ENERGY
De wijk als energieleverancier Homelab2050
Petra de Boer 27 november 2014
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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
The World of Energy: Six major trends
1. Increased electricity demand
4. Aging assets and workforce
2. Environmental responsibility or stewardship
5. Advancing technology, e.g. ICT
3. Declining fossil fuel supplies
6. Maintaining reliability
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Energy transition in the view of WWF
100% renewables in 2050
Source: WWF energy report 2011 DNV GL © 2014
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Scenario’s uit het Energieakkoord voor Nederland
Nederland wil naar 14% duurzame energie in 2020
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Solar market in The Netherlands
Nederland heeft een doel van 4 GW zon in 2020
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Three parallel trends in European power sector
2014
2050
Affordable
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Impact of solar production
Hoe passen deze duurzame energiebronnen in de bestaande infrastructuur? 7
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Large volumes of RES require more flexibility …
Fast controllable power generation, including curtailment of e.g. wind power Large(r) interconnection capacity, and cross-border trading Energy storage, small-scale and large-scale systems (and services) Smart local energy, i.e. integration of DG, demand response, and active participation of end-users
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A day in 2050 seen through the ‘eyes of the individual’
.....I can’t imagine how things were done in 2014.”
Nieuwe technologieën zijn een bron van flexibiliteit van het energiesysteem DNV GL © 2014
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Smart local energy systems … Home Automation
Smart metering
Demand Response Network Automation
Microgeneration
Dynamic Load Management
Electric Vehicles
Energy Storage Distributed Generation
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Real Time Ratings
The energy consumer will have a more active role …
Passive energy consumers become participating prosumers, and finally modern ‘energy down- and uploaders’ They will affect power flow and the energy market which will stimulate the development of new market mechanisms, and new services
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… and ‘new’ companies will enter the energy market ICT and telecom Building industry and contractors Technology providers and manufacturers Automotive industry and suppliers Service providers and other energy providers Housing corporations and local governmental bodies Virtual organizations of energy consumers
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Size of implementation
From R&D, via pilots to large-scale implementation
Stabilization Acceleration Large-scale implementation First field tests, e.g. PowerMatching City
Larger demonstration projects
Take-off Time (years)
R&D, first developments 2010
2015
2020
2030
2050 13
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Strengthen the business case for New Energy Smart domestic appliances Electricit y storage
PV
Wind
Informatio n
Consumer > prosumer
Heat Pum p Airco Second life applications of EV batteries
Added Business Values
Increased energy demand by new applications
Sma rt Grid s
µ-CHP
HRe
Smart Energy Systems
Distributed Energy Resources
CSP
•V2 G •G2 V
EV
Domotic a
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Strengthen the business case for New Energy
Smart domestic appliances Electricit y storage
PV
Sma rt Grid s
Wind µ-CHP
Informatio n
Consumer > prosumer
Heat Pum p Airco Second life applications of EV batteries
EV
•V2 G •G2 V
Added Business Values
Increased energy demand by new applications
HRe
Smart Energy Systems
Distributed Energy Resources
CSP
Domotic a
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… in which end-user acceptance & participation is key
We like electric cars
We are participating producers of energy
We like smart home appliances
Matched by ICT We save money with micro CHP and solar-PV DNV GL © 2014
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Smart Grid Rendement voor Iedereen •
Ontwikkeling van 8 smart grid dienstverleningsconcepten
•
Toetsen van deze concepten in 2 pilots van 100 huishoudens in Amersfoort en Utrecht
•
Dienstverleningsconcepten gericht op energiebesparing en optimaal gebruik eigen opgewekte zonne-energie
Amersfoort Nieuwland 18
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Innovatieve diensten
Solar4All
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Inzicht in je eigen energieverbruik: Insight4All •
App voor smartphones en tablets
•
Webportal
•
Slimme meter, zonnepanelen, wasmachine, droger, vaatwasser, koelkast, vriezer
Doel: 5% energiebesparing
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Gezamenlijk energiebesparen: Together4All
+
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Bottom up benadering
Traditional Top-down
Bottom-up Approach
Governments Network operator
Suppliers Active involved community
“Pushing” offers
Lack of acceptation “lazy confi customers”
“Participating” community
Suppliers DNV GL © 2014
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Network operators Governments
BEWONERSCOLLECTIEF Via ICA methodiek gerichte publiciteit 100-10-1 regel – 1200 woningen met PV –
120 aanmeldingen
–
12 ambassadeurs
Alle ambassadeurs zijn professionals op eigen vakgebied Communicatie / Techniek / vaktechnisch 100 deelnemers van begin tot eind – (1 invaller, wachtlijst van 20 mensen)
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13-okt-14
6-okt-14
29-sep-14
22-sep-14
15-sep-14
8-sep-14
1-sep-14
25-aug-14
18-aug-14
11-aug-14
4-aug-14
28-jul-14
21-jul-14
14-jul-14
7-jul-14
30-jun-14
23-jun-14
16-jun-14
9-jun-14
2-jun-14
26-mei-14
19-mei-14
12-mei-14
5-mei-14
Watt/uur
Doel Together4All: continu verbruik verminderen 300
250
200
150
100 AmersVolt
50
0
Doel: verminderen continu verbruik met 20%
Powe demand (W)
Vraagsturing apparaten: Flex4all
2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10
Time steps in 15 minutes (1/4 hour)
Profiel Wasmachine
Profiel Droger
Profiel Vaatwasser
Conclusie: geen mogelijkheden tot significante markt trading met deze 3 apparaten DNV GL © 2014
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De piek in het energieverbruik verschuiven: profit4All
Doel: Meer zonne energie verbruiken en lagere pieken in het verbruik 26
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Solar4All: Een wolk trekt over Amersfoort…..
Doel: De energielevering van zonnepanelen voorspellen door informatie te delen 27
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Vragen?
Contact
[email protected] 026-356 2552
www.dnvgl.com
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