I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
Thursday, 05 January 2017
PRICE CHART
MARKET NEWS
^JKSE - Weekly 12/30/2016 Open 5028.36, H i 5334.79, Lo 50 28.2, Close 5296.71 ( 5.4%) MA( Clo se,21) = 5,308.69, BBTop(C lose,21,2) = 5,519.06, BBBot(Close,21,2) = 5,09 8.31
Pada sesi pertama perdagangan kemarin indeks bergerak netral, namun pada sesi kedua, indeks bergerak menguat +25.21 poin di tutup pada level 5301.18. Sentimen positif datang dari bursa AS yang mengawali pembukaan tahun dengan bergerak positif. Selain itu, bursa regional juga rata-rata mengalami penguatan. Sektor-sektor yang berkonstribusi terhadap kenaikan indeks antara lain sektor konstruksi, sektor semen, sektor konsumer, dan sektor properti. Saham-saham yang berhasil mengangkat indeks antara lain HMSP, UNVR, BBRI, BBNI, INTP, SMGR, LPKR, dan BSDE. Saham konstruksi mengalami penguatan harga terutama saham ADHI yang ditutup menguat +90 poin terimbas berita bahwa kontrak LRT harus segera ditandatangani oleh pemerintah paling lambat pada Januari – Februari tahun ini.
5,7 00 5,6 00 5,519.06 5,5 00 5,4 00 5,308.69 5,296.71 5,3 00 5,2 00 5,098.31 5,1 00 5,0 00 4,9 00 4,8 00 4,7 00 4,6 00 4,5 00 4,4 00 4,3 00 4,2 00 4,1 00 4,0 00 3,9 00 Apr
Jul
Oct
20 14
Apr
Jul
Oct
2015
Apr
Jul
Oct
2016
Apr
Jul
Oct
^JKSE - RSI(14) = 54.34 70 54.3421
30 ^JKSE - Volume = 23,146,311,68 0.00, MA(Volum e,5 ) = 33 ,446,187,008.00
50,000M 40,000M 33,446,187,008 30,000M 23,146,311,680 20,000M 10,000M
Creat ed wit h Am iBroker - advanced charti ng and t echnical analy sis sof tware. htt p: / /www.am ibroker. com
Bursa AS pada perdagangan malam kemarin kembali mengalami penguatan dengan indeks Dow Jones kembali mendekati level psikologisnya di 20,000. Indeks Dow Jones pada bulan lalu juga pernah mendekati level psikologis ini namun gagal melakukan penembusan. Faktor lain yang memberikan dampak positif datang dari Fed minutes dimana The Fed akan menaikkan suku bunga secara gradual untuk normalisasi. The Fed merencanakan tiga kali kenaikan suku bunga di tahun 2017. Indeks Dow Jones kemarin ditutup menguat +60.40 poin dan Nasdaq ditutup +47.92 poin. Sementara itu, indeks kawasan regional pada perdagangan pagi ini dibuka mixed dan diperkirakan pengaruhnya cenderung netral terhadap bursa BEI pagi ini. Aspek teknikal indeks, pergerakan indeks pada hari ini berpotensi untuk kembali bergerak menguat setelah pada perdagangan kemarin membentuk candlestick bullish. Pergerakan indeks kemarin memberikan signal teknikal yang positif bahwa masih adanya potensi untuk penguatan lanjutan. Perkiraan range pergerakan indeks untuk hari ini akan berada di antara level 5,250-5,360.
W H AT ’ S I N T H E PA C K
ADHI – BUY
APLN – BUY
Harga membentuk candlestick bullish sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp2,150 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp2,280.
Harga membentuk pola rebound dengan candlestick bullish sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp220 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp240.
KEY INDICES Chg (%) 49.0 1.9 11.9 22.3 20.6 (15.9) 479.8 22.9 60.4
Prev Close MSCI Indonesia MSCI Asia-Ex Japan KLCI FSSTI SET Hang Seng Nikkei Shanghai Comp Dow Jones
6,166.8 519.2 1,647.5 2,921.3 1,563.6 22,134.5 19,594.2 3,158.8 19,942.2
YTD (%) 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.3 (0.1) 2.4 0.7 0.3
Source: Bloomberg
TOP VOLUME Stock Panin Financial Bumi Resources Lippo Karawaci Sentul City Alam Sutera Realty
Price (Rp) 175 266 790 92 386
Chg (%) 1.2 (2.2) 9.7 2.2 7.8
Vol (‘000) 177,828 174,156 134,448 110,095 92,238
TOP GAINERS Stock Medco Energi Lippo Karawaci Alam Sutera Realty Citra Marga Bumi Serpong Damai
Price (Rp) 1,555 790 386 2,050 1,810
Chg (%) 15.2 9.7 7.8 5.7 4.6
Vol (‘000) 34,180 134,448 92,238 950 27,635
TOP LOSERS Stock Bentoel Int'l Sumber Alfaria Inti Agri Resources Timah London Sumatra
Price (Rp) 420 580 2,480 1,065 1,685
Chg (%) (8.7) (6.5) (4.6) (3.6) (3.4)
Vol (‘000) 2 321 4,796 25,075 18,206
COMMODITY TREND Crude Oil NYMEX (US$/bbl) Coal Fut Newc (US$/tonne) Nickel 3M LME Tin 3M LME Gold SPOT (US$/oz) CPO Fut Msia (MYR/tonne)
Closing 52.33 94.70 9,910 20,975 1,147 3,250
Chg (%) (2.6) (4.4) (1.1) (0.7) (0.3) 1.0
Source: Bloomberg
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
1
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
Thursday, 05 January 2017
TRADERS’ CORNER
Adhi Karya (ADHI IJ) Technical buy with 6% potential return Resistance : Rp2,180 & Rp2,280 Support : Rp2,030 & Rp1,975 Pergerakan harga saham ADHI pada perdagangan kemarin membentuk candlestick bullish yang terlihat cukup signifikan. Harga juga bertahan diatas garis moving average 20-harinya sehingga diyakini bahwa penguatan masih akan terus berlanjut pada perdagangan hari ini. Pergerakan indikator harian RSI juga sudah berada di teritori bullish disertai dengan kenaikan volume perdagangan yang lebih tinggi dari biasanya. Aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp2,150 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp2,280.
Agung Podomoro Land (APLN IJ) Technical buy with 9% potential return Resistance : Rp226 & Rp242 Support : Rp214 & Rp206 Pergerakan harga saham APLN pada perdagangan kemarin membentuk pola rebound dengan candlestick bullish yang signifikan. Harga terlihat akan menguji garis moving average 20-harinya dan jika terjadi penembusan maka akan memicu penguatan lanjutan. Pergerakan indikator juga sudah keluar dari zona oversold dan sudah mendekati garis tengahnya di level 50. Volume perdagangan terlihat naik lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan sebelumnya sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp220 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp240.
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
2
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
Thursday, 05 January 2017
CORPORATE NEWS PP Properti (PPRO): Perseroan akan membangun dua hotel di Surabaya dan Mataram pada tahun ini dengan nilai investasi mencapai Rp205 miliar. Saat ini perseroan telah memiliki tiga hotel yakni Park Hotel Jakarta, Park Hotel Bandung, dan Swiss Bell Hotel Balikpapan. Selain itu, perseroan juga sedang membangun 2 mall di Grand Kemala Lagoon (GKL) Bekasi dan Grand Dharmahusada Lagoon (GDL) Surabaya. (Bisnis Indonesia) Waskita Beton Precast (WSBP): Perseroan memperoleh kontrak baru senilai Rp12.2 triliun sampai akhir Desember 2016 dan telah melampaui target kontrak baru sebesar Rp7.9 triliun untuk tahun 2016. Perseroan menargetkan kontrak baru tahun 2017 akan mencapai Rp12.3 triliun dan target pendapatan sebesar Rp7.4 triliun. Laba bersih 2017 diperkirakan mencapai Rp900 miliar. (Bisnis Indonesia) IPO: Wijaya Karya Bangunan Gedung (WIKA Gedung) berencana IPO dengan melepas sekitar 30%-40% kepemilikan pada semester II/2017 untuk memperoleh dana sebesar Rp3 triliun. (Investor Daily) Kimia Farma (KAEF): Perseroan menjajaki pembentukan perusahaan patungan (joint venture) dengan 2 perusahaan asal India untuk mengurangi ketergantungan impor bahan baku. Sementara itu, belanja modal sebesar Rp1.2 triliun akan diserap oleh anak usahanya, PT Kimia Farma Apotek (KFA), termasuk pembangunan pabrik di Banjaran, Bandung seluas 5 ha. Perseroan juga memperkirakan pertumbuhan pendapatan tahun ini akan mencapai 22% yoy. (Investor Daily) Central Omega Resources (DKFT): Perseroan menjadwalkan produksi perdana nickel pig iron dari pabrik pemurnian dan pengolahan mineral mentah (smelter) tahap I pada Maret 2017. Smelter berkapasitas 100.000 ton akan berproduksi sekitar 50%-60%. Seluruh hasil produksi akan diekspor ke China. (Kontan) Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES): Perseroan menargetkan penjualan sebesar Rp5.1 triliun pada tahun ini dengan target penambahan 10 gerai baru. Belanja modal dialokasikan sebesar Rp300 miliar. (Kontan) PT Bukit Asam (PTBA): Perseroan sedang melakukan due dilligence untuk mengakusisi beberapa perusahaan pertambangan batubara di Kalimantan. Cadangan batubara di perusahaan tersebut ditaksir lebih dari 200 juta ton. Perseroan menyiapkan dana lebih dari US$100 juta untuk aksi akuisisi ini. Tahun ini perseroan optimis meraih produksi batubara 28 juta ton hingga 30 juta ton, naik dari proyeksi tahun lalu sekitar 25.75 juta ton. Belanja modal disiapkan sekitar Rp5.8 triliun untuk tahun ini. (Kontan) Garuda Indonesia (GIAA): Perseroan memberikan pinjaman kepada anak usahanya, PT Aero Systems Indonesia senilai S$4 juta berjangka waktu 10 tahun. (Investor Daily)
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
3
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
Thursday, 05 January 2017
Waran No.
Waran
Kode
1
WARAN SERI I BUANA LISTYA TAMA Tbk
BULL-W
170
22-Mei-14
2
WARAN SERI II KRESNA GRAHA SEKURINDO Tbk
KREN-W
180
08-Jul-14
3
WARAN SERI I POOL ADVISTA INDONESIA Tbk
POOL-W
262
11-Jul-14
4
WARAN SERI I STAR PETROCHEM Tbk
STAR-W
102
13-Jul-14
5
WARAN SERI V CLIPAN FI NANCE INDONESI A Tbk
CFIN-W5
450
06-Okt-14
6
WARAN SERI II ASURANSI MULTI ARTHA GUNA Tbk
AMAG-W2
175
09-Okt-14
7
WARAN SERI V PANIN FINANCIAL Tbk
PNLF-W5
130
07-Nop-14
8
WARAN SERI I CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES Tbk
DKFT-W
250
05-Des-14
9
WARAN SERI I EUREKA PRIMA JAKARTA Tbk
LCGP-W
0
10-Nop-14
WARAN SERI I INOVIS I INFRACOM Tbk WARAN SERI I BEKASI FAJAR INDUSTRI AL ESTATE Tbk
INVS-W
165 200
08-Mei-15 10-Apr-15
Waran Seri I Gading Development Tbk WARAN SERI I NIRVANA DEVELOPMENT Tbk
GAMA-W
13
NIRO-W
105 110
16-Jul-15 11-Sep-15
14
WARAN SERI I BANK SINAR MAS Tbk
BSIM-W
149
11-Des-15
15
WARAN SERI II SUGIH ENERGY Tbk
SUGI-W
100
21-Mei-15
16
Waran Seri I Bank Windu Kentjana International Tbk
MCOR-W
200
10-Jul-15
17
WARAN SERI I SOLUSI TUNAS PRATAMA Tbk
SUPR-W
4800 28-Agust-15
18 19
WARAN SERI II MOBILE-8 TELECOM Tbk WARAN SERI I NUSA RAYA CIPTA Tbk
FREN-W NRCA-W
1000 1.050
05-Jan-16 27-Jun-16
20
WARAN SERI VI BANK VICTORIA INTERNATIONAL Tbk
BVIC-W3
100
01-Jul-16
21
WARAN SERI I VICTORI A INVESTAMA Tbk
VICO-W
125
08-Jul-16
22
WARAN SERI II PANORAMA TRANSPORTASI Tbk
WEHA-W
175
12-Jul-16
23
WARAN SERI I MULTI AGRO GEMILANG PLANTATION Tbk
MAGP-W
160
15-Jul-16
24
MCOR-W2
25
WARAN SERI II BANK WINDU KENTJANA INTERNATIONAL Tbk WARAN SERI I TIPHONE MOBI LE INDONESIA Tbk
TELE-W
190 310
02-Des-16 10-Jan-17
26
WARAN SERI I ASURANSI MITRA MAPARYA Tbk
AS MI-W
360
13-Jan-17
27
WARAN SERI I BANK PANIN SYARIAH Tbk
PNBS-W
110
14-Jan-17
28
WARAN SERI II BANK SINARMAS TBK
BSIM-W2
250
29-Jun-17
29
Waran Seri I Trisula International Tbk
TRIS-W
300
28-Jun-17
30
Waran Seri I Tri Banyan Tirta Tbk
ALTO-W
260
07-Jul-17
31
BIPP-W
32
Waran Seri III Bhuwanatala Indah Permai Tbk WARAN SERI I SARASWATI GRIYA LESTARI Tbk
HOTL-W
100 220
13-Des-17 09-Jan-18
33
WARAN SERI II BANK CAPITAL INDONESIA Tbk
BACA-W
100
08-Okt-18
34
WARAN SERI I ARPENI PRATAMA OCEAN LINE Tbk
APOL-W
120
28-Jun-22
10 11 12
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
BEST-W
EXE_Price
Maturity
4
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
Thursday, 05 January 2017
Disclosures/Disclaimers This report is prepared by PT UOB Kay Hian Securities (“PT UOBKH”), a licensed broker dealer registered in the Republic of Indonesia and a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange (“IDX”) This report is provided for information only and is not an offer or a solicitation to deal in securities or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such securities. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any recipient hereof. Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the recommendation, before the person makes a commitment to purchase the investment product. This report is confidential. This report may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed in whole or in part by any recipient of this report to any other person without the prior written consent of PT UOBKH. This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or any entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or any other jurisdiction as PT UOBKH may determine in its absolute discretion, where the distribution, publication, availability or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or would subject PT UOBKH and its associates and its officers, employees and representatives to any registration, licensing or other requirements within such jurisdiction. The information or views in the report (“Information”) has been obtained or derived from sources believed by PT UOBKH to be reliable. However, PT UOBKH makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such sources or the Information and PT UOBKH accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage arising from the use of or reliance on the Information PT UOBKH and its associate may have issued other reports expressing views different from the Information and all views expressed in all reports of PT UOBKH and its connected persons are subject to change without notice. PT UOBKH reserves the right to act upon or use the Information at any time, including before its publication herein. Except as otherwise indicated below, (1) PT UOBKH, its associates and its officers, employees and representatives may, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking, underwriting, corporate finance-related or other services for or solicit business from, the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report; (2) PT UOBKH, its associate and its officers, employees and representatives may also, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking or other services for or solicit business from, other persons in respect of dealings in the securities referred to in this report or other investments related thereto; (3) the officers, employees and representatives of PT UOBKH may also serve on the board of directors or in trustee positions with the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. (All of the foregoing is hereafter referred to as the “Subject Business”); and (4) PT UOBKH may otherwise have an interest (including a proprietary interest) in the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. As of the date of this report, no analyst responsible for any of the content in this report has any proprietary position or material interest in the securities of the corporation(s) which are referred to in the content they respectively author or are otherwise responsible for. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR U.S. PERSONS This research report is prepared by PT UOBKH, a company authorized, as noted above, to engage in securities activities in Indonesia. PT UOBKH is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and, therefore, is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report is provided for distribution by PT UOBKH (whether directly or through its US registered broker dealer affiliate named below) to “major U.S. institutional investors” in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). All US persons that receive this document by way of distribution from or which they regard as being from PT UOBKH by their acceptance thereof represent and agree that they are a major institutional investor and understand the risks involved in executing transactions in securities. Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments based on the information provided in this research report should do so only through UOB Kay Hian (U.S.) Inc (“UOBKHUS”), a registered brokerdealer in the United States. Under no circumstances should any recipient of this research report effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments through PT UOBKH UOBKHUS accepts responsibility for the contents of this research report, subject to the terms set out below, to the extent that it is delivered to and intended to be received by a U.S. person other than a major U.S. institutional investor. The analyst whose name appears in this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and may not be an associated person of UOBKHUS and, therefore, may not be subject to applicable restrictions under FINRA Rules on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
5
I N D O N E S I A
R e t a i l
M a r k e t
M o n i t o r
Thursday, 05 January 2017
Analyst Certification/Regulation AC Each research analyst of PT UOBKH who produced this report hereby certifies that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views about all of the subject corporation(s) and securities in this report; (2) the report was produced independently by him/her; (3) he/she does not carry out, whether for himself/herself or on behalf of PT UOBKH or any other person, any of the Subject Business involving any of the subject corporation(s) or securities referred to in this report; and (4) he/she has not received and will not receive any compensation that is directly or indirectly related or linked to the recommendations or views expressed in this report or to any sales, trading, dealing or corporate finance advisory services or transaction in respect of the securities in this report. However, the compensation received by each such research analyst is based upon various factors, including PT UOBKH total revenues, a portion of which are generated from PT UOBKH business of dealing in securities. Reports are distributed in the respective countries by the respective entities and are subject to the additional restrictions listed in the following table. General This report is not intended for distribution, publication to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any country or jurisdiction where the distribution, publication or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or regulation. Hong Kong This report is distributed in Hong Kong by UOB Kay Hian (Hong Kong) Limited ("UOBKHHK"), which is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. Neither the analyst(s) preparing this report nor his associate, has trading and financial interest and relevant relationship specified under Para. 16.4 of Code of Conduct in the listed corporation covered in this report. UOBKHHK does not have financial interests and business relationship specified under Para. 16.5 of Code of Conduct with the listed corporation covered in this report. Where the report is distributed in Hong Kong and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note: (i) recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKHHK (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Hong Kong in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report; and (ii) to the extent that the analyses or reports are delivered to and intended to be received by any person in Hong Kong who is not a professional investor, or institutional investor, UOBKHHK accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analyses or reports only to the extent required by law. Indonesia This report is distributed in Indonesia by PT UOB Kay Hian Securities, which is regulated by Financial Services Authority of Indonesia (“OJK”). Where the report is distributed in Indonesia and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact PT UOBKH (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Indonesia in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report. Malaysia Where the report is distributed in Malaysia and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, the recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKHM (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Malaysia, at +603-21471988, in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report as UOBKHM is the registered person under CMSA to distribute any research analyses in Malaysia. Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by UOB Kay Hian Private Limited ("UOBKH"), which is a holder of a capital markets services licence and an exempt financial adviser regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Where the report is distributed in Singapore and contains research analyses or reports from a foreign research house, please note: (i) recipients of the analyses or reports are to contact UOBKH (and not the relevant foreign research house) in Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the analysis or report; and (ii) to the extent that the analyses or reports are delivered to and intended to be received by any person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor, UOBKH accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analyses or reports only to the extent required by law. Thailand This report is distributed in Thailand by UOB Kay Hian Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited, which is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand. United This report is being distributed in the UK by UOB Kay Hian (U.K.) Limited, which is an authorised person in the meaning Kingdom of the Financial Services and Markets Act and is regulated by The Financial Conduct Authority. Research distributed in the UK is intended only for institutional clients. United This report cannot be distributed into the U.S. or to any U.S. person or entity except in compliance with applicable U.S. States of laws and regulations. It is being distributed in the U.S. by UOB Kay Hian (US) Inc, which accepts responsibility for its America contents. Any U.S. person or entity receiving this report and wishing to effect transactions in any securities referred to in (‘U.S.’) the report should contact UOB Kay Hian (US) Inc. directly.
Copyright 2017, PT UOB Kay Hian Securities. All rights reserved. http://research.uobkayhian.com
w w w . u t r a d e . c o . i d
6