I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
W ednes day , 08 M ar c h 2017
PRICE CHART
MARKET NEWS
5,7 00
^JKSE - Weekly 3/3/2017 Open 5387.82, H i 5431.17, Lo 5350 .91, Close 5391.21 (0.1%) MA(Clo se,21) = 5,298.29, BBTop(C lose,21,2) = 5,495.99, BBBot(Close,21,2) = 5,10 0.58
Indeks pada perdagangan kemarin bergerak dengan kecenderungan melemah seiring dengan adanya sentimen negatif melemahnya indeks global yang mendorong investor untuk melakukan aksi profit taking pada saham-saham yang sebelumnya mengalami penguatan seperti ADHI, ICBP, ASII, dan UNTR. Pola perdagangan di pasar terlihat bahwa investor masih berorientasi day trading. Hal tersebut diperkirakan karena sebagian investor masih mencerna pengaruh kenaikan suku bunga The Fed terhadap capital outflow. Bond index dan nilai tukar Rupiah kemarin masih relatif stabil sehingga pengaruhnya diperkirakan masih netral. Indeks BEI pada perdagangan kemarin ditutup melemah tipis -7.2 poin pada level 5402.62 setelah sempat menyentuh level terendah hariannya 5386.32 dan level tertinggi harian 5427.91.
5,6 00 5,495.99 5,5 00 5,4 00 5,391.21 5,298.29 5,3 00 5,2 00 5,100.58 5,1 00 5,0 00 4,9 00 4,8 00 4,7 00 4,6 00 4,5 00 4,4 00 4,3 00 4,2 00 4,1 00 4,0 00 3,9 00 3,8 00 Jul Oct ^JKSE - RSI(14) = 57.72
2014
Apr
Jul
Oct
2 015
Apr
Jul
Oct
20 16
Apr
Jul
Oct
2017 70 57.7161
30 ^JKSE - Volume = 46,181,199,87 2.00, MA(Volum e,5 ) = 82 ,639,364,096.00
82,639,364,096 80,000M 60,000M 46,181,199,872 40,000M 20,000M
Created with Am iBroker - advanced charti ng and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.am ibroker.com
Hari ini, sentimen pasar global cenderung netral karena indeks Dow Jones dan Nasdaq semalam ditutup melemah tipis akibat aksi jual pada saham sektor energi dan bioteknologi. Faktor indeks kawasan regional pagi ini juga cenderung mixed sehingga indeks BEI pagi ini diperkirakan masih akan bergerak fluktuatif dan pergerakan sahamsaham diperkirakan masih akan cenderung mixed. Investor sebaiknya selektif dalam melakukan day trading dan tetap fokus pada saham yang memiliki likuiditas tinggi dan kinerja solid. Aspek teknikal, indeks BEI diperkirakan masih bergerak netral dan dalam range sempit. Hal tersebut terlihat dari indikator volatilitas yang cenderung menurun dan indeks yang membentuk pola doji. Range pergerakan indeks hari ini diperkirakan akan berkisar diantara 5,365-5,440.
KEY INDICES Chg (%) (6.3) 3.2 1.3 8.9 (3.7) 84.8 (35.0) 8.5 (29.6)
Prev Close MSCI Indonesia MSCI Asia-Ex Japan KLCI FSSTI SET Hang Seng Nikkei Shanghai Comp Dow Jones
6,235.2 564.0 1,728.7 3,130.4 1,549.9 23,681.1 19,344.2 3,242.4 20,924.8
YTD (%) (0.1) 0.6 0.1 0.3 (0.2) 0.4 (0.2) 0.3 (0.1)
Source: Bloomberg
TOP VOLUME W H AT ’ S I N T H E PA C K
LSIP – BUY
MIKA – BUY
Harga membentuk candlestick bullish dan melakukan rebound sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp1,540 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp1,650.
Harga berpotensi melanjutkan penguatannya sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp2,520 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp2,600.
Price (Rp) 74 310 103 725 50
Stock Darma Henwa Bumi Resources Trada Maritime Lippo Karawaci Bakrieland
Chg (%) (3.9) (4.3) (1.9) (0.7) 0.0
Vol (‘000) 732,546 401,105 101,931 88,316 86,239
TOP GAINERS Price (Rp) 78 2,240 755 2,540 765
Stock Polaris Investama Bank Mega Indika Energy Astra Otoparts Delta Dunia
Chg (%) 16.4 4.2 2.7 2.0 2.0
Vol (‘000) 52,495 16 23,982 4 47,571
Chg (%) (90.0) (6.7) (5.2) (4.3) (3.9)
Vol (‘000) 237 3 41,838 401,105 732,546
TOP LOSERS Stock Bakrie Sumatera Bentoel Int'l Ramayana LS Bumi Resources Darma Henwa
Price (Rp) 50 420 1,095 310 74
COMMODITY TREND Crude Oil NYMEX (US$/bbl) Coal Fut Newc (US$/tonne) Nickel 3M LME Tin 3M LME Gold SPOT (US$/oz) CPO Fut Msia (MYR/tonne)
Closing 53.14 80.20 10,645 19,375 1,225 2,974
Chg (%) (0.1) (1.2) (4.1) (0.4) (0.6) (1.2)
Source: Bloomberg
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
1
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
W ednes day , 08 M ar c h 2017
TRADERS’ CORNER LSIP.JK - Daily 3/7/2017 Open 1520, Hi 1545, Lo 1520, Close 1540 (2.0%) MA(Close,21) = 1,540.71 1,900
1,850
PP London Sumatra Indonesia (LSIP IJ)
1,800
1,750
1,700
1,650
1,600 1,540.71 1,550 1,540 1,500
1,450
1,400
1,350 Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2017
Feb
Mar
LSIP.JK - RSI(14) = 47.69 70
47.6852
LSIP.JK - Volume = 18,903,500.00, MA(Volume,5) = 15,852,720.00
Technical buy with 7% potential return Resistance : Rp1,525 & Rp1,620 Support : Rp1,500 & Rp1,470 Pergerakan harga saham LSIP masih bergerak dalam trend channel menurun. Namun demikian pada perdagangan kemarin harga terlihat membentuk candlestick bullish dan melakukan rebound yang menyentuh garis moving average 20harinya. Penguatan diyakini masih akan terus berlanjut sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp1,540 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp1,650.
80M 60M 40M
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced chart ing and t echnical analy sis sof t ware. htt p: // www.amibroker. com
20M 18,903,500 15,852,720
Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ) Technical buy with 3% potential return Resistance : Rp2,600 & Rp2,800 Support : Rp2,440 & Rp2,400 Pergerakan harga saham MIKA pada perdagangan kemarin masih melanjutkan penguatannya yang terjadi pada hari sebelumnya sehingga harga diperkirakan masih berpotensi untuk terus berlanjut. Harga juga terlihat hampir menyentuh garis atas bollinger band dimana indikator harian RSI juga masih bergerak dalam trend positif. Aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp2,520 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp2,600.
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
2
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
W ednes day , 08 M ar c h 2017
CORPORATE NEWS Krakatau Steel (KRAS): Perseroan menargetkan penjualan baja 2017 naik 20% menjadi 2.7 juta ton vs penjualan tahun 2016 sebanyak 2.23 juta ton. Peningkatan tersebut ditopang oleh pasar lama dan pasar baru seperti baja untuk pembangunan jalan tol Jakarta - Cikampek sepanjang 36 km. Perseroan memperkirakan akan memasok baja sebanyak 225 ribu ton selama 10 bulan untuk proyek tol tersebut. Selain itu, pasar baru lainnya yaitu baja untuk proyek transmisi listrik. (Bisnis Indonesia) Adaro Energy (ADRO): Pendapatan usaha 2016 turun 6% menjadi US$2.52 miliar vs pendapatan usaha 2015 sebesar US$2.68 miliar. Laba bersih 2016 naik 119.5% menjadi US$334.6 juta vs laba bersih 2015 sebesar US$152.44 juta. Meningkatnya laba bersih 2016 terutama karena turunnya beban pokok penjualan 2016 sebesar 14% yoy. (Investor Daily) Pakuwon Jati (PWON): Perseroan memproyeksikan kontribusi pendapatan berulang dari lini bisnis penyewaan ritel naik menjadi 45% vs sebelumnya 40%. Peningkatan tersebut karena beroperasinya 2 mal baru pada tahun ini. (Bisnis Indonesia) Sektor Otomotif: Penjualan mobil domestik pada bulan Januari 2017 naik 1.46% menjadi sebanyak 86,252 unit vs penjualan Januari 2016 sebanyak 85,003 unit. (Bisnis Indonesia) Adira Dinamika Finance (ADMF): Perseroan menerbitkan obligasi sebesar Rp2.01 triliun yang terbagi dalam 3 seri dengan kupon sebesar 7.5%-8.9%. Perseroan pada tahun ini menargetkan pembiayaan baru naik 10% yoy menjadi Rp34-35 triliun dibandingkan tahun 2016. Sementara itu, Perseroan membutuhkan dana sebesar Rp13 triliun untuk ekspansi pembiayaan dan refinancing utang yang akan jatuh tempo pada Juni 2017 serta perpanjangan pinjaman perbankan. (Investor Daily) Multipolar Technology (MLPT): Penjualan 2016 turun 10% menjadi Rp1.93 triliun vs penjualan 2015 sebesar Rp2.14 triliun. Laba bersih 2016 naik 49% menjadi Rp147.7 miliar vs laba bersih 2015 sebesar Rp99.2 miliar. (Investor Daily) Ekonomi RI: Cadangan Devisa RI akhir Februari 2017 naik menjadi US$119.9 miliar dari posisi akhir Januari 2017 sebesar US$116.9 miliar. Kenaikan tersebut karena penerimaan devisa dari penerimaan pajak, devisa ekspor migas, penarikan pinjaman luar negeri, dan hasil lelang surat berharga Bank Indonesia. (Investor Daily) Intraco Penta (INTA): Perseroan berharap bisa membukukan pertumbuhan pendapatan usaha sebesar 20% hingga akhir tahun ini. Perseroan juga bekerjasama dengan Power Construction Corporation of China mendirikan perusahaan patungan bernama PT Tenaga Listrik Bengkulu untuk mengerjakan proyek pembangkit listrik tenaga uap 2x100 MW di Bengkulu. Perseroan memegang 30% kepemilikan dalam perusahaan patungan tersebut. (Kontan) BRI Agroniaga (AGRO): Perseroan akan menawarkan maksimal 7.69 miliar saham melalui skema rights issue dengan harga pelaksanaan sekitar Rp130 per saham untuk mendapatkan dana sekitar Rp1 triliun. Dana hasil rights issue akan digunakan untuk memperkuat struktur modal, yang selanjutnya digunakan untuk ekspansi kredit. Rights issue ini akan memberikan efek dilusi sebesar 33.42%. (Kontan)
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
3
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
W ednes day , 08 M ar c h 2017
Waran No.
Waran
Kode
1
WARAN SERI I BUANA LISTYA TAMA Tbk
BULL-W
170
22-Mei-14
2
WARAN SERI II KRESNA GRAHA SEKURINDO Tbk
KREN-W
180
08-Jul-14
3
WARAN SERI I POOL ADVISTA INDONESIA Tbk
POOL-W
262
11-Jul-14
4
WARAN SERI I STAR PETROCHEM Tbk
STAR-W
102
13-Jul-14
5
WARAN SERI V CLIPAN FI NANCE INDONESI A Tbk
CFIN-W5
450
06-Okt-14
6
WARAN SERI II ASURANSI MULTI ARTHA GUNA Tbk
AMAG-W2
175
09-Okt-14
7
WARAN SERI V PANIN FINANCIAL Tbk
PNLF-W5
130
07-Nop-14
8
WARAN SERI I CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES Tbk
DKFT-W
250
05-Des-14
9
WARAN SERI I EUREKA PRIMA JAKARTA Tbk
LCGP-W
0
10-Nop-14
WARAN SERI I INOVIS I INFRACOM Tbk WARAN SERI I BEKASI FAJAR INDUSTRI AL ESTATE Tbk
INVS-W
165 200
08-Mei-15 10-Apr-15
Waran Seri I Gading Development Tbk WARAN SERI I NIRVANA DEVELOPMENT Tbk
GAMA-W
13
NIRO-W
105 110
16-Jul-15 11-Sep-15
14
WARAN SERI I BANK SINAR MAS Tbk
BSIM-W
149
11-Des-15
15
WARAN SERI II SUGIH ENERGY Tbk
SUGI-W
100
21-Mei-15
16
Waran Seri I Bank Windu Kentjana International Tbk
MCOR-W
200
10-Jul-15
17
WARAN SERI I SOLUSI TUNAS PRATAMA Tbk
SUPR-W
4800 28-Agust-15
18 19
WARAN SERI II MOBILE-8 TELECOM Tbk WARAN SERI I NUSA RAYA CIPTA Tbk
FREN-W NRCA-W
1000 1.050
05-Jan-16 27-Jun-16
20
WARAN SERI VI BANK VICTORIA INTERNATIONAL Tbk
BVIC-W3
100
01-Jul-16
21
WARAN SERI I VICTORI A INVESTAMA Tbk
VICO-W
125
08-Jul-16
22
WARAN SERI II PANORAMA TRANSPORTASI Tbk
WEHA-W
175
12-Jul-16
23
WARAN SERI I MULTI AGRO GEMILANG PLANTATION Tbk
MAGP-W
160
15-Jul-16
24
MCOR-W2
25
WARAN SERI II BANK WINDU KENTJANA INTERNATIONAL Tbk WARAN SERI I TIPHONE MOBI LE INDONESIA Tbk
TELE-W
190 310
02-Des-16 10-Jan-17
26
WARAN SERI I ASURANSI MITRA MAPARYA Tbk
AS MI-W
360
13-Jan-17
27
WARAN SERI I BANK PANIN SYARIAH Tbk
PNBS-W
110
14-Jan-17
28
WARAN SERI II BANK SINARMAS TBK
BSIM-W2
250
29-Jun-17
29
Waran Seri I Trisula International Tbk
TRIS-W
300
28-Jun-17
30
Waran Seri I Tri Banyan Tirta Tbk
ALTO-W
260
07-Jul-17
31
BIPP-W
32
Waran Seri III Bhuwanatala Indah Permai Tbk WARAN SERI I SARASWATI GRIYA LESTARI Tbk
HOTL-W
100 220
13-Des-17 09-Jan-18
33
WARAN SERI II BANK CAPITAL INDONESIA Tbk
BACA-W
100
08-Okt-18
34
WARAN SERI I ARPENI PRATAMA OCEAN LINE Tbk
APOL-W
120
28-Jun-22
10 11 12
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
BEST-W
EXE_Price
Maturity
4
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
W ednes day , 08 M ar c h 2017
Disclosures/Disclaimers This report is prepared by PT UOB Kay Hian Securities (“PT UOBKH”), a licensed broker dealer registered in the Republic of Indonesia and a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange (“IDX”) This report is provided for information only and is not an offer or a solicitation to deal in securities or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such securities. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any recipient hereof. Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the recommendation, before the person makes a commitment to purchase the investment product. This report is confidential. This report may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed in whole or in part by any recipient of this report to any other person without the prior written consent of PT UOBKH. This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or any entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or any other jurisdiction as PT UOBKH may determine in its absolute discretion, where the distribution, publication, availability or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or would subject PT UOBKH and its associates and its officers, employees and representatives to any registration, licensing or other requirements within such jurisdiction. The information or views in the report (“Information”) has been obtained or derived from sources believed by PT UOBKH to be reliable. However, PT UOBKH makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such sources or the Information and PT UOBKH accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage arising from the use of or reliance on the Information PT UOBKH and its associate may have issued other reports expressing views different from the Information and all views expressed in all reports of PT UOBKH and its connected persons are subject to change without notice. PT UOBKH reserves the right to act upon or use the Information at any time, including before its publication herein. Except as otherwise indicated below, (1) PT UOBKH, its associates and its officers, employees and representatives may, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking, underwriting, corporate finance-related or other services for or solicit business from, the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report; (2) PT UOBKH, its associate and its officers, employees and representatives may also, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking or other services for or solicit business from, other persons in respect of dealings in the securities referred to in this report or other investments related thereto; (3) the officers, employees and representatives of PT UOBKH may also serve on the board of directors or in trustee positions with the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. (All of the foregoing is hereafter referred to as the “Subject Business”); and (4) PT UOBKH may otherwise have an interest (including a proprietary interest) in the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. As of the date of this report, no analyst responsible for any of the content in this report has any proprietary position or material interest in the securities of the corporation(s) which are referred to in the content they respectively author or are otherwise responsible for. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR U.S. PERSONS This research report is prepared by PT UOBKH, a company authorized, as noted above, to engage in securities activities in Indonesia. PT UOBKH is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and, therefore, is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report is provided for distribution by PT UOBKH (whether directly or through its US registered broker dealer affiliate named below) to “major U.S. institutional investors” in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). All US persons that receive this document by way of distribution from or which they regard as being from PT UOBKH by their acceptance thereof represent and agree that they are a major institutional investor and understand the risks involved in executing transactions in securities. Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments based on the information provided in this research report should do so only through UOB Kay Hian (U.S.) Inc (“UOBKHUS”), a registered brokerdealer in the United States. Under no circumstances should any recipient of this research report effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments through PT UOBKH UOBKHUS accepts responsibility for the contents of this research report, subject to the terms set out below, to the extent that it is delivered to and intended to be received by a U.S. person other than a major U.S. institutional investor. The analyst whose name appears in this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and may not be an associated person of UOBKHUS and, therefore, may not be subject to applicable restrictions under FINRA Rules on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
5
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
W ednes day , 08 M ar c h 2017
Analyst Certification/Regulation AC Each research analyst of PT UOBKH who produced this report hereby certifies that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views about all of the subject corporation(s) and securities in this report; (2) the report was produced independently by him/her; (3) he/she does not carry out, whether for himself/herself or on behalf of PT UOBKH or any other person, any of the Subject Business involving any of the subject corporation(s) or securities referred to in this report; and (4) he/she has not received and will not receive any compensation that is directly or indirectly related or linked to the recommendations or views expressed in this report or to any sales, trading, dealing or corporate finance advisory services or transaction in respect of the securities in this report. However, the compensation received by each such research analyst is based upon various factors, including PT UOBKH total revenues, a portion of which are generated from PT UOBKH business of dealing in securities. Reports are distributed in the respective countries by the respective entities and are subject to the additional restrictions listed in the following table. General This report is not intended for distribution, publication to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any country or jurisdiction where the distribution, publication or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or regulation. Hong Kong This report is distributed in Hong Kong by UOB Kay Hian (Hong Kong) Limited ("UOBKHHK"), which is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. Neither the analyst(s) preparing this report nor his associate, has trading and financial interest and relevant relationship specified under Para. 16.4 of Code of Conduct in the listed corporation covered in this report. UOBKHHK does not have financial interests and business relationship specified under Para. 16.5 of Code of Conduct with the listed corporation covered in this report. Where the report is distributed in Hong Kong and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note: (i) recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKHHK (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Hong Kong in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report; and (ii) to the extent that the analyses or reports are delivered to and intended to be received by any person in Hong Kong who is not a professional investor, or institutional investor, UOBKHHK accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analyses or reports only to the extent required by law. Indonesia This report is distributed in Indonesia by PT UOB Kay Hian Securities, which is regulated by Financial Services Authority of Indonesia (“OJK”). Where the report is distributed in Indonesia and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact PT UOBKH (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Indonesia in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report. Malaysia Where the report is distributed in Malaysia and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, the recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKHM (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Malaysia, at +603-21471988, in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report as UOBKHM is the registered person under CMSA to distribute any research analyses in Malaysia. Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by UOB Kay Hian Private Limited ("UOBKH"), which is a holder of a capital markets services licence and an exempt financial adviser regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Where the report is distributed in Singapore and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note: (i) recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKH (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report; and (ii) to the extent that the analyses or reports are delivered to and intended to be received by any person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor, UOBKH accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analyses or reports only to the extent required by law. Thailand This report is distributed in Thailand by UOB Kay Hian Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited, which is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand. United This report is being distributed in the UK by UOB Kay Hian (U.K.) Limited, which is an authorised person in the meaning Kingdom of the Financial Services and Markets Act and is regulated by The Financial Conduct Authority. Research distributed in the UK is intended only for institutional clients. United This report cannot be distributed into the U.S. or to any U.S. person or entity except in compliance with applicable U.S. States of laws and regulations. It is being distributed in the U.S. by UOB Kay Hian (US) Inc, which accepts responsibility for its America contents. Any U.S. person or entity receiving this report and wishing to effect transactions in any securities referred to in (‘U.S.’) the report should contact UOB Kay Hian (US) Inc. directly.
Copyright 2017, PT UOB Kay Hian Securities. All rights reserved. http://research.uobkayhian.com
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
6