Den Helder, 27 november 2014
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Offshore Windenergie: Don Quichot of onontkoombaar? Masterclass Offshore Wind
Ruben Dijkstra
Agenda
................................................................................................. Welkom -
Persoonlijke introductie Energietransitie Offshore wind Eneco Luchterduinen Project Development - Algemeen - Nieuwe kavelsystematiek - Kostprijs reductie
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Ruben Dijkstra .................................................................................................
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Energietransitie
Energiesector gaat naar nieuw marktmodel
................................................................................................. How to lose half a trillion euros Europe’s electricity providers face an existential threat The Economist, 12 October 2013
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De oude en de nieuwe wereld verschillende systemen .................................................................................................
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Drijvende krachten voor de transitie
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Snelle groei duurzame energie
Schaliegas revolutie VS, goedkope kolen in EU 7
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Overcapaciteit door boom/ bust economie
Kernramp Fukushima: Duitse “Atomausstieg”, LNG naar Japan
Duurzame energie wordt goedkoper
Opkomst kleinschalige duurzame energie
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Wind goedkoopste duurzame energiebron .................................................................................................
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En wind is schaalbaar: 1 turbine =
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30.000 to 45.000 solar panels of 15 – 20 hectares land
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En de technologie blijft zich ontwikkelen
................................................................................................. Vestas new V164: - 8MW offshore turbine 220 meter tip height De Euromast is slechts 185 meter
Formule windenergie E = v3 x r2
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Transitiefase Van grootschalig duurzaam & flexibele centrales .................................................................................................
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Prinses Amalia Windpark, Noordzee, IJmuiden
Grootschalig zon, Nieuwland Amersfoort
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Windpark Halderberge, Sint Antoinedijk
SS Rotterdam, koeling met rivier water, Rotterdam
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Enecogen, gascentrale, Eneco Gasspeicher, ........................................................................ Maasvlakte Rotterdam Epe Germany
Naar: Duurzaam, decentraal, samen .................................................................................................
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Duurzaam Decentraal De techniek is er vandaag al
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Offshore wind
Windpark Lochluichart, 69 MW Windpark Lochluichart, 69 MW Windpark Moy, 66 MW Windpark Windpark Tullo, Tullo, 1742 MW MW
Prinses Prinses Amalia Amalia Windpark, Windpark, 120 120 MW MW
Eneco Eneco Luchterduinen, Luchterduinen, 129 129 MW MW
236 MW, Nederland
Norther, Norther, 300 300 MW MW
Navitus Navitus Bay, Bay, 900-1.200 900-1.200 MW MW 153 MW, België
Ambitieus Internationale groei van 250 MW p/j
Waarom (offshore) wind?
................................................................................................. 1. Schoon 2. CO2-vrij 3. Onuitputtelijk 4. Onafhankelijk
5. Ondersteunt de economie 6. Ruimte
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60 turbines Totaal MW: 120 In operatie: 2008 Genoeg energie voor 125.000 huishoudens Op 23km afstand van de kust ter hoogte van IJmuiden
Prinses Amalia Windpark IJmuiden, Noordzee
43 turbines Totaal MW: 129 In operatie: 2015 Genoeg energie voor bijna 150.000 huishoudens
Op 23km afstand van de kust ter hoogte van Noordwijk en Zandvoort Partnership: Mitsubishi Corporation Participatie: Eneco Luchterduinen Fonds en obligaties in 2015
Windpark Eneco Luchterduinen Noordwijk en Zandvoort, Noordzee
Animatie windpark Eneco Luchterduinen
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Innovaties Eneco Luchterduinen
Nieuw fundatie-concept Kostenbesparing en risicoreductie .................................................................................................
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Traditional grouted:
New bolted connection
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Conical Grouted connection
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Bolted connection (No TP!)
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Partially in/external J-tubes
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Internal cables (No J-tubes!)
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Switch gear in TP
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Pile driving on flange
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Switch gear in Tower
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Innovatie: flensverbinding monopaal
................................................................................................. • Uitgangspunten en policy…
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Ontwerp van de funderingen
................................................................................................. • Invoegen foto’s
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Onderzoek aan erosiebescherming Kostenbesparing .................................................................................................
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Installatie funderingen Aeolus Van Oord
................................................................................................. • Animatie installatie funderingen (bron VOO)
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De windturbine – Vestas V112
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Met speciale schepen
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Project Development
Project Development timeline
................................................................................................. Decision Gate 1
Final Investment Decision
Decision Gate 2
Contracting Location
Lay-out & Yield
Environmental Impact Assessment
Permitting
Execute Project Financing
Stakeholder Engagement Financial Modelling & Business Case review
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Year 1
Year 3
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Year 5
Year 7
Luchterduinen- A typical project schedule ........................................................................................................................................................ Today
2H 2011 Offshore SDE tender
1H 2012 Execution Agreement
2H 2012
1H 2013
2H 2013
Formal EU approval
Bank guarantee
Offshore permitting
Final Permit
Counsel of State procedure
Irrevocable Permit
Onshore permitting
Final Permit
Counsel of State procedure
Irrevocable Permit
RCR
1H 2014
2H 2014
1H 2015
2H 2015
Environmental Monitoring
Contract negotiations
LNTP (Dec’12) Geo Studies
FNTP (Sept’13) Hammering Restriction
Hammering Restriction
Design
Procurement
Foundations
Fabrication Electrical
WTG’s Installation
TenneT
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Foundatio ns
Electrical
................................................................................ Eneco Luchterduinen - Strictly Confidential
WTG
Start Operations
Locatiekeuze
Locatiekeuze – Waterdiepte/Bodemgesteldheid
................................................................................................. Water depth - Monopile - Jacket - GBS
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< 35m > 35m >35m
Locatiekeuze – Onshore netaansluiting
................................................................................................. Onshore grid capacity Only a few points on the coast line have sufficient capacity to connect wind farm(s).
Location of wind farm should not be too far from the connection point on land, otherwise too expensive.
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Locatiekeuze – Bestaand gebruik
................................................................................................. Wind farms offshore = plenty of space? No! The Dutch North Sea is very crowded with existing user functions: 34
Shipping lanes Oil & Gas platforms Military zones Nature reservations Sand mining Pipes and cables ect.
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Bestaand gebruik .................................................................................................
Zooming in….
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Conflicterende belangen – Zelfs op zee
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Status .................................................................................................
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Windpark ontwerp
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De nieuwe kavelsystematiek
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Kostprijsverlaging
The challange of the cost of energy
Strictly confidential
................................................................................................. Levelised Cost of Energy ( €/MWh)
Wholesale price level
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Trend in CAPEX of offshore Wind
................................................................................................. Project capex (£/MW)
Round 2 UK
Round 1 UK
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Kostprijsreductie potentieel .................................................................................................
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Target is 40% reduction in the CoE by 2020
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Grid parity
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