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P R I CE C HA RT
MARKET NEWS Pergerakan indeks selama perdagangan minggu lalu yang cenderung fluktuatif dalam kisaran sempit disebabkan 1) pasar didominasi oleh sentimen keluarnya laporan keuangan emiten 9M16, 2) pergerakan indeks global juga masih didominasi oleh kinerja emiten AS yang mixed dan harga minyak mentah dunia yang cenderung fluktuatif dan 3) sentimen pasar dalam negeri yang masih minim menyebabkan investor jangka menengah cenderung wait and see dan pasar lebih didominasi oleh aktifitas investor yang berorientasi trading jangka pendek. Perdagangan pada minggu lalu diramaikan oleh aktifitas saham-saham grup Bakrie yang mengalami penguatan harga setelah hampir setahun terakhir menjadi saham tidur (tidak likuid). Indeks pada perdagangan kemarin ditutup melemah -6.56 poin pada level 5410.27.
^JK SE - Weekly 10/21/2016 Open 5390.96, Hi 5446.83, Lo 5386.22, Close 5409.24 (0.2%) MA(Clos e,21) = 5,198.90, BB Top(Clos e,21,2) = 5,659.88, BB Bot(Clos e,21,2) = 4,737.92 5,700 5,659.88 5,600 5,500 5,409.24 5,400 5,300 5,198.9 5,200 5,100 5,000 4,900 4,800 4,737.92 4,700 4,600 4,500 4,400 4,300 4,200 4,100 4,000 3,900 2013
Apr
Jul
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2014
Apr
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2015
Apr
Jul
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2016
Apr
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Oc t
^JK SE - RSI(14) = 67.27 67.266570
30 ^JK SE - Volume = 52,235,460,608.00, MA(Volume,5) = 33,038,383,104.00
Faktor global hari ini diperkirakan cenderung netral karena indeks Dow Jones dan Nasdaq ditutup melemah tipis. Pergerakan indeks global pada perdagangan jumat dipengaruhi oleh sentimen pasar yang mixed dimana sentimen positif dari data GDP AS 3Q16 tumbuh 2.9% yang di atas ekspektasi 2.5%, dieliminir oleh sentimen negatif investor dari berita FBI akan kembali menyelidiki kasus email calon presiden AS Hillary Clinton. Pasar sebelumnya cukup optimis terhadap kemenangan Hillary sehingga jika ada ketidakpastian yang dapat mengancam hasil tersebut direspon negatif oleh pelaku pasar. Faktor indeks kawsan regional pagi ini cenderung mixed sehingga diperkirakan cenderung netral pengaruhnya terhadap indeks BEI. Indeks BEI diperkirakan masih akan melanjutkan pola konsolidasinya. Aspek teknikal, pergerakan indeks pada hari ini diperkirakan kembali akan bergerak netral atau datar. Hal ini disebabkan oleh pasar yang sedang melakukan konsolidasi dengan membentuk doji pada perdagangan-perdagangan sebelumnya. Range pergerakan indeks untuk hari ini diperkirakan akan berada diantara 5,360-5,440. Sedangkan untuk minggu ini, indeks juga diperkirakan masih akan bergerak mixed dikarenakan pasar yang sedang minim sentimen. Range pergerakan indeks untuk minggu ini diperkirakan akan bergerak diantara 5,300-5,500
W H AT ’ S I N T H E PA C K
ADHI– BUY
ERAA– BUY
Pergerakan harga melakukan rebound sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan dilevel Rp2,200 dengan target keuntungan dilevel Rp2,300.
Ada potensi untuk melakukan rebound sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan dilevel Rp630 dengan target keuntungan dilevel Rp675.
52,235,460,608 30,000M 33,038,383,104 25,000M 20,000M 15,000M
Creat ed wit h AmiBroker - adv anc ed chart ing and t ec hnic al analy sis s of tware. ht tp: // www. amibroker.c om
K EY INDIC ES Prev Close MSCI Indonesia MSCI Asia-Ex Japan KLCI FSSTI SET Hang Seng Nikkei Shanghai Comp Dow Jones
6,429.7 543.3 1,670.3 2,816.3 1,494.4 22,954.8 17,446.4 3,104.3 18,161.2
Chg (%) (6.3) (1.6) 1.2 (12.7) (3.9) (177.5) 110.0 (8.1) (8.5)
YTD (%) (0.1) (0.3) 0.1 (0.5) (0.3) (0.8) 0.6 (0.3) (0.0)
Source: Bloomberg
T O P V O L U ME Stock Bumi Resources Darma Henwa Energi Mega Trada Maritime Bakrie Sumatera
Price (Rp) 171 52 50 130 50
Chg (%) (9.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Vol (‘000) 1,813,926 903,226 880,555 857,676 337,724
Price (Rp) 1,700 885 2,900 1,580 890
Chg (%) 5.6 2.9 2.8 1.9 1.7
Vol (‘000) 16 52,283 350 41,691 64,035
T O P G A I N ER S Stock Bank OCBC NISP Timah Fajar Surya Wisesa Adaro Energy Lippo Karawaci
TOP LO SERS Stock Bumi Resources Inti Agri Resources Tambang Batubara Pakuwon Jati Bank Maybank Ind.
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Price (Rp) 171 3,370 12,025 725 354
Chg (%) (9.5) (5.1) (3.8) (3.3) (3.3)
Vol (‘000) 1,813,926 347 4,107 66,021 7,114
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TR A D ER S’ C OR N ER
Adhi Karya (ADHI IJ) Technical buy with 5% potential return Resistance : Rp2,310 & Rp2,380 Support : Rp2,170 & Rp2,130 Pergerakan harga saham ADHI terlihat bergerak melakukan rebound pada perdagangan hari kemarin dengan membentuk candlestick bullish yang cukup signifikan. Pergerakan indikator harian RSI juga menunjukkan pola pergerakan yang sama dan sudah keluar dari zona jenuh jual. Volume perdagangan terlihat cukup tinggi sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan dilevel Rp2,200 dengan target keuntungan dilevel Rp2,300.
Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) Technical buy with 7% potential return Resistance : Rp675 & Rp700 Support : Rp600 & Rp580 Pergerakan harga saham ERAA menunjukkan potensi untuk melakukan rebound lanjutan pada perdagangan hari ini setelah sempat melemah dalam beberapa sesi sebelumnya. Hal ini didukung oleh pergerakan indikator harian RSI yang sudah keluar dari zona jenuh jual dan volume perdagangan juga terlihat cukup tinggi. Aksi beli dapat dilakukan dilevel Rp630 dengan target keuntungan dilevel Rp675.
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C OR PO R A TE N EW S PT PP (PTPP): Pendapatan usaha 9M16 naik 23.6% menjadi Rp10.84 triliun vs pendapatan usaha 9M15 sebesar Rp8.77 triliun. Laba bersih 9M16 naik 49.9% menjadi Rp566.8 miliar vs laba bersih 9M15 sebesar Rp378.11 miliar. (Investor Daily) Indomobil Sukses International (IMAS): Anak usaha Perseroan, PT Indomobil Finance Indonesia menjajaki pinjaman sindikasi bank sebesar US$100 juta. CTBC Bank, Mizuho, OCBC dan Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. bertidak sebagai mandated lead arrangers dan booksrunners dalam pencarian pinjaman tersebut. Dana pinjaman tersebut ditargetkan akan diperoleh pada akhir Desemeber 2016 atau awal Januari 2017 dan akan digunakan untuk mendanai ekspansi 2017. Selain itu, Perseroan juga sedang mempertimbangkan utnuk menerbitkan sisa PUB II sekitar Rp410 miliar pada awal tahun depan. (Investor Daily) Megapolitan Development (EMDE): Penjualan 9M16 turun 15.1% menjadi Rp191.34 miliar vs penjualan 9M15 sebesar Rp225.48 miliar. Laba bersih 9M16 turun 0.3% menjadi Rp32.33 miliar vs laba bersih 9M15 sebesar Rp32.44 miliar. (Investor Daily) J Resources Asia Pasifik (PSAB): Penjualan 9M16 turun 22.2% menjadi US$179.01 juta vs penjualan 9M15 sebesar US$230.23 juta. Laba bersih 9M16 turun 44% menjadi US$16.26 juta vs laba bersih 9M15 sebesar US$29.07 juta. (Investor Daily) Evergreen Invesco (GREN): Perseroan akan melakukan penawaran umum terbatas atau right issue (PUT I) dengan ketentuan setiap pemegang 1 saham lama berhak mendapatkan 20 HMETD untuk membeli 20 saham baru yang diterbitkan Perseroan. Tanggal efektif 30 November 2016 dan cum HMETD tanggal 9 Desember 2016 serta tanggal pencatatan di BEI 14 Desember 2016. Dana hasil PUT I akan digunakan untuk melunasi utang Perseroan. (Investor Daily) Puradelta Lestari (DMAS): Sojitz Corp asala Jepang membeli 1.2 miliar lembar saham Perseroan dari Sinarmas Land Ltd senilai Rp344.61 miliar atau pada harga Rp286 per lembar saham. Pasca pembelian saham Perseroan tersebut kepemilikan Sojitz di Perseroan meningkat menjadi 25%. (Bisnis Indonesia) Mitra Pinasthika Mustika (MPMX): Perseroan menganggarkan belanja modal 2017 sebesar Rp700 miliar untuk ekspansi tahun depan. Dana belanja modal tersebut diperoleh dari kas internal Perseroan. (Bisnis Indonesia) Bank Bukopin (BBKP): Pendapatan bunga bersih 9M16 naik 19.7% menjadi Rp2.54 triliun vs pendapatan usaha 9M15 sebesar Rp2.13 triliun. Laba bersih 9M16 naik 10.5% menjadi Rp879.5 miliar vs laba bersih 9M15 sebesar Rp795.6 miliar. (Bisnis Indonesia) BFI Finance (BFIN): Perseroan membukukan kenaikan laba bersih 9M16 sebesar 21.7% menjadi sebesar Rp554 miliar vs laba bersih 9M15 sebesar Rp455 miliar. Perbaikan laba bersih 9M16 disebabkan oleh perbaikan net interest margin, perbaikan cost of credit dan penurunan cadangan kerugian piutang. (Bisnis Indonesia) Waskita Karya (WSKT): Kementerian Perhubungan (Kemenhub) memangkas alokasi anggaran pembangunan LRT Palembang pada tahun 2017 sebesar 50% menjadi Rp2 triliun. Pemangkasan tersebut disebabkan karena pagu APBN 2017 untuk Kemhub turun sekitar Rp2.7 triliun. Kemenhub akan mencari skema pembiayaan lain untuk memenuhi kebutuhan pendanaan LRT Palembang tersebut. (Bisnis Indonesia) Sektor Properti: Pemerintah resmi menurunkan pajak penghasilan yang bersifat final atas pengalihan real estate dalam skema kontrak investasi kolektif dengan wadah Dana Investasi Real Estate (DIRE) menjadi 0.5% dari sebelumnya sebesar 5%. Kebijakan tersebut diatur dalam Peraturan Pemerintah No40/2016. (Bisnis Indonesia)
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Waran No.
Waran
Kode
1
WARAN SERI I BUANA LISTYA TAMA Tbk
BULL-W
170
22-Mei-14
2
WARAN SERI II KRESNA GRAHA SEKURINDO Tbk
KREN-W
180
08-Jul-14
3
WARAN SERI I POOL ADVISTA INDONESIA Tbk
POOL-W
262
11-Jul-14
4
WARAN SERI I STAR PETROCHEM Tbk
STAR-W
102
13-Jul-14
5
WARAN SERI V CLIPAN FINANCE INDONESIA Tbk
CFIN-W5
450
06-Okt -14
6
WARAN SERI II ASURANSI MULTI ARTHA GUNA Tbk
AMAG-W2
175
09-Okt -14
7
WARAN SERI V PANIN FINANCIAL Tbk
PNLF-W5
130
07-Nop-14
8
WARAN SERI I CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES Tbk
DKFT-W
250
05-Des-14
9
WARAN SERI I EUREKA PRIMA JAKARTA Tbk
LCGP-W
0
10-Nop-14
WARAN SERI I INOVISI INFRACOM Tbk WARAN SERI I BEKASI FAJAR INDUSTRIAL ESTATE Tbk
INVS-W
165 200
08-Mei-15 10-Apr-15
Waran Seri I Gading Development Tbk WARAN SERI I NIRVANA DEVELOPMENT Tbk
GAMA-W
13
NIRO-W
105 110
16-Jul-15 11-Sep-15
14
WARAN SERI I BANK SINAR MAS Tbk
BSIM-W
149
11-Des-15
15
WARAN SERI II SUGIH ENERGY Tbk
SUGI-W
100
21-Mei-15
16
Waran Seri I Bank Windu Kentjana Inter national Tbk
MCOR-W
200
10-Jul-15
17
WARAN SERI I SOLUSI TUNAS PRATAMA Tbk
SUPR-W
4800 28-Agust -15
18 19
WARAN SERI II MOBILE-8 TELECOM Tbk WARAN SERI I NUSA RAYA CIPTA Tbk
FREN-W NRCA-W
1000 1.050
05-Jan-16 27-Jun-16
20
WARAN SERI VI BANK VICTORIA INTERNATIONAL Tbk
BVIC-W3
100
01-Jul-16
21
WARAN SERI I VICTORIA INVESTAMA Tbk
VICO-W
125
08-Jul-16
22
WARAN SERI II PANORAMA TRANSPORTASI Tbk
WEHA-W
175
12-Jul-16
23
WARAN SERI I MULTI AGRO GEMILANG PLANTATION Tbk
MAGP-W
160
15-Jul-16
24
MCOR-W2
25
WARAN SERI II BANK WINDU KENTJANA INTERNATIONAL Tbk WARAN SERI I TIPHONE MOBILE INDONESIA Tbk
TELE-W
190 310
02-Des-16 10-Jan-17
26
WARAN SERI I ASURANSI MITRA MAPARYA Tbk
ASMI-W
360
13-Jan-17
27
WARAN SERI I BANK PANIN SYARIAH Tbk
PNBS-W
110
14-Jan-17
28
WARAN SERI II BANK SINARMAS TBK
BSIM-W2
250
29-Jun-17
29
Waran Seri I Trisula International Tbk
TRIS-W
300
28-Jun-17
30
Waran Seri I Tri Banyan Tirta Tbk
ALTO-W
260
07-Jul-17
31
BIPP-W
32
Waran Seri III Bhuwanatala Indah Permai Tbk WARAN SERI I SARASWATI GRIYA LESTARI Tbk
HOTL-W
100 220
13-Des-17 09-Jan-18
33
WARAN SERI II BANK CAPITAL INDONESIA Tbk
BACA-W
100
08-Okt-18
34
WARAN SERI I ARPENI PRATAMA OCEAN LINE Tbk
APOL-W
120
28-Jun-22
10 11 12
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