Masterproef Politieke Communicatie Titel Masterproef: Intermedia-agendasetting: Hoe media elkaar imiteren. Een kwantitatieve analyse. Naam studente: Anne Hardy
Promotor: Prof. Dr. Stefaan Walgrave Verslaggever: Prof. Dr. Peter Thijssen Master Politieke Communicatie (www.politiekecommunicatie.be) Rolnummer student(e): s0070855 Faculteit Politieke en Sociale Wetenschappen Academiejaar 2007-2008
Masterproef Politieke Communicatie Titel Masterproef: Intermedia-agendasetting: Hoe media elkaar imiteren. Een kwantitatieve analyse. Naam studente: Anne Hardy
Promotor: Prof. Dr. Stefaan Walgrave Verslaggever: Prof. Dr. Peter Thijssen Master Politieke Communicatie (www.politiekecommunicatie.be) Rolnummer student(e): s0070855 Faculteit Politieke en Sociale Wetenschappen
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Figuur 1: De drie hoofdcomponenten van het agendasetting proces: de media-agenda, de publieke agenda en de politieke agenda volgens Rogers & Dearing.
Bron: Sinardet (2000)
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Deze data werden verzameld in het kader van een Belgisch interuniversitair agendasettingproject (2001-2004) gefinancierd door de ‘Federale Diensten voor Wetenschappelijke, Technische en Culturele Aangelegenheden’ (DWTC). Het project werd geleid door Stefaan Walgrave, Lieven Dewinter, Benoît Rihoux, Frédéric Varone en Patrick Stouthuysen. 2 htpp://europa.int/celex/eurovoc
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DM: De Morgen, HLN: Het Laatste Nieuws, DS: De Standaard, LLB: La Libre Belgique, LS: Le Soir ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). N=62600 5
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Critical value op 1%-niveau is -3.43, op 5%-niveau -2.86, op 10%-niveau -2.56 Tabel 4.3: Augmented Dickey Fuller Test De Standaard Issue 35 $b $$D 9@ 5
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DM: De Morgen, HLN: Het Laatste Nieuws, DS: De Standaard, LLB: La Libre Belgique, LS: Le Soir Chi-squared test statistics for lag exclusion: Numbers in [ ] are p values. Degrees of freedom: 9
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TABEL 6: Vector Autoregressive Analysis: voor 9 media en 25 issues: 1 lag, periode 1993-2000 # # E 7F '. E 7F $ E 7F ''+ E 7F '$ E 7F <2# E 7F <(2 E 7F (2+G E 7F (2' E 7F 5 a
C @8]]] C CC9 7@7 9> C C:]]] C CC9 77 B; C C@]]] C CC9 7: 8; C C7]]] C CC8 9 99 C C9]]] C CC8 79 : C C:]]] C CC8 7@ ? C C9]]] C CC8 78 8 C C8]]] C CC8 > >B C C8]]] C CC8 ; >9 C :B@ 7 BB
' . C C9]]] C CC9 B 8? C @9]]] C CC9 7@; 7: C C8]]] C CC9 ; ;: C C8]]] C CC8 ; @8 C C9]]] C CC8 77 ?8 C C;]]] C CC8 8; :> C C7]]] C CC8 @ 8BB C C8]]] C CC8 > C? C C8]]] C CC8 77 >@ C @8 7 B>
$ C C>]]] C CC: 7? @? C CC9]]] C CC: ; ?@ C :?]]] C CC9 799 @9 C C8]]] C CC8 > C8 C C9]]] C CC9 77 BC C C8]]] C CC8 B 88 C C@]]] C CC8 7> B C C:]]] C CC8 7@ :: .
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' + H C C9]]] C CC@ ; 9? C C@]]] C CC: 77 ;7 C C8]]] C CC: 9 >; C @:]]] C CC: 7@; ;B C C@;]]] C CC9 7; C: C C;]]] C CC9 7? ;7 C C9]]] C CC9 > >7 C C@:]]] C CC9 7; 89 C C9]]] C CC9 ? @: C @9 8 C9
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C C>]]] C CC> 7C :7 C 7;]]] C CC> 88 ?8 C C>]]] C CC; 77 :? C 79]]] C CC@ 8@ ;7 C 77]]] C CC@ 8C B: C C;]]] C CC: 7: 89 C C9]]] C CC@ ; 7? C 7@]]] C CC@ 97 89 C 8:]]] C CC@ :B @7 C :C 8 7:
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Waarden geschat door middel van Pooled Least Squares. P>0,001***. Er staan de regressiecoëfficiënten, gevolgd door de standaardafwijkingen. De derde waarde is de t-statistic. N=62.600 DM: De Morgen, HLN: Het Laatste Nieuws, DS: De Standaard, LLB: La Libre Belgique, LS: Le Soir
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TABEL 8: Vector Autoregressive Analysis: Exogene issues # # E 7F '. E 7F $ E 7F ''+ E 7F '$ E 7F <2# E 7F <(2 E 7F (2+G E 7F (2' E 7F 5
(a %
C @@]]] C CC@ 7C9 7; C C9]]] C CC@ ; 88 C C;]]] C CC@ 7C @8 C C7]] C CC: 8 BB C C:]]] C CC: ? 7> C C9]]] C CC9 > B9 C C9]]] C CC: ; B; C C8]]] C CC: @ >: C C7]]] C CC: 9 >? C @: 7 BB
' . C C8]]] C CC@ : C7 C @7]]] C CC@ B8 :; C C@]]] C CC; ? @> C C8]]] C CC: @ :@ C C:]]] C CC: B 7C C C@]]] C CC9 79 7: C C9]]] C CC: B 7C C C8]]] C CC: @ B@ C C8]]] C CC: ; >; C @9 7 B@
$ C CB]]] C CC@ 7> C> C C:]]] C CC@ > 7@ C :B]]] C CC@ ?> @: C C8]]] C CC: : @B C C9]]] C CC: > BB C C8]]] C CC9 @ ;@ C C:]]] C CC: ? ?> C C:]]] C CC9 77 C8 .
C @8 7 B>
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C @>]]] C CC@ 7C> 9;; C C@]]] C CC@ B 9B C C;]]] C CC: 7: 9> C C8]]] C CC: : C; C C@]]] C CC@ B 77 C C8]]] C CC: @ C;; C ;C 7 BB
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C 77]]] C C77 B >; C 8@]]] C C77 88 :9 C 7@]]] C C78 78 7@ C 7B]]] C CCB 8C B7 C 79]]] C CCB 7: CB C 8B]]] C CC> 9? C? C 79]]] C CCB 7: 88 C C;]]] C CC? ; ;> C C:]]] C CC? : B9 C @8 8 7B
C CB]]] C CCB B ?@ C 7;]]] C CCB 7> 7@ C 79]]] C C7C 78 9; C 78]]] C CC> 7; C8 C C?]]] C CC> 7C @8 C 7:]]] C CC; 89 9@ C 7;]]] C CC> 8C ?; C C:]]] C CC> ; >B C C:]]] C CC; @ :8 C :9 8 77
C 78]]] C C7C 78 @9 C 77]]] C CCB 77 >; C 7@]]] C C77 79 >C C 79]]] C CC? 7; 8; C 77]]] C CC? 7: @@ C C:]]] C CC; ; :8 C C:]]] C CC; : ;9 C 7B]]] C CC> 8@ 7B C 7>]]] C CC> 8@ C@ C :; 8 7;
C C:]]] C C7C 9 ;; C 79]]] C C7C 78 :> C CB]]] C C77 > 8? C 7@]]] C CC? 7> @B C 77]]] C CC? 7> @B C C:]]] C CC? ; C7 C C:]]] C CC? : :8 C 7?]]] C CC? 89 7C C 8@]]] C CC> 99 ?: C :@ 8 7@
Waarden geschat door middel van Pooled Least Squares. P>0,001***. Er staan de regressiecoëfficiënten, gevolgd door de standaardafwijkingen. De derde waarde is de t-statistic. N=25040 DM: De Morgen, HLN: Het Laatste Nieuws, DS: De Standaard, LLB: La Libre Belgique, LS: Le Soir
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TABEL 9: Vector Autoregressive Analysis: Endogene issues # # E 7F '. E 7F $ E 7F ''+ E 7F '$ E 7F <2# E 7F <(2 E 7F (2+G E 7F (2' E 7F 5
(a %
C :;]]] C C: B? ;? C C8]]] C CC; 9 ;; C C:]]] C CC: 7C :8 .$
' . C C8]]] C CC: : ?? C :;]]] C CC: BB 89 C C7]]] C CC8 : :B .$
C C9]]] C CC; B :8 C C:]]] C CC9 78 @C C C:]]] C CC9 78 7> C C8]]] C CC9 : ?; C C8]]] C CC9 @ C9 C 9: 7 B?
C C7]]] C CC8 9 :C C C9]]] C CC8 78 CB C C8]]] C CC8 ; ;8 C C7]]] C CC8 ; 9; C C7 C CC8 : >@ C 8B 7 B8
$ C C:]]] C CC@ ; 87 C C9]]] C CC? 9 9: C :;]]] C CC: B> ;; C C8]]] C CC: ; 77 C C9]]] C CC: ? @? C C@]]] C CC: 7C B: C C>]]] C CC: 7@ >@ C C:]]] C CC: B 7> C C7]] C CC: 9 77 C 9; 7 B?
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C 7:]]] C CC? 7; 7B C 78]]] C C77 7C @; C 79]]] C CC; 7B >B C C>]]] C CC@ 78 B7 C C>]]] C CC@ 78 @7 C 7@]]] C CC; 89 9: C 8C]]] C CC; 9C B7 C C:]]] C CC@ ; B@ C C@]]] C CC; > :? C 8? 8 78
C 77]]] C CCB 78 :8 C 7C]]] C C78 ? 9B C 7C]]] C CC> ? C: C 78]]] C CC; 7? B@ C 79]]] C CC; 8C 9? C C;]]] C CC> ? ?7 C C;]]] C CC> ? 99 C 7;]]] C CC; 8: B? C 7>]]] C CC> 8: ;B C 8> 8 7C
C 7C]]] C CC? 77 87 C 77]]] C C77 B :C C C>]]] C CC> 7C B@ C 7C]]] C CC@ 7> 98 C CB]]] C CC; 7@ 99 C C;]]] C CC; B >9 C C:]]] C CC; ; :@ C 78]]] C CC@ 8C @9 C 7?]]] C CC; 8B 8@ C 8: 8 7C
C C:]]] C CC@ ; B; C C@]]] C CC@ 7C ;? C @8]]] C CC: 77; 8C C C9]]] C CC@ @ 8C? C C:]]] C CC: ? C8 C C@]]] C CC: 77 :B C C:]]] C CC: > @@ C :C 8 C7
Waarden geschat door middel van Pooled Least Squares. P>0,001***. Er staan de regressiecoëfficiënten, gevolgd door de standaardafwijkingen. De derde waarde is de t-statistic. N=37560 DM: De Morgen, HLN: Het Laatste Nieuws, DS: De Standaard, LLB: La Libre Belgique, LS: Le Soir
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