Highlight. Ekonomi : Catat pertumbuhan kredit 12% selama Februari. DSSA : Menyelesaikan transaksi share swap

DAILY REPORT Rabu 8 April 2015

Market View

AKTIVITAS BURSA Selasa, 7 April 2015 IHSG : 5,523.290 (43.259)/0.789%

♦

Market Volume

: 6,945 Billion Share

Market Value

: 6,796.391 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan

Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG), Selasa 7/4/2015 ditutup pada level 5.523,29 atau menguat 43,26 poin/ (+0,79%). Tercatat perdagangan cukup ramai dengan didominasi saham-saham berkapitalisasi besar seperti TLKM, BBRI dan BBCA. Total frekuensi perdagangan saham 237.970 kali, volume transaksi sebanyak 6.945 miliar lembar saham dengan nilai sebesar Rp 6,796. Bursa Amerika Serikat (AS) ditutup melemah pada perdagangan malam tadi. Pelemahan ini dipicu penurunan saham-saham consumer menjelang pengumuman risalah dari pertemuan Federal Reserve Rabu ini. Dari kawasan Asia. Menjelang keputusan BOJ, saham-saham di kawasan Asia menguat pagi ini. MSCI Asia Pacific Index naik 0,1%, Indeks Nikkei naik 0,6%. Kenaikan tersebut disebabkan investor memprediksikan BOJ masih akan mempertahankan stimulus. Sentiment dari kawasan global dan regional tersebut kemungkinan akan mempengaruhi laju IHSG hari ini. Kami perkirakan indeks akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat dalam kisaran support 5.482 dan resistance 5.540.

Perubahan +/%

Leading Movers BBRI

13,175

150

BBCA

15,300

125

1.2% 0.8%

MIKA

24,725

925

3.9%

INTP

22,950

350

1.5%

ADHI

3,100

230

8.0%

♦

Lagging Movers ASII

8,150

-50

-0.6%

EXCL

4,245

-90

-2.1%

SAME

3,000

-30

-1.0%

TSPC

2,240

-30

-1.3%

AMFG

7,350

-100

-1.3%

SIAP

382

-2

-0.52%

MTFN

283

1

0.35%

ASRI

635

20

3.25%

SRIL

241

4

1.69%

DILD

630

50

8.62%

Most Active

Top Value BBRI

13,175

150

1.15%

BMRI

12,175

0

0.00%

BBCA

15,300

125

0.82%

PGAS

4,865

35

0.72%

BBNI

7,275

100

1.39%

Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan USD SBI 1 mo

Perubahan +/%

12,990

12,900

0.70

7,5%

7,50%

(0.25)

Deflasi MoM

0.44%

0,36%

0.08

Inflasi YoY

6.38%

6,29%

0.09

Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM

-0.22

Valuasi USD IDR 12,990

2,823

Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA Nasdaq

Perubahan +/%

17,875.42

(5.43)

(0.03)

4,910.23

(7.09)

(0.14)

Nikkei 225

19,635.98

238.00

Hangseng

25,275.64

-

STI

3,465.62

12.71

Today’s Pick Aksi

Kode

Harga Target

SELL

BMRI

12,175 12,100 Candle membentuk hanging man didukung trend volume menurun.

SB

ADRO

980

BUY

SOCI

590

SOS

BSDE

2,195

BUY

TLKM

2,855

SOS

TBIG

9,700

Keterangan

960

Candle membentuk spinning tops. MA‐20 dan RSI netral. Candlelistick chart membentuk three inside up. 2,150 EMA‐20 uptrend. Candle membentuk spinning tops. 2,945 Trend bullish dan fase akumulasi. 9,100 Candle membentuk white candle. 630

SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy

Highlight √

Ekonomi

: Catat pertumbuhan kredit 12% selama Februari.

√

DSSA

: Menyelesaikan transaksi share swap.

√

BMRI

: Berencana menambah 400 unit outlet mikro.

√

PTBA

: Bertumbuh di tengah Pelemahan batubara.

√

KIJA

: Mancari mitra di Tanjung Lesung.

√

WTON

: Menambah ekspor di kawasan Asia Tenggara.

1.23 0.37

Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment

Page 1


Economic News

♦ Bank Indonesia mencatat pertumbuhan kredit mulai membaik seiring dengan meningkatnya pertumbuhan kredit dari 11,4 persen (yoy) pada Januari 2015 menjadi 12 persen (yoy) pada Februari 2015 dengan total penyaluran kredit sebesar Rp 3.699,5 triliun. Di sisi lain, penghimpunan dana pihak ketiga (DPK) tumbuh lebih kencang dari 14,1 persen (yoy) pada Januari 2014 menjadi 15,4 persen pada Februari 2014 dengan total dana yang dihimpun sebesar Rp 4.067,8 triliun. Pertumbuhan kredit pada Februari terutama didorong oleh kredit modal kerja (KMK) yang tumbuh 12 persen (yoy) menjadi Rp 1.740,4 triliun, lebih tinggi dibandingkan posisi Januari 2015 yang tumbuh 10,5 persen (yoy). Pertumbuhan KMK terutama terjadi pada sektor Industri pengolahan dan sektor Perdagangan, Hotel, dan Restoran yang masing-masing tumbuh 16,4 persen (yoy) dan 13 persen (yoy) menjadi Rp 477 triliun dan Rp 636,6 triliun, lebih tinggi dibandingkan posisi Januari 2015 yang tumbuh masing-masing 10,7 persen (yoy) dan 12,6 persen (yoy).

♦ PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) menargetkan menyelesaikan transaksi share swap anak usahanya, PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk (GEMS). PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) menargetkan menyelesaikan transaksi tukar guling saham (share swap) anak usahanya, PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk (GEMS), dengan perusahaan asal Singapura. Total nilai transaksinya mencapai 1,87 miliar dolar Singapura atau setara Rp 14,72 triliun. Sesuai kesepakatan, Dian Swastatika akan mengambil alih 1,97 miliar saham baru United Fiber senilai 0,95 dolar Singapura per saham. Pengambilalihan saham tersebut akan dieksekusi setelah United Fiber melaksanakan reverse stock.

♦ PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI) siap tambah 400 unit outlet mikro.

PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk berencana menambah 400 unit outlet mikro pada tahun ini. Dengan aksi korporasi ini, bank badan usaha milik negara (BUMN) tersebut akan memiliki 3.400-3.500 total outlet mikro. Saat ini, Bank Mandiri lebih banyak membuka outlet mikro di desa atau kecamatan di luar Jawa, seperti Pulau Kalimantan, Sulawesi, dan Sumatera. Pangsa pasar (market share) kredit mikro baru sekitar 9-10 persen dari total portofolio kredit Bank Mandiri. Ke depan strategi perseroan menyalurkan kredit mikro adalah mendorong debitor untuk rutin menabung.

♦ PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) bertumbuh di tengah pelemahan komoditas batubara. PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) diprediksi mampu untuk mempertahankan kenaikan volume produksi hingga tiga tahun ke depan. Hal ini berbeda dengan sejumlah emiten batubara lainnya dengan kecenderungan memangkas volume produksi, seiring belum pulihnya harga jual batubara di pasar global. Peningkatan volume produksi batubara perseroan ditopang berbagai faktor, seperti ekspansi jaringan infrastruktur kereta api dan pelabuhan, pengoperasian pembangkit listrik baru dan peningkatan volume produksi dari tambang Muara Enim. Tahun 2015 EPS PTBA sebesar Rp. 899 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER sebesar 16.6 kali. Maka harga wajar PTBA tahun 2015 Rp. 14.900 per saham.

♦ PT Kawasan Industri Jababeka Tbk (KIJA) mancari mitra di Tanjung Lesung.

Ekspansi PT Kawasan Industri Jababeka Tbk (KIJA) di Kawasan Ekonomi Khusus (KEK) Tanjung Lesung Pandeglang Banten terus bergulir. Sebagai fasilitas pendukung Jababeka segera meluncurkan Marina Tanjung Lesung. Jababeka menggandeng PT Pengembang Pelabuhan Indonesia (PPI), anak usaha PT Pelabuhan Indonesia (Pelindo) II untuk menggulirkan kembali pembangunan marina. Targetnya, pelabuhan yang bisa bersandar kapal pesiar ini sudah bisa beroperasi tiga tahun mendatang.

♦ PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) menambah porsi ekspor ke Singapura dan Brunei Darussalam. PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk kini tak mau cuma fokus menjual beton pracetak untuk pangsa pasar dalam negeri. Anak perusahaan PT Wijaya Karya Tbk itu tengah berusaha menambah porsi ekspor dengan masuk ke dua negara tujuan ekspor baru. Pilihan Wijaya Karya Beton adalah negara di kawasan Asia Tenggara ke Singapura dan Brunei Darussalam.


Page 2


Today’s Pick Chart BMRI

ADRO

MACD dan RSI netral. Candle membentuk hanging man didukung trend volume menurun. Indikasikan potensi saham bergerak di area bearish. Rec : Sell. Support 12.100 dan resistance 12.475.

Candle membentuk spinning tops. MA-20 dan RSI netral. Saham berpotensi bergerak di area bullish jika mampu breakout resistance 1 di level 1.000. Rec : Speculative Buy (SB). Stoploss dibawah 960.

TBIG

BSDE

Candle membentuk white candle. Stochastic menembus 80% dan RSI 70%. Kedua indikator mengindikasikan saham berada di area jenuh beli. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 9.100 dan resistance 9.800.

EMA-20 uptrend. Candle membentuk spinning tops. Stochastic overbought. Indikasikan potensi kerawanan aksi profit taking selama dibawah 2.220, namun breakout 2.220 berpeluang bullish. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 2.150 dan resistance 2.220.

TLKM

SOCI

Trend bullish dan fase akumulasi. Candle White candle.Stochastic goldencross di area support. Didukung RSI oversold dan MFI meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 2.810 dan resistance 2.945.

Candlelistick chart membentuk three inside up. Secara teoritis pola tersbeut pembalikan arah menjadi bullish. Didukung MFI dan volume meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 560 dan resistance 630.

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 3


NO

Stock

Closing

Rec

Target

Price

Stop Loss

Pivot

Support I

II

Technical

Resistance

Alert

I

II

1

ASII

8,150

SOS

8,375

7,800

8,000

7,900

8,100

8,200

8,300

2

BBC A

15,300

SOS

14,900

13,900

15,100

15,000

15,300

15,500

15,700

Stochastic Oversold

7,100

7,300

7,400

7,500

Stochastic Over Bought

MAC D dead cross

3

BBNI

7,275

SOS

7,250

6,450

7,200

4

BBRI

13,175

SOS

13,300

12,450

13,000

12,900

13,100

13,200

13,300

Stochastic Golden C ross

5

BMRI

12,175

SoS

12,300

11,800

12,100

12,000

12,200

12,300

12,400

All Indikator Over Bought

6

GGRM

52,000

BOW

52,800

53,000

51,600

51,300

51,900

52,200

52,500


7

INDF

7,400

SOS

7,600

7,300

7,300

7,200

7,400

7,500

7,600

Break 7500, Ascending C nfm

8

SMGR

13,675

Buy

14,500

14,775

13,600

13,500

13,700

13,800

13,900


9

TLKM

2,855

Buy

3,020

2,900

2,800

2,700

2,900

3,000

3,100


25,400

24,450

23,700

23,500

23,900

24,100

24,300

390

350

300

250

450

550

600

1,800

1,775

1,600

1,500

1,700

1,800

1,900

Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI

24,000

11 BWPT

334

12 LSIP

1,710

13 SIMP 14 SSMS

Buy BOW Buy

Evening Star Stochastic, RSI reversal naik EMA-5 Uptrend EMA-5 Dontrend

690

Sell

650

680

600

500

550

700

750

1,980

Sell

1,940

1,930

1,900

1,800

2,000

2,100

2,200

RSI, MAC D, Reversal Turun

SB

3,360

3,120

2,900

2,800

3,000

3,100

3,200

EMA-5 Uptrend. RSI 30%

Contractor & Property 15 ADHI

3,100

16 PTPP

3,775

BOW

3,980

3,800

3,600

3,500

3,700

3,800

3,900


17 WIKA

3,490

Buy

3,675

3,420

3,300

3,200

3,400

3,500

3,600


18 WSKT

1,710

Buy

1,815

1,720

1,600

1,500

1,700

1,800

1,900


24 ASRI

635

Buy

640

600

600

500

550

650

700

3 white soldier

25 BSDE

2,195

Sell

1,995

1,985

2,100

2,000

2,200

2,300

2,400

MAC D dead cross

26 C TRA

1,500

BOW

Stochastic 20%

1,525

1,400

1,400

1,300

1,500

1,600

1,700

27 KIJA

330

Sell

313

341

300

250

350

400

450

Stochastic Dead cross

28 LPKR

1,375

Sell

1,270

1,065

1,300

1,200

1,400

1,500

1,600

Stochastic diatas 80%

SB

1,050

930

900

800

850

950

1,000

Double Bottom.

Mining 29 ADRO

980

30 ANTM

915

Buy

1,030

990

900

800

950

1,000

1,100

Stochastic dibawah 20%

31 INC O

3,235

Buy

3,600

3,510

3,200

3,100

3,300

3,400

3,500

Stochastic dibawah 20%

32 ITMG

16,950

Sell

16,350

16,300

16,700

16,600

16,900

17,100

17,300

Black Marubozu

33 TINS

950

Buy

1,045

1,005

900

800

850

950

1,000

MAC D Golden C ross

Others 34 BBTN

1,180

SB

1,265

975

1,100

1,000

1,200

1,300

1,400

EMA-5 Uptrend

35 INTP

22,950

Buy

22,800

22,500

22,700

22,400

22,800

23,100

23,200

RSI dan Stochastic Over Sold

36 KLBF

1,860

SOS

1,790

2,880

1,800

1,700

1,900

2,000

2,100

Stochastic Dead cross

37 MPPA

4,150

Buy

4,200

3,745

4,100

4,000

4,200

4,300

4,400

MAC D & Golden C ross

38 PGAS

4,865

SB

5,325

5,100

4,800

4,700

4,900

5,000

5,100

RSI netral

39 UNTR

22,900

Buy

22,500

20,100

22,300

21,700

22,600

23,200

23,500

White Marubozu

40 UNVR

39,800

Buy

40,125

35,000

39,400

39,000

39,600

40,000

40,200


BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy


Page 4


Research Team Danang Narasworo Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Pharmaceutical, Construction Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .443 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Lailan Natasya Putri Research Analyst Sector Coverage : Telecomunication, Property, Cement Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .364 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Urip Mulyo Santoso Research Support Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57940678 ext.128 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected]

Wayan Sudiartha Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected]

Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext.166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected]

www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent

Page 5

Highlight. Ekonomi : Catat pertumbuhan kredit 12% selama Februari. DSSA : Menyelesaikan transaksi share swap

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