest: IWE, 22 p. Írország hivatalos fejlesztési támogatási politikája, különös tekintettel a környezetvédelemre (Ireland’s Official Development Assistance Policy with Special Regard to Environmental Protection), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 51, Budapest: IWE, 18 p. Globalizációkritika a világban. Az „antiglobalizációs” mozgalmak céljai és tevékenysége (Globalization Criticism. The Aims and Activities of Anti-Globalization Movements), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 54, Budapest: IWE, 37 p. Ázsiai gazdasági unió felé? (Toward an Asian Economic Union?), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 69, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. A „maláj út” kérdőjelei: gondolatok Mahathir elnök távozása kapcsán (Question Marks over the ‘Malayan Way’: Thoughts about the Departure of President Mahathir), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 70, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘Előnyök, buktatók, kétségek: a görög gazdaság tapasztalatai az EU-csatlakozás után’ (Benefits, Pitfalls, Doubts: Experiences of the Greek Economy after EU Accession), Üzleti 7, Vol. 8, No. 16, p. 11. ‘Asian Criticism of Globalization’ in Far Eastern Responses to Globalization, IWE Working Papers, No. 138, Budapest: IWE, pp. 31–38. Annamária ARTNER – György CSÁKI – András INOTAI – Andrea SZALAVETZ Gazdasági versenyképesség a 21. században (Economic Competitiveness in the 21st Century), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 53, Budapest: IWE, 23 p. András BAKÁCS ‘A Snapshot of the Visegrad Economies’ in Olga Gyárfásova ed., Visegrad Citizens on the Doorstep of the European Union, Bratislava: Institute for Public Affairs, pp. 39–49. ‘A tudomány és a technológiapolitika szerepe kis országok gazdaságában’ (The Role of Science and Technology Policy in Small Economies), in Gábor Fóti and Mihály Simai eds., Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció (Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation), Budapest: IWE, pp. 15–29.
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Zoltán BASSA ‘South Korea and Taiwan Face the Challenges of Globalization’ in Far Eastern Responses to Globalization, IWE Working Papers, No. 138, Budapest: IWE, pp. 12–17. ‘A tudomány-, technológia- és innovációs politikák egyes európai kis országokban’ (Science, Technology and Innovation Policies in Selected Small European Countries), in Gábor Fóti and Mihály Simai eds., Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció (Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation), Budapest: IWE, pp. 30–47. ‘A társadalom és egyes rétegeinek szerepe a tudomány, a technológia és az innováció fejlődésében’ (The Role of Society and Its Certain Strata in the Development of Science, Technology and Innovation), in Gábor Fóti and Mihály Simai eds., Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció (Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation), Budapest: IWE, pp. 85–97. Sándor BUZÁS Új kormány Brazíliában, új remények Latin-Amerikában (New Government in Brazil. New Hopes in Latin America), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 48, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘A NAFTA-hoz való csatlakozás hatása Mexikóra’ (The Impact of Joining NAFTA on Mexico), in Ferenc Fischer, Gábor Kozma and Lilón Domingo eds., Első Pécsi Latinamerikanista Találkozó Tudományos Szeminárium (The First Latin Americanists Seminar in Pécs), Pécs: PTE Latin-Amerika Központ, pp. 49–78. Kálmán DEZSÉRI Business-Cycle Development in Hungary and Europe: the Consequences of EU and EMU Accession for Hungary’s Labour Market, IWE Working Papers, No. 136, Budapest: IWE, 17 p. ‘Alternatives and Dilemmas of Joining the Economic and Monetary Union for the Accession Countries’ in Serena Giusti and Lucia Tajoli eds., Convergence in the Enlarged European Union, Milano: Egea – Inst. per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale, pp. 119–152. ‘Exchange Rate Policy in the Transition Economies – EU Enlargement and Joining EMU’ in Heiduk, G. and Horvath, J. eds., On Some Currency Regime Considerations for the Visegrad Countries, Berlin: Duncker and Humblot, pp. 155–175. ‘A magyar fiskális politika kihívásai a GMU-csatlakozás tükrében’ (Challenges to Hungarian Fiscal Policy in the Light of Joining EMU), in Margit Rácz ed., EU-Kaleidoskop: Magyarország EU-érettsége és az EU fogadókészsége: magyar és német szakértők álláspontja (EU Kaleidoscope: the EU Maturity of Hungary and the Accommodating Capability of the Union. Standpoints of Hungarian and German Experts), Budapest: KJK-KERSZÖV, pp. 152–159 and 311–319.
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‘Az EU-országok és a magyar gazdaság konjunktúraciklusainak alakulása: az EU és a gazdasági és monetáris unióba csatlakozás hatásai a magyar munkaerőpiacra’ (Business-Cycle Development in the EU Countries and Hungary: Impacts of Accession to the EU and EMU on Hungarian Labour Market), Europa Fórum, Vol. 13, No. 3–4, pp. 56 –80. ‘Business-Cycle Development in Hungary and Europe: the Implications of EU and EMU Accession for Hungary’s Labour Market’ in Monitoring Preparations of Transition Countries for EU-Accession, Bratislava: Institute of Slovak and World Economy of Slovak Academy of Sciences, pp. 117 –139. Éva EHRLICH ‘A magyar infrastruktúra jelenlegi helyzete, megfelelése az uniós csatlakozás követelményeinek’ (The Present State of Hungarian Infrastructure and Its Capability to Meet the Requirements of EU Accession), in Éva Ehrlich ed., A magyar infrastruktúra az Európai Unió követelményeinek tükrében (Hungarian Infrastructure in the Light of EU Requirements), Budapest: Miniszterelnöki Hivatal (Prime Minister’s Office), pp. 9–114. Éva EHRLICH – Tamás SZIGETVÁRI Transformation and Hungarian Regional Development: Facts, Trends, Dilemmas and Objectives, IWE Working Papers, No. 137, Budapest: IWE, 30 p. Éva EHRLICH ed. A magyar infrastruktúra az Európai Unió követelményeinek tükrében (Hungarian Infrastructure in the Light of EU Requirements), Budapest: Miniszterelnöki Hivatal (Prime Minister’s Office), 412 p. Andrea ÉLTETŐ ‘Versenyképesség a közép-kelet-európai külkereskedelemben’ (Competitiveness in Central and Eastern European Foreign Trade), Közgazdasági Szemle, Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 269–281. ‘A portugál példa’ (The Portuguese Instance), Vasárnapi Hírek, 23 March, p. 5. ‘A »kelta tigris« nagyot ugrott. Írország élő példa a látványos fejlődésre’ (The ‘Celtic Tiger’ Jumped Big. Ireland the Wonderful Example of Spectecular Development), Vasárnapi Hírek, 13 April, p. 5. ‘Az EU-csatlakozás hatása a külföldi működőtőke beáramlására’ (The Impact of EU Accession on the Inflow of Foreign Direct Investment), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 55–64. ‘A magyar külkereskedelem néhány jellemzője az EU-tagság küszöbén’ (Some Attributes of Hungarian Foreign Trade on the Threshold of EU Membership), Európa Fórum, Vol. 13, No. 3–4, pp. 27 –35.
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Integráció és nemzetközi versenyképesség – a magyar gazdaság esélyei (Integration and International Competitiveness – the Chances of Hungarian Economy), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 52, Budapest: IWE, 41 p. Andrea ÉLTETŐ – Andrea HERCSUTH ‘Katalónia modernizációja’ (The Modernization of Catalonia), Magyar Tudomány, Vol. 48, No. 3, pp. 713 –725. Andrea ÉLTETŐ – Katalin ANTALÓCZY ‘Outward Foreign Direct Investment from Hungary. Trends, Motivations and Effects’ in Marjan Svetlicic and Matija Rojec eds., Facilitating Transition by Internalization. Outward Direct Investment from Central European Economics in Transition, Aldershot, England: Ashgate, pp. 155 –174. Péter FARKAS ‘A fejlődéselméletek hatása a világgazdaság perifériáin’ (The Influence of Development Theories on the Peripheries of the World Economy), in András Blahó ed., Elmaradottság – fejlődés – átalakulás. Tanulmányok Szentes Tamás akadémikus 70. születésnapja tiszteletére (Backwardness – Development – Transformation. Studies in the Honour of Academician Tamás Szentes’ 70th Birthday), Budapest: BKÁE Világgazdasági Tanszék, pp. 111–127. ‘Fél lábát felemelte, a másikban megbotlik? Világgazdasági kilátások 2003-ra’ (Will Its Foot Be Caught in the Other? World Economic Outlook for 2003), in Gábor Lenkei ed., Globalizáció, Európai Unió, gazdaságpolitika (Globalization, European Union, Economic Policy), Stratégiai füzetek, No. 13, Budapest: Miniszterelnöki Hivatal (Prime Minister’s Office), pp. 103–122. ‘»Kétfenekű« válság. Világgazdasági kilátások 2003-ra’ (‘Double-Bottomed’ Crisis. World Economic Outlook for 2003), Cégvezetés, January, pp. 100–105. ‘Globalizáció és túltermelés. Fölöslegek a világgazdaságban’ (Globalization and Overproduction. Surpluses in World Economy), Bank és Tőzsde, No. 5, pp. 11–13. ‘Globalizáció és túltermelés. Ipari feleslegek a világgazdaságban’ (Globalization and Overproduction. Industrial Surpluses in World Economy), Álláspontok+Dosszié, MSZP Országos Közgazdasági Tagozat Műhelyvitái, No. 1, pp. 14–23. ‘Az IMF szelektív intelmei’ (IMF’s Selective Admonitions), Magyar Hírlap, ‘Ahogy tetszik’ melléklet (‘As You Like It’ Supplement), 5–6 July, pp. 21–22. ‘A globalizáció és fenyegetései (A világgazdaság és a gazdaságelméletek zavarai.)’ (Globalization and Its Threats [Disturbances in the World Economy and Failures of Economic Theories]), Eszmélet, No. 58, pp. 4–18.
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A globális világ politikai földrajza (The Political Geography of the Global World), in Bernek Ágnes ed., Budapest: Nemzeti Tankönyvkiadó, pp. 127–150; 182–203; 297–309. ‘A külföldi tőke szerepe a kis országok versenyképességi helyzetének és műszaki színvonalának alakulásában’ (The Role of Foreign Direct Investment in Small Countries’ Competitive and Technological Position), in Gábor Fóti and Mihály Simai eds., Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció (Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation), Budapest: IWE, pp. 48–73. Tamás FLEISCHER Infrastructure Networks in Central Europe and EU Enlargement, IWE Working Papers, No. 139, Budapest: IWE, 17 p. ‘Kilátás a jövőből: a lefedett Duna’ (A Future Prospect: the Covered Danube), Budapesti Nap, Vol. 2, No. 55, p. 16. ‘TEN és TINA – az országokat átszelő közlekedési folyosók’ (TEN and TINA – Transport Corridors across the Countries), VI. Fejezet (Chapter Six), in Károly Kiss and András Lukács eds., Uniós csatlakozás – közlekedés – környezet (EU Accession – Transport – Environment), Budapest: Levegő Munkacsoport, pp. 86–91. ‘A zöldövezetek és a közlekedés kérdése a budapesti agglomerációban’ (The Issue of Green Belts and Transport in the Budapest Conurbation), XV. Fejezet (Chapter Fifteen), in Károly Kiss and András Lukács eds., Uniós csatlakozás – közlekedés – környezet (EU Accession – Transport – Environment), Budapest: Levegő Munkacsoport, pp. 184–188. ‘A közlekedéspolitika és a fenntartható fejlődés dilemmái, különös tekintettel a közúthálózatokra’ (The Dilemmas of Hungarian Transport Policy and Sustainable Development with Special Regard to Road Networks), Falu, Város, Régió, No. 3, pp. 16–25. Az infrastruktúra-hálózatok és a gazdaság versenyképessége (Infrastructure Networks and the Competitiveness of the Economy), PM Kutatási Füzetek, No. 2, Budapest: Pénzügyminisztérium (Ministry of Finance), 50 p. ‘Elvek és utak: az interregionális folyosók szerepéról. Köszönet és válasz Körmendy Imrének’ (Principles and Means: On the Role of Inter-regional Corridors. Thanks and an Answer to Imre Körmendy), Falu, Város, Régió, No. 8, pp. 25–29. Gábor FÓTI and Zsuzsa LUDVIG eds. The Future of Europe. Relations between the Enlarging European Union and Russia and Ukraine, Proceedings of the international seminar held in Budapest, 7–8 June 2002, Budapest: Institute for World Economics, 153 p.
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Gábor FÓTI and Mihály SIMAI eds. Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció. A tudomány- és technológiapolitika mint növekedési tényező kis országokban (Knowledge, Growth and Globalization. Science and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Small Countries), Budapest: Institute for World Economics, 130 p. Klára FÓTI – Gábor FÓTI eds. Alleviating Poverty: Analysis and Recommendations. Human Development Report for Hungary 2000–2002, Budapest: United Nations Development Programme and Institute for World Economics, 102 p. A szegénység enyhítéséért – helyzetkép és javaslatok (Towards Alleviating Poverty – a Survey and Recommendations). Országjelentés a „humán fejlettségről” 2000–2002 (Human Development Report), Budapest: United Nations Development Programme and Institute for World Economics, 100 p. Klára FÓTI Potential Migration from Hungary to Austria after EU Accession and Possible Impacts of This, IWE Working Papers, No. 140, Budapest: IWE, 25 p. A szegénység enyhítéséért – helyzetkép és javaslatok (Az azonos című, a humán fejlettségről szóló országjelentés főbb megállapításai) (Towards Alleviating Poverty – a Survey and Recommendations [Major Conclusions of the Country Report on Human Development under the Same Title]), Kihívások, No. 169, Budapest: IWE, 8 p. ‘Hungary’ in Hörburger, Hortense ed., EU Enlargement – Our Neighbour's Views, Hans Böckler Stiftung, Marburg: Schüren Verlag, pp. 59–69. ‘Gegenwärtige Lage und Perspektiven der transnationalen Mobilität in Ungarn’, IDM Info für den Donauraum und Mitteleuropa, Sonderheft No. 8, pp. 68–71. ‘Determinanten der Arbeitsmarktentwicklung und Arbeitsmarktpolitik in Ungarn’, in Rolf Hasse and Cornelie Kunze eds., Die Arbeitsmärkte in den mittel- und osteuropäischen EUBeitrittsländern im Spannungsfeld von Transformation und Globalisierung, Reihe Transformation, Leipzig: Leipziger Universitätsverlag, pp. 41–52. András HERNÁDI ‘Japan’s Responses to Globalization’ in Far Eastern Responses to Globalization, IWE Working Papers, No. 138, Budapest: IWE, pp. 5–12. Vírusokra virtusok? (Viruses and Virtues?), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 55, Budapest: IWE, 2 p.
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A harmadik világból az elsőbe – A "szingapúri sztori" 1965–2000. Szingapúr és Ázsia gazdasági fellendülése (From Third World to First. The 'Singapore Story' 1965–2000. Singapore and the Asian Economic Boom), (Translation of and prologue to Lee Kuan Yew's book by András Hernádi), Budapest: IWE, 514 p. ‘Japán globális és (kelet-)európai tőkeexport politikája a 90-es években és a XXI. században’(Japan's Global and East-European FDI Policies in the 1990s and in the 21st Century), Európai Tükör, No. 2, pp. 118 –130. ‘Hungary’, in World Competitiveness Yearbook 2003, Lausanne: International Institute for Management Development, pp. 222–229. ‘Európa–Ázsia Fórum Brüsszelben’ (Europe–Asia Forum in Brussels), Europa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 112–115. ‘Felkelő nap? Minőségi és szerkezeti változások Japánban’ (The Rising Sun? Qualitative and Structural Changes in Japan), Cégvezetés, No. 11, pp. 104 –109. ‘Japansko reagovanje na globalizaciju’ in Radikalne promene u preduzecima i privredi u uslovina globalizacije, Belgrade: Megatrend University of Applied Sciences, pp. 29–34. ‘»Vezetéstudomány« az amerikai fogyasztóvédelemben’ (‘The Science of Management’ in Consumer Protection in the USA), Vezetéstudomány, No. 12, pp. 53 –57. András HERNÁDI – Anna SZÉKÁCS A japán gazdaság, társadalom és kommunkáció átalakulása az évezredfordulón (The Transformation of the Japanese Economy, Society and Communication at the Turn of the Millennium), Budapesti Gazdasági Főiskola Külkereskedelmi Kara (Textbook for the Budapest School for Economy), 181 p. András INOTAI ‘Európai magyarok, magyar európaiak’ (European Hungarians, Hungarian Europeans), Népszava, 8 February, p. 2. ‘The »Eastern Enlargement« of the European Union’, in Marise Cremona ed., The Enlargement of the European Union, Academy of European Law, European University Institute, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 79–103. ‘Érvekkel küzdjünk a demagógia ellen’ (Arguments Should Combat Demagogy), Metro, 5 March. ‘Bevezető’ (Introduction), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 3–4. ‘Special Challenges and Tasks of »Eastern« Enlargement of the European Union’ in Gábor Fóti and Zsuzsa Ludvig eds., The Future of Europe. Relations between the Enlarging European Union and Russia and Ukraine, Proceedings of the international seminar held in Budapest, 7–8 June 2002, Budapest: IWE, pp. 24–29.
Staff Members’ Publications in 2003
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‘Megnyitó’ és ‘Zárszó’ (Key-Note Speech and Concluding Remarks), Európa 2002, Különszám, (Special Issue, the December Conference 2002), March, pp. 3–4, and 57–60. ‘A magam vallomása’ (My Own Testimony), Népszava (EU Accession Supplement), 10 April, p. 9. ‘A sikeres EU-tagság feltételei: nemcsak a részvétel a fontos’ (Conditions of a Successful EU Membership: Not Only Paticipation Matters), Figyelő, 10–16 April, pp. 20–21. ‘Körkérdés az EU-csatlakozás várható közvetlen hatásairól – III. rész’ (An All-Round Inquiry about the Probable Direct Effects of EU Accession – Part Three), Külgazdaság, Vol. 67, No. 3, pp. 10–12. Europa nach der „Osterweiterung” (Reformbedarf an allen Ecken und Enden), Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 15 April, p. 23. ‘Introduction’ in Andrej Kumar and Vinko Kandzija eds., Transitional Impacts and the EU Enlargement Complexity, Ljubljana: University of Mostar, University of Ljubljana, Institute for World Economics, Budapest, p. IV. ‘Regional Cooperation and European Integration: the Case of the Western Balkan’ in Dragoljub Stojanov ed., Economic Science before the Challenges of the XXI Century, Sarajevo: Jubilant Collection of Papers of the Economic Faculty of Sarajevo, No. XXII, pp. 263–281. ‘Ungarns Volkswirtschaft und die Erweiterung der Europaeischen Union’ (50 Jahre VÖWG – 10 Jahre VKÖ: Strukturen im Wandel), Gemeinwirtschaft, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp. 7–13. ‘Economic Balance between Poor and Rich’ in Carl Baudenbacher and Erhard Busek eds., Europa und die Globalisierung III (Referate des Dritten Wiener Globalisierungs-Symposiums 16. und 17. Mai 2002), Vienna: Verlag Österreich, pp. 55–62. ‘Impact of the EU Accession on the Economic Co-operation among the New Member States’ in Dariusz Milczarek and Alojzy Nowak eds., On the Road to the European Union. Applicant Countries’ Perspective, Warsaw: Warsaw University, Centre for Europe, pp. 49–57. ‘Some Reflections on Possible Scenarios for EU Enlargement’ Begegnungen/Crossroads, Europa Institut Budapest, No. 16, pp. 89–104. ‘Differences and Similarities between CCs and the EU – a CC Perspective’ in Heinz Handler ed., Structural Reforms in the Candidate Countries and the European Union, Vienna: Austrian Ministry for Economic Affairs and Labour, Economic Policy Center, pp. 88–104. ‘Stichwort Europa. Osterweiterung’ Kafka. Zeitschrift für Mitteleuropa, No. 11, pp. 54–57. ‘Előszó’ (Preface), in Gyakorlati tudnivalók az Európai Unióról. Kézikönyv kis- és középvállalkozóknak (A Practical Guide to the European Union for Entrepreneurs), Budapest: Gazdasági és Közlekedési Minisztérium (Ministry of Economy and Transport), pp. 13–14. ‘A kibővülő Európai Unió és Magyarország’ (The Enlarging European Union and Hungary), Stratégiai Dialógus Füzetek, Budapest: Allianz Hungária Rt., pp. 7–88.
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‘Az Európai Bizottság jelentéséről’ (On the Report of the European Commission), Népszava, 13 November, 7. p. ‘EU-csatlakozás és versenyképesség’ (EU Társadalomtudomány, No. 59, pp. 19–29.
Accession
and
Competitiveness),
Info-
‘Reflections on the Financial Issues of the Enlarging European Union’ in Economic Policy Institute ed., Summer Seminar for Young Public Servants from Southeastern Europe „Preparation for EU Accession”, Sofia: Economic Policy Institute, pp. 95–116. ‘Az Európai Bizottság jelentésének margójára – nem marginálisan’ (Onto the Margin of the European Commission’s Report – Not Marginally), in Átfogó monitoring jelentés Magyarország csatlakozási felkészüléséről (Overall Monitoring Report on the Preparations of Hungary for Accession), Budapest: Európa Ház, pp. 6–7. ‘Sikerstratégia. A pozitív szaldójú EU-tagság hazai feltételeiről’ (A Success Strategy. On the Conditions of EU Membership with a Positive Balance), Figyelő, No. 52, pp. 24–25. András INOTAI – Gábor LAKATOS ‘Ungarn’ in Werner Weidenfeld and Wolfgang Wessels eds., Jahrbuch der Europäischen Integration 2002/2003, Berlin: Institut für Europaeische Politik, pp. 447–452. András INOTAI – Annamária ARTNER – György CSÁKI –Andrea SZALAVETZ Gazdasági versenyképesség a 21. században (Economic Competitiveness in the 21st Century), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 53, Budapest: IWE, 23 p. Judit KISS A CAP legújabb reformja (The Latest Reform of CAP), Kihívások, No. 165, Budapest: IWE, 12 p. Agrárcsatlakozási kilátásaink Koppenhága után. Az agrárcsatlakozási tárgyalások mérlege. I. rész (Our Prospects of Agricultural Accession after Copenhagen. An Assessment of the Negotiations of Agricultural Accession. Part One), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 49, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Agrárcsatlakozási kilátásaink Koppenhága után. Költségvetési, termelési, jövedelmi, ár- és külkereskedelmi hatások. II. rész (Our Prospects of Agricultural Accession after Copenhagen. The Impacts on Production, Income, Prices, Foreign Trade and on the Budget. Part Two), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 50, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Hogyan finanszírozható a magyar mezőgazdaság? (How Can Hungarian Agriculture Be Financed?), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 56, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. A CAP legújabb reformja I. (The Latest Reform of CAP. Part One), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 60, Budapest: IWE, 3 p.
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A CAP legújabb reformja II. (The Latest Reform of CAP. Part Two), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 61, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘A magyar mezőgazdaság EU-csatlakozása az Európai Unió koppenhágai csúcstalálkozójának tükrében’ (The EU Accession of Hungrian Agriculture in the Light of the Copenhagen Summit), Európai Agrárpolitikai Tanulmányok, No. 41, 74 p. ‘A fejlődő világ élelmezési prolémája’ (The Food Problem of the Third World), in Blahó András ed., Elmaradottság – fejlődés – átalakulás. Tanulmányok Szentes Tamás akadémikus 70. születésnapja tiszteletére (Backwardness – Development – Transformation. Studies in the Honour of Academician Tamás Szentes’ 70th Birthday), Budapest: BKÁE Világgazdasági Tanszék, pp. 157–165. ‘Körkérdés az EU-csatlakozás várható közvetlen hatásairól – III. rész’ (An All-Round Inquiry about the Probable Direct Effects of EU Accession – Part Three), Külgazdaság, Vol. 67, No. 3, pp. 17–20. ‘Az agrárgazdaság uniós tagságra való felkészülésének legfőbb feladatai és területei’ (Major Tasks and Main Fields of Agricultural Preparations for Membership in the Union), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 49–63. ‘Mit kell tenni a magyar mezőgazdaságnak a sikeres EU-csatlakozás érdekében?’ (What Will Hungarian Agriculture Have to Do for a Successful Accession to the EU?), Európai Agrárpolitikai Tanulmányok, No. 42, 69 p. ‘Agrárcsatlakozásunk mérlege’ (The Balance of Agricultural Accession), A Hús, No. 2, pp. 108–115. ‘Az EU-források szerepe a magyar mezőgazdaság finanszírozásában’ (The Role of EU Funds in Financing Hungarian Agriculture), Fejlesztés és Finanszírozás, No. 3, pp. 43–52. ‘The Role of EU Funds in Financing Hungarian Agriculture’, Development and Finance, No. 3, pp. 44–53. ‘Uniós reformok, hazai következmények’ (Union Reforms, Home Consequencies), Üzleti 7, 11 August, p. 11. ‘Az EU-csatlakozásig rendelkezésre álló időben a magyar mezőgazdaság előtt álló gazdaságpolitikai feladatokról’ (On the Economic-Policy Tasks Faced by Hungarian Agriculture during the Time Left before Joining the EU), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 20–39. ‘A magyar élelmiszer-gazdaság világgazdasági mozgástere’ (The Scope of Action for Hungarian Food Industry in the World Economy), in Az EU csatlakozással kapcsolatos teendők a húsiparban (Tasks Related to EU Accession in the Meat Industry), Budapest: Országos Húsipari Kutatóintézet, pp. 65–71. ‘Mezőgazdaságunk EU-csatlakozása’ (The EU Accession of Hungarian Agriculture), INFOTársadalomtudomány, No. 59, pp. 31–40.
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Staff Members' Publications in 2003
István KŐRÖSI Ausztria az Európai Unióban. Érdekeltsége a kibővítésben. Az osztrák gazdaság helyzete a XXI. század elején (Austria in the EU and Its Interests in Enlargement. The Situation of Austrian Economy at the Beginning of the 21st Century), Kihívások, No. 170, Budapest: IWE, 16 p. ‘Az Európai Unió szerepe a kis országok kutatási-fejlesztési potenciáljának erősítésében az ötödik keretprogram időszakában’ (The Role of the EU in the Strengthening of R+D Capabilities in the Period of the 5th Framework Programme), in Gábor Fóti and Mihály Simai eds., Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció (Knowledge, Growth and Globalisation), Budapest: IWE, pp. 98 –127. Attila KULCSÁR Olaj + háború = biztonság? (Oil + War = Security?), Kihívások, No. 162, Budapest: IWE, 20 p. ‘Russian Oil and Gas Exports to the EU’ in Gábor Fóti and Zsuzsa Ludvig eds., The Future of Europe. Relations between the Enlarging European Union and Russia and Ukraine, Proceedings of the international seminar held in Budapest, 7–8 June 2002, Budapest: IWE, pp. 137– 147. Gábor LAKATOS ‘Az EU-bővítés küszöbén’ (On the Threshold of EU Enlargement), Európai Tükör, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 129–135. ‘Az Európai Unió intézményei, döntéshozatala és Magyarország – I. fejezet’ (The Institutions and Decision Making of the European Union and Hungary – Chapter One), ‘Bel- és igazságügyi együttműködés, Schengen, nemzetközi bűnözés, határon túli magyarság – III. fejezet’ (Cooperation in Judicial and Home Affairs, Schengen, International Crime, Hungarians beyond the Frontiers – Chapter Three), in László Flamm Benedek ed., Belépődíj (Admission), Budapest: Európai Unió Munkacsoport Közhasznú Diákegyesület, pp. 15–27 and 33–53. ‘The Last Round of Bargaining before Accession’, Hungarian Quarterly, No. 169, pp. 79–86. ‘Az Európai Parlament és az Unió költségvetése’ (The European Parliament and the Budget of the Union), Európai Tükör, Vol. 8, No. 4–5, pp. 158–165. Gábor LAKATOS – András INOTAI ‘Ungarn’ in Werner Weidenfeld and Wolfgang Wessels eds., Jahrbuch der Europäischen Integration 2002/2003, Berlin: Institut für Europaeische Politik, pp. 447–452.
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Gábor LAKATOS – Krisztina VIDA ‘A csatlakozó országok vitája Európa jövőjéről’ (The Debate of Accession Countries on the Future of Europe), Európai Tükör, Vol. 8, No. 7, pp. 104–110. Zsuzsa LUDVIG Ukrajna európai ambíciói és a realitások (The European Ambitions of Ukraine and the Relaties), Kihívások, No. 166, Budapest: IWE, 16 p. ‘Carpathian Euroregion: Results, Problems and Prospects with Special Regard to EU Accession – A Ukrainian Approach’ in Gábor Fóti and Zsuzsa Ludvig eds., The Future of Europe: Relations between the Enlarging European Union and Russia and Ukraine, Budapest: IWE, pp. 124–132. ‘Vonzás versus taszítás – közvetlen külföldi beruházások Oroszországban’ (Attraction versus Repulsion – Foreign Direct Investment in Russia), Fejlesztés és Finanszírozás (Development and Finance), No. 1, pp. 51–62. Zsuzsa LUDVIG – Gábor FÓTI eds. The Future of Europe. Relations between the Enlarging European Union and Russia and Ukraine, Proceedings of the international seminar held in Budapest, 7–8 June 2002, Budapest: Institute for World Economics, 153 p. Sándor MEISEL Mi is történt Cancúnban? (What Has Really Happened in Cancún?), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 65, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Klára MÉSZÁROS ‘Globalization through Reforms: China at the Turn of the Millennium’ in Far Eastern Responses to Globalization, IWE Working Papers, No. 138, Budapest: IWE, pp. 17–26. Turizmus – jönnek a kínaiak (Tourism – the Chinese Are Coming), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 51, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Hongkong a demokráciára szavaz (Hongkong Votes for Democracy), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 62, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Luyou – Zhingguo jiang lai (Tourism – the Chinese Are Coming), She Zhang Bao, February, p. 3.
62
Staff Members' Publications in 2003
Csaba NOVÁK A külföldi működőtőke és a technológiai tovagyűrűzés Magyarországon (Foreign Direct Investment and Dispersion of Technology in Hungary), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 50, Budapest: IWE, 16 p. Tamás NOVÁK ‘Fejlesztési politikák konvergenciája a XXI. század elején’ (Convergence of Development Policies at the Beginning of the 21st Century), Fejlesztés és Finanszírozás, No. 1, pp. 23–34. ‘Convergence of Development Policies at the Beginning of the 21st Century’, Development and Finance, No. 1, pp. 23–34. ‘Moznosti visegrásdké spolupráce v EU’, Integráce, No. 2, pp. 43–44. Margit RÁCZ Az Európai Unióról 2003 elején (On the European Union at the Beginning of 2003), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 52, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. A magyar GMU-csatlakozás időpontja (About the Timing of Joining EMU), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 63, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Tovagyűrűző instabilitás? (Diffusing Instability), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 71, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘Amit szabad Jupiternek…’ (Some Are Allowed to…), Népszabadság, 25 October, p. 16. ‘Egyenlők és egyenlőbbek’ (…but Some Animals Are More Equal…), Népszabadság, 6 December, p. 18. ‘Egység a sokrétűségben – integráció és tagállami érdekek az Európai Unióban’ (Unity in Complexity – Integration and Member-States Interests in the European Union), in András Blahó ed., Európai integrációs alapismeretek (The Fundamentals of European Integration), Budapest: Aula, pp. 113–146. ‘Az euró első négy éve – tények és feltételezések’ (The First Four Years of the Euro – Facts and Assumptions), Közgazdasági Szemle, No. 6, pp. 479–504. ‘Az Európai Unió Maastrichttól Nizzáig’ (The European Union from Maastricht to Nice), Rubicon, No. 3–4, pp. 38–43. ‘Feltételek forgatókönyvei: az euró hazai bevezetésének alapja a hitelesség és közmegegyezés’ (Scenarios of Terms: the Bases of the Domestic Introduction of the Euro Are Credibility and Consensus), Üzleti 7, 29 September, 11. p.
Staff Members’ Publications in 2003
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‘Kihívások az EU-ban, 2003 őszén’ (Challenges in the EU in the Autumn of 2003), Egyenlítő, No. 5–6, pp. 40–50. ‘Kitaposott tévutak’ (Favourite Wrong Paths), Népszabadság, 20 September, 18. p. ‘A magyar GMU-csatlakozás és az inflációs kilátások’ (The Hungarian Accession to EMU and the Prospects of Inflation), in Margit Rácz ed., EU-Kaleidoskop: Magyarország EU-érettsége és az EU fogadókészsége: magyar és német szakértők álláspontja (EU Kaleidoscope: the EU Maturity of Hungary and the Accommodating Capability of the Union. Standpoints of Hungarian and German Experts), Budapest: KJK-KERSZÖV, pp. 142–151 and 301–310. ‘Várható hatások és gazdaságpolitikai feladatok’ (Probable Impacts and Economic-Policy Tasks), in ‘Körkérdés az EU-csatlakozás várható közvetlen hatásairól – II. Rész’ (An AllRound Inquiry about the Probable Direct Effects of EU Accession – Part Two), Külgazdaság, No. 2, pp. 35–37. Margit RÁCZ ed. EU-kaleidoszkóp: Magyarország EU-érettsége és az EU fogadókészsége: magyar és német szakértők álláspontja (EU Kaleidoscope: the EU Maturity of Hungary and the Accommodating Capability of the Union. Standpoints of Hungarian and German Experts), Budapest: KJKKERSZÖV, 319 p. Mihály SIMAI A világgazdaság távlatai és az iraki háború (World Economic Prospects and the Iraqi War), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 53, Budapest: IWE, 8 p. ‘Gyakorlati ajánlások nemzeti politikák számára: a nemzeti K+F és innovációs politikák lehetőségei és korlátai’ (A Practical Guide for National Policies: the Possibilities of and the Limits to National R&D and Innovation Policies), in Gábor Fóti and Mihály Simai eds., Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció. A tudomány- és technológiapolitika mint növekedési tényező kis országokban (Knowledge, Growth and Globalization. Science and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Small Countries), Budapest: IWE, pp. 74–84 ‘A világgazdaság pénzügyi szektora a XXI. század elején: válságok és kiútkeresés’ (The Financial Sector of World Economy at the Beginning of the 21st Century: Crises and the Quest for a Way Out), Fejlesztés és Finanszirozás, No. 1, pp. 5–13. ‘The Financial Sector in the World Economy of the 21st Century’ Development and Finance, No. 1, pp. 5–13. ‘Knowledge, Reasearch, Development and Innovations’ Society and Economy, No. 3, pp. 305– 319.
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‘A globális kapitalizmus és a XXI. század kihívásai’ (Global Capitalism and Twenty-FirstCentury Challenges), in András Blahó ed., Elmaradottság – fejlődés – átalakulás. Tanulmányok Szentes Tamás akadémikus 70. születésnapja tiszteletére (Backwardness – Development – Transformation. Studies in the Honour of Academician Tamás Szentes’ 70th Birthday), Budapest: BKÁE Világgazdasági Tanszék, pp. 315–337. ‘Globalizáció és regionális együttműködés a XXI. század elején’ (Globaliztion and Regional Cooperation at the Beginning of the 21st Century), in András Blahó ed., Európai integrációs alapismeretek (The Fundamentals of European Integration), Budapest: Aula, pp. 41–63. ‘A Milleniumi Nyilatkozat, az ENSZ és az Európai Unió a XXI. század kihívásainak tükrében’ (The Millennium Declaration. The UN and the European Union in the Light of Twenty-FirstCentury Challenges), in Ervin Gömbös ed., Az ENSZ és az EU együttműködése (The Cooperation of the UN and the EU), Budapest: Magyar ENSZ Társaság, pp. 9–24. ‘Versengő együttműködés az euroatlanti térségben’ (Competing Cooperation in the Euroatlantic Area), in Ervin Gömbös ed., Az ENSZ és a NATO (The UN and NATO), Budapest: Magyar ENSZ Társaság, pp. 19–25. Hatalmi érdekek és kompromisszumok. Az eviani G8-csúcskonferencia hátteréről (Power Concerns and Compromises. On the Background of the G8 Summit in Evian), Budapest: IWE, 6 p. Mihály SIMAI ed. Practical Guide for Active National Policy Makers – What Science and Technology Policy Can and Cannot Do? Helsinki: VATT (Government Institute for Economic Research), 111 p. Mihály SIMAI – Gábor FÓTI eds. Tudás, növekedés és globalizáció. A tudomány- és technológiapolitika mint növekedési tényező kis országokban (Knowledge, Growth and Globalization. Science and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Small Countries), Budapest: Institute for World Economics, 130 p. Miklós SOMAI A közvetlen kifizetések és az unió bővítése (Direct Payments and EU Enlargement), Kihívások, No. 167, Budapest: IWE, 16 p. A közvetlen kifizetések és az EU keleti bővülése (Direct Payments and Eastern Enlargement), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 47, Budapest: IWE, 54 p. Hogyan tehető hatékonyabbá és vonzóbbá a tömegközlekedés? (How Can Public Transport Be Made More Efficient and More Attractive?), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 66, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘A közvetlen kifizetések és az EU keleti bővülése – összefoglalás’ (Direct Payments and Eastern Enlargement – a Summary), Európa 2002, Vo. 4, No. 1, pp. 63–70.
Staff Members’ Publications in 2003
65
‘Szállj ki, és gyalogolj! Tömegközlekedés Nyugat-Európában’ (Get Out and Walk! Public Transport System in Western Europe), Cégvezetés, No. 2, pp. 110 –114. ‘Az EU-csatlakozás agrármegállapodása – Támogatás nem vész el’ (The Agricultural Agreement of EU Accession: Subsidies Will Not Perish), Figyelő, No. 12, pp. 34 –35. ‘Minták a hatékonyabb és vonzóbb tömegközlekedésre’ (Models for a More Efficient and More Attractive Public Transport), Világgazdaság, 18 November. ‘Empirikus kutatások a magyar agrártermelők EU-felkészültségéről’ (Empirical Research on the Preparedness of Hungarian Farmers for EU Membership), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 40–51. Andrea SZALAVETZ ‘Tertiarization’ of Manufacturing Industry in the New Economy. Experiences in Hungarian Companies, IWE Working Papers, No. 134, Budapest: IWE, 14 p. Peripheral Participants in Global Production Networks. Changing Dynamics in the Transformation from Industrial to Intellectual Capitalism, IWE Working Papers, No. 142, Budapest: IWE, 23 p. Technológiafejlődés, specializáció, komplementaritás, szerkezetátalakulás (Szakirodalmi áttekintés) (Technological Development, Specialization, Complementarity, Structural Transformation [An Overview of Bibliogarphy]), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 44, Budapest: IWE, 18 p. A hagyományos és a gyorsan növekvő ágazatok támogatására alkalmazott iparstratégiai eszközök (Industrial-Strategy Instruments for Supporting Traditional and Fast Growing Branches), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 46, Budapest: IWE, 18 p. ‘European Policy Lessons in the Process of Regional Transformation in Hungary’ in Steiner, M. ed., From Old Industries to New Regions. Policies for Structural Transformation in Accession Countries, Graz: Leykam, pp. 179–196. ‘Az információs technológiai forradalom és a világgazdaság centrumán kívüli országok technológiai felzárkózása’ (The Information-Technology Revolution and Technological Catching-up by Countries Outside the Center of the World Economy), Közgazdasági Szemle, Vol. 50, No. 1, pp. 22–34. ‘Az információs technológiai forradalomra alapozott felzárkózást elősegítő technológiapolitika és intézményrendszer’ (Technology Policy and Institutions Promoting an IT-Based Catch-up), Külgazdaság, Vol. 47, No. 6, pp. 4–18. ‘Hálózati szerveződés az »új gazdaságban« a világgazdaság centrumában és azon kívül’ (Networking in the ‘New Economy’, in the Center of the World Economy and Outside the Center), Információs Társadalom, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 96–110.
66
Staff Members' Publications in 2003
‘Tudásgazdaság Magyarországon. Interjú Chikán Attilával, a BKÁE rektorával’ (Knowledge Economy in Hungary, an Interview with Attila Chikán, Rector of BUES), Információs Társadalom, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 68–75. ‘A vállalati gazdálkodás átalakulása az »új gazdaság« korában Magyarországon’ (The Transformation of Company Management in Hungary in the Age of the ‘New Economy’), in Információ, Tudás, Versenyképesség, Budapest: Általános Vállalkozási Főiskola (ÁVF), pp. 29–42. The Tertierization of Manufacturing Industry in the ’New Economy’, Warsaw: TIGER Working Papers, No. 40, 18. p. Andrea SZALAVETZ – Annamária ARTNER – György CSÁKI – András INOTAI Gazdasági versenyképesség a 21. században (Economic Competitiveness in the 21st Century), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 53, Budapest: IWE, 23 p. Miklós SZANYI An FDI-Based Development Model for Hungary – New Challenges?, IWE Working Papers, No. 141, Budapest: IWE, 20 p. Tőkevonzás és gyárbezárás: jön, vagy megy a tőke? (Capital Attraction and Closure: Whether Capital Comes or Goes?), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 58, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘A külföldi tulajdonú cégek Magyarországon: Új fejlődési model központi szereplői?’ (ForeignOwned Companies in Hungary: Major Actors of a New Development Pattern?), Vezetéstudomány, Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 46–52. ‘FDI and Economic Development’, Investment for Development, No. 6, May. p. 8. ‘Investment Failures or Changes and Shifts in Locational Advantages? Comments on Divestments in Hungary’, Investment for Development, No. 7, p. 10. Tamás SZEMLÉR A strukturális alapok felhasználásának tapasztalatai Szászországban (The Experiences of the Use of Structural Funds in Saxony), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 43, Budapest: IWE, 20 p. Franciaország gazdasági helyzete és a francia gazdaságpolitika előtt álló kihívások (The Economic Situation of France and the Challenges for the French Economic Policy), Műhelytanulmányok, No. 48, Budapest: IWE, 18 p. Francia nagyhatalmi álmok (French Great-Power Dreams), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 54, Budapest: IWE, 2 p.
Staff Members’ Publications in 2003
67
Egy év haladék Párizsnak – és ami mögötte van (One Year’s Grace for Paris – and What Is Behind It), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 67, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘Berlintől Koppenhágáig – az EU bővítésének költségvetési keretei’ (From Berlin to Copenhagen – the Budgetary Framework of EU Enlargement), Európa 2002, március, pp. 71–78. ‘Pénzügyi szolidaritás a kibővült Európai Unióban’ (Financial Solidarity in the Enlarged European Union), in Margit Rácz ed., EU-Kaleidoskop: Magyarország EU-érettsége és az EU fogadókészsége: magyar és német szakértők álláspontja (EU Kaleidoscope: the EU Maturity of Hungary and the Accommodating Capability of the Union: Standpoints of Hungarian and German Exports), Budapest: KJK-KERSZÖV, pp. 87–96. ‘Finanzielle Solidarität in der erweiterten EU’ in Margit Rácz ed., EU–Kaleidoskop: Ungarns EUReife und die Bereitschaft der Europäischen Union – Standpunkte von deutschen und ungarischen Experten, Budapest: KJK–KERSZÖV, pp. 248–257. ‘Fonds structurels européens: Les PECO face à une solidarité en recul’ (European Structural Funds: The CEEC Facing the Decline of Solidarity), La lettre de Confrontations Europe, août-septembre, p. 30. ‘Franciaország gazdasági helyzete, a francia gazdaságpolitika előtt álló kihívások’ (The Economic Situation of France, the Challenges for French Economic Policy), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 4, pp. 31–46. András SZÉKELY-DOBY ‘The Indian Economy in a Globalizing World’ in Far Eastern Responses to Globalization, IWE Working Papers, No. 138, Budapest: IWE, pp. 26–31. Széllel szemben: India gazdasága az ezredfordulón (Against the Wind: the Indian Economy at the Millennium), Kihívások, No. 16, Budapest: IWE, 12 p. ‘Mennyiben új az Új Gazdaság? Az Új Gazdaság és a transznacionális társaságok kapcsolata az Egyesült Államokban’ (How Far ‘New Economy’ Is New? The Multinational Companies and the ‘New Economy’ in the United States), in Híd kelet és nyugat között. BGF tudományos évkönyv, Budapest: BGF, pp. 119–125. ‘Az új gazdaság az Egyesült Államokban: egy makroökonómiai megközelítés’ (The ’New Economy’ in the United States. A Macroeconomic Approach), Információs Társadalom, No. 1, pp. 123–143. Tamás SZIGETVÁRI Információs technológiai trendek a világban és Magyarországon (Information-Technology Trends in the World and Hungary), Kihívások, No. 164, Budapest: IWE, 8 p.
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Staff Members' Publications in 2003
‘Információs technológiai trendek a világban és Magyarországon’ (Information-Technology Trends in the World and Hungary), in Éva Ehrlich ed., A magyar infrastruktúra az Európai Unió követelményeinek tükrében (Hungarian Infrastucture in the Light of EU Requirements), Budapest: Miniszterelnöki Hivatal (Prime Minister’s Office), pp. 381–394. Tamás SZIGETVÁRI – ÉVA EHRLICH Transformation and Hungarian Regional Development: Facts, Trends, Dilemmas and Objectives, IWE Working Papers, No. 137, Budapest: IWE, p. 30. Gábor TÚRY Szlovákia az Európaházban (Slovakia in the House of Europe), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 57, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘Csatornacsőd’ (Channel Failure), Figyelő, No. 13, p. 61. Krisztina VIDA Az európai konvent alkotmánytervezete (The Draft Constitution of the European Convention), Kihívások, No. 168, Budapest: IWE, 16 p. Születőben az európai alkotmány (The European Constitution Being Born), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 59, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. Az Európai Bizottság monitoring-jelentése Magyarországról (The Monitoring Report of the European Commission on Hungary), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 68, Budapest: IWE, 2 p. ‘Alaptörvény születik: Az Európai Konvent alkotmánytervezete’ (A Basic Law in the Making: the Draft Constitution of the European Convention), Cégvezetés, No. 8, pp. 97–101. ‘Az EU jövője a Konventből nézve – kirajzolódó álláspontok 2002 végén’ (The Future of the EU Seen from the Convention – Standpoints Taking Shape at the End of 2002), Európa 2002, Vol. 4, No. 1. Melléklet, pp. 1–35. ‘Az Európai Konvent Alkotmánytervezete’ (The Draft Constitution of the European Convention), Európa Fórum, Vol. 13, No. 3–4, pp. 81–102. Krisztina VIDA – Gábor LAKATOS ‘A csatlakozó országok vitája Európa jövőjéről’ (The Debate of the Accession Countries on the Future of Europe), Európai Tükör, Vol. 8, No. 7, pp. 104–110.
Staff Members’ Publications in 2003
69
Anna WISNIEWSKI Az európai alkotmánytervezet lengyel szemmel (The European Constitution in Polish Eyes), Vélemények, Kommentárok, Információk, No. 65, Budapest: IWE, 2 p.
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
70
7. Lectures Delivered Abroad or at International Conferences Held in Hungary (italicized titles in the language of the lecture) András BAKÁCS The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on R&D and Innovations, lecture delivered at the international conference on the impacts of FDI, organized by OECD and CUTS, Isztambul, Turkey, 4 –7 May. Current Issues of R&D in Hungary, lecture delivered at the annual Romanian–Hungarian bilateral workshop, Bucharest, Romania, 12–15 June. The Possibilities of Knowledge-based Growth in Hungary, at the annual Slovenian–Hungarian bilateral workshop, Ljubljana, Slovenia, 16–17 October. A Snapshot of the Visegrád Economies. Visegrád Economies on the Doorstep of the European Union, lecture delivered at the conference organized by the Institute for Public Affairs, Bratislava, Slovakia, 20 November. Zoltán BASSA Hungary Joining the European Union. Implications for Hungary–Japan Economic Relations, at a joint seminar of the Keidanren Business Federation (Japan) and the Hungary–Japan Economic Club, Budapest, Hungary, 29 September. The Japanese Public Accountancy System, Számalk Business School, Budapest, Hungary, 31 October. Hungary Is Acceding to the European Union, Japan Business Federation, Budapest, Hungary, 10 November. Kálmán DEZSÉRI Erweiterung der EU und die EU, ‘EU Erweiterung und die Nachbarnlaender’, Vienna, Austria, 12–15 January. The Competitiveness of Central European Economies, at a seminar on business prospects in Central Europe, CEU Business School, Budapest, Hungary, 24 March.
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
71
The Impact of Joining EU and EMU on the Business Cycle and the Labour-Market Policy of Hungary, at a conference on EU accession, Institute for Slovak and World Economy, Bratislava, Slovakia, 25–27 April. Alternatives and Dilemmas of Joining EMU for the Accession Countries, at a conference on convergence in Europe, ISPI Milano, Italy, 14–16 May. Exchange-rate Policy Dilemmas, IWE – WIIW symposium, Budapest, Hungary, 19 May. Real and Nominal Convergence, Exchange-rate Policy, at the annual Romanian–Hungarian bilateral workshop, Bucharest, Romania, 12–15 June. A Hungarian View on Enlargement, ‘The Italian Presidency’ a TEPSA conference, Rome, Italy, 27–28 June. The Economic Policy Perspective of the New Constitution, ‘The New Europan Constitution’ a TEPSA conference, Lodz, Poland, 19 September. The Introduction of the Euro: Theoretical Approach and Practical Consequences, at the annual Slovenian–Hungarian bilateral workshop, Ljubljana, Slovenia, 16–17 October. Éva EHRLICH Transformation and the Hungarian Regional Development: Facts, Tendencies, Dilemmas and Objectives, 51 Congreso Internacional De Americanistas, ‘Regionalisation, Decentralisation, Transformation: Theoretical Considerations’, Santiago, Chile, 13–20 July. Andrea ÉLTETŐ Trade Specialisation of Hungary and Some Aspects of EU Accession, WIIW–IWE symposium, Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary, 19 May. Klára FÓTI Gegenwärtige Lage und Perspektiven der transnationalen Mobilität in Ungarn, ‘Das neue Humanpotenzial. Mittel-, Ost- und Südosteuropa auf dem Weg zur Wissensgesellschaft’, a conference organised by the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe, Vienna, Austria, 3–4 February. Implementation of Social Dialogue and Labour Market Perspectives in the Accession Countries, a conference ‘Better Work and Life’ (Towards an inclusive and competitive enlarged Union), Hellenic Presidency of the European Union and the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions, Dublin, Alexandropolis, Greece, 12–13 May. Labour, Living Standards and Migration, Hungarian Society for Science Education, Kossuth Klub, Budapest, Hungary, 16 July.
72
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
The Seven-Year Transition Period: a Barrier to Mobility? University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 3 October. Youth in the Labour Market – the Case of Hungary and Slovenia, at the final conference of COST Action Programme 13 on Changing Labour Markets, Welfare Policies and Citizenship. ‘New Challenges of Welfare Trends, Concepts and Citizenship’, Oslo, Norway, 10–11 October. Impact of Change in Competitiveness on Labour Market Development (Unemployment and Quality of Labour Force – the Case of Hungary), at a workshop of the project of the EU 5th Framework Programme on Competitiveness and Economic Development, Prague, The Czech Republic, 24–25 October. Low Unemployment in Hungary – What Is behind Statistics? ‘Labour and Employment Workshop’ organised by the Euro-Atlantic Action Commission of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Bratislava, Slovakia, 28 October. Standortwettbewerb und Liberalisierungsmöglichkeiten auf dem Arbeitsmarkt Ungarns, a German–Hungrian conference ‘The EU after the Enlargement’ Europa Kolleg, Hamburg, Germany, 21–22 November. András HERNÁDI Japan's Responses to Globalization. Radical Changes in Companies and Economies in the Process of Globalization, Megatrend University of Applied Sciences, Belgrade, 28 November 28. András INOTAI Ungarn und die Erweiterung der EU, Institut für den Donauraum und Mitteleuropa und Wiener Wirtschaftsuniversitaet, Vienna, Austria, 23 January. Eastern Enlargement of the European Union: Impacts on Central and Eastern Europe, Geneva Center for Foreign and Security Policy, Geneva, Switzerland, 20 February. Joining the EMU? Policy Options and Dilemmas (Introduction), at a meeting organized by NBH, IWE and ZEI, Budapest, Hungary, 28 February. Der Europa-Club Budapest: Konzeption, Veranstaltungen, Plaene, mit Hinsicht auf den ungarischen Beitritt zur EU, Österreichische Gesellschaft für Europapolitik, Vienna, Austria, 3 March. Central and Eastern Europe and the Accession to the European Union, ‘EU Enlargement and Social Cohesion’, BKÁE, Budapest, Hungary, 7 March. Konvergenz und Konkurrenzfaehigkeit der mitteleuropaeischen EU-Neumitglieder. Wo stehen die Neuen wirklich? Berliner Wirtschaftsgespraeche, Europaeische Akademie, Berlin, Germany, 27 March.
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
73
Die Erweiterung der EU – mehr Risiko als Chance? Der Bericht von Wim, Kok und seine Hintergründe, Europaeische Akademie (Rotes Rathaus), Berlin, Germany, 8 April. Structural Reforms and the Enlargement of the European Union. A View from the Acceding Countries. European Commission, EBRD and Austrian Federal Ministry of Economy and Labour, Vienna, Austria, 25 April. Die Erweiterung der Europaeischen Union und die Zukunft Europas, Ost-West-Forum, Bern, Switzerland, 29 April. Die hellen und dunklen Seiten des Eintritts, Europawoche, Ungarisches Kulturhaus, Stuttgart, Germany, 6 May. Winners and Losers of EU Enlargement – in Strategic Perspective, The World Bank – Bilkens University, Ankara, Turkey, 11 May. Chancen und Risiken der Osterweiterung der EU, at the annual conference of ZVEI (the German association of electrical engeneering association), Frankfurt/Main, Germany, 27 May. Main Features, Challenges and Implications of the Eastern Enlargement of the EU, Lexwork International (the legal advisory organization of American companies in Europe), Brussels, Belgium, 30 May. Hungary and the EU, ‘Friends of Europe Videoconference’ (Greece, Hungary, Romania, The Netherlands), BME, Budapest, Hungary, 24 June. Wie kann man Ungarns Mitgliedschaft in der EU erfolgreich gestalten?, IWE–Hanns-SeidelStiftung közös konferenciája, Budapest, Hungary, 26 June. Die Erweiterung der EU: wirtschaftliche Aspekte, Europa-Forum Wachau, Stift Göttweig, Germany, 28 June. The European Union as an Actor in World Economy, Deutsche Gesellschaft für AuswÁrtige Politik, Summer Seminar, Berlin, Germany, 7 July. Economic Impacts of the Enlargement of the European Union, Foreign Policy Center (London), London/Chelston, England, 17 July. Hungary: Preparing for Membership in the European Union, EU Internal Market Institute, Alicante, Italy, 2 September. Ungarn und Deutschland: Wirtschaftliche Zusammenarbeit an der Schwelle und nach der Mitgliedschaft in der EU, Nemzeti Kulturális Örökség Minisztériuma (Ministry of National Cultural Heritage), Magyar Kulturális Központ (Berlin) és Stadt Berlin/Spandau, Berlin, Germany, 6 September. Financial and Budgetary Issues of the Enlarging European Union, Summer Seminar, Albena, Bulgaria, 8 September.
74
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
Macroeconomic Situation and Prospects of Hungary, at a conference organized by The Economist, Budapest, Hungary, 19 September. Economic Impacts of Enlargement of the EU: the Position of the Acceding Countries, Europe– Asia Forum, Herbert Quandt Foundation (Munich), Brussels, Belgium, 20 September. Herausforderung Europa. Aufgaben einer erfolgreichen Erweiterung der EU, Haus der Volkshochschule, Osnabrück, Germany, 23 September. Mehr Mitglieder – mehr Interessen: Entsteht ein neues Konfliktpotential? VI. Budapester Gespräch (Hamburg–Budapest), Budapest, Hungary, 26 September. Candidate Countries and Potential Candidate Countries in Central and East Europe – Economic Aspects, Stability Pact for South Eastern Europe, Diplomatic Academy Zagreb and Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung München, Dubrovnik, Croatia, 7 October. Beyond Hungary’s Accession to the EU: Tasks and Challenges, IWE–Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung– EPI, Pécs, Hungary, 21 October. América Latina y la Unión Europea (por ampliarse): Aspectos económicos, Cuarta Reunión Unión Europea – América Latina, Valle de Bravo, Mexico, 31 October. Knowledge-based Economy, World Science Forum, Budapest, Hungary, 9 November. Aktuelle Probleme der ungarischen Wirtschaft und des EU-Beitritts, Deutscher Bundestag, Deutsch–Ungarische Gesellschaft, Berlin, Germany, 10 November. Chancen und Risiken der Osterweiterung der EU (Thüringen stellt sich vor), Thüringens Vertretung, Berlin, Germany, 10 November. Ungarn vor dem EU-Beitritt: Vorbereitung, Aufgaben, Herausforderungen, Collegium Hungaricum, Vienna, Austria, 25 November.
Judit KISS Impacts of Hungary’s Agricultural Accession, WIIW–IWE symposium, Budapest, Hungary, 19 May. Economic Challenges of the Future Member States, at a conference on the challenges of Central and Eastern Europe, Council of the European Union, Brussels, Belgium, 8 October. The Impact of Hungary’s Agricultural Accession, at the annual Slovenian–Hungarian bilateral workshop, Ljubljana, Slovenia, 16–17. October.
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
75
István KŐRÖSI Integration, Economic Policy and Competitiveness, at a conference on Europe of the BabesBolyai University, Cluj and Pázmány Péter Catholic University, Budapest, Hungary, 14 May. Impacts of EU Adhesion in Hungary, at a conference of the Manfred Wörner Foundation, Agárd, Hungary, 30 June. Deutschland und Ungarn als Wirtschaftspartner im sich integrierenden Europa, HWWAInstitut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Hamburg and IWE, Budapest, Hungary, 27 September. Gábor LAKATOS Hungarian Tasks to Perform in Society and Economy until Accession, at the annual Slovenian– Hungarian bilateral workshop, Ljubljana, Slovenia, 16–17 October Zsuzsa LUDVIG Impacts of EU Enlargement on Cooperation among Countries of the Carpathian Chambers, International Forum of Carpathian Chambers, Lillafüred, Hungary, 15 May. Hungarian–Russian Trade and Investment Relations – Problems and Prospects with Special Regard to Hungarian Accession to the EU, an international conference ‘Countries of Central and Eastern Europe and Russia: Mutually Re-Opening Our Markets”, Moscow, Russian Republic, 9–10 October. Problems and Prospects of Hungarian–Russian Economic Relations, Hungarian–Russian Roundtable Conference of Social Sciences, Budapest, Hungary, 3–4 November. Margit RÁCZ Growth and Stability in the First Years of the 2000s in the Fifteen Old and in the Five New EU Member States, a German–Hungarian conference ‘The EU after the Enlargement’ Europa Kolleg, Hamburg, Germany, 21–22 November. Mihály SIMAI The New Era of Multilateral Cooperation.The Post Cold War Realities, Opportunities and Challenges, International Studies Association, Annual Convention, 22–27 February. Globalization, Global Military and Economic Security Issues of the 21 Century, University of Hawai, Honolulu, USA, 4–6 March. The UN in the 21st Century: Challenges and Tasks, LA Council of Foreign Relations and the American UN Association, Los Angeles, USA, 7 March.
76
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
The Reform of the UN and the Millenium Program, ‘An International Conference on the Future of the UN’, Barcelona, Spain, 24–25 May. Globalization and the Challenges for European Security and Cooperation, Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, an ‘Intergovernmental Conference’, Vienna, Austria, 3 June. The UN Reform and the Civil Society, a public lecture, World Federation of UN Associations, New York, USA, 3–4 September. The US and the Global Development Process, Washington DC, United States Institute of Peace, Washington, USA, 5–6 September. The Small States and STI Policies, ‘Knowledge, Growth and Globalization Seminar’, Brussels, Belgium, 25 September. The Global Community in the Age of Transformations, ‘International Conference on Global Futures’, Concordia University, Montreal, Canada, 10–17 November. Andrea SZALAVETZ The Tertierization of Manufacturing Industry or the Role of ICT in the Second Phase of Restructuring, ‘Conference on the »New Economy« and Post-Socialist Transition’ TIGER Economic Institute, Warsaw, Poland, 10–11 April. Peripheral Participants in Global Production Networks. Changing Dynamics in the Era of Transformation from Industrial to Intellectual Capitalism, at a workshop organized by University of Helsinki and European University Institute on ‘New Economy’, Florence, Italy, 17–18, October. Miklós SZANYI FDI in Hungary: Decline and Perspective, OECD–CUTS Regional Roundtable Conference, ‘FDI in Transition Economies: Challenges, Policies and Good Practices’ Istanbul, Istanbul, Turkey, 5–6 May. Foreign Investment and Economic Development, the Third National Reference Group Meeting, ‘Investment for Development’ project, Consumer Unity and Trust Society – BKÁE Vállalatgazdaságtan Tanszék, Budapest, Hungary, 15 May. EU-Beitritt: Herausforderungen für Ungarische KMU, Budapester Gespräch organised by the Europa-Kolleg-Hamburg, the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, the Siemers Stiftung and IWE, Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary, 25– 27 September. FDI-based Development Model in Hungary: New Challenges? a German–Hungarian conference ‘The EU after the Enlargement’ Europa Kolleg, Hamburg, Germany, 21–22 November.
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
77
Foreign Invetment and Economic Development, at a conference on foreign direct investment, Hungarian Atlantic Council, Budapest, Hungary, 9–10 October. András SZÉKELY-DOBY Hungarian Macroeconomic Developments in 2003 and Forecasts for 2004, at the annual Slovenian–Hungarian bilateral workshop, Ljubljana, Slovenia, 16–17 October. Tamás SZEMLÉR Budgetary Aspects of Hungary's EU-Accession, IWE–WIIW symposium, Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary, 19 May. Budgetary Aspects of Hungary's EU-Accession, lecture for German visitors in Hungary organised by the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany in Hungary, Budapest, Hungary, 30 May. Finanzielle Solidarität in der EU ab 2007? 6. Budapester Gespräch, organised by the EuropaKolleg-Hamburg, the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, the Siemers Stiftung and the IWE, Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary, 25–27 September. The Effects of the First Round of EU Enlargement on the Relations of Hungary with Its Southern and Eastern Neighbours: Economy and Finances, an international seminar ‘Europe after the First Round of the Eastward Enlargement of the EU’, organised by the Hanns-SeidelStiftung Budapest, the Economic Policy Institute (Sofia) and IWE, Pécs, Hungary, 21–22 October. Hungary: European Integration and Relations with South-East Europe, Press Conference of OTP Bank, Hotel Sheraton & Towers, Tirana, Albania, 19 November. Tamás SZIGETVÁRI EU Enlargement and the Future of Europe: The Southern Dimension, Wilton Park Conferences, Malta, 12–14 February. Economic Aspects of EU-Arab Relations, ‘The EU and the Arab World’, GlobalEurope 2020, Paris, France, 14 October. Gábor TÚRY Foreign Direct Investment in the Central and Eastern Ezuropean Countries, Bulgarian– Hungarian bilateral workshop, Budapest, Hungary, 20 October.
78
Lectures Abroad or at International Conferences in Hungary
Krisztina VIDA CEEC-Debate: An Interim Assessment of the European Convention, European Institute, Lodz, Poland, 25 January. The Future of the EU Seen from the Convention, Economic University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary, 12 March. CEEC-Debate: Will the EU Become More Federal? University of Ljubljana, Slovenia, 11 April. Der Europäische Konvent aus ungarischer Sicht, Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany, Budapest, Hungary, 30 May. Die Konventergebnisse aus ungarischer Perspektive, Institute for World Economics, Budapest, Hungary, 25 September. Csaba WEINER Development of the Economic Relations between Hungary and Russia after the Change of Regime, ‘Hungarian–Russian Roundtable Conference of Social Sciences’, organized by the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, the Russian Academy of Sciences and the Europe Institute Budapest, Hungary, 3–4 November. Anna WISNIEWSKY Preparations for the Accession to EMU in the Four Visegrád Countires, Visegrad Summer Seminar, Cracow, Poland, 21, July.
The Institute’s International Conferences
79
8. International Conferences Organized by IWE in 2003
February 28
‘The Euro and the Enlargement of the European Union’ co-organized with the National Bank of Hungary Budapest
April 29
EUCON conference on ‘The Future of Europe’ Budapest
May 19
The annual bilateral workshop of the Institute for World Economics and the Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche Budapest
June 16–17
Workshop of the work package No. 4 of KNOGG (Knowledge, Growth and Globalization – Sciences and Technology Policy as a Growth Factor in Smaller Economies) project on ‘Policy Options and Recommendations for Science and Technology Policies at Country Level’ Budapest
June 24
‘Friends of Europe’ – a video conference Budapest
June 24
Book presentation ‘Alleviating Poverty: Analysis and Recommendations’ co-organized with the UNDP Budapest
June 25
Book presentation co-organized with the World Bank ‘Regional Policies in the European Union’ Budapest
June 25–29
Budapest meeting of ADAPT (EU–5) project on ‘EU Enlargement and Multi-Level Governance in European Regional and Environmental Policies: Patterns of Institutional Learning, Adaptation and Europeanisation among Cohesion Countries (Greece, Ireland and Portugal)’ Budapest
June 26
‘Successful EU Membership – Terms of Enlargement’ co-organized with the Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung Budapest
80
The Institute’s International Conferences
September 25–28
6th Budapest meeting on ‘The Enlargement of the European Union’ co-organized with the Europa Kolleg (Hamburg) and the International Partnership Initiative (Wolfsburg) Budapest
October 18
‘From the European Convention to the IGC: Assessing the Constitutional Process in Europe’, international conference organized in the framework of CEEC Debate Project Budapest
October 21–22
‘Europe after the First Eastern Enlargement’, international conference organized with the Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung Pécs
Foreign Guests at IWE
81
9. Foreign Guests at IWE in 2003 AKAZAWA, Tomoki
Planning Department Japan Foundation, Tokyo, Japan
ASTROV, Vasily
Wiener Institut füt Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche, Wien, Austria
BALAN, Emilia Mary
Institute for World Economy, Bucharest, Romania
BEDNAR, Nicolas
Institut d’études européennes, Louvain, Belgium
BERGHALL, Elina
Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki, Finland
BRUHA, Thomas
Universität Hamburg, Germany
BUSS, Hans-Volker
Unilever, Warsaw, Poland
CHECA, Guillermo Russo
Embassy of Peru, Budapest, Hungary
EHRKE, Michael
Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, Budapest, Hungary
FUNCK, Bernard
The World Bank, Washington D.C., USA
FURUYA, Masato
Japan Foundation, Budapest Office, Budapest, Hungary
GÁLVEZ, Sergio Gonzáles
Embassy of Mexico, Budapest, Hungary
GONZÁLES BRICENO, M.T.
Embassy of Venezuela, Budapest, Hungary
GRAY, Cheryl W.
The World Bank, Washington D.C., USA
GRUBER, Wilfried
Embassy of Germany, Budapest, Hungary
GUZ-VETTER, Marianne
Gazeta Wyborcza, Warsaw, Poland
HANDY, George W.
Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington D.C., USA
HANZL-WEISS
Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche, Wien, Austria
HASSE, Rolf H.
Universität Leipzig, Germany
Foreign Guests at IWE
82 HEFEKER, Carsten
Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtscahfts-Archiv, Hamburg, Germany
HEIKKILA, Tuomo
Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki, Finland
HERPPE, Reino
Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki, Finland
HUBER, Otmar
Institut für den Donauraum und Mitteleuropa, Wien, Austria
HUNYA, Gábor
Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche, Wien, Austria
ILNITCHI, Monika Ursula
Institute for World Economy, Bucharest, Romania
JÖLLE, Jan G.
Embassy of Norway, Budapest, Hungary
KAPS, Franz
The World Bank Budapest Office, Hungary
KARUNAKARAN, Anand
Centre Director, Central and Eastern Europe, International Enterprise Singapore.
KIANDER, Jaako
Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki, Finland
KILPONEN, Juha
Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki, Finland
KÖPPEN, Jürgen
Delegation of the European Union, Budapest, Hungary
KUSEK, Peter
Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington D.C., USA
KÜPER, Martin
Studio Ferenczy, München, Germany
LANDESMANN, Michael
Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche, Wien, Austria
LAMMERS, Konrad
Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtschafts-Archiv, Hamburg, Germany
LINN, Johannes F.
The Brookings Institution, Washington D.C., USA
LÓPEZ ARAUJO, Alfonso
Embassy of Ecuador, Budapest, Hungary
LUNDBORG, Bengt
Embassy of Sweden, Budapest, Hungary
MARTIN, Reiner
Europäische Zentralbank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Foreign Guests at IWE
83
MARTINEZ, José Luis
Embassy of Mexico, Budapest, Hungary
MATSUMOTO, Kazuo
Embassy of Japan, Budapest, Hungary
McDEVITT, James
National University of Finland, Helsinki, Finland
MINGUEZ SANTOS, Aurora
Radio Nacional de España, Madrid, Spain
MOIA, Mihai
Europa Institute, Bucharest, Romania
MONICH, Jurij
Embassy of Russia, Budapest, Hungary
MORENO, Laval
Embassy of Chile, Budapest, Hungary
MURAKAMI, Tadashi
JETRO, Budapest, Hungary
NICK, Stanko
Embassy of Croatia, Budapest, Hungary
NICOLAYSEN, Gert
Universität Hamburg, Germany
NORD, Roger
International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., USA
OSTERMANN, Barbara
Laboratory for Mixed Realities, Academy of Media Arts, Cologne, Germany
PICIU, Gabriela Cornelia
Victor Slavescu Financial and Currency Research Center, Bucharest, Romania
RICHTER, Sándor
Wiener Institute für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche, Wien, Austria
SAMARDZIJA, Višnja
Ministry for European Integration, Zagreb, Croatia
SANDER, Christopher
Embassy of Germany, Budapest, Hungary
SANTAVIRTA, Torsten
Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki, Finland
SCHÄFER, Wolf
Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
SCHENK, Karl-Ernst
Europa Kolleg, Hamburg, Germany
SEILER-ALBRING, Ursula
Embassy of Germany, Budapest, Hungary
SERRANO CADENA, Rosso J.
Embassy of Columbia, Budapest, Hungary
SNOY, Bernard
Economic Reconstruction, Development and Co-operation, Brussels, Belgium
SOARES-de-OLIVEIRA, R.
Embassy of Brasil, Budapest, Hungary
Foreign Guests at IWE
84
SOLARI, Horacio Emilio
Embassy of Argentina, Budapest, Hungary
von SOLEMACHER, Hans F.F.
Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung, Budapest, Hungary
STANOVNIK, Peter
Institute for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia
TAM, Nguyen Van
National Center for Social Sciences and Humanities, Hanoi, Vietnam
TANAKA, Hiroshi
Ritsumeikan University, Kyoto, Japan
TANAKA, Susumu
JETRO, Brussels Office, Brussels, Belgium
THANG, Nguyen Xuan
National Center for Social Sciences and Humanities, Hanoi, Vietnam
TRIEN, Nguyen Van
National Center for Social Sciences and Humanities, Hanoi, Vietnam
USIEVICH, Marina
Institute for International Economic and Political Studies, Moscow, Russia
VERDERAME, Giovan Battista
Embassy of Italy, Budapest, Hungary
VOLOTOV, Oleg
Institute for International Economic and Political Studies, Moscow, Russia
WASS, von Czege, Andreas
International Partnership Initiative, Wolfsburg, Germany
WONG, Andrew
Harvard University, Boston, USA
WÖRZ, Julia
Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche, Wien, Austria
Appendix
85
Appendix The Advisory Board of the Institute for World Economics Ferenc Bartha President Trigránit Development Corporation
Erhard Busek President Institute for the Danube Region Vienna
Hans Volker Buss Former Managing Director Unilever Hungary
Szabolcs Fazakas Former Minister of Industry and Trade
Árpád Göncz Former President of the Hungarian Republic
Péter Hegedűs President Hungarian EU Enlargement Business Council
Franz Kaps Advisor, Office of the World Bank, Europe and Central Asia Regional Office, Hungary
Domokos Kosáry Professor, Former President of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences
Tibor Palánkai Professor, Director, Center for European Studies and Ecudation, Budapest University of Economic Sciences and Public Administration
Zsuzsa Pásztor Former General Director HUNGEXPO Rt.
Mihály Patai President, General Director Allianz–Hungária Insurance Co.
György Szapáry Vice-President National Bank of Hungary
János Szita President Foundation for Research into the World Economy
Ádám Török Professor Budapest University of Technology and Economics
Tibor Vámos Professor, Chairman of Board of the Computer and Automation Research Institute
Appendix
86
The Research Council of the Institute for World Economics
Zoltán Bassa Research fellow
Éva Ehrlich
Judit Kiss Research director
Annamária Kovács
Research director
Chief librarian
Klára Fóti
Tamás Novák
Senior research fellow
Research director
András Hernádi
Margit Rácz
Research director
Research director
András Inotai General director
Mihály Simai Research professor
Tamás Szemlér Senior research fellow