Market Timing Forecast Indonesia | 12 November 2013
NISPS Research Team +6221 2935 2788
[email protected]
TODAY’S TREND: BULLISH
WHAT TO BUY RALS IJ
T/P at Rp1,370-1,380
SMCB IJ
T/P at Rp3,000
NEXT TRADING IDEAS
NO TRADING IDEAS
Hidden gap as a target Saat ini, kami masih memprediksikan bahwa harga akan bergerak menguat. Penguatan ini merupakan pengaruh dari berakhirnya siklus Mercury Retrogade dan masuk pada siklus Mercury Goes Direct. Hidden gap yang terbentuk pada saat IHSG jatuh akan menjadi target short-term rebound ini yaitu berada pada lavel 4,550-4,575 dengan level harga 4,620 menjadi level ideal untuk penguatan yang terjadi. Dengan kondisi seperti ini, Anda dapat kembali mulai mengakumulasi saham-saham pilihan kami dengan tetap berdisiplin pada level stop loss untuk mempersiapkan kondisi yang tidak diinginkan terjadi pada market. Another strong momentum. Indikator stokastik telah bergerak membentuk bullish crossover dan meninggalkan area oversold akan memberikan momentum penguatan pada harga.
Gap as target. Penguatan akan terjadi setidaknya hingga mencapai di level hidden gap 4,550-4,575.
Short-term uptrend. Short-term reversal pada IHSG akan membawa harga dalam melanjutkan penguatannya.
The end of mercury. Siklus Mercury Retrograde telah berakhir pada 10 Nov 13 lalu, sehingga akan memberikan dampak penguatan pada harga.
JCI TRADING RANGE
4,400-4,540
TRADING STRATEGY: Persiapkan money management dan trading plan Anda dengan baik dalam melakukan akumulasi pembelian pada saham-saham pilihan kami. Anda dapat menggunakan 50 % dari slot normal dalam setiap pembelian saham.
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
Page 1 of 6
Market Timing Forecast Indonesia | 12 November 2013 eptember2013
Jakarta Composite Index
Source: NISP Sekuritas
Daily Prediction IHSG telah bergerak mengkonfirmasi fase bottom pada harga. Dengan demikian harga akan tetap mengalami short-term reversal dengan target penguatan terdekat berada di area hidden gap 4,550-4,575. Time Forecast Fase bottom berhasil tercapai seiring dengan berakhirnya siklus Mercury Retrogade pada 10 Nov 13 lalu, sehingga kita akan segera menyaksikan short-term rebound pada harga. Trading Strategy Kita akan fokus untuk melakukan pembelian pada saham: RALS dan SMCB untuk hari ini. Gunakan batasan pembelian maksimal 50% dari slot normal.
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
Page 2 of 6
Market Timing Forecast Indonesia | 12 November 2013 eptember2013
Ramayana Sentosa Lestari Tbk (RALS IJ)
Source: NISP Sekuritas
It’s time to upside Daily Prediction Pola inside bar pada harga akan bergerak menguat dan mengkonfirmasi adanya momentum bullish divergence, sehingga akan membawa harga mengalami penguatan. Time Forecast Target penguatan akan tercapai pada 15-18 Nov 13 mendatang. Trading Strategy
BUY ON BREAKOUT AT Rp1,240 5% STOP LOSS PROFIT TAKING AT Rp1,370- 1,380
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
Page 3 of 6
Market Timing Forecast Indonesia | 12 November 2013 eptember2013 ribution
Holcim Indonesia Tbk (SMCB IJ)
Source: NISP Sekuritas
Bullish transition Daily Prediction Formasi hgher low pada SMCB telah memberikan konfirmasi transisi dari tren bearish ke bullish, dan berdampak penguatan lanjutan pada harga. Time Forecast Penguatan ini akan berlangsung hingga mencapai target penguatan dalam 4-5 hari perdagangan berikutnya. Trading Strategy
BUY AT Rp2,675-2,700 5% STOP LOSS PROFIT TAKING AT Rp3,000
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
Page 4 of 6
Market Timing Forecast Indonesia | 12 November 2013 eptember2013
Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ)
Await fresh signal.
INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
Page 5 of 6
Market Timing Forecast Indonesia | 12 November 2013
PT NISP Sekuritas OCBC NISP Tower Lt. 21 (Head Office) Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio Kav. 25 Jakarta 12940 Indonesia Phone. (021) 2935 2788 (hunting) Fax. (021) 5794 4095 Email:
[email protected] Website: www.nispsekuritas.com
Branches Phone:
Fax:
Pluit Jakarta
Gedung Biotest Lt.3, Jl. Pluit Sakti No. 25 Jakarta Utara 14450
(021) 6667 5050 (hunting)
(021) 6667 5051
Surabaya
Intiland Tower, 1st Floor Suite 7 Jl. Panglima Sudirman 101-103 Surabaya 60271
(031) 547 1213
(031) 547 1314
Rating Definitions BUY ON STRENGTH : BUY ON WEAKNESS : BUY ON BREAKOUT : SELL ON STRENGTH : SELL ON WEAKNESS : SELL ON BREAKDOWN :
Buying when the stock prices already have experienced significant upward move. Buying when the stock prices reach the potential bottoming area. Buying when the stock prices experience a breakout upon the pre-determined resistance level. Selling when the stock prices already have experienced significant downward move. Selling when the stock prices experience technical rebound. Selling when the stock prices experience a breakdown upon the pre-determined support level.
DISCLAIMER: This report was produced by PT NISP Sekuritas, a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The Information contained in this report has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable and the options, analysis, forecasts, projections and expectations contained in this report are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or opinion is accurate, complete or verified and it should not be replied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of PT NISP Sekuritas who has to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither PT NISP Sekuritas nor any officer or employee of PT NISP Sekuritas accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. PT NISP Sekuritas may be involved in transactions contrary to any opinions herein to make markets, or have positions in the securities recommended herein. PT NISP Sekuritas may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies within this report. This report is a copyright of PT NISP Sekuritas. For further information please contact our number 62-2129352788 or fax 62-21-57944095.
Please see important disclosure at the back of this report
Page 6 of 6