I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
M onday, 10 J uly 2017
PRICE CHART
MARKET NEWS
^JKSE - Weekly 7/7/2017 Open 5846.6, Hi 5910.24, Lo 5808.35, Close 5814.79 (-0.3% ) MA(Close,21) = 5,611.39
IHSG pada perdagangan hari Jumat kemarin ditutup melemah menyusul data ekonomi tenaga kerja ADP yang dirilis AS pada malam sebelumnya menunjukkan kekecewaan di sektor private. Selain itu, pelemahan Rupiah yang sempat turun ke level IDR13,400/USD juga memberikan imbas negatif dan turut memberikan tekanan terhadap indeks. Investor terlihat masih cenderung “wait and see” di minggu pertama setelah libur lebaran berakhir. Minimnya sentimen positif di pasar juga menjadi alasan melemahnya indeks pada perdagangan hari Jumat kemarin. Saham – saham yang berkontribusi negatif terhadap perdagangan indeks antara lain UNVR, HMSP, UNTR, GGRM, TLKM, INTP ISAT, BMRI, dan LPPF. Indeks mengalami pelemahan 34.7 poin ditutup pada level 5814.79.
6,000
5,814.79 5,800
5,611.39 5,600
5,400
5,200
5,000
4,800
4,600
4,400
4,200
4,000
Oct 2014 ^JKSE - RSI(14) = 67.19
Apr
Jul
Oct
2015
Apr
Jul
Oct
2016
Apr
Jul
Oct
2017
Apr
Jul
3,800
70 67.1926
30 ^JKSE - Volume = 21,675,153,408.00, MA(Volume,5) = 23,848,155,136.00 80,000M 60,000M 23,848,155,136 40,000M 21,675,153,408 20,000M
Bursa AS pada perdagangan malam Jumat kemarin ditutup positif setelah data ekonomi dari departemen ketenagakerjaan menyebutkan bahwa AS menambah jumlah pekerja sebanyak 222,000 dimana angka ini lebih tinggi dari ekspektasi para analis. Sahamsaham teknologi dan perusahaan-perusahaan retailer besar seperti Amazon dan McDonald mengalami penguatan sebesar 1.4% dan 2.1%. Indeks Down Jones ditutup menguat +94.30 poin dan indeks Nasdaq ditutup positif 63.61 poin atau +1.04%. Sementara itu, bursa regional dibuka mixed dan diperkirakan pengaruhnya netral terhadap pergerakan indeks BEI hari ini. Aspek teknikal indeks, pergerakan indeks untuk hari ini diperkirakan akan bergerak melemah menyusul pembentukan candlestick bearish pada perdagangan hari Jumat kemarin. Range pergerakan indeks untuk hari ini diperkirakan akan berkisar diantara 5760-5865. Sedangkan untuk minggu ini indeks diperkirakan juga akan mengalami tekanan jual dikarenakan terbentuknya pola pullback candlestick yang menyerupai pola “shooting star”. Range pergerakan indeks minggu ini akan bergerak dengan kisaran diantara rentang 5700-5900.
W H AT ’ S I N T H E PA C K
APLN – BUY
PWON – BUY
Harga mengalami rebound dari level supportnya sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp187 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp196.
Harga melanjutkan penguatannya sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp650 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp705.
Creat ed with Am iBroker - advanced chart ing and technical analysis sof tware. ht t p: / /www.am ibroker. com
KEY INDICES Prev Close MSCI Indonesia MSCI Asia-Ex Japan KLCI FSSTI SET Hang Seng Nikkei Shanghai Comp Dow Jones
6,926.3 620.1 1,759.9 3,229.0 1,569.4 25,340.9 19,929.1 3,218.0 21,414.3
Chg (%) (37.6) (2.1) (10.6) 2.7 (0.2) (124.4) (65.0) 5.5 94.3
YTD (%) (0.5) (0.3) (0.6) 0.1 (0.0) (0.5) (0.3) 0.2 0.4
Source: Bloomberg
TOP VOLUME Stock Bumi Resources Trada Maritime Inti Agri Resources Telkom Indonesia Global Mediacom
Price (Rp) 332 95 252 4,630 585
Chg (%) (2.9) 2.2 (2.3) (0.4) (0.8)
Vol (‘000) 370,934 278,950 159,270 74,860 56,821
TOP GAINERS Stock Humpuss Bank Permata Aneka Tambang Trada Maritime Pakuwon Jati
Price (Rp) 740 680 710 95 650
Chg (%) 4.2 3.0 2.2 2.2 1.6
Vol (‘000) 6 24,555 22,958 278,950 12,773
TOP LOSERS Stock Indosat Matahari PP Bumi Serpong Damai Panin Financial Jasa Marga
Price (Rp) 6,000 645 1,795 246 5,275
Chg (%) (5.1) (4.4) (4.0) (3.9) (3.2)
Vol (‘000) 1,214 8,208 14,090 11,549 7,539
COMMODITY TREND Crude Oil NYMEX (US$/bbl) Coal Fut Newc (US$/tonne) Nickel 3M LME Tin 3M LME Gold SPOT (US$/oz) CPO Fut Msia (MYR/tonne)
Closing (%) 44.23 82.55 8,920 19,565 1,222 2,668
Chg (%) (2.8) (0.8) (1.7) (1.9) (0.2) (0.7)
Source: Bloomberg
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
1
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
M onday, 10 J uly 2017
TRADERS’ CORNER
Agung Podomoro Land (APLN IJ) Technical buy with 5% potential return Resistance : Rp192 & Rp196 Support : Rp185 & Rp182 Pergerakan harga saham APLN membentuk base dengan support kunci di level Rp183. Pada perdagangan hari Jumat kemarin, harga sempat membentuk candlestick bullish dimana hal ini merupakan signal positif. Jika terjadi penembusan keatas terhadap garis moving average 20-harinya maka dapat memicu penguatan lanjutan. Aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp187 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp196.
Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ) Technical buy with 8% potential return Resistance : Rp660 & Rp705 Support : Rp630 & Rp600 Pergerakan harga saham PWON terlihat melanjutkan penguatannya yang sudah terjadi pada perdagangan hari sebelumnya. Harga juga terlihat membentuk candlestick bullish dan akan menguji level resistance di Rp660. Pergerakan indikator harian RSI yang masih dalam trend bullish turut memberikan kontribusi positif. Aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp650 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp705.
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
2
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
M onday, 10 J uly 2017
CORPORATE NEWS PT PP (PTPP): Perseroan menyiapkan dana sebesar Rp9 triliun untuk keperluan perluasan usaha di sektor energi terutama dalam bidang produsen listrik swasta (independent power producer/IPP). Rencana perluasan ini akan dilakukan oleh anak usaha perseroan, PT PP Energi. Perseroan juga menganggarkan belanja modal tahun ini sebesar Rp21 triliun dimana baru sekitar Rp1.02 triliun atau 5% dari target belanja modal yang telah digunakan hingga Juni 2017. (Bisnis Indonesia) Toba Bara Sejahtra (TOBA): Perseroan segera menyelesaikan pembiayaan proyek atau financial closing untuk PLTU Sulbagut-1 pada pekan ini. Rencananya PLTU Sulbagut-1 bisa memasuki fase komersial pada 2019. Sementara itu, untuk financial closing PLTU Sulut-3 ditargetkan selesai pada 6 bulan mendatang. (Bisnis Indonesia) Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia (ISSP): Perseroan menyiapkan belanja modal sebesar Rp100 miliar tahun ini untuk mencapai target pertumbuhan pendapatan hingga 20% sampai akhir tahun ini. Perseroan akan menggunakan dana belanja modal tersebut untuk mengoptimalkan kapasitas produksi pabrik baja perseroan dan menambah gudang. Perseroan juga menargetkan bisa memproduksi hingga 380.000 ton pipa baja tahun ini atau naik 30% dibandingkan tahun lalu yang tercatat 330.000 ton pipa baja. (Kontan) Intraco Penta (INTA): Perseroan akan menggunakan dana hasil rights issue untuk mengakuisisi 30% saham Petra Unggul Sejahtera (PUS), perusahaan listrik yang telah jadi. PUS memiliki anak usaha yakni PT TJK Power yang mengelola PLTU Batam berkapasitas 2x65 MW dan memiliki hak untuk ekspansi tambahan minimal 2x55 MW. PLTU ini memasok listrik ke PLN Batam. Perseroan juga akan mengerjakan pekerjaan listrik di Bengkulu dengan kapasitas 2x100 MW. (Kontan) Plaza Indonesia (PLIN): Perseroan akan menerbitkan obligasi berdenominasi valuta asing senilai US$300 juta. Hasil emisi obligasi tersebut akan digunakan untuk membayar utang jangka panjang, utang jangka pendek, kebutuhan pengeluaran modal, pengembangan proyek pada anak usaha dan kebutuhan perseroan lainnya. Obligasi ini akan dipasarkan di Singapura. (Bisnis Indonesia) Wika Beton (WTON): Perseroan telah memiliki kontrak baru hingga Juni 2017 sebesar Rp2.6 triliun atau 43% dari target yang ditetapkan sebesar Rp6 triliun. Sebagian besar kontrak baru tersebut didapat dari proyek infrastruktur yang berkaitan dengan transportasi seperti jalan tol, LRT, MRT, dan lain-lain yakni mencapai 50%. (Kontan) Nippon Indosari Corpindo (ROTI): Perseroan akan melakukan rights issue atau PUT I dengan menerbitkan 1.15 miliar saham. Dalam 5 tahun kedepan, perseroan juga akan membangun 3 hingga 4 pabrik di dalam negeri yakni Jawa dan luar Jawa serta 1 pabrik akan dibangun di Filipina. Saat ini perseroan telah memiliki 10 pabrik dengan total kapasitas 4.05 juta potong sehari. (Kontan)
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
3
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
M onday, 10 J uly 2017
Waran No.
Waran
Kode
1
WARAN SERI I BUANA LISTYA TAMA Tbk
BULL-W
170
22-M ei-14
2
WARAN SERI II KRESNA GRAH A SE KURINDO Tbk
KREN-W
180
08 -Jul-14
3
WARAN SERI I POOL ADVISTA INDONE SIA Tbk
POOL-W
262
11 -Jul-14
4
WARAN SERI I STAR PETROCHEM Tbk
STAR-W
102
13 -Jul-14
5
WARAN SERI V CLIPAN FI NANCE IND ONESI A Tbk
CFIN-W5
450
06-Okt -14
6
WARAN SERI II ASURANSI MULTI ARTHA GUNA Tbk
AMA G-W2
175
09-Okt -14
7
WARAN SERI V PANIN FINANCIAL Tbk
PNLF-W5
130
07-Nop-14
8
WARAN SERI I CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES Tbk
DKFT-W
250
05-Des-14
9
WARAN SERI I EUREKA PRIMA JAKARTA Tbk
LCGP-W
0
10-Nop-14
WARAN SERI I INOVIS I INFRA COM Tbk WARAN SERI I BEKASI FAJAR IND USTRI AL EST ATE Tbk
INVS-W
165 200
08-M ei-15 10-Apr-15
Waran Seri I Ga ding Development Tbk WARAN SERI I NIRVANA DE VELOPMENT Tbk
GAMA-W
13
NIRO-W
105 110
16 -Jul-15 11-Sep-15
14
WARAN SERI I BANK SINAR MAS Tbk
BSIM-W
149
11-Des-15
15
WARAN SERI II SUGIH ENERGY Tbk
SUGI-W
100
21-M ei-15
16
Waran Seri I Bank Windu Ke ntjana Inter national Tbk
MCOR-W
200
10 -Jul-15
17
WARAN SERI I SOLUSI TUNAS PRATAMA Tbk
SUPR-W
4800
28-Agust -15
18 19
WARAN SERI II MOBILE -8 T ELECOM Tbk WARAN SERI I NUSA RAYA CIPTA Tbk
FREN-W NRCA-W
1000 1.050
0 5-Jan-16 27-Jun-16
20
WARAN SERI VI BANK VICTORIA INTERNATIONAL T bk
BVIC-W3
100
01 -Jul-16
21
WARAN SERI I VICTORI A INVESTAMA Tbk
VICO-W
125
08 -Jul-16
22
WARAN SERI II PANORAMA TRANSPORTASI Tbk
WEH A-W
175
12 -Jul-16
23
WARAN SERI I MULTI AGRO GEMILANG PLANTATION Tbk
MAGP-W
160
15 -Jul-16
24
MCOR-W2
25
WARAN SERI II BANK WINDU KENTJANA INTERNAT IONAL Tbk WARAN SERI I TIPHONE MOBI LE INDONESIA Tbk
TELE-W
190 310
02-Des-16 10-Jan-17
26
WARAN SERI I ASURANSI MITRA MAPARYA T bk
AS MI-W
360
13-Jan-17
27
WARAN SERI I BANK PANIN SYARIAH T bk
PNBS-W
110
14-Jan-17
28
WARAN SERI II BANK SINARMAS T BK
BS IM-W2
250
29-Jun-17
29
Waran Seri I Trisula Interna tional Tbk
TRIS-W
300
28-Jun-17
30
Waran Seri I Tri Banyan Tirta Tbk
ALTO-W
260
07 -Jul-17
31
BIPP-W
32
Waran Seri III Bhuwanatala Indah Permai Tbk WARAN SERI I SARASWATI GRIYA LESTARI Tbk
HOTL-W
100 220
13-Des-17 09-Jan-18
33
WARAN SERI II BANK CAPIT AL INDONE SIA Tbk
BACA-W
100
08-Okt-18
34
WARAN SERI I ARPENI PRATAMA OCEAN LINE Tbk
APOL-W
120
28-Jun-22
10 11 12
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
BEST-W
EXE_Price
Maturity
4
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
M onday, 10 J uly 2017
Disclosures/Disclaimers This report is prepared by PT UOB Kay Hian Sekuritas (“PT UOBKH”), a licensed broker dealer registered in the Republic of Indonesia and a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange (“IDX”) This report is provided for information only and is not an offer or a solicitation to deal in securities or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such securities. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any recipient hereof. Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the recommendation, before the person makes a commitment to purchase the investment product. This report is confidential. This report may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed in whole or in part by any recipient of this report to any other person without the prior written consent of PT UOBKH. This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or any entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or any other jurisdiction as PT UOBKH may determine in its absolute discretion, where the distribution, publication, availability or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or would subject PT UOBKH and its associates and its officers, employees and representatives to any registration, licensing or other requirements within such jurisdiction. The information or views in the report (“Information”) has been obtained or derived from sources believed by PT UOBKH to be reliable. However, PT UOBKH makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such sources or the Information and PT UOBKH accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage arising from the use of or reliance on the Information PT UOBKH and its associate may have issued other reports expressing views different from the Information and all views expressed in all reports of PT UOBKH and its connected persons are subject to change without notice. PT UOBKH reserves the right to act upon or use the Information at any time, including before its publication herein. Except as otherwise indicated below, (1) PT UOBKH, its associates and its officers, employees and representatives may, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking, underwriting, corporate finance-related or other services for or solicit business from, the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report; (2) PT UOBKH, its associate and its officers, employees and representatives may also, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking or other services for or solicit business from, other persons in respect of dealings in the securities referred to in this report or other investments related thereto; (3) the officers, employees and representatives of PT UOBKH may also serve on the board of directors or in trustee positions with the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. (All of the foregoing is hereafter referred to as the “Subject Business”); and (4) PT UOBKH may otherwise have an interest (including a proprietary interest) in the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. As of the date of this report, no analyst responsible for any of the content in this report has any proprietary position or material interest in the securities of the corporation(s) which are referred to in the content they respectively author or are otherwise responsible for. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR U.S. PERSONS This research report is prepared by PT UOBKH, a company authorized, as noted above, to engage in securities activities in Indonesia. PT UOBKH is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and, therefore, is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report is provided for distribution by PT UOBKH (whether directly or through its US registered broker dealer affiliate named below) to “major U.S. institutional investors” in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). All US persons that receive this document by way of distribution from or which they regard as being from PT UOBKH by their acceptance thereof represent and agree that they are a major institutional investor and understand the risks involved in executing transactions in securities. Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments based on the information provided in this research report should do so only through UOB Kay Hian (U.S.) Inc (“UOBKHUS”), a registered brokerdealer in the United States. Under no circumstances should any recipient of this research report effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments through PT UOBKH. UOBKHUS accepts responsibility for the contents of this research report, subject to the terms set out below, to the extent that it is delivered to and intended to be received by a U.S. person other than a major U.S. institutional investor. The analyst whose name appears in this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and may not be an associated person of UOBKHUS and, therefore, may not be subject to applicable restrictions under FINRA Rules on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
5
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
M onday, 10 J uly 2017
Analyst Certification/Regulation AC Each research analyst of PT UOBKH who produced this report hereby certifies that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views about all of the subject corporation(s) and securities in this report; (2) the report was produced independently by him/her; (3) he/she does not carry out, whether for himself/herself or on behalf of PT UOBKH or any other person, any of the Subject Business involving any of the subject corporation(s) or securities referred to in this report; and (4) he/she has not received and will not receive any compensation that is directly or indirectly related or linked to the recommendations or views expressed in this report or to any sales, trading, dealing or corporate finance advisory services or transaction in respect of the securities in this report. However, the compensation received by each such research analyst is based upon various factors, including PT UOBKH total revenues, a portion of which are generated from PT UOBKH business of dealing in securities. Reports are distributed in the respective countries by the respective entities and are subject to the additional restrictions listed in the following table. General This report is not intended for distribution, publication to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any country or jurisdiction where the distribution, publication or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or regulation. Hong Kong This report is distributed in Hong Kong by UOB Kay Hian (Hong Kong) Limited ("UOBKHHK"), which is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. Neither the analyst(s) preparing this report nor his associate, has trading and financial interest and relevant relationship specified under Para. 16.4 of Code of Conduct in the listed corporation covered in this report. UOBKHHK does not have financial interests and business relationship specified under Para. 16.5 of Code of Conduct with the listed corporation covered in this report. Where the report is distributed in Hong Kong and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note: (i) recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKHHK (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Hong Kong in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report; and (ii) to the extent that the analyses or reports are delivered to and intended to be received by any person in Hong Kong who is not a professional investor, or institutional investor, UOBKHHK accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analyses or reports only to the extent required by law. Indonesia This report is distributed in Indonesia by PT UOB Kay Hian Sekuritas, which is regulated by Financial Services Authority of Indonesia (“OJK”). Where the report is distributed in Indonesia and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact PT UOBKH (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Indonesia in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report. Malaysia Where the report is distributed in Malaysia and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, the recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKHM (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Malaysia, at +603-21471988, in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report as UOBKHM is the registered person under CMSA to distribute any research analyses in Malaysia. Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by UOB Kay Hian Private Limited ("UOBKH"), which is a holder of a capital markets services licence and an exempt financial adviser regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Where the report is distributed in Singapore and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note: (i) recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKH (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report; and (ii) to the extent that the analyses or reports are delivered to and intended to be received by any person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor, UOBKH accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analyses or reports only to the extent required by law. Thailand This report is distributed in Thailand by UOB Kay Hian Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited, which is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand. United This report is being distributed in the UK by UOB Kay Hian (U.K.) Limited, which is an authorised person in the meaning Kingdom of the Financial Services and Markets Act and is regulated by The Financial Conduct Authority. Research distributed in the UK is intended only for institutional clients. United This report cannot be distributed into the U.S. or to any U.S. person or entity except in compliance with applicable U.S. States of laws and regulations. It is being distributed in the U.S. by UOB Kay Hian (US) Inc, which accepts responsibility for its America contents. Any U.S. person or entity receiving this report and wishing to effect transactions in any securities referred to in (‘U.S.’) the report should contact UOB Kay Hian (US) Inc. directly.
Copyright 2017, PT UOB Kay Hian Sekuritas. All rights reserved. http://research.uobkayhian.com
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
6