DAILY NEWS 3/5/2015 IDX Statistics Close
Chg
%Chg
%YTD
IDX Last
5,448.06
-26.56
-0.49
3.92
Vol (mn/sh)
3,969.10
Val (Rp Bn)
4,571.81
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada perdagangan di hari Rabu (04/03) mengalami penurunan sebesar 26.56 poin atau melemah 0.49% dan berakhir di level 5,448.06. 17.66 Sementara itu LQ45 mengakhiri perdagangan pada level %YTD 946.51 berkurang 6.60 poin atau terdepresiasi 0.69%.
Foreign Net Buy/ -Net Sell (Rp bn) Market Indices DJIA
Close
Chg
%Chg
Market Recap:
18096.90
-106.47
-0.58
1.48
S&P 500
2098.53
-9.25
-0.44
1.96
Global Market
NASDAQ
4967.14
-12.76
-0.26
5.08
United States
FTSE
6919.24
30.11
0.44
5.67
NIKKEI
18703.6
-111.56
-0.59
7.18
24465.38
-237.40
5882.10
-19.49
27.72
-0.17
Gold (USD/t oz.)
0.15
Nickel (USD/MT)
(0.83)
Wall Street (04/03) ditutup di zona merah menyusul rilis serangkaian data ekonomi yang mengindikasikan -0.96 2.55 berlanjutnya pertumbuhan moderat di AS, Investor juga -0.33 8.21 menantikan rapat kebijakan European Central Bank pada hari -0.61 1.02 Kamis, yang diharapkan akan menyajikan rincian tentang program pembelian obligasi yang telah diumumkan awal Close % YTD 59.38 14.28 tahun. Indeks Dow Jones turun 106.47 poin atau melemah 1,203 1.39 0.58%, S&P 500 kehilangan 0.44%, dan Nasdaq terdepresiasi 17,950 18.48 0.26%.
Tin (USD/MT)
(0.28)
17,800
(4.99)
CPO (RM/Ton)
(0.59)
2,364
4.32
0.06
52.37
2.49
HANG SENG ASX 200 EIDO
Commodities Prices %Chg Oil-WTI (USD/bbl)
0.41
Coal
Asia
Penguatan mata uang Yen terhadap USD, dan investor yang menantikan rapat politik akbar parlemen China, membuat Latest 0.25 bursa Asia secara umum berakhir negatif. Index Hang Seng 7.75 melemah 0.96% dan Nikkei kehilangan 0.59%.
Economic Indicators Fed Rate (%) BI Rate (%) Inflation (YoY) (%)
6.29
GDP 3Q-14 (%)
JCI’s Outlooks Negatifnya data ekonomi AS yang membuat bursa global 109 bergerak melemah dengan pelemahan Rupiah yang diprediksi 9,520 akan berlanjut hari ini terhadap dollar AS akan memberikan 14,455 tekanan kepada bursa domestik. IHSG kami perkirakan akan s bergerak bearish (moderat) dengan level support dan 1 Yr YTD resistance masing-masing di 5,407 – 5,506. 18.95% 1.16% 5.01
USD//IDR
12,998
JPY/IDR SGD/IDR EUR/IDR Mutual Fund NAB
1 Mo
SDM
7,456.52
0.59%
SDS*
1,163.92
0.91%
-
0.09%
* YTD since Mar-21
Semesta Dana Maxima vs IDX Performances
Semesta Dana Saham vs IDX Performances
45%
14%
40%
12%
35% 30%
10%
25%
8%
20%
6%
15%
10%
4%
5%
2%
0%
0%
-5%
-2%
-10% 1-Jan-14
1-Mar-14
1-May-14
1-Jul-14
1-Sep-14
1-Nov-14
-4% 21-Mar-14
JCI
1 of 6 report
SDM
21-May-14
21-Jul-14 JCI
21-Sep-14
SDS
Please see important disclosure at the end of this
3/5/2015
DAILY NEWS TECHNICAL COUNTER INDF MACD Golden Cross S: 7,300 R: 7,600 Rekomendasi : Trading Buy
ROTI MACD Ke arah golden cross, RSI rebound
S: 1,200 R1: 1,300 Rekomendasi : Hold
BBRI MACD Golden Cross
S: 12,475 R: 13,100 Rekomendasi : Hold
Keterangan rekomendasi Buy : Harga berpotensi menguat beberapa hari kedepan Buy on Weakness : Harga berpotensi menguat namun diperkirakan akan terkoreksi untuk sementara Trading Buy : Harga diperkirakan bergerak fluktuatif dengan kecenderungan ditutup menguat Sell : Harga berpotensi melemah beberapa hari kedepan Sell on Strength : Harga masih berpotensi menguat namun akan segera mengalami koreksi dalam waktu dekat.
2 of 6 report
Please see important disclosure at the end of this
DAILY NEWS 3/5/2015 INDONESIA NEWS Ekonomi – Pajak Realisasi penerimaan pajak periode Januari-Februari 2015 baru mencapai sekitar Rp 125 triliun. Untuk diingat kembali, penerimaan pajak periode yang sama tahun lalu mencapai Rp 137.65 triliun. Dengan rincian, penerimaan Januari 2014 mencapai Rp 71.5 triliun; dan penerimaan Februari 2014 mencapai Rp 66.130 triliun. (Sumber: Berita Satu) Pembangunan Jaya Ancol (PJAA) Close: 2,645 Change: 5.38% PJAA menargetkan pendapatan sebesar Rp 1,32 triliun pada 2015. Angka ini naik sekitar 20% dibanding realisasi pendapatan tahun 2014 yang sebesar Rp 1,1 triliun.. (Sumber: IQ Plus) Tiga Pilar Sejahtera Food (AISA) Close: 2,245 Change: AISA menyiapkan dana investasi sebesar Rp 682 miliar di tahun ini. Dana ini akan digunakan perseroan untuk mengembangkan tiga unit pabrik pengolahan beras di Sulawesi Selatan. (Sumber: IQ Plus) Matahari Putra Prima (MPPA) Close: 4,225 Change: 4.84% Matahari Putra Prima (MPPA) hingga akhir tahun 2014 berhasil mencatat adanya peningkatan pada penjualan bersihnya dibanding tahun sebelumnya di 2013. Hal ini menunjukkan kinerja perseroan di periode tahun 2014 lebih baik dibanding tahun 2013. (Sumber: IQ Plus) Nippon Indosari Corpindo (ROTI) Close: 1,245 Change: 0.40% Pemeringkat Efek Indonesia (Pefindo) menegaskan peringkat produsen roti dengan merek Sari Roti, yakni ROTI pada di 'idAA-' dengan outlook peringkat adalah Stabil. Peringkat ini mencerminkan posisi pasar ROTI yang kuat sebagai produsen roti massal, serta proteksi arus kas yang kuat dan dukungan operasional dari mitra pemegang saham. (Sumber: IQ Plus) Tiga Pilar Sejahtera Food (AISA) Close: 2,245 Change: AISA bakal menggenjot bisnis beras dengan menargetkan total kepemilikan 17 pabrik beras yang total kapasitasnya mencapai 2 juta ton per tahun. Dengan begitu, pangsa pasar bisnis beras perseroan berpotensi melonjak menjadi 5% pada tahun-tahun mendatang, (Sumber: IQ Plus) Bayan Resources (BYAN) Close: 7,600 Change: 0.33% BYAN melalui anak usahanya Gunungbayan Pratamacoal (GBP), pada 3 Maret 2015 telah memberitahukan kepada Petrosea (PTRO) mengenai maksud GBP untuk mengakhiri kontrak pengangkatan overburden. (Sumber: IQ Plus)
3 of 6 report
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DAILY NEWS 3/5/2015 Daily Valuation STOCK
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55
Stock Code
AGRICULTURE Astra Agro Lestari AALI BW Plantation BWPT London Sumatera LSIP Sampoerna Agro SGRO Salim Ivomas SIMP MINING Adaro Energy ADRO Harum Energy HRUM Indo Tambangraya ITMG Bukit Asam PTBA Aneka Tambang ANTM Vale Indonesia INCO Timah TINS BASIC INDUSTRY AND CHEMICALS Indocement INTP Holcim Indonesia SMCB Semen Indonesia SMGR Wika Beton WTON Charoen Pokphand CPIN Japfa Comfeed JPFA Malindo Feedmill MAIN MISC. INDUSTRY Astra International ASII CONSUMER GOODS Tiga Pilar Sejahtera AISA Indofood CBP ICBP Indofood Sukses INDF Gudang Garam GGRM Kimia Farma KAEF Kalbe Farma KLBF Industri Jamu SIDO Unilever Indonesia UNVR PROPERTY AND REAL ESTATE Agung Podomoro APLN Alam Sutera ASRI Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE Ciputra Development CTRA Lippo Karawaci LPKR Pakuwon Group PWON Pem. Perumahan PTPP Wijaya Karya WIKA Waskita Karya WSKT INFRASTRUCTURE Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS Jasa Marga JSMR XL Axiata EXCL Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM Express Trasindo TAXI Tower Infrastructure TBIG FINANCE Bank Central Asia BBCA Bank Bukopin BBKP Bank Negara Indonesia BBNI Bank Rakyat Indonesia BBRI Bank Tabungan Negara BBTN Bank Danamon BDMN Bank Mandiri BMRI TRADE, SERVICE & INVESTMENT United Tractors UNTR Ace Hardware ACES Matahari Putra Prima MPPA Media Nusantara Citra MNCN Surya Citra Media SCMA TOTAL
Rating
Last Px Shr. Out (IDR) (Bn)
M.Cap Px Target (IDR tn) 15F
P/E ¹ (x)
PBV (x)
GPM OPM NPM DER (%) (%) (%) (x)
ROE¹ (%)
Hold Hold Outperform Outperform
25975 361 1895 2065 740
1.574 4.503 6.822 1.89 15.816
40.88 1.63 12.93 3.90 11.70
26,000 2,145 2,515 910
16.29 5.73 13.83 9.43 15.74
3.65 0.69 1.85 1.31 0.71
31.31 45.57 35.87 28.36 26.62
23.78 30.17 26.58 20.34 14.96
16.01 18.95 19.82 12.51 5.17
0.62 1.79 0.21 0.69 0.85
22.4 12.5 13.3 13.86 4.52
Outperform Underperform Outperform
985 1615 17000 10800 995 3390 1005
31.985 2.703 1.129 2.304 9.538 9.936 7.447
31.51 4.37 19.19 24.88 9.49 33.68 7.48
13,850 925 1,425
0.81 1.32 5.35 11.80 -12.59 13.88 17.03
0.81 0.94 1.66 3.05 0.78 1.46 1.51
23.37 18.29 23.13 31.76 8.96 30.32 17.92
18.81 8.79 5.02 5.19 14.99 15.33 19.17 16.38 -2.05 -9.7 24.42 16.87 7.83 6.93
1.23 0.18 0.43 0.72 0.87 0.28 5.48
8.76 6.74 31.15 25.86 -6.19 9.42 58.59
Outperform Hold Outperform Outperform Outperform Outperform Outperform
24000 1865 14875 1375 3800 885 2055
3.681 7.662 5.931 8.715 16.40 10.66 1.791
88.34 14.29 88.22 11.98 62.31 9.43 3.68
17.79 18.84 16.19 27.34 21.59 146.79
3.80 1.60 3.76 5.71 1.78 3.11
44.81 28.35 43.68 14.52 15.56 14 9.89
29.18 26.23 12.95 7.59 26.92 21.12 12.2 9.61 10.57 7.86 5.4 1.75 2.49 0.54
0.13 0.91 0.38 0.81 0.76 2.15 1.8
21.3 8.49 23.2 14.4 20.93 8.24 2.09
Hold
7875
40.783
321.17
30,500 2,600 18,100 1,600 4,375 1,300 3,075 7,650
16.51
2.76
19.12
9.73
9.62
1.04
16.73
Hold Outperform Outperform Outperform Hold Hold Outperform Outperform
2245 14550 7450 54025 1385 1835 580 36100
3.218 5.83 8.78 1.924 5.554 46.875 15 7.63
7.22 84.83 65.41 103.94 7.69 86.02 8.70 275.44
2,500 14,000 8,250 67,000 1,550 2,030 800 37,500
20.98 30.76 16.20 19.28 39.57 43.69 50.99
2.86 5.84 1.60 3.26 4.48 9.31 50.35
21.47 26.6 27.03 20.13 30.54 48.05 35.24 48.8
14.52 7.06 11.17 9.08 12.01 6.01 12.85 8.38 6.97 4.67 16.46 11.65 19.56 19.72 21.02 1.77
1.2 0.64 1.11 0.77 0.59 0.3 0.06 1.77
13.66 19.01 9.9 16.89 11.18 21.49 16.54 98.64
Outperform Outperform Outperform Hold Hold Outperform Buy Buy Outperform
456 620 2150 1445 1145 535 3950 3545 1800
20.5 19.6 18.4 15.17 23.07 48.15 4.84 6.149 9.673
9.35 12.18 39.50 21.91 26.42 25.76 19.12 21.80 17.41
520 640 2,270 1,325 1,200 530 4,660 4,200 1,650
13.82 10.51 9.23 18.53 18.77 14.86 49.38 40.75 100.00
1.18 2.11 2.25 2.06 1.61 4.73 8.90 4.62 7.17
50.01 55.4 75.71 51.86 46.84 59.83 11.68 10.92 9.47
24.75 46.1 48.3 34.71 28.27 53.16 8.99 9.58 6.35
14.43 29.83 82.09 20.87 17.21 48.42 3.71 4.65 2.44
1.8 1.73 0.55 1.08 1.17 1.35 4.94 2.18 3.23
8.5 20.09 24.31 11.03 8.56 32.49 18 11.31 7.09
Outperform Outperform Outperform Buy Outperform Hold
5250 7100 4555 2910 825 9275
24.24 6.8 8.53 100.8 2.15 4.80
127.27 48.28 38.87 293.33 1.77 44.48
7,200 6,300 3,350 1,600 10,800
14.33 3.58 31.84 4.22 -32.30 2.78 19.27 3.63 12.13 2.01 29.35 10.14
43.84 100 100 27.33 84.56 85.22
30.62 34.71 6.12 33.92 18.73 75.93
23.54 17.07 -5.13 17.38 17.03 46.81
0.92 1.74 3.14 0.7 2.31 3.85
28.21 13.28 -8.6 18.87 16.5 34.59
Hold Outperform Outperform Outperform Outperform Underperform Outperform
14425 770 6650 12825 1140 4795 11850
24.41 8.99 18.46 24.42 10.46 9.48 23.1
352.11 6.92 122.76 313.19 11.92 45.46 273.74
13,150 840 6,950 13,280 1,230 3,700 11,915
21.86 7.78 12.22 13.07 12.00 16.37 14.35
4.76 1.04 2.14 3.46 1.02 1.42 2.79
-
-
-
6.41 11.72 6.34 6.57 10.67 4.84 6.62
11.17 13.58 8.91 13.82 4.64 4.83 10.61
Hold Underperform Outperform Hold Outperform
21650 825 4225 3085 3570
3.73 17.15 5.37 14.18 14.62
80.75 14.15 22.69 43.75 52.19
20,100 520 3,500 2,800 3,775
12.68 28.45 48.01 23.55 35.35
2.10 21.16 15.29 11.69 6.50 48.32 14.54 11.2 8.59 17.12 4.47 3.51 4.99 57.8 37.91 27.53 16.68 100 47.58 35.74
0.63 0.25 0.96 0.58 0.41
16.56 22.96 17.81 21.11 47.07
-
3527.41
* Fair value forecasts are based on consensus analysis and mostly for 12-month, ¹Annualized
4 of 6 report
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DAILY NEWS 3/5/2015 Dividend KODE AISA ADRO BFIN BIPI
5 of 6 report
DIVIDEN Rp 8,5 Rp 11,73 Rp 138 Rp 1
CUM 24-Dec-14 24-Dec-14 2-Jan-15 13-Jan-15
TANGGAL Ex 29-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 5-Jan-15 14-Jan-15
PAYMENT 14-Jan-15 16-Jan-15 15-Jan-15 30-Jan-15
KETERANGAN Tunai Interim Interim Tunai
Pleasesee seeimportant importantdisclosure disclosureatatthe theend endofofthis thisreport Please
DAILY NEWS 3/5/2015
RESEARCH Aditya Perdana Putra Research Analyst
[email protected] HEAD OFFICE PT. Semesta Indovest Menara Imperium Fl.18 Jl. HR Rasuna Said Kav. 1 Jakarta 12980 - Indonesia Jakarta - Puri Komp. Rukan Puri Niaga III, Blok M 8/ 2A Jl. Puri Kencana Kembangan, Jakarta 11610 Telp. (021) 2569 5600 Fax. (021) 5830 3441
BRANCHES
Surabaya Ruko Darmo Square Blok B 28 Jl. Raya Darmo No. 54 – 56, Surabaya 60264 Telp. (031) 563 2727 Fax. (031) 562 4616
Serpong Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RN No. 60, Serpong 15321 Telp. (021) 537 9545 Fax. (021) 537 9967 Semarang Jl. Karang Saru No.17 Semarang 50136 Tel. (024) 358 4801/03 Fax. (021) 358 4804
Disclaimer This report has been prepared by PT. Semesta Indovest on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions, and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. Semesta Indovest. While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, PT. Semesta Indovest makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of PT. Semesta Indovest who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither PT. Semesta Indovest nor any officer or employee of PT. Semesta Indovest accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. PT. Semesta Indovest and/or persons connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication.
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